• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인과 모형 분석

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Application of the Theory of Planned Behavior toward the Elders -Focus on Pre-service Childcare Teachers who have living Grandparents- (계획된 행동이론을 적용한 경로행동 연구 -조부모가 생존한 예비보육교사 중심으로-)

  • Ko, Eun-kyo;Shin, Su-kyung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.749-760
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study was to identify the effects influencing path behaviors of pre-service childcare teachers to present the educational and social welfare measures for promoting children's character development and preventing the alienation of the elderly. The subjects for this study are 176 students who completed the childcare teacher course in four universities located in G city and J province. The scale of this study utilized modified, supplemented scale used in previous studies[1][2] that was constituted for a newly transformed model based on planned behavior theories. The contents of research design include salience beliefs such as attitude beliefs, normative beliefs, control beliefs, etc. as well as a model of planned behavior theories such as attitudes, subjective norms, perceived behavior control, behavior intension, behavior, etc. This study conducted frequency analysis and regression analysis for the data collected by using the SPSS 18.0 for Windows. From the results of verification, all hypothesis was supported. Thus, usefulness of this theory was reconfirmed, and the results of this study are to be utilized as basic materials for professionals who make every endeavor in a perspective of children's character development and in a perspective of reducing alienation phenomenon of the elderly.

The Effect of Individual Motivated Propensity on Perceived Characteristics and Use Intentions for Mobile Medical Service (개인 동기성향의 차이가 스마트폰 의료서비스 사용의도에 미치는 영향에 대한 구조관계 연구)

  • Joh, WonIl;Yoo, ByungTae;Kim, SeungChul
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.169-193
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    • 2014
  • This paper attempts to analyze how the psychological factors would have an effect on the user's intention to make use of the mobile care via smart-phone, identifying the relationships among individual motivation propensity that consists of prevention propensity and promotion propensity, perceived usefulness and ease of use, perceived cost, behavioral use attitude and use intention based on technology acceptance model, and verifying them empirically through the structural equation modeling. The findings are as the followings. First, prevention motivation propensity affects positively on usefulness of smart-phone for mobile care service, but there are no significant indications that it affects on the ease of use and perceived cost. Second, promotion propensity affects positively on perceived ease of use and perceived cost of smart-phone for mobile care service, but there is no significant indication that it affects on perceived usefulness. Third, perceived usefulness and ease of use, and perceived cost affects positively on the use attitude. In sum, this paper confirms that the prevention propensity and promotion propensity might be used as antecedent variables for developing new smart-phone services of mobile care.

Study on the analysis of disproportionate data and hypothesis testing (불균형 자료 분석과 가설 검정에 관한 연구)

  • 장석환;송규문;김장한
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.243-254
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    • 1992
  • In the present study two sets of unbalanced two-way cross-classification data with and without empty cell(s) were used to evaluate empirically the various sums of squares in the analysis of variance table. Searle(1977) and Searle et.al.(1981) developed a method of computing R($\alpha$\mid$\mu, \beta$) and R($\beta$\mid$\mu, \alpha$) by the use of partitioned matrix of X'X for the model of no interaction, interchanging the columns of X in order of $\alpha, \mu, \beta$ and accordingly the elements in b. An alternative way of computing R($\alpha$\mid$\mu, \beta$), R($\beta$\mid$\mu, \alpha$) and R($\gamma$\mid$\mu, \alpha, \beta$) without interchanging the columns of X has been found by means of,$(X'X)^-$ derived, using $W_2 = Z_2Z_2-Z_2Z_1(Z_1Z_1)^-Z_1Z_2$. It is true that $R(\alpha$\mid$\mu,\beta,\gamma)\Sigma = SSA_W and R(\beta$\mid$\mu,\alpha,\gamma)\Sigma = SSB_W$ where $SSA_W$ and means analysis and $R(\gamma$\mid$\mu,\alpha,\beta) = R(\gamma$\mid$\mu,\alpha,\beta)\Sigma$ for the data without empty cell, but not for the data with empty cell(s). It is also noticed that for the datd with empty cells under W - restrictions $R(\alpha$\mid$\mu,\beta,\gamma)_W = R(\mu,\alpha,\beta,\gamma)_W - R(\mu,\alpha,\beta,\gamma)_W = R(\alpha$\mid$\mu) and R(\beta$\mid$\mu,\alpha,\gamma)_W = R(\mu,\alpha,\beta,\gamma)_W - R(\mu,\alpha,\beta,\gamma)_W = R(\beta$\mid$\mu) but R(\gamma$\mid$\mu,\alpha,\beta)_W = R(\mu,\alpha,\beta,\gamma)_W - R(\mu,\alpha,\beta,\gamma)_W \neq R(\gamma$\mid$\mu,\alpha,\beta)$. The hypotheses $H_o : K' b = 0$ commonly tested were examined in the relation with the corresponding sums of squares for $R(\alpha$\mid$\mu), R(\beta$\mid$\mu), R(\alpha$\mid$\mu,\beta), R(\beta$\mid$\mu,\alpha), R(\alpha$\mid$\mu,\beta,\gamma), R(\beta$\mid$\mu,\alpha,\gamma), and R(\gamma$\mid$\mu,\alpha,\beta)$ under the restrictions.

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Analysis of Impacts of Land Cover Change on Runoff Using HSPF Model (HSPF 모형을 이용한 토지피복변화에 따른 유출 변화 분석)

  • Park, Min-Ji;Kwon, Hyung-Joong;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.6 s.155
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    • pp.495-504
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    • 2005
  • The objective of this study is to estimate the impacts of land cover change on the runoff behavior using Hydrologic Simulation Program-Fortran (HSPF) model and Landsat images. Land cover maps were prepared using three every ten years from 1980 to 2000 of the upper watershed ($258\;km^2$) of Gyeongan stream. Hydrologic parameters of HSPF were calibrated using observed data (1999 - 2000) and validated using observed data (2001, 2003) at Gyeongan gauge station. The simulation results showed that runoff volume and peak rate increased as $15.0\;km^2$ forest areas decreased and $19.3\;km^2$ urban areas increased for 20 years land use changes. The runoff volume showed a higher rate of increase in wet year (2003, 1709.4 mm) than in dry year (2001, 871.2 mm). The peak runoff increased $13.3\;\%$ in normal year (2000, 1257.3 mm) because the year has the highest rain intensity (241.3 mm/hr) among the test years. The runoff volume of a dry season and a wet season (May - September) in normal year 2000 increased $4.4\;\%$ and decreased $8.1\;\%$, respectively.

Water Supply forecast Using Multiple ARMA Model Based on the Analysis of Water Consumption Mode with Wavelet Transform. (Wavelet Transform을 이용한 물수요량의 특성분석 및 다원 ARMA모형을 통한 물수요량예측)

  • Jo, Yong-Jun;Kim, Jong-Mun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.317-326
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    • 1998
  • Water consumption characteristics on the northern part of Seoul were analyzed using wavelet transform with a base function of Coiflets 5. It turns out that long term evolution mode detected at 212 scale in 1995 was in a shape of hyperbolic tangent over the entire period due to the development of Sanggae resident site. Furthermore, there was seasonal water demand having something to do with economic cycle which reached its peak at the ends of June and December. The amount of this additional consumption was about $1,700\;\textrm{cm}^3/hr$ on June and $500\;\textrm{cm}^3/hr$ on December. It was also shown that the periods of energy containing sinusoidal component were 3.13 day, 33.33 hr, 23.98 hr and 12 hr, respectively, and the amplitude of 23.98 hr component was the most humongous. The components of relatively short frequency detected at $2^i$[i = 1,2,…12] scale were following Gaussian PDF. The most reliable predictive models are multiple AR[32,16,23] and ARMA[20, 16, 10, 23] which the input of temperature from the view point of minimized predictive error, mutual independence or residuals and the availableness of reliable meteorological data. The predicted values of water supply were quite consistent with the measured data which cast a possibility of the deployment of the predictive model developed in this study for the optimal management of water supply facilities.

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The study on the school resilience of grandparent-grandchildren family adolescent through mediation effect of protective factor (보호요인의 매개효과를 통한 조손가족 청소년의 학교 적응유연성에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Yoo-Mee;Lee, Yun-Hyung
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.41-68
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    • 2009
  • Grandparent-grandchildren family adolescents(GGFAs) need to be well discussed because they tend to be more influenced by the negative surroundings than ordinary family adolescents. Over the past few years, several studies have been made on the correlation between the risk factor, the protective factor and the school resilience of GGFAs, but these studies have the limit to explain the only correlation between the one factor and the school resilience. So the purpose of this study was to examine not only the direct effect between the risk factor and the protective factor, but also the parametric path and effect that the one factor has influence on the correlation between the another factor and the school resilience of GGFAs. We investigated the 328 GGFAs in Korea, and the analytic method used was the Structural Equation Modeling(SEM). The followings are the results of this paper. It was found that the model adaptability had a considerable validity by inspecting the SEM, which showed not only the direct effect between the risk factor, protective factor and the school resilience of GGFAs, but also the mediation effect by the protective factor. The risk factors - the indifference of teacher, the negative attachment relationship, melancholy, uneasiness etc - had a negative influence on the school resilience of GGFAs. The protective factors - the supporss etteacher, self-esteem etc - had a positive influence on the school resilience of GGFAs. The protective factors were found to reduce the negative influence on the school resilience of GGFAs.

Development of regression curve to estimate runoff ratio in accordance with forecasted rainfall for decision making support of dam operations (홍수기 댐 운영 의사결정 지원을 위한 강우량별 유출율 예측 회귀식 개발)

  • Kim, Mi Eun;Kim, Hyeon Sik;Jang, Yong Hoon;Lee, Jong Goo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.39-39
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    • 2018
  • 우리나라는 전체 국토의 약 70%가 산악지형으로 이루어져 있고 연중 강우가 6월에서 9월에 집중되는 기후적 특성을 가지고 있다. 최근 기후변화의 영향까지 더해지면서 시간당 300mm 이상의 집중호우를 보이는 이상강우가 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 대부분의 도시지역은 하천을 중심으로 발달되어 있어 인구 및 사회기반시설의 집약정도가 매우 높고 하천변 저지대 지역에 주거 및 상업시설이 밀집되어 있다. 기후적 지역적 특성으로 인한 홍수피해를 미연에 방지하고 피해를 최소화하기 위하여 치수 중심의 수자원 관리를 위해 노력하고 있다. 하지만 우리나라의 하천관리는 시기별 하천 수량의 급격한 변동으로 어려움을 겪고 있다. 이러한 어려움을 극복하고 효율적인 수자원 관리 및 홍수피해 저감을 위해 수계를 중심으로 20개의 다목적댐을 건설하여 운영 관리 중에 있다. 특히, 홍수기 시 댐 운영은 예상 강우에 따라 적절한 예비방류와 강우 시 효율적인 댐 운영계획이 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 강우가 집중되는 홍수기 댐 운영 시에 예상 강우량에 따라 댐 유역 내 유량 증가에 기여하는 정도를 예측할 수 있는 유출율 예측 회귀식을 개발하였다. 유출율은 강우와 유출량의 비로 지역특성, 강우특성, 관개여부, 선행강우량, 강우이동 방향 등 다양한 요인에 의해 복잡한 메케니즘을 갖는다. 단순히 예상되는 총강우량에 따른 유출율 만으로 상호관계를 정의하기가 쉽지 않기 때문에 한국수자원공사에서 개발한 댐군 홍수조절 연계운영시스템(COSFIM)인 수문학적 연계운영모형을 활용하였다. 최근 10년간 홍수기에 발생한 강우사상별 시간단위의 수문자료(총강우량, 기저유량, 유출율, 무강우일수, 강우지속시간 등) 분석을 실시하였다. COSFIM 모형을 통한 결과를 토대로 고려항목 간 교차검증을 통해 사분위수범위의 이상치 경계를 설정하고 상관분석 결과에 따라 0.5 이상의 상관성이 높은 항목을 활용하여 예측 강우량에 따른 유출율 예측 회귀식을 도출하였다. 본 연구에서 개발한 예측 강우에 따른 유출율 예측 산정식은 댐 유역에 예상되는 강우량에 대하여 하천의 유량 증가 예측 정도를 정량적으로 제시할 수 있으며, 실제 홍수기 댐 운영 시 예상 강우량에 따라 신속하고 적절한 수문 방류 계획 수립에서 용이하게 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

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An Analysis on Inter-Regional Price Linkage of Petroleum Products (석유제품 가격의 지역 간 연계성 분석)

  • Song, Hyojun;Lee, Hahn Shik
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.121-145
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    • 2019
  • This paper investigates the relationship between the oil price and the major petroleum products prices at the trading hubs such as Singapore, North West Europe and the US New York Harbor. We focus on the lead-lag relationship between the weekly petroleum prices from 2009 to 2016 based on the vector error correction model. We find that the oil price leads the prices of petroleum products in the long term, while there is bidirectional causality in the short term. On the other hand, prices of petroleum products in regions with high import dependency, such as Europe gas oil and jet fuel price, are exogenous in the long term. We also present evidence that prices of petroleum products in region with a large global-market share lead prices in other regions. However, if the region is in an over-production situation and low industry concentration, it may lose its price leadership due to intense competition. The result in this study can provide a useful information to petroleum refining companies in forecasting fluctuations of product price, and hence in planning their regional arbitrage trading activities.

The Planning of Elementary Multicultural Education Programs to Enhance Self-esteem (자아존중감 증진을 위한 초등 다문화교육 프로그램 구안)

  • Jang, Seong-Min;Park, Jin-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Entertainment Industry Association
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    • v.14 no.8
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    • pp.487-499
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to planned Elementary Multicultural Education Program for Promoting Self Esteem. To this end, consider the application force of education and teaching system designed to reorganize the ADDIE Model study was carried out in accordance with the analysis, design, development, process evaluation. To this end, analyzing the between self-esteem and group theory related to them and the social identity theory and key concepts to consider in the context of multicultural education programs for elementary self-esteem enhancement identity, prejudice, cooperation and was composed of equality. Four key concepts are sub-elements of self-esteem individuals, homes, schools, set up a detailed learning objectives in accordance with the social and selecting the learning content and organization, which was composed of a total of 16 class periods. Considering the characteristics and interests of the target students, the teaching-learning method was designed to utilize various methods, including games, quizzes, and discussions, and each class was designed to be developed by organizing them into subjects-learning goals-activities(recognition-exploration-clearing). Since in the three-member expert review, modify the content on the basis of opinions and presented the final program. The program planned by this study, further research is required to verify the effectiveness and utilization in the educational field and expects effective multicultural education.

Experimental Evaluation of the Effect of Fine Contents on the Formation of Underground Cavities and Ground Cave-ins by Damaged Sewer Pipes (하수관 손상으로 인한 지하공동 및 지반함몰 발생에 대해 세립분 함량이 미치는 영향의 실험적 평가)

  • Kwak, Tae-Young;Lee, Seung-Hwan;Chung, Choong-Ki;Baek, Sung-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.37 no.11
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    • pp.93-105
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we evaluated the effect of soil fine contents on the formation of underground cavities and ground cave-ins induced by damaged sewer pipes. Simulating the domestic rainfall conditions and ground conditions, model tests were performed under three different fine particle contents conditions (7.5%, 15%, and 25%). By repeating the groundwater supply and drainage twice, ground settlement and the amount of discharged soil were obtained. Also, digital images were taken at regular time intervals during the model tests, and internal displacement and deformation were measured using PIV technique. As the cycles were repeated, the soil with high fine content showed greater resistance to the formation of underground cavities. The ground cave-ins, identified by the collapse of the surface, occurred only when the fine particle content was 15%. It is presumed to be due to the suffusion phenomenon; further study was needed to investigate the effect of fine particle contents on the suffusion phenomenon and associated changes of soil strength.