• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이산적 자료

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Formulations of Sensitivity Analyses for Topological Optimum Modelings (위상학적 최적구조 모델링을 위한 민감도해석의 공식화)

  • Lee, Dong-Kyu;Shin, Soo-Mi
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.241-248
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    • 2008
  • The objective of sensitivity analyses is to identify critical variables of structural models and how their variability impacts mechanical response results. The sensitivity analyses have been used as significant basis data for practical applications of measuring and reinforcing fragile building structures. This study presents several sensitivity analysis methods for topological optimum designs of linear elastostatic structural systems. Numerical examples for structural analyses and topological optimum modeling demonstrate the reliability of sensitivities formulated in the present study.

A Study on the Determinants of Private Long-Term Care Insurance and First Home Care Use in the United States: Using Discrete Time Model (미국의 민간장기요양보험 가입과 재가요양서비스 이용의 결정요인에 관한 연구: 이산시간모델을 사용하여)

  • Kim, So-Yun;Hong, Gong-Soog;Montalto, Catherine P.
    • Survey Research
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.97-121
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    • 2010
  • Using the 1998-2004 Health and Retirement Study(HRS), this study explored the determinants of private long-term care insurance(LTCI) ownership and the first home care use. To account for the interaction between LTCI purchase and home care use, this study used two-period utility model as theoretical framework. Discrete time model was used as an empirical model to incorporate the time-dependent feature of LTCI ownership. And this study accounted for the endogeneity of LTCI ownership and home care use by employing full information maximum likelihood estimation. This study indicated insignificant effects of private LTCI ownership and Medicaid eligibility on the home care use. Also, the effects of income and assets on home care utilization were negligible. Those who have poor health condition and who do not have potential informal caregivers were more likely to use home care. For private LTCI ownership, income and assets have positive relationship with LTCI purchase, and poor health status and age were negatively related to LTCI purchase. The elderly living with children and those who have more siblings were less likely to have private LTCI, and those who lived with spouses with no children were more likely to buy private LTCI. Based on the findings, this study provides implications to design long-term care(LTC) policies in the U.S. and to develop LTC planning education programs.

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Effect of Genetic Correlations on the P Values from Randomization Test and Detection of Significant Gene Groups (유전자 연관성이 랜덤검정 P값과 유의 유전자군의 탐색에 미치는 영향)

  • Yi, Mi-Sung;Song, Hae-Hiang
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.781-792
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    • 2009
  • At an early stage of genomic investigations, a small sample of microarrays is used in gene expression experiments to identify small subsets of candidate genes for a further accurate investigation. Unlike the statistical analysis methods for a large sample of microarrays, an appropriate statistical method for identifying small subsets is a randomization test that provides exact P values. These exact P values from a randomization test for a small sample of microarrays are discrete. The possible existence of differentially expressed genes in the sample of a full set of genes can be tested for the null hypothesis of a uniform distribution. Subsets of smaller P values are of prime interest for a further accurate investigation and identifying these outlier cells from a multinomial distribution of P values is possible by M test of Fuchs et al. (1980). Above all, the genome-wide gene expressions in microarrays are correlated, but the majority of statistical analysis methods in the microarray analysis are based on an independence assumption of genes and ignore the possibly correlated expression levels. We investigated with simulation studies the effect that correlated gene expression levels could have on the randomization test results and M test results, and found that the effects are often not ignorable.

Analysis on Determinants of Residential Location Choice for the Intra-Urban Migrants in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (수도권 주거 이동 가구의 주거입지 선택 요인 분석)

  • Jun, Myung-Jin;Kang, Do-Gyu
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.83-103
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to analyze the determinants of residential location choice for the inter-urban migrants in the Seoul metropolitan area. In doing so, we have built a discrete choice model, using household sample data from the 2010 Korea Population and Housing Census. We classified households, which made a intra-urban movement during the last five years, into four groups: 1) movers from Seoul (central city) to Gyunggi-Incheon (suburban), 2) movers from Gyunggi-Incheon to Seoul, 3) Intra-Seoul movers, and 4) intra-Gyunggi-Incheon movers. The analysis findings can be summarized as follows. First, significant differences in the determinants of residential location choice were found among different types of movers. Second, movers from Gyunggi- Incheon to Seoul were likely to choose small housings with fewer rooms, indicating that their housing choices were forced rather than voluntary due to high housing prices in Seoul. Third, all types of movers have a high preference for the neighborhood with a good accessibility by public transit including subway. Lastly, neighborhood amenity was also an important attracting factors for the intra-urban migrants in Seoul.

Why have Marriages been Delayed? (왜 결혼이 늦어지는가?)

  • Kim, Sung Jun
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.57-81
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    • 2015
  • In this paper we try to explain delays in one's first marriage that are observed in contemporary society by accounting for possible factors that may play a substantial role in delaying marriages. Discrete-time survival analysis with unobserved heterogeneity was employed. The result indicates that the odds of getting married compared to odds of not getting married are 0.91 times, i.e. 8.5% lower for women with bachelor's degree than women with high school diploma or below. The odds of getting married compared to odds of not getting married are 0.4 times, i.e. 59.6% lower in case of women with masters and/or doctorate program degree than women with bachelor's degree. Employed men's odds of getting married to not getting married are increased by a factor of 1.65 compared to the unemployed men. In addition, if one's family circumstances are economically below average at the age of 14, the odds decrease by a multiple of 0.65. With these results, we are able to conclude that not only education level but also one's economic ability play significant roles in determining one's marriage decision.

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The Health Effects of PM2.5: Evidence from Korea (대기오염의 건강위해성 연구 - PM2.5를 중심으로 -)

  • Hong, Jong-Ho;Ko, Yookyung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.469-485
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    • 2003
  • This paper reports on the results of epidemiological investigation of daily health effects in the elderly associated with daily exposure to particulate matters in Korea. Our main focus is on the potential difference in health effects between PM10 and PM2.5. While the Korean environmental authority has set an ambient standard for PM10, the government currently does not monitor PM2.5, which has no national standard. A daily data on respiratory symptoms as well as PM concentrations are collected for a total of 120 days. Using a probit model, we find statistically significant negative health effects of PM2.5 on respiratory symptoms among the nonsmoking elderly, while PM10 does not show such effects from the estimation. This result suggests that, for air quality regulatory purposes, PM2.5 can be a more appropriate air pollutant than PM10.

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Monitoring of Sulfur Dioxide, Carotenoid Contents and Bacillus cereus Contamination of Dried Sweet Potato in Circulating Dried Agricultural Products (국내 유통 건조 농산물 중 고구마 말랭이의 이산화황, 카로티노이드 함량 및 바실러스 세레우스오염 정도 조사)

  • Lee, Hyeon Min;Park, Hyun Ji;Kim, Ji Na;Shin, Weon Sun;Kim, Eun Mi
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.477-484
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    • 2017
  • This study was conducted to investigate the content of sulfur dioxide, carotenoids and the degree of contamination of Bacillus cereus in 33 kinds of dried sweet potato from domestic mainly dried agricultural products in Korea. According to the characteristics of dried sweet potato samples, it was classified into four clusters and as a result of analyzing the contents of sulfur dioxide, carotenoids and the degree of contamination B. cereus was no significant difference among the clusters. The detection ranges of residual sulfur dioxide from 33 dried sweet potatoes ranged from 0.38 to 28.16 mg/kg, three cases (9.09%) were detected at the reference level of 10 mg/kg or more. But no samples exceeding 30 mg/kg, the tolerance level of sulfur dioxide in dried sweet potatoes were detected. Since dried sweet potato does not have a standard for carotenoids, when comparing the national and international standards of carotenoids, the range of detection of carotenoids in dried sweet potato was $46{\sim}2,663{\mu}g$/100 g, which was within the reference range of $0{\sim}9,826{\mu}g$/100 g. In principle colonies suspected to be B. cereus in dried sweet potato were not detected. In 7 cases (21.21%), there were detected in the range of 0.05~1.59 log CFU/g but not more than 3 log CFU/g as the reference value. The results of this study are expected to be used as basic data to establish quality standard for dried sweet potatoes. In order to control the quality of dried sweet potatoes in domestic market, raw materials, drying method and packaging after distribution, it is necessary to maintain and maintain the process steadily.

Likelihood Approximation of Diffusion Models through Approximating Brownian Bridge (브라운다리 근사를 통한 확산모형의 우도 근사법)

  • Lee, Eun-kyung;Sim, Songyong;Lee, Yoon Dong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.895-906
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    • 2015
  • Diffusion is a mathematical tool to explain the fluctuation of financial assets and the movement of particles in a micro time scale. There are ongoing statistical trials to develop an estimation method for diffusion models based on likelihood. When we estimate diffusion models by applying the maximum likelihood estimation method on data observed at discrete time points, we need to know the transition density of the diffusion. In order to approximate the transition densities of diffusion models, we suggests the method to approximate the path integral of the random process with normal random variables, and compare the numerical properties of the method with other approximation methods.

Effects of groundwater on the flood runoff (홍수유출에서의 지하수 영향 분석)

  • Joo, Jaewon;Tian, Yong;Jeong, Sujong;Ahn, Sangeok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.314-314
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    • 2021
  • 홍수(floods)는 인간의 생명과 재산에 큰 피해를 발생시키는 자연재해 중 하나로 최근 지구 온난화와 기후 변화로 인하여 홍수 발생 빈도와 강도가 증가하고 있다. 때문에, 홍수 발생 시 정확한 홍수량 산정을 위하여 유역 내 지표수 및 지하수 흐름 분석을 통하여 전반적인 물 순환의 이해가 필수적이다. 이에 본 연구는 지표수-지하수 연계 모형을 활용하여 홍수 발생 시 미호천 유역에서 지하수가 하천 유량에 미치는 영향을 분석한다. 본 연구는 Hydrological-Ecological Integrated watershed-scale Flow (HEIFLOW) 모형을 적용하여, 국내 유역 특성을 고려하여 시간단위 홍수 사상 분석을 수행한다. 모형 구축을 위하여 2013년과 2014년도의 미호천내의 7개 기상 및 강우관측소, 1개의 수위 관측소의 정보를 활용하여 지표수 모형을 구축하며, 같은 기간의 지하수 모형 구축을 위해 7개의 국가 지하수 관측망의 지하수 수위 자료와 유역의 수문지질도(Hydrogeological map)의 정보를 활용한다. 미호천 유역 내 HEIFLOW 모형의 홍수 모의 결과 산정된 하천 유량은 관측 유량과 0.79 R2의 우수한 모의 성능을 나타내고 있으며, 지하 수위 모의 역시 지하수 수위 변동을 적절하게 모의한다. 또한, 미호천 유역의 하류 지역은 하천으로 유출되는 지하수가 하천의 기저 유량에 상당한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타나며 홍수 시에는 지하수 유출의 증가로 인한 급격한 첨두 홍수량의 상승을 보인다. 이와 같은 결과는 홍수 모의 시 지표면 유출 분석에 초점을 두고 있는 홍수 국내의 홍수량 산정 방법에 지하수의 거동 및 하천 유량에 미치는 영향을 정량적인 정보를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 판단되며, 추후 국내 홍수량 산정의 새로운 방법의 하나로 활용될 가능성을 보여준다.

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Methods for Genetic Parameter Estimations of Carcass Weight, Longissimus Muscle Area and Marbling Score in Korean Cattle (한우의 도체중, 배장근단면적 및 근내지방도의 유전모수 추정방법)

  • Lee, D.H.
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.509-516
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    • 2004
  • This study is to investigate the amount of biased estimates for heritability and genetic correlation according to data structure on marbling scores in Korean cattle. Breeding population with 5 generations were simulated by way of selection for carcass weight, Longissimus muscle area and latent values of marbling scores and random mating. Latent variables of marbling scores were categorized into five by the thresholds of 0, I, 2, and 3 SD(DSI) or seven by the thresholds of -2, -1, 0,1I, 2, and 3 SD(DS2). Variance components and genetic pararneters(Heritabilities and Genetic correlations) were estimated by restricted maximum likelihood on multivariate linear mixed animal models and by Gibbs sampling algorithms on multivariate threshold mixed animal models in DS1 and DS2. Simulation was performed for 10 replicates and averages and empirical standard deviation were calculated. Using REML, heritabilitis of marbling score were under-estimated as 0.315 and 0.462 on DS1 and DS2, respectively, with comparison of the pararneter(0.500). Otherwise, using Gibbs sampling in the multivariate threshold animal models, these estimates did not significantly differ to the parameter. Residual correlations of marbling score to other traits were reduced with comparing the parameters when using REML algorithm with assuming linear and normal distribution. This would be due to loss of information and therefore, reduced variation on marbling score. As concluding, genetic variation of marbling would be well defined if liability concepts were adopted on marbling score and implemented threshold mixed model on genetic parameter estimation in Korean cattle.