• Title/Summary/Keyword: 음이항회귀분석

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Bayesian Analysis for the Zero-inflated Regression Models (영과잉 회귀모형에 대한 베이지안 분석)

  • Jang, Hak-Jin;Kang, Yun-Hee;Lee, S.;Kim, Seong-W.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.603-613
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    • 2008
  • We often encounter the situation that discrete count data have a large portion of zeros. In this case, it is not appropriate to analyze the data based on standard regression models such as the poisson or negative binomial regression models. In this article, we consider Bayesian analysis for two commonly used models. They are zero-inflated poisson and negative binomial regression models. We use the Bayes factor as a model selection tool and computation is proceeded via Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Crash count data are analyzed to support theoretical results.

How Does the Regulation of Location Affect Firm's Management and Innovation Performance? (정부의 지역 입지규제는 기업 경영 및 혁신성과에 어떤 영향을 미치는가? -평택(경기도)과 천안(충청남도)지역 기업 비교분석을 중심으로-)

  • Seo, Young-Woong;Choi, Seok-Joon;Lee, Si-Wook
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.586-603
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    • 2012
  • In order to relieve overcrowding, the Korean government has regulated firm's locations in the capital region of Korea. However, the standard of regulation mainly depends on the place of province. Using KIS-Value data of firms that are located Pyeong-taek(the Capital area) or Cheon-an(Non Capital area), in close proximity to each other, we utilize OLS and negative binomial regression models for identifying the difference of firms' management and innovation performance in terms of firms' location difference(regulation difference). Our analysis shows that innovation performance of firms in Cheon-an does better than Pyeong-taek's, but management performance has no gaps between them. This result indicates that the regulation of firm's location has influence on firm's innovation performance. Thus, regulation policy regarding firms' location need to be minutely amended.

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The Effects of Collaborative R&D Activity on Product and Process Innovation: A Negative Binomial Modeling Approach (기업의 공동연구개발활동이 제품혁신 및 공정혁신에 미치는 영향 - 음이항회귀모형을 활용하여 -)

  • Kim, Chanyong;Choi, Ye Seul;Lim, Up
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.107-128
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    • 2015
  • Technology innovation is a competitive weapon of sustainable economic growth at the urban and regional level and the growth of firms. In this study, we empirically investigate the effects of collaborative R&D activity on product innovative outputs and process innovative outputs in manufacturing firms in Korea. We analyze the links between collaborative R&D activity and two types of innovative outputs using an alternative negative binomial regression model. The major finding is that collaborative R&D activity has significant positive effects on both product and process innovation. The results also identify a positive link between all types of innovative outputs and other R&D activities including internal R&D activity, patent activity, external technology and capital goods acquisitions. To induce corporate growth that enhances the productivity of individual firms and produces prolonged economic growth, policy makers should place greater emphasis on creating effective arrangements to promote establishing collaborative R&D strategies for manufacturing firms.

Analysis of Accident Characteristics and Development of Accident Models in the Signalized Intersections of Cheongju and Cheongwon (지방부 신호교차로 사고특성분석 및 모형개발 (청주.청원을 중심으로))

  • Park, Byung-Ho;Yoo, Doo-Seon;Yang, Jeong-Mo;Lee, Young-Min
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.35-46
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    • 2008
  • The purposes of this study are to analyze the characteristics and to develop the models of traffic accidents. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to developing the models(multiple linear, poisson and negative binomial regression) using the data of Cheongju and Cheongwon signalized intersections. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the accident characteristics of rural area were defined by factor. Second, 4 accident models which are all statistically significant were developed. Finally, such the variables as $X_2$ and $X_{11}$ were evaluated to be specific variables which reflect the characteristics of rural area.

A new sample selection model for overdispersed count data (과대산포 가산자료의 새로운 표본선택모형)

  • Jo, Sung Eun;Zhao, Jun;Kim, Hyoung-Moon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.733-749
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    • 2018
  • Sample selection arises as a result of the partial observability of the outcome of interest in a study. Heckman introduced a sample selection model to analyze such data and proposed a full maximum likelihood estimation method under the assumption of normality. Recently sample selection models for binomial and Poisson response variables have been proposed. Based on the theory of symmetry-modulated distribution, we extend these to a model for overdispersed count data. This type of data with no sample selection is often modeled using negative binomial distribution. Hence we propose a sample selection model for overdispersed count data using the negative binomial distribution. A real data application is employed. Simulation studies reveal that our estimation method based on profile log-likelihood is stable.

A Study for Development of Expressway Traffic Accident Prediction Model Using Deep Learning (딥 러닝을 이용한 고속도로 교통사고 건수 예측모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Rye, Jong-Deug;Park, Sangmin;Park, Sungho;Kwon, Cheolwoo;Yun, Ilsoo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.14-25
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    • 2018
  • In recent years, it has become technically easier to explain factors related with traffic accidents in the Big Data era. Therefore, it is necessary to apply the latest analysis techniques to analyze the traffic accident data and to seek for new findings. The purpose of this study is to compare the predictive performance of the negative binomial regression model and the deep learning method developed in this study to predict the frequency of traffic accidents in expressways. As a result, the MOEs of the deep learning model are somewhat superior to those of the negative binomial regression model in terms of prediction performance. However, using a deep learning model could increase the predictive reliability. However, it is easy to add other independent variables when using deep learning, and it can be expected to increase the predictive reliability even if the model structure is changed.

A Study of Accident Models for Highway Interchange Ramps (고속도로 연결로의 교통사고 추정모형 연구)

  • Roh, Chang-Gyun;Park, Chong-Seo;Son, Bong-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 2008
  • Although a good understanding of the relationship between highway traffic accidents and highway geometric features is fundamental in highway design and safety, the relationship is not well understood quantitatively. The overall goal of this paper is to formulate a reliable statistical model fitting to historical highway accident data. The model can be used to estimate the effect of road design elements on safety for the practical purposes of highway design applications. En route to achieving this goal, a number of specific research objectives were accomplished: investigate the major design elements affecting highway safety; review the existing modeling approaches in order to assess the relationship between safety and highway design features; and formulate a statistical model fitting to the accident data in order to estimate the interchange ramp junction accident frequency of rural highways.

The Study of Relationship among Organizational Justice, Coworker Trust and Knowledge Sharing: Focusing on Government-funded Research Institute (조직공정성, 동료신뢰와 지식공유 간의 관계에 관한 연구 - 정부출연 연구기관을 중심으로)

  • Moon, Sung-Ok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.194-205
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    • 2021
  • This study examines the relationship between organizational justice and coworker trust, and reveals that coworker trust can increase knowledge sharing. A survey was conducted on government funded research institutes located in Daejeon and Sejong regions, and finally, a questionnaire of 255 valid people was used for statistical analysis. To test the hypotheses, correlation analysis, regression analysis, and negative binomial regression analysis were used. As a result of the analysis, both distributive justice and procedural justice were found to have a positive effect on coworker trust, and coworker trust also have a positive effect on knowledge sharing. This study provides implications that organizational justice affects trust in coworkers, and as a result, knowledge sharing can be increased through coworker trust.

Relationship between Interstate Highway Accidents and Heterogeneous Geometrics by Random Parameter Negative Binomial Model - A case of Interstate Highway in Washington State, USA (확률적 모수를 고려한 음이항모형에 의한 교통사고와 기하구조와의 관계 - 미국 워싱턴 주(州) 고속도로를 중심으로)

  • Park, Minho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.2437-2445
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    • 2013
  • The objective of this study is finding the relationship between interstate highway accident frequencies and geometrics using Random Parameter Negative Binomial model. Even though it is impossible to take account of the same design criteria to the all segments or corridors on the road in reality, previous research estimated the fixed value of coefficients without considering each segment's characteristic. The drawback of the traditional negative binomial is not to explain the integrated variations in terms of time and the distinct characters specific segment has. This results in under-estimation of the standard error which inflates the t-value and finally, affects the modeling estimation. Therefore, this study tries to find the relationship of accident frequencies with the heterogeneous geometrics using 9-years and 7-interstate highway data in Washington State area. 16-types of geometrics are used to derive the model which is compared with the traditional negative binomial Model to understand which Model is more suitable. In addition, by calculating marginal effect and elasticity, heterogeneous variables' effect to the accidents are estimated. Hopefully, this study will help to estiblish the future policy of geometrics.

Comparative Analysis on the Characteristics and Models of Traffic Accidents by Day and Nighttime in the Case of Cheongju 4-legged ignalized Intersections (주·야간 교통사고의 특성 및 사고모형 비교분석 -청주시 4지 신호교차로를 중심으로 -)

  • Yoo, Doo Seon;Oh, Sang Jin;Kim, Tae Young;Park, Byung Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.2D
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    • pp.181-189
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to comparatively analyze the characteristics and models of traffic accidents by day and nighttime. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to testing the differences and developing the models (multiple linear and non-linear and Poisson and negative binomial regression) using the data of Cheongju 4-legged signalized intersections. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the differences between day and nighttime accidents were defined. Second, 12 accident models which are all statistically significant were developed. Finally, the differences between day and nighttime models were comparatively analyzed using the common and specific variables.