• Title/Summary/Keyword: 안전성 평가지표

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Development and Application of Hydrological Safety Evaluation Guidelines for Agricultural Reservoir with AHP (AHP를 이용한 농업용저수지 수문학적 안전성평가 방법 개발 및 적용)

  • Lee, Jae Ju;Park, Jong Seok;Rhee, Kyoung Hoon
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.235-243
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    • 2014
  • According to the "Safety Evaluation Detailed Instructions (Dam)", precise safety inspection is carried out for dams that exceed a certain scale. However, as the Hydrological Safety Evaluation from various evaluation standards is designed to evaluate the safety of existing dams considering PMF, the evaluation is much less applicable for most agricultural reservoirs. Therefore, the Hydrological Safety Guidelines for agricultural reservoirs are expected to be re-evaluated considering the diverse risk factors with the coefficient model and AHP in this study. The coefficient model has been developed by selecting the hydrological safety superordinate subordinate evaluation factors to reflect diverse risk factors of agricultural reservoirs. After calculating the sum of indicators score for each evaluation factors, validation procedures were performed for the questionnaire which a panel answered. The practical coefficient has eventually been estimated for the hydrological safety evaluation considering the diverse risk factors. The conclusions acquired based on the study done are that both most agricultural reservoirs were classified as flood defense capability is insufficient and agricultural reservoirs which meet embankment-freeboard standards considering PMF was overestimated.

Explainable & Safe Artificial Intelligence in Radiology (의료 영상 분석을 위한 설명 가능하고 안전한 인공지능)

  • Synho Do
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.85 no.5
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    • pp.834-847
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    • 2024
  • Artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming radiology with improved diagnostic accuracy and efficiency, but prediction uncertainty remains a critical challenge. This review examines key sources of uncertainty-out-of-distribution, aleatoric, and model uncertainties-and highlights the importance of independent confidence metrics and explainable AI for safe integration. Independent confidence metrics assess the reliability of AI predictions, while explainable AI provides transparency, enhancing collaboration between AI and radiologists. The development of zero-error tolerance models, designed to minimize errors, sets new standards for safety. Addressing these challenges will enable AI to become a trusted partner in radiology, advancing care standards and patient outcomes.

A Study on the Methodology modelling of Risk Assessment in Road Tunnels (도로터널시설 위험평가 모델링을 위한 방법론 연구)

  • Cho, Inuh;Han, Dae-yong;Kim, Seung-jin;Yoon, Jong-ku
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.59-73
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    • 2016
  • The demand for subsurface transport is increasing. The users and the operators of road tunnels are exposed to risks with different causes. One main cause, however, is the traffic situation in the event of accidents. The importance of a Quantified Risk Assessment is increasing to quantify the safety of road tunnels and to balance the requirements (capacity, reliability, availability, maintainability and safety) of various stakeholders. Although there are classical methods for risk assessments, such as ETA and FTA. These methods are used for relatively simple cases because it could not relevantly reflect the diversity and relationship of the parameters. Therefore, a quantitative risk assessment based on Bayesian Probabilistic Networks considering interdependence between the parameters of a complex underground system as a double deck tunnel is provided.

A Study on the Reliability Improvement of oil cooler for precision Machine Tools (정밀공작기계용 오일쿨러의 신뢰성 개선 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Woo;Lee, Hwa-Ki
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.49-54
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    • 2007
  • 신뢰성이란 단기간에 측정되는 성능과는 다른 지표로서 흔히 장기간에 걸쳐 평가되는 품질의 척도이다. Oil Cooler는 공작기계(machine tools)의 주축 및 구동부 등에서 발생하는 열 변형을 제어하는 장치로서 공작기계의 신뢰성 향상을 위해서는 oil cooler의 신뢰성 개선이 이루어져야 한다. 본 연구에서는 oil cooler의 신뢰성 개선을 위해 고장률 데이터베이스를 이용한 신뢰성 예측과 이를 통한 취약부품 분석을 실시하고 신뢰성 시험기를 통한 oil cooler의 신뢰성을 평가하였다. 이를 통해 oil cooler의 정량적 신뢰도를 계산하였으며 신뢰성호 향상을 위한 공정기법을 개발하여 적용하였다. Oil cooler의 신뢰성 개선을 통해 공작기계 및 반도체 제조 장비 등과 같은 제조 시스템의 신뢰성 향상을 기대할 수 있으며, 제안된 기법을 이용하여 다른 기계류 부품의 신뢰성 평가 및 개선에 적용할 수 있다.

Development of the evaluation tool for the food safety and nutrition management education projects targeting the middle class elderly: Application of the balanced score card and the structure-process-outcome concept (중산층 노인대상 식품안전·영양관리 교육 사업 평가를 위한 도구 개발: 균형성과표와 구조·과정·성과 개념 적용)

  • Chang, Hyeja;Yoo, Hyoi;Chung, Harim;Lee, Hyesang;Lee, Minjune;Lee, Kyungeun;Yoo, Changhee;Choi, Junghwa;Lee, Nayoung;Kwak, Tongkyung
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.542-557
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The aim of this study is to develop an evaluation tool for operation of food safety and nutrition education projects for middle class elderly using the concept of the balanced score card. Methods: After the draft of the evaluation tool for the elderly training projects was completed, it was revised into the questionnaire and the validity of the indicators was tested by the Delphi group. The validity of the indicators was rated using a 5-point scale. The Delphi group consisted of 26 experts in the education sector, 16 government officials, and 24 professionals of the related area in communities. The first round test was conducted from July 9 to July 17, 2012, and 45 persons responded. The second round test was conducted from July 18 to July 25 and 32 persons responded. Results: The indicators, which were answered by more than 75 percent of the experts as 'agree' (4 points), 'strongly agree' (5 point) were included as the final indicators for the evaluation tool: 28 items out of 36 in outcome perspectives, 9 items out of 12 in process perspectives, and 17 out of 20 items in structure perspectives. The score was allocated as 50 points for outcome indicators, 20 points for process indicators, and 30 points for structure indicators. Conclusion: Completion of the evaluation tool is a prerequisite to determine whether the program is effectively implemented. The monitoring tool developed in the study could be applied for identification of the most optimal delivery path for the food safety and nutrition education program, for the spread of the food safety and nutrition education program for middle class elderly.

A Study on the Marine Traffic Risk Assessment by using Ship Handling Simulator (선박조종 시뮬레이터를 이용한 해상교통 위험도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Young-Soo;Kim, Jong-Sung;Kim, Chol-Seong;Yong, Jeong-Jae;Lee, Hyong-Ki;Jeong, Eun-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.138-144
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    • 2013
  • Large and small marine accidents which are related to vessel's navigation are happening continuously and these maritime accidents have caused loss of lives and properties, and serious maritime environmental pollution damage. It is also true that maritime pollution damage is increasing due to these accidents, probability of growth of seaborne volume and complicated maritime traffic environment. Korea, recently, is developing an evaluation index which can assess sea risk through the evaluation of maritime traffic environment and provide danger and general information with relation to maritime traffic environment on target sea area to evaluate maritime traffic safety. In this paper, we intend to confirm the validity of maritime traffic safety on the basis of vessel navigator's risk consciousness and various sailing conditions by using the ship handling simulator. To confirm the validity of sailing vessel's maritime traffic safety, we use analysis of variance. By using analysis of variance, we analyze vessel navigator's characteristics, distance, speed and encounter type between vessels. Through multiple comparison of each factor's risk difference, we can confirm the change of numerical value of risk difference in statistical aspect.

Development of Evaluation Indicators for Optimizing Mixed Traffic Flow Using Complexed Multi-Criteria Decision Approaches (다기준 복합 가중치 결정 기반 혼재 교통류 최적화 평가지표 개발)

  • Donghyeok Park;Nuri Park;Donghee Oh;Juneyoung Park
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.157-172
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    • 2024
  • Autonomous driving technology, when commercialized, has the potential to improve the safety, mobility, and environmental performance of transportation networks. However, safe autonomous driving may be hindered by poor sensor performance and limitations in long-distance detection. Therefore, cooperative autonomous driving that can supplement information collected from surrounding vehicles and infrastructure is essential. In addition, since HDVs, AVs, and CAVs have different ranges of perceivable information and different response protocols, countermeasures are needed for mixed traffic that occur during the transition period of autonomous driving technology. There is a lack of research on traffic flow optimization that considers the penetration rate of autonomous vehicles and the different characteristics of each road segment. The objective of this study is to develop weights based on safety, operational, and environmental factors for each infrastructure control use case and autonomous vehicle MPR. To develop an integrated evaluation index, infra-guidance AHP and hybrid AHP weights were combined. Based on the results of this study, it can be used to give right of way to each vehicle to optimize mixed traffic.

Assessment Module Formulation for the Trapped-Oil Recovery Operations from Sunken Vessels (침몰선 잔존유 회수작업 평가모듈 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Kwang-gu;Lee, Eun-bang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.88-96
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    • 2021
  • When oil tankers, large passenger ships and cargo ships sink under the sea owing to various maritime accidents, the residual cargo oil or fuel oil in the such vessels could pose direct risk to factor for the marine environment and it require safe and rapid removal. Although domestic and foreign salvage companies are adopting various recovery methods and technologies with customizations according to each site during recovery operations studies on reasonable assessment modules for the operation process are relatively insufficient. In this study, the data from trapped-oil recovery operations performed at different site conditions were collected and analyzed in order to designed an operation assessment module, define the operational process steps in terms of preparation, implementation and completion, and derive key factors for each detailed process. Subsequently, the module was designed in such a way as to construct performance indicators to assess these key factors. In order to exclude subjective opinions from the assessment as much as possible, the assessment each item was constructed with indicators based on data that could be evaluated quantitatively and its usefulness was verified by applying the module to the trapped-oil recovery operation cases. We expect this the method and the technology assessment module for the trapped-oil recovery operation on sunken vessels will help to verify the adequacy of the trapped-oil recovery such operation before or after. Furthermore, it is expected that the continuous accumulation of assessment data and feedback from past or future operation cases will contribute toward enhancing the overall safety, efficiency and field applicability of trapped-oil recovery operation.

Reliability Assessment of Water Supply System in Agricultural Reservoir using Probability Distribution of Water Demand and Supply (공급량 및 수요량 확률분포를 활용한 농업용 저수지의 물 공급 안전도 평가)

  • Nam, Won-Ho;Kim, Tae-Gon;Choi, Jin-Yong;Lee, Jeong-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.140-140
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    • 2012
  • 농촌 지역의 환경 보전 및 농작물 생산을 위한 지역용수로서 농업 수자원의 안정적인 확보와 공급은 지속가능한 농업의 필수적인 요소이다. 농업용 저수지는 농업용수를 공급하는 단일 목적으로 축조되어 수자원의 시간적, 공간적인 편중을 극복하는 방법으로 홍수기의 풍부한 수량을 저류한 후 관개기 혹은 갈수기에 이용한다. 농업용 저수지의 용수 공급 체계에서 수요량 및 공급량의 경우 기상학적 지형학적 특성 등 여러 요인에 의해 변동되며, 불확실성을 포함하는 기상 및 수문현상의 영향으로 물 공급이 불가능한 경우가 발생한다. 현재 사용되는 빈도개념의 물 공급 계획 안전도는 기후변화로 인한 가뭄 및 홍수 등의 수문사상 변화에 대응하지 못하고, 용수수요의 증가, 수자원 개발의 한계 등 농업 수자원 시스템의 용수공급능력 측면이 갖는 취약성을 반영하지 못하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 농업용 저수지의 용수공급능력 평가 방법으로 불확실성을 포함하는 저수지 공급량과 관개지구 수요량을 확률적인 개념으로 접근하였으며, 물 공급 안전도 평가를 위하여 신뢰성 해석기법을 적용하였다. 농업용 저수지의 물 공급 안전도 평가는 확률적 모델을 바탕으로 정량화된 수치를 제시함으로써 객관적이고 상대적인 비교가 가능하며, 설계시점의 자료만을 이용하는 것이 아니라 축적되는 자료를 활용하여 공급 가능량과 수요량의 변화를 반영한 결과를 도출할 수 있다는 점에서 설계빈도와는 차별화된 지표로 활용 가능하다고 판단된다.

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Analysis of Coronavirus Response Policy Effiectiveness According to the Strigency Index (엄격성 지수 분석에 따른 감염병 대응 정책 효과성 분석)

  • Jeon, Eun-Goo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2022.10a
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    • pp.143-144
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구에서는 엄격성 지수(Strigency Index)분석에 따른 OECD 가입국들의 코로나19 대응 정책 엄격성의 효과성을 분석하였다. 코로나바이러스감염증-19(이하, 코로나19)발생 이후 전 세계 대다수 국가들은 점진적 일상회복 단계로 접어들어 'with corona' 시대로 가고 있다. 코로나19의 완전 방역을 이루며 이전과 같은 일상으로 돌아가고 있지만, 또다시 대규모 감염병이 발생할 수 있다는 가능성을 가지고 있다. 그리하여 본 연구에서는 옥스퍼드 코로나바이러스 정부대응추적 프로젝트(OxCGRT)에서 제시된 21개 지표 중 OurWorldinData서 엄격성 지수 분석에 활용되는 9개 지표를 분석하여 정책의 엄격성을 분석하여 추후 발생하는 대규모 감염병에 효과적으로 대응하기 위한 기초 자료가 되고자 한다. 엄격성 지수 분석 결과, 9개 지표 중 6개 지표에서 정책의 도입한 시점부터 확진자가 감소하는 추세를 보이는 유사한 변화를 찾을 수 있었다. 하지만, 엄격성 지수 분석을 통해 국가 대응의 적절성·효과성을 입증하기에는 판단 기준이 0~4점 사이의 임의의 기준으로 분류되고 있었으며, 변수설정 또한 제시되어 있지 않아 대응 정책의 엄격성을 평가하는 기준으로 활용하기에는 한계점이 있어 보인다. 본 연구에서 엄격성 지수 분석을 통한 감염병 대응 정책의 효과성을 찾고자 하였다. 지수와 확진자 추세 간 유사한 변화는 찾았지만, 엄격성 지수의 한계점이 존재하는 연구이다. 그러나 본 연구의 결과를 통해 추후 확진자 증감 대비 엄격성 지수 분석을 통한 상관관계 분석, 지표별 평균치와 확진자 추세 분석을 통한 공통적인 효과성 분석 등 다른 연구의 기초 자료가 될 수 있을 것이라 판단된다.

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