• Title/Summary/Keyword: 아파트 실거래가

Search Result 24, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Analysis of Pattern Change of Real Transaction Price of Apartment in Seoul (서울시 아파트 실거래가의 변화패턴 분석)

  • Kim, Jung Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
    • /
    • v.22 no.1
    • /
    • pp.63-70
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study is to analyze impact of geography and timing on the real transactions prices of apartment complexes in Seoul using data provided by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport. The average real transactions and location data of apartment complex was combined into the GIS data. First, the pattern of apartment real transaction price change by period and by area was analyzed by kriging, the one of the spatial interpolation technique. Second, to analyze the pattern of apartment market price change by administrative district(administrative 'Dong' unit), the average of market price per unit area was calculated and converted to Moran I value, which was used to analyze the clustering level of the real transaction price. Through the analysis, spatial-temporal distribution pattern can be found and the type of change can be forecasted. Therefore, this study can be referred as of the base data research for the housing or local policies. Also, the regional unbalanced apartment price can be presented by analyzing the vertical pattern of the change in the time series and the horizontal pattern of the change based on GIS.

An Analysis on the Spatio-temporal Heterogeneity of Real Transaction Price of Apartment in Seoul Using the Geostatistical Methods (공간통계기법을 이용한 서울시 아파트 실거래가 변인의 시공간적 이질성 분석)

  • Kim, Jung Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.75-81
    • /
    • 2016
  • This study focused on exploring real transaction price of apartment and spatial and temporal heterogeneity of the variables that influence real transaction price of apartment from the spatial and temporal perspective. As independent variables that are considered to influence real transaction price of apartment, transport, local characteristics, educational conditions, population, and economic characteristics were taken into account. Accordingly, the influence of independent variables and spatial distribution pattern were analyzed from the global and local aspects. The spatial and temporal changing patterns of real transaction price of apartment which is a dependent variable were analyzed. First, to establish an analysis model, OLS analysis and GWR analysis were conducted, and thereby more efficient and proper model was selected. Secondly, to find spatial and temporal heterogeneity of independent variables with the use of the selected GWR model, Local $R^2$ was used for local analysis. Thirdly, to look into spatial distribution of independent variables, kriging analysis was carried out. Therefore, based on the results, it is considered that it is possible to carry out more microscopic housing submarket analysis and lay the foundation for establishing a policy on real property.

Study on Estimating New Apartment Sales Price Using Transaction price (실거래가를 이용한 분양 아파트의 적정분양가와 계약률 책정에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kwang-Suk;Park, Won-Gap
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
    • /
    • v.6 no.4
    • /
    • pp.567-572
    • /
    • 2011
  • The purpose of the study is aimed at estimating the reasonable price and forecasting the sales rate of the new apartment, using transaction data of the existing apartment that is close to perfectly competitive markets. In the present paper, therefore, attempts were made to determine the relationship between the existing apartment market and the new housing market. Also conducted an empirical analysis that complemented the problems of precedent studies.

Cluster analysis for Seoul apartment price using symbolic data (서울 아파트 매매가 자료의 심볼릭 데이터를 이용한 군집분석)

  • Kim, Jaejik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.26 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1239-1247
    • /
    • 2015
  • In this study, 64 administrative regions with high frequencies of apartment trade in Seoul, Korea are classified by the apartment sale price. To consider distributions of apartment price for each region as well as the mean of the price, the symbolic histogram-valued data approach is employed. Symbolic data include all types of data which have internal variation in themselves such as intervals, lists, histograms, distributions, and models, etc. As a result of the cluster analysis using symbolic histogram data, it is found that Gangnam, Seocho, and Songpa districts and regions near by those districts have relatively higher prices and larger dispersions. This result makes sense because those regions have good accessibility to downtown and educational environment.

Apartment Price Prediction Using Deep Learning and Machine Learning (딥러닝과 머신러닝을 이용한 아파트 실거래가 예측)

  • Hakhyun Kim;Hwankyu Yoo;Hayoung Oh
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.59-76
    • /
    • 2023
  • Since the COVID-19 era, the rise in apartment prices has been unconventional. In this uncertain real estate market, price prediction research is very important. In this paper, a model is created to predict the actual transaction price of future apartments after building a vast data set of 870,000 from 2015 to 2020 through data collection and crawling on various real estate sites and collecting as many variables as possible. This study first solved the multicollinearity problem by removing and combining variables. After that, a total of five variable selection algorithms were used to extract meaningful independent variables, such as Forward Selection, Backward Elimination, Stepwise Selection, L1 Regulation, and Principal Component Analysis(PCA). In addition, a total of four machine learning and deep learning algorithms were used for deep neural network(DNN), XGBoost, CatBoost, and Linear Regression to learn the model after hyperparameter optimization and compare predictive power between models. In the additional experiment, the experiment was conducted while changing the number of nodes and layers of the DNN to find the most appropriate number of nodes and layers. In conclusion, as a model with the best performance, the actual transaction price of apartments in 2021 was predicted and compared with the actual data in 2021. Through this, I am confident that machine learning and deep learning will help investors make the right decisions when purchasing homes in various economic situations.

The Spillover Effect of Public Hosing Policy on Rental Housing Market: The Case of Seoul, Korea (공공임대주택이 주변 전세시장에 미치는 효과: 서울시 장기전세주택(SHIFT)의 경우)

  • Yang, Jun-Seok
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.20 no.3
    • /
    • pp.405-418
    • /
    • 2017
  • SHIFT is public rental housing policy introduced by Seoul Metropolitan in 2007, which works as Chonsei(korean unique deposit rental system). This paper examines the effect of SHIFT on Chonsei prices of neighborhood apartments. To estimate the change in prices of Chonsei after the provision of SHIFT, I collect data on Chonsei prices of apartments within a 5km radius from the SHIFT housings. Summary of main results are following. Chonsei prices of the apartments within a 2-3km radius decreased by 4.4% after the provision of SHIFT housings. In contrast, when it comes to apartments within a 1-2km radius, I can't find the stochastic relationship between the provision of SHIFT hosing and price changes. This results can be explained by "Offset effects" caused by real estate development. Provision of SHIFT can sequentially induce nearby area's development, which plays a factor in the effect of price increases. And this offset effects varies in each apartment complex depending on demand for Chonsei and supply of the SHIFT.

The analysis of Influence between Eco-friendly Planning Elements in Metropolitan 2th Newtown and the deal price of Apartment House (수도권 제2기 신도시 내 친환경 계획요소와 아파트 실거래가격간의 영향도)

  • Jung, Sung-Hoon;Kim, Jeong-In
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
    • /
    • v.12 no.1
    • /
    • pp.3-35
    • /
    • 2013
  • Through Influence between the qualitative Environment-friendly Planning Elements (Independent variable) of eighty Apartment House on the four boundary areas in Metropolitan 2th Newtown as representative case of domestic Composition case of Eco-City and the quantitative deal price of Apartment House (dependent variable), it was analyzed empirically with use of the statistical measuring technique. This study has been meaning that it was groped the scheme of quantitative measuring analysis on environmental economics through the developmental extention for he classification system of the qualitative Environment-friendly Planning Elements on urban & architecture. And, As the result of empirical analysis, it was confirmed empirically that the economical induction effect was much more weight and worthy of notice through Environment-friendly Planning Elements in Metropolitan 2th Newtown influenced to the deal price of Apartment House, particularly it was found noticeable meaning that Environment-friendly Planning Elements of applicabled the green new techniqe like New & Renewable Energy were used already and it was influenced much to the deal price of Apartment House.

  • PDF

Impact of Large-scale Transportation Infrastructure Plan on the Housing Markets -Focus on GTX, Housing Consumer Confidence Index and Sales Prices- (광역교통시설 건설계획이 주택시장에 미치는 영향 -수도권 광역급행철도, 주택소비심리지수 및 실거래가 분석을 중심으로-)

  • Choi, Ui-Jin;Kim, Jung-Hwa
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.19 no.9
    • /
    • pp.9-18
    • /
    • 2021
  • Constructing the Metropolitan Railway Express (the GTX) may have an impact on consumer confidence and housing sales price located near the planned route. This study looked at how consumers' psychology and housing prices change as the large-scale transport infrastructure plane was planned. Also, it looked at the relationship between consumer sentiment and housing prices to analyze the impact of new transportation facilities inflows. Using a correlation analysis, the relationship between the consumer sentiment index and the actual transaction price of apartments was identified. The impact of GTX on the consumer sentiment index and the actual transaction price of apartments was looked at using the Difference-in-Differences methodology. Our finding shows that the construction plan of a large-scale transportation infrastructure in the metropolitan area affects the sentiment of housing consumption and actual transactions. In a situation where the government is speeding up the construction of a wide-area transportation network such as GTX with the goal of becoming a city where people can commute to downtown Seoul within 30 minutes, policies that can stabilize the housing market in transportation hubs should be suggested.

The Conversion Trend of Jeonsei to Monthly Rent Contracts and Its Major Characteristics: The Case of Three Gangnam Districts' APT Rental Market in Seoul (임대차 시장의 월세화와 주요 특성에 관한 연구: 서울시 강남 3구의 아파트 시장 사례)

  • Kim, Sang Jin;Jeong, Jun Ho;Seo, Kwang Chae
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.348-365
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study empirically analyzes the recent conversion trend of Jeonsei to monthly rental contracts in the APT rental market and its major characteristics for three Gangnam districts using the real transaction Jeonsei and monthly rent prices data over the period of 2010.12 to 2015.4. The results show that in terms of deposits and substitutability the conventional apartment is more efficient than those of the reconstruction apartment. Moreover, monthly rental contracts are closely related with the movement of short-term interest rates. Given the same type of apartment, the result drawn from the substitutability between Jeonsei and monthly rental contracts reveals that the monthly leasing contract with the lower rate of deposit tends to have the higher conversion rate of Jeonsei to monthly rent. Thus, an urgent measure should be taken that the burdens of tenants with monthly rent contracts could be alleviated according to the rate of deposits.

  • PDF