• Title/Summary/Keyword: 실패확률

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Safety evaluation of the domestic Offset procedure using the unidirectional dual airway collision risk model (단방향 복선 항공로 안전평가모델을 활용한 국내 Offset 절차 안전도 분석)

  • Se-eun Park;Hui-yang Kim
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.356-364
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    • 2023
  • Sophisticated Air Navigation System has contributed to enhancing the capacity of airspace capacity, leading to an efficient airspace environment. However, it has acted as a factor increasing the probability of collision. When an aircraft fails to maintain vertical separation and instead exhibits lateral positional errors, it does not necessarily lead to a collision. However, as the lateral positional accuracy increases, the randomness of aircraft positions decrease, resulting in an elevated probability of collisions. Consequently, The International Civil Aviation Organization has introduced Strategic Lateral Offset Procedures(SLOP), intentionally deviating aircraft from the centerline of airways. Likewise, South Korea also operates Offset procedure. The Y579 was operated using the Offset before its conversion to a dual airway and the analysis of the Offset track revealed that it was being operated similarly to a unidirectional dual airway. This paper develops a safety assessment methodology applicable to unidirectional dual airways, and applies it to perform a safety assessment of the Y579 Offset procedure.

Study on Success and Failure of Diversification Based on Neo-Schumpeterian Perspective: Samsung's Three Diversification Cases in the Semiconductor Industry (네오슘페터주의 관점에서 바라본 다각화의 성공과 실패: 삼성 반도체사업의 세 가지 다각화 사례 연구)

  • Park, Tae-Young
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.175-219
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    • 2010
  • Since diversification can be a necessary means for company's survival and the conservation of its success, hundreds of studies have been done by three schools of industrial economics, strategic management, and Neo-Schumpeterian economics for over 30 years. However, any school has not presented a model comprehensively explaining diversification' success or failure. The study tried to suggest a theoretical framework integrating findings came from three schools. The framework considers both firm's technological capabilities and sector-specific characteristics as well as reflects a Neo-Schumpeterian view emphasizing technological aspects. The goal of the study is finding major reasons of success and failure during company's diversification through studying three diversification cases of Samsung. Our findings show that the diversification toward TFT-LCD was easier and more successful than the diversification toward microprocessor because DRAM is more similar to TFT-LCD than microprocessor. Samsung also tended to build only the types of capabilities which were originated from capabilities accumulated in DRAM business. Our findings give firm's strategists a lesson that they can increase the probability of success in diversification, if only they should simultaneously consider a new sector's characteristics, a firm's technological capabilities accumulated in old sectors, and the availability of old capabilities for being applied to a new sector.

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A Study on the Characteristics and Sustainability of Social Cooperatives (사회적 협동조합의 특성과 지속가능성에 관한 연구)

  • Du, Cheng-Lin;Chang, Sug-In;Bae, Sung-Pil;Choi, Ho-Gyu
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 2020
  • Korea's social cooperatives were enacted by law in December 2012. However, it is in the process of being settled and has not been established institutionally. So social cooperatives are failing. The purpose of this study is to reduce these failures. To this end, this study distinguished between co-operatives and social co-operatives. Also, the characteristics and concepts were identified. That is why we want to help our social cooperatives in Korea. The results based on the literature research are as follows. First, in order for domestic social co-operatives to be sustainable, the seven principles of co-operatives must be observed. In particular, the sixth principle is important. It is important to form a social cooperative association and to communicate with local cooperatives. Their communication is less likely to fail because they can share management support information, education, promotion, and strategies. Second, there is a need for a plan that can be applied not only to the government but also to general enterprises in order to support social co-operatives. Third, related policies of the government and the private sector should be designed and managed in an integrated manner to promote social cooperatives. Fourth, public relations should be promoted through campaigns to inform the public that the meaning of social cooperatives is for the public good. In addition, the government needs to build a program that fosters professionals who can foster social co-operatives. In conclusion, it is meaningful that this study suggests possible ways to develop social co-operatives in Korea, and provides support to the Korean government.

Performance Analysis of the Multi Preambles Using Gold Codes in a WBAN System (WBAN 시스템에서 골드 코드를 이용한 다중 프리앰블의 성능 분석)

  • Oh, Jun-Seok;Ryu, Seung-Moon;Eun, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.47 no.8
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    • pp.32-41
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    • 2010
  • We propose the use of multi-preambles using Gold codes and analyze its performance. The multi-preamble is a way of utilizing different codes for preambles according to operation modes or applications in a system. The receiver can be easily implemented using the maximum likelihood algorithm. The performance is robust against noise due to the good correlation characteristic of the Gold codes. We use 128-bit-long multi-preambles generated by 127 bit Gold codes in deriving the detection error probability and in verifying the validity through computer simulation. The results show that the theory and the experiment are in good agreement within the approximation error.

Stage Separation Analysis of Launch Vehicle Using Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 발사체 단 분리 운동 분석)

  • Oh, Choong-Seok;Sun, Byung-Chan;Park, Yong-Kyu;Roh, Woong-Rae
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.341-348
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    • 2015
  • This paper addresses Monte-Carlo simulation analyses for the stage separation of the general launch vehicle. The stage separation event of the launch vehicle occurs during a very short time and is related with many dynamic parameters. The stage separation is a critical event in that the launch fails if there is a collision during the stage separation. The stage separation analyses was conducted for the general launch vehicle to confirm the separation without collision within the designed clearance in case of the random input parameters. This paper presents the stochastic results of the stage separation of the launch vehicle using the Monte-Carlo simulation.

Prediction-Based Adaptive Selection Cooperation Schemes (예측 정보를 이용한 적응적 협력 선택기법)

  • Wang, Yu;Lee, Dong-Woo;Lee, Jae-Hong
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.46 no.11
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    • pp.18-24
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes two novel prediction-based adaptive selection cooperation schemes combined with a new relay selection strategy. In the proposed schemes, the destination predicts whether the transmission will be successful or not before a single relay is selected to transmit source's decoded data. Depending on the prediction, the destination feeds back a command to the whole network. Numerical results show that the proposed schemes combined with the relay selection strategy successfully reduce its outage probability, improve its throughput, save transmitted power, and prolong the lifetime of the network.

Establishing Relationship of Design Aesthetic Elements and Suggestion of Successful Design Process - Focusing on Tennis Shoes - (디자인 심미성 요소들의 관계정립과 성공적 디자인프로세스 제시 - 테니스화를 중심으로 -)

  • Cho, Kwang-Soo
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.91-104
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    • 2008
  • This study searches for an abstract aesthetic dimension that has an important response to preference by finding products excluded in past studies on aesthetics. Furthermore, the adjective image languages are examined, grouped and examined in order to also take into account the dimensions that are regarded as important for the selected product. Based on this, the preference trends will be inferred and the level of aesthetic dimensions that are import in the product will be found and presented based on its preference to create an accurate objective point. Based on the values of the levels of the aesthetic preference types and aesthetic elements found by this and presenting the preferred types in the design process, the objective of this study is to create designs with small chance of failure. In addition, it attempts to present a new direction for research of aesthetic dimensions.

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줄기세포분야 특허동향

  • Kim, Sun-Ung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Developmental Biology Conference
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    • 2009.02a
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2009
  • 특허맵 (Patent Map, 특허동향조사)이란 특정 기술분야에 대한 국내외 특허출원 및 등록현황에 대한 자료를 여러 기준으로 상세하게 분석한 후, 이를 사용목적에 맞게 가공하여 이해하기 쉽게 작성한 자료로 기술의 추이와 특허동향이나 현황을 쉽게 파악할 수 있도록 도표, 기호, 그림 등 다양한 형태로 표현한 것이다. 연구자나 기업들의 R&D와 사업은 연구나 사업의 실패 확률을 줄이기 위해 특허맵, 특허동향조사를 필수적으로 활용한다. 특허동향조사를 활용함으로써 다음의 이점을 제공받을 수 있는데, 즉 연구개발방향의 설정에 활용할 수 있고, 중복연구 및 특허분쟁을 미연에 방지할 수 있다. 또한, 경쟁자의 동향을 용이하게 파악할 수 있으며, 기술개발 추이를 파악하여 미래예측이 가능하다. 이러한 활용을 통해 연구개발 예산을 효율적으로 사용할 수 있게 된다. 또한, 특허맵이나 특허동향조사가 활용되는 시점은 연구기획단계에서부터, 연구개발단계, 비즈니스단계 및 특허소송에 이르기까지 전 과정, 즉 R&D부터 그 활용단계에까지 필수적으로 필요한 도구(tool)라 할 것이다. 본 발표에서는 줄기세포분야에 대한 국내외 특허동향을 조사해 보았다. 국내에서는 2000년 이후부터 관련 기술의 급격한 출원을 보이고 있으며, 서울대, 고려대, 제론, 위스콘신 등 국내외 대학이 주요 출원이었다. 또한, 출원현황을 통한 국내 연구 분야의 활성도는 성체줄기세포가 배아줄기세포에 비하여 월등히 앞서 있음을 파악할 수 있다. 특히, 역분화와 관련된 기술도 국내에 약 10건 정도가 검색되었으며 주로 해외 출원인이 주를 이루고 있다. 해외의 경우, 약 6,800여 건을 검색하였으며 미국에서의 출원이 가장 두드러지고 있다. 특허출원의 추이는 국내와 유사하게 2000년 이후에 급격히 증가되었으며 국내보다 2년 앞선 2004년에 최고의 출원량을 보이고 있다. 주요 출원인으로는 OLYMPUS, GENRO, OSIRIS, JAPAN SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY, ACT, SYSTEMIX 등의 순서임을 확인할 수 있었다.

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Defense Strategy against Multiple Anti-Ship Missiles using Anti-Air Missiles (다수 대함유도탄에 대한 함정의 대공방어유도탄 운용기법 연구)

  • Kim, Do-Wan;Yun, Joong-Sup;Ryoo, Chang-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.354-361
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, an efficient defense strategy of single naval ship using short range anti-air missiles against the threat of multiple anti-ship missiles is suggested. The defense logic is based on the estimated future trajectory of anti-ship missiles by using current radar information. The logic is designed to maximize the range of interception of anti-ship missiles so that the chance of interception can be increased although the prior tries turn out to be fail. Basically, the decision making for the allocation of a defense missile is achieved by comparing the total kill probability and the estimated intercepting point. Performance of the proposed logic is investigated by nonlinear planar numerical simulations.

Error Detection of Phase Offsets for Binary Sequences (이원부호의 위상오프셋 오류 검출)

  • Song, Young-Joon;Han, Young-Yearl
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics S
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    • v.36S no.9
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we propose an error detection scheme of phase offsets for binary sequences including PN (Pseudo Noise) sequences based on the number theoretical approach. It is important to know phase offsets of spreading sequences in the CDMA (Code Division Multiple Access) mobile communication systems because phase offsets of the same spreading sequence are used to achieve the acquisition and are used to distinguish each base station. When the period of the sequence is not very long, the relative phase offset between the sequence and its shifted replica can be found by comparing them, but as the period of the sequence increases it becomes difficult to find the phase offset. The error detection failure probability of the proposed method is derived, and it is confirmed by the simulation results. We also discuss the circuit realization of the proposed method and show it can be easily implemented.

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