• Title/Summary/Keyword: 실거래가격

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A Study for Applicability of Cokriging Techniques for Estimating the Real Transaction Price of Land (토지 실거래가격 추정을 위한 공동 크리깅기법의 적용가능성 연구)

  • Choi, Jin Ho;Kim, Bong Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2015
  • The need for estimating the real transaction price of land is increasing in order to build foundation for transparent land transaction and fair taxation. This study looked into the applicability of cokriging combining real transaction price of land, altitude and gradient for effective price estimation on the points where the real transaction does not take place in the course of using the real transaction price of land. The real transaction price of land have been estimated using the real transaction materials of Yeongcheon, Gyeongsangbuk-do from January 2012 to June 2014, and the results have been compared with the estimation results of ordinary kriging. As a result of analyzing the mean error and root mean square error (RMSE) of the estimated price and 2,575 verification points, it was found that compared to ordinary kriging, cokriging results were more effective in terms of the real transaction price estimation and actualization. The reason that cokriging is more effective in the real transaction price estimation is because it takes account of altitude and gradient which are the forces influencing the land value.

The analysis of Influence between Eco-friendly Planning Elements in Metropolitan 2th Newtown and the deal price of Apartment House (수도권 제2기 신도시 내 친환경 계획요소와 아파트 실거래가격간의 영향도)

  • Jung, Sung-Hoon;Kim, Jeong-In
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.3-35
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    • 2013
  • Through Influence between the qualitative Environment-friendly Planning Elements (Independent variable) of eighty Apartment House on the four boundary areas in Metropolitan 2th Newtown as representative case of domestic Composition case of Eco-City and the quantitative deal price of Apartment House (dependent variable), it was analyzed empirically with use of the statistical measuring technique. This study has been meaning that it was groped the scheme of quantitative measuring analysis on environmental economics through the developmental extention for he classification system of the qualitative Environment-friendly Planning Elements on urban & architecture. And, As the result of empirical analysis, it was confirmed empirically that the economical induction effect was much more weight and worthy of notice through Environment-friendly Planning Elements in Metropolitan 2th Newtown influenced to the deal price of Apartment House, particularly it was found noticeable meaning that Environment-friendly Planning Elements of applicabled the green new techniqe like New & Renewable Energy were used already and it was influenced much to the deal price of Apartment House.

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An Empirical Study on the Estimation of Housing Sales Price using Spatiotemporal Autoregressive Model (시공간자기회귀(STAR)모형을 이용한 부동산 가격 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Chun, Hae Jung;Park, Heon Soo
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2014
  • This study, as the temporal and spatial data for the real price apartment in Seoul from January 2006 to June 2013, empirically compared and analyzed the estimation result of apartment price using OLS by hedonic price model for the problem of space-time correlation, temporal autoregressive model (TAR) considering temporal effect, spatial autoregressive model (SAR) spatial effect and spatiotemporal autoregressive model (STAR) spatiotemporal effect. As a result, the adjusted R-square of STAR model was increased by 10% compared that of OLS model while the root mean squares error (RMSE) was decreased by 18%. Considering temporal and spatial effect, it is observed that the estimation of apartment price is more correct than the existing model. As the result of analyzing STAR model, the apartment price is affected as follows; area for apartment(-), years of apartment(-), dummy of low-rise(-), individual heating (-), city gas(-), dummy of reconstruction(+), stairs(+), size of complex(+). The results of other analysis method were the same. When estimating the price of real estate using STAR model, the government officials can improve policy efficiency and make reasonable investment based on the objective information by grasping trend of real estate market accurately.

Spatial analysis for a real transaction price of land (공간회귀모형을 이용한 토지시세가격 추정)

  • Choi, Jihye;Jin, Hyang Gon;Kim, Yongku
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.217-228
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    • 2018
  • Since the real estate reporting system was first introduced, about 2 million real estate transaction per year have been reported over the last 10 years with an increasing demand for real estate price estimates. This study looks at the applicability and superiority of the regression-kriging method to derive effective real transaction prices estimation on the location where information about real transaction is unavailable. Several issues on predicting the real estate price are discussed and illustrated using the real transaction reports of Jinju, Gyeongsangnam-do. Results have been compared with a simple regression model in terms of the mean absolute error and root square error. It turns out that the regression-kriging model provides a more effective estimation of land price compared to the simple regression model. The regression-kriging method adequately reflects the spatial structure of the term that is not explained by other characteristic variables.

Estimation and Determinants on Residential Investment Profits in Seoul: A Focus on Housing Transaction Price from 2010 to 2018 (서울시 주택 예상투자이익 추정과 영향요인에 대한 시론적 분석 - 2010-2018년 주택 실거래가를 중심으로 -)

  • Ahn, Hye-Sung;Kang, Chang-Deok
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.37-50
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    • 2020
  • Estimating investment profits of real estate is critical to understand real estate markets and create relevant policy as real estate market and capital market combines closely. Thus, this study applied the concept of Tobin's Q to estimate investment profits for apartments as well as row-houses and multi-family homes in Seoul from 2010 to 2018. Investment profits were estimated by two approaches: subtracting the replacement cost from the transaction price and calculating ratio of the transaction price to the replacement cost, respectively. The spatio-temporal changes in investment profits were apparent in apartments compared with row-houses and multi-family homes. As a result of analyzing the spatial econometrics models, the investment profit was higher in the area with high density and new developments regardless of the housing types. The framework and key findings would be the effective reference to understand residential investment behavior, create relevant housing policy, introduce value capture of windfall, measure regional competitiveness, and estimate housing bubble.

Prediction of Housing Price and Influencing Factor Analysis with Machine Learning Models (머신러닝 모델을 적용한 주택가격 예측 및 영향 요인 분석)

  • Seung-June Baek;Jun-Wan Kim;Juryon Paik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2023.01a
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    • pp.31-34
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    • 2023
  • 주택 매매에 있어서 가격에 대한 예측은 매우 중요하지만, 실거래 발생 전까지는 정확한 가격을 알 수 없다. 그렇기에 주택가격을 예측하는 많은 연구가 진행되어왔다. 주택가격을 결정하는 영향요인은 크게 주택의 내부요인과 주택의 외부 요인으로 구분되는데, 내부적인 요인 (공급면적, 전용면적, 층, 방 개수 등)에 대한 연구가 많이 진행되었다. 하지만 외부적인 요인 (위치 요인, 금융요인 등)에 대한 연구는 미비하였다. 본 연구는 주택 매수자 관점에서 가격 예측 시 외부적인 요인 역시 중요하다고 판단하여 외부요인을 적용하고자 한다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 방법은 다양한 외부요인 중 주택의 위치 정보를 활용하여, 해당 정보 기반으로 도출 가능한 데이터를 추가한다. 또한 이용량에 따른 지하철역 데이터를 추가하여 관련된 여러 영향요인들을 분석 및 적용 후 머신러닝 기반 예측 모델을 생성한다. 생성된 모델들에 주택매매 실거래 데이터를 적용하여 예측 정확도를 비교 후 높은 정확성을 보이는 모델 결과에 주요하게 영향을 끼치는 요인에 관하여 기술한다.

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Study on equity of taxation for non-residential property by analysis of actual transaction price (실거래가격 분석을 통한 비주거용 부동산의 과세형평성 연구)

  • Kim, Hyoung June
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.639-651
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    • 2016
  • "Law on price announcement for real estate" which was revised as of Jan. 19, 2016 (will be enforced as of Sep. 1, 2016) decided the introduction of 'Price announcement system for non-residential property' for the first time. However, its introduction seems to be delayed based on two reasons. Firstly the methodology for introduction of non-property system is not definitized, despite many problems were brought up for current tax base of non-residential property. In addition, changes in tax base will place a burden on the government. In this regard, this study analyzed actual transaction price data throughout one year to analyze equity of taxation for non-residential property and to find major factor which affects on the tax base, in relation with the change of current public announcement system to actual transaction based system. And this is the first study that applied actual transaction price to non-residential property.

A Preliminary Study on Correlation Analysis of Sales Price of Apartments by Region (공동주택 실거래가격의 지역별 상관성 분석에 관한 기초연구)

  • Park, Hwan-Pyo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.249-250
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    • 2016
  • Korean government has announced declared prices of apartment reflecting market condition each year. Therefore, on that basis, apartment owners have used as basic data trading apartments and the government has been used to calculate the tax. However, the sales prices and declared prices of apartment has occurred difference depending on the region and the brand. This study has analyzed and compared regional differences in sales price of apartments. The results of this study, we have known that sales price of apartments was a big difference depending on the region and the gross area. Especially, Seoul and Gyeonggi Province are the highest. And sales price of Southeast and urban area are the highest in Seoul. In the future, it is necessary that gap analysis between sales price and declared prices of apartment. And It is needed to develop apartment index considering the region and the gross area.

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