• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.52 no.10
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• pp.671-680
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• 2019

Many researches illustrated that the magnitude and frequency of hydrological event would increase in the future due to changes of hydrological cycle components according to climate change. However, few studies performed quantitative analysis and evaluation of future rainfall in North Korea, where the damage caused by extreme precipitation is expected to occur as in South Korea. Therefore, this study predicted the extreme precipitation change of North Korea in the future (2020-2060) compared to the current (1981-2017) using stationary and nonstationary frequency analysis. This study conducted nonstationary frequency analysis considering the external factors (mean precipitation of JFM (Jan.-Mar.), AMJ (Apr.-Jun.), JAS (Jul.-Sept.), OND (Oct.-Dec.)) of the HadGEM2-AO model simulated according to the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) climate change scenarios. In order to select external factors that have a similar tendency with extreme rainfall events in North Korea, the maximum annual rainfall data was obtained by using the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method. Correlation analysis was performed between the extracted residue and the external factors. Considering selected external factors, nonstationary GEV model was constructed. In RCP4.5, four of the eight stations tended to decrease in future extreme precipitation compared to the present climate while three stations increased. On the other hand, in RCP8.5, two stations decreased while five stations increased.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.31 no.3 s.119
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• pp.213-221
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• 2007

Recently, environmental design are becoming a matter of grave concern in shipbuilding. Out of these concern, oil spilt which is induced by grounding accidents is very critical reason of the ocean pollution. Therefore, a series qf quarter of 105k tanker model grounding simulations were conducted to analyze it's characteristics for the accident. ship get using LS-DYNA3D. In this paper, to conduct whole simulations, a meshsize convergence test was carried out to determine appropriate meshsize for grounding test. After the series analysis. These results were analyzed as each case.

• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2010.06a
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• pp.215.2-215.2
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• 2010

지구온난화의 주범으로 알려진 $CO_2$의 대기 중 농도는 산업혁명 이전 280ppm에서 산업 혁명 이후 375ppm으로 증가하였다. 정부 간 기후변화패널(IPCC)의 기후변화 시나리오에 의하면, 지금부터 다양한 감축노력을 한다 할지라도 $CO_2$ 증가추세는 계속되어 2100년경에는 대기 중 $CO_2$농도가 600~950ppm에 이를 것으로 예측하고 있다. 현재까지 화력발전부분은 온실가스($CO_2$)의 최대 배출 원으로 알려져 있으며 이 분야의 $CO_2$ 회수기술은 연소 후 포집(Post-combustion), 순산소 연소(Oxy-fuel combustion), 연소 전 탈탄소화(Pre-combustion) 3가지로 크게 구분된다. 이중 석탄가스화복합발전(IGCC)기술과 연계하여 $CO_2$를 회수할 수 있는 방법이 연소 전 탈탄소화 기술이다. 핵심기술은 $CO_2$ 분리공정으로 적용 될 수 있는 기술로서는 흡착 흡수법, 막분리법 그리고 가스 하이드레이트가 있으나 아직까지 우리나라의 가스 하이드레이트 기술은 전무한 형편이다. 본 연구에서는 가스 하이드레이트 형성원리를 이용하여 정온 정압 조건에서 $CO_2/H_2$ 하이드레이트를 제조하였으며 특히, 하이드레이트 형성 촉진제인 TBAB(Tetra-n-butyl ammonium bromide)를 첨가하여 TBAB 농도에 따른 상평형 및 속도론 실험을 수행 하였다. 또한 라만 분석을 통하여 $CO_2$ 회수 분리에 대한 연구도 병행하였다.

• Tunnel and Underground Space
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.212-223
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• 2014

In this study, the stability analyses for metal mine roadways at a great depth were performed. In-situ stress measurements using hydrofracturing, numerous laboratory tests for rock cores and GSI & RMR classifications were conducted in order to find the physical properties of both intact rock and in-situ rock mass distributed in the studied metal mine. Through the scenario analysis and probabilistic assessment on the results of rock mass classification, the in-situ ground conditions of mine roadways were divided into the best, the average and the worst cases, respectively. The roadway stabilities corresponding to the respective conditions were assessed by way of the elasto-plastic analysis. In addition, the appropriate roadway shapes and the support patterns were examined through the numerical analyses considering the blast damaged zone around roadway. It was finally shown to be necessary to reduce the radius of roadway roof curvature and/or to install the crown reinforcement in order to enhance the stability of studied mine roadways.

• Journal of Energy Engineering
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.46-53
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• 2005

This paper presents a new approach for determining an accurate incentive levels of Direct Load Control (DLC) program using probabilistic techniques. The economic analysis of DLC resources needs to identify the hourly-by-hourly expected energy-not-served resulting from the random outage characteristics of generators as well as to reflect the availability and duration of DLC resources, which results the computational explosion. Therefore, the conventional methods are based on the scenario approaches to reduce the computation time as well as to avoid the complexity of economic studies. In this paper, we have developed a new technique based on the sequential Monte Carlo simulation to evaluate the required expected load control amount in each hour and to decide the incentive level satisfying the economic constraints. In addition, we have applied the variance reduction technique to enhance the efficiency of the simulation. To show the efficiency and effectiveness of the suggested method, the numerical studies have been performed for the modified IEEE 24-bus reliability test system.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.60-67
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• 2010

Delay reduction of vehicles at the intersection is highly dependent on the signal operation method. Most previous traffic operations have focused on minimizing delay by adjust traffic offset. However, these methods have limitation in solving traffic problem if the volume reaches or exceeds the capacity. In this paper, it was analyzed that the effectiveness of various signal operation methods such as left-turn prohibition, and using protected mixed with permitted left turn using the traffic data from Daejeon city. In case of the left-turn prohibition of a intersection, the control delay reduced from 54.2 seconds to 22.7 seconds and especially, the delay of the southbound was drastically reduced. In addition, the delay was highly reduced from 27.0 seconds to 12.1 seconds when the operation system was changed to use protected mixed with permitted left turn.

• Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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• v.37 no.3
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• pp.127-137
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• 2010

As large-scale computational applications in various scientific domains have been utilized over many integrated sets of grid computing resources, the difficulty of their execution management and control has been increased. It is beneficial to refer job history generated from many application executions, in order to identify application‘s characteristics and to decide selection policies of grid resource meaningfully. In this paper, we apply a statistical technique, Plackett-Burman design with fold-over (PBDF), for analyzing grid environments and execution history of applications. PBDF design identifies main factors in grid environments and applications, ranks based on how much they affect to their execution time. The effective factors are used for selecting reference job profiles and then preferable resource based on the reference profiles is chosen. An application is performed on the selected resource and its execution result is added to job history. Factor's credit is adjusted according to the actual execution time. For a proof-of-concept, we analyzed job history from an aerospace research grid system to get characteristics of grid resource and applications. We built JARS algorithm and simulated the algorithm with the analyzed job history. The simulation result shows good reliability and considerable performance in grid environment with frequently crashed resources.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.53-60
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• 2009

Recently, the Korean government has amended the "National Territory Planning Act" by adding criteria to designate the Impact Fee Zone on the basis of the population increase rate. Taking the Dongtan Newtown in Hwasung City as the case, the study first tries to apply a grid analysis method to figure out the cells that exceed the legal population increase rate criteria. Then, the study, for rather a practical purpose, introduces a scenario analysis that tries to envelope the cells into a spatially contiguous groups based on their degrees of stepwise adjacency by cell buffer formation. By overlapping the selected cell groups chosen by such stepwise scenarios over the actual zoning map of land-uses for the vicinity, it seems clear that the chosen areas rationally coincide with those residential blocks and commercial areas with the high population density in the Newtown.

• Archives of design research
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.147-156
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• 2004

Currently, usability tests for web sites with representative users are conducted in laboratory environment that disturbs subjects' natural behavior. These test methods are inefficient for tests that require large number of subjects, because experimenters and subjects should be located in the same place at the same time during the test. In this study, a remote usability test tool, called 'RIO' has been developed to cope with these laboratory-based experiment problems - the 'synchronism' and the 'unnatural environment'. The tool is separated into three parts: 'Project Manager', 'Remote Interaction Observer', and 'Interaction Analyzer'. 'Project Manager' sets up overall experimental parameters and actual tasks to be peformed by subjects. 'Remote Interaction Observer', endued with Microsoft Internet Explorer Control, is a modified Web Browser which records user interactions, screen images and elaborate browser events while subject performs given tasks. This module is distributed to subjects as an installable software package. When they finish all the tasks, the captured interaction data is compressed and sent to 'Interaction Data Server' automatically. 'Interaction Analyzer' visualizes interaction data from the 'Interaction Data Server'. It also generates project-scope statistics which facilitate discovering peculiar cases among interaction submissions.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.222-222
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• 2022

최근 기후변화로 인해 지역 및 시기별로 강수량이 편중되면서 가뭄(0.72회/년) 등 물 관련 재해가 빈번하게 발생하고 있으며, 가뭄의 강도 또한 심화되는 추세이다. 본 연구대상 지역인 태안군과 괴산군의 경우 기후변화 시나리오(RCP 4.5)를 적용, 미래(~2100년) 기상조건에 대하여 기존 농업용 저수지의 용수공급능력을 평가한 결과, 가뭄대응(내한) 능력이 감소하는 것으로 분석되었다. 한편, 농업가뭄의 경우 주로 영농기에 발생하여 장마가 시작되면서 해소되었으나, 최근 기후변화로 인해 지속기간이 점차 증가하여 가뭄피해가 매년 반복되고 있다. 그러나, 현재까지 추진된 가뭄대책의 경우 관정개발, 저수지 준설 등 단기·사후처방 중심의 대책이 마련되어 지속적인 재해관리와 예방에 많은 어려움을 겪고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 지역 맞춤형 가뭄대응 종합대책을 마련하여 기후 변화대비 안정적인 영농기반을 구축하고자 하였다. 기존시설 개선, 수요관리 등 최근 정부정책 방향과 재원조달 방안을 고려, 법적근거(농어촌정비법 등)에 의한 실현 가능한 사업계획을 수립하는 한편, 다목적 농촌용수 개발, 용수이용체계 재편 등 사업유형을 구분한 후 단계별(장·단기) 가뭄대책을 마련하였다. 가뭄대책 수립 시 한국농어촌공사에서 개발한 '수리수문 설계 시스템(K-HAS)'을 이용하여 용수 수요량을 산정하였고, 기존 수리시설물별 물 수지 분석을 통해 여유수량이 확보된 수원을 최대한 활용코자 하였다. 저수지 개발 등 신규 수자원 확보가 용이한 내륙·산간지역의 경우 중·대규모 저수지(유효저수량 1백만m³, 유역면적 200ha이상) 개발계획을 수립하는 한편 지역특성(형상, 표고차 등), 개발여건 및 경제성 등을 고려하여, 적정 개발범위(수혜면적 20ha이상)을 설정하였다. 한편, 신규 수자원개발이 어려운 도서·해안지역의 경우 용수 재이용(회귀수 활용) 및 담수호 내 염해방지시설을 도입하는 등 지역 맞춤형 가뭄대책을 수립하였다. 본 연구에서 제시한 단계별(장·단기) 가뭄대책이 차질없이 시행될 경우 기후변화 대비 안정적인 농업용수공급이 가능하고, 상습가뭄 발생(물 부족) 지역에 대하여 효율적이고 합리적인 물(수요·공급)관리가 가능할 것으로 기대된다.