• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시계열 데이터 분석

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Short-term Power Load Forecasting using Time Pattern for u-City Application (u-City응용에서의 시간 패턴을 이용한 단기 전력 부하 예측)

  • Park, Seong-Seung;Shon, Ho-Sun;Lee, Dong-Gyu;Ji, Eun-Mi;Kim, Hi-Seok;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.177-181
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    • 2009
  • Developing u-Public facilities for application u-City is to combine both the state-of-the art of the construction and ubiquitous computing and must be flexibly comprised of the facilities for the basic service of the building such as air conditioning, heating, lighting and electric equipments to materialize a new format of spatial planning and the public facilities inside or outside. Accordingly, in this paper we suggested the time pattern system for predicting the most basic power system loads for the basic service. To application the tim e pattern we applied SOM algorithm and k-means method and then clustered the data each weekday and each time respectively. The performance evaluation results of suggestion system showed that the forecasting system better the ARIMA model than the exponential smoothing method. It has been assumed that the plan for power supply depending on demand and system operation could be performed efficiently by means of using such power load forecasting.

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Prediction of Dietary Knowledge using Multiple Regression Analysis for Preventing Stomach Diseases (위장질환 예방을 위한 다중회귀분석을 이용한 식이지식 예측)

  • Choi, So-Young;Kim, Joo-Chang;Chung, Kyungyong
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2019
  • Modern society is undergoing nutritional imbalance according to the diet as the number of one person increases. This is increasing the incidence of chronic diseases such as gastrointestinal diseases and digestive diseases. This study suggests the prediction of dietary knowledge using multiple regression analysis for preventing chronic stomach diseases. The proposed method manages user's stomach diseases and dietary nutrition through the prediction of nutrition knowledge. It collects user's PHR through smart device and integrates in the health platform. The integrated data analyzes the dietary and activity of the user through multiple regression analysis. It predicts the required nutrients and provides services to users through applications. Therefore, it suggests recommended dietary components and consumed calories, appropriate dietary components based on the user's basal metabolism, and gastrointestinal levels. With the personalized health management, modern people can manage gastrointestinal diseases through a balanced diet.

Comparison on Patterns of Conflicts in the South China Sea and the East China Sea through Analysis on Mechanism of Chinese Gray Zone Strategy (중국의 회색지대전략 메커니즘 분석을 통한 남중국해 및 동중국해 분쟁 양상 비교: 시계열 데이터에 근거한 경험적 연구를 중심으로)

  • Cho, Yongsu
    • Maritime Security
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.273-310
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    • 2020
  • This study aims at empirically analyzing the overall mechanism of the "Gray Zone Strategy", which has begun to be used as one of Chinese major maritime security strategies in maritime conflicts surrounding the South China Sea and East China Sea since early 2010, and comparing the resulting conflict patterns in those reg ions. To this end, I made the following two hypotheses about Chinese gray zone strategy. The hypotheses that I have argued in this study are the first, "The marine gray zone strategy used by China shows different structures of implementation in the South China Sea and the East China Sea, which are major conflict areas.", the second, "Therefore, the patterns of disputes in the South China Sea and the East China Sea also show a difference." In order to examine this, I will classify Chinese gray zone strategy mechanisms multi-dimensionally in large order, 1) conflict trends and frequency of strategy execution, 2) types and strengths of strategy, 3) actors of strategy execution, and 4) response methods of counterparts. So, I tried to collect data related to this based on quantitative modeling to test these. After that, about 10 years of data pertaining to this topic were processed, and a research model was designed with a new categorization and operational definition of gray zone strategies. Based on this, I was able to successfully test all the hypotheses by successfully comparing the comprehensive mechanisms of the gray zone strategy used by China and the conflict patterns between the South China Sea and the East China Sea. In the conclusion, the verified results were rementioned with emphasizing the need to overcome the security vulnerabilities in East Asia that could be caused by China's marine gray zone strategy. This study, which has never been attempted so far, is of great significance in that it clarified the intrinsic structure in which China's gray zone strategy was implemented using empirical case studies, and the correlation between this and maritime conflict patterns was investigated.

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Development of Interest Rates Forecasting System Using the SAS/ETS (SAS/ETS를 이용한 금리예측시스템의 구축)

  • Lee, Jeong-Hyeong;Chu, Min-Jeong;Cho, Sin-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.485-500
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    • 1999
  • The systematic forecast of interest rates with liberalization was on the rise to important problems in the money market. Liberalization and globalization of the money market produced a seriously change as a compatition among the money market. Profits of an organ of monetary circulation are, also, definitively influenced by a change of interest rates. Hence most of the organ of monetary circulation studied to a scientific and systematic analysis for deterministic factors which have an effect on interest rates and progress development of a forecasting model of interest rates. In this paper, we develope the forecasting system which has highly forecasting performance based on a number of time series models for interest rates and discuss practical use of this system.

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A Case Study on Credit Analysis System in P2P: 8Percent, Lendit, Honest Fund (P2P 플랫폼에서의 대출자 신용분석 사례연구: 8퍼센트, 렌딧, 어니스트 펀드)

  • Choi, Su Man;Jun, Dong Hwa;Oh, Kyong Joo
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.229-247
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    • 2020
  • In the remarkable growth of P2P financial platform in the field of knowledge management, only companies with big data and machine learning technologies are surviving in fierce competition. The ability to analyze borrowers' credit is most important, and platform companies are also recognizing this capability as the most important business asset, so they are building a credit evaluation system based on artificial intelligence. Nonetheless, online P2P platform providers that offer related services only act as intermediaries to apply for investors and borrowers, and all the risks associated with the investments are attributable to investors. For investors, the only way to verify the safety of investment products depends on the reputation of P2P companies from newspaper and online website. Time series information such as delinquency rate is not enough to evaluate the early stage of Korean P2P makers' credit analysis capability. This study examines the credit analysis procedure of P2P loan platform using artificial intelligence through the case analysis method for well known the top three companies that are focusing on the credit lending market and the kinds of information data to use. Through this, we will improve the understanding of credit analysis techniques through artificial intelligence, and try to examine limitations of credit analysis methods through artificial intelligence.

Building an SNS Crawling System Using Python (Python을 이용한 SNS 크롤링 시스템 구축)

  • Lee, Jong-Hwa
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.61-76
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    • 2018
  • Everything is coming into the world of network where modern people are living. The Internet of Things that attach sensors to objects allows real-time data transfer to and from the network. Mobile devices, essential for modern humans, play an important role in keeping all traces of everyday life in real time. Through the social network services, information acquisition activities and communication activities are left in a huge network in real time. From the business point of view, customer needs analysis begins with SNS data. In this research, we want to build an automatic collection system of SNS contents of web environment in real time using Python. We want to help customers' needs analysis through the typical data collection system of Instagram, Twitter, and YouTube, which has a large number of users worldwide. It is stored in database through the exploitation process and NLP process by using the virtual web browser in the Python web server environment. According to the results of this study, we want to conduct service through the site, the desired data is automatically collected by the search function and the netizen's response can be confirmed in real time. Through time series data analysis. Also, since the search was performed within 5 seconds of the execution result, the advantage of the proposed algorithm is confirmed.

다차원 스펙트럼해석의 기초와 응용

  • 오재응
    • Journal of the KSME
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.446-451
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    • 1984
  • 최근 기계구조물로부터 발생되는 소음. 진동의 수준을 평가하고 그 대책을 수립하는데 스펙트 럼분석(spectral analysis)과 상관기술(correlation technique)의 이용도가 점증하고 있다. 전자계 산기에 의한 데이터처리기술의 진보에 따라 불규칙한 입력을 받는 기계구조물의 고유진동수추정 및 진동모우드해석, 많은 소음. 진동원을 갖는 플랜트. 선박. 차량기기등의 발생원검출 및 기여 량파악, 그리고 acoustic emission 및 bispectrum에 의한 기기이상진단기술에 적용함으로써 공 학분야에서 한층 중요한 위치를 점하고 있다. 따라서 본 강좌에서는 먼저 상관해석에 의한 스 펙트럼의 정의에 대해서 기술하고 샘플링이론에 만족하는 시간간격으로 샘플링함으로써 얻어지는 시계열데이타를 Fourier 변환하여 주파수영역에서 계의 특성을 해석하는 원리 및 기여함수에 대해 설명하고자 한다. 그리고 입력원간에 상관이 존재하는 경우에 있어서 소음. 진동원을 검 출하고 기여량을 추정할 수 있는 방법으로서의 다차원스펙트럼해석법에 대해 간단하게 기술하 고자 한다.

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Analysis of the Effect on the Quantization of the Network's Outputs in the Neural Processor by the Implementation of Hybrid VLSI (하이브리드 VLSI 신경망 프로세서에서의 양자화에 따른 영향 분석)

  • Kwon, Oh-Jun;Kim, Seong-Woo;Lee, Jong-Min
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.9B no.4
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    • pp.429-436
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    • 2002
  • In order to apply the artificial neural network to the practical application, it is needed to implement it with the hardware system. It is most promising to make it with the hybrid VLSI among various possible technologies. When we Implement a trained network into the hybrid neuro-chips, it is to be performed the process of the quantization on its neuron outputs and its weights. Unfortunately this process cause the network's outputs to be distorted from the original trained outputs. In this paper we analysed in detail the statistical characteristics of the distortion. The analysis implies that the network is to be trained using the normalized input patterns and finally into the solution with the small weights to reduce the distortion of the network's outputs. We performed the experiment on an application in the time series prediction area to investigate the effectiveness of the results of the analysis. The experiment showed that the network by our method has more smaller distortion compared with the regular network.

Can Agricultural Aid and Remittances Alleviate Macroeconomic Volatility in Response to Climate Change Shocks? (아프리카 국가들의 경제성장률 변동성에 기후변화, 송금 및 농업 원조가 미치는 영향 분석)

  • You, Soobin;Kim, Taeyoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.471-494
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    • 2016
  • This study investigates the effect of remittance and agricultural aid inflows on GDP growth rate volatility in response to climate change shocks in twenty-eight African countries by using system generalized method of moments from 1996 to 2013 with three years grouped data. The climate change shocks are indicated by four variables; natural disasters, rainfall variability, fluctuation in temperature and the weighted anomaly standardized precipitation (WASP) index. Consequently, natural disasters and temperature variability have a significant effect on GDP volatility, while rainfall variability and WASP index have no adverse consequence on stabilization of the economy. On the other hand, in general, remittances and agricultural aid are helpful to stabilize the economy and especially remittances inflows can play a crucial role as insurance when natural disasters occur.

A Study for Forest Research using Airborne Laser Scanning (항공레이저측량을 이용한 산림조사 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Young;Wie, Gwang-Jae;Cho, Heung-Muk;Yang, In-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.299-304
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    • 2010
  • Depending on the progress of the surveying and information processing technology, the rapidly developing field of spatial information and the 3D real world spatial information for a variety of content on the computer was able to easily access. In this research, to study on the spot or to use aerial photographs to measure trees of the acquired data, calculate the trees height, forest area and capacity, determine the distribution of the density of acquired points in the forest and analyze accurate and objective information was acquired. The United States, Canada and so on through the capacity of trees biomass, forest resource analysis, time series monitoring, wildfire behavior modeling and applied research and has been declared. During worldwide is increasing interest in forest resources. In nationally, extensive research and analysis of the forest consists of the correct management and protection of forest resources to be effective.