• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수치기상모의풍속

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A Statistical Tuning Method to Improve the Accuracy of 1Km×1Km Resolution-Wind Data of South Korea Generated from a Numerical Meteorological Model (남한전역 1Km×1Km 격자지점에 대한 수치기상모의풍속의 정확도 향상을 위한 통계적 보정법)

  • Kim, Hea-Jung;Kim, Hyun-Sik;Choi, Young-Jean;Lee, Seong-Woo;Seo, Beom-Keun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1225-1235
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    • 2011
  • This paper suggests a method for tuning a numerically simulated wind speed data, provided by NIMR(National Institute of Meteorological Research) and generated from a numerical meteorological model to improve a wind resource map with a $1Km{\times}1Km$ resolution. To this end, "tuning factor method" is developed that consists of two procedures. First, estimate monthly wind fields based on a suitably designed statistical wind field model that covers 345,682 regions obtained by $1Km{\times}1Km$ lattice sites in South Korea. The second procedure computes the tuning factor and then tunes the generated wind speeds of each month as well as each lattice site. The second procedure is based on the wind fields estimated by the first procedure. The performance of the suggested tuning method is demonstrated by using two wind data(both TMY and numerically simulated wind speed data) of 75 weather station areas.

Development of the Korean wind map using WRF-FDDA-LES (WRF-FDDA-LES를 이용한 풍력-기상자원지도 개발)

  • Byon, Jae-Young;Choi, Young-Jean;Seo, Beom-Keun;Kim, Su-Na
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.181.1-181.1
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    • 2010
  • 기후변화의 주요인이 되는 온실가스 감축을 목표로 화석연료를 대체하기 위한 대체 에너지 개발을 위한 많은 노력이 진행되고 있다. 풍력 에너지와 같은 신재생에너지는 이러한 하나의 해결 수단이 될 수 있으며 풍력 에너지 사업의 활성화를 위해서는 정확한 풍력 정보 제공이 우선이다. 풍력-기상자원지도는 풍력 발전에 유용한 정보 제공을 위한 목적으로 중규모 수치 모델을 이용하여 작성된다. 본 연구에서는 중규모 수치 모델의 정확도 향상을 위한 자료동화 방법으로써 Four-Dimensional Data Assimilation (FDDA) 방법을 이용한다. 풍력-기상자원지도는 공간분해능 1 km 해상도로 개발된다. 풍력-기상자원지도는 1998-2008년까지의 평균적인 상태에 대하여 모의를 하기 위하여 통계적인 방법으로 11년 기간의 평균과 유사한 기간을 선정하였다. 풍력-기상자원지도는 연 평균, 월 평균 풍속과 주 풍향, 주풍향 발생 비율 등의 정보를 제공한다. 우리나라 풍속의 평균 분포는 내륙 산악지역, 남해안, 제주도에서 강풍이 발생하며 주 풍향은 대체로 북서풍이다. 주 풍향의 발생비율은 산악 지역과 남 동해안에서 높아 풍력 발전의 최적지 정보를 제공한다. 1 km 해상도의 모델과 관측의 오차는 서해안 등의 해안지역보다 강원 산악지역에서 오차가 더욱 증가하였다. 이러한 산악 지역의 오차는 복잡한 지형에서는 1km 미만의 수 백 m 해상도 수치모의가 필요함을 지시한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 WRF-LES 모형을 이용하여 333m 해상도의 기상자원지도를 개발한다. 333m 해상도의 자원지도 영역은 강원도 지역에 대하여 모의되었다. 333m 해상도의 풍속 분포는 1km 해상도의 풍속 분포와 비교하였을 때 풍속의 분포가 보다 세밀하게 표현되었다. 정량적인 검증을 하였을 때 관측소에 따라 차이는 있었으나 1km 해상도에서 과대 모의된 풍속의 분포가 현저히 개선이 되었으며, 시간적인 경향도 잘 일치함을 보였다.

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A Numerical Study on the Characteristics of Flows and Fine Particulate Matter (PM2.5) Distributions in an Urban Area Using a Multi-scale Model: Part I - Analysis of Detailed Flows (다중규모 모델을 이용한 도시 지역 흐름과 초미세먼지(PM2.5) 분포 특성 연구: Part I - 상세 흐름 분석)

  • Park, Soo-Jin;Choi, Wonsik;Kim, Jae-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.6_3
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    • pp.1643-1652
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    • 2020
  • To investigate the characteristics of detailed flows in a building-congested district, we coupled a computation fluid dynamics (CFD) model to the local data assimilation and prediction system (LDAPS), a current operational numerical weather prediction model of the Korea Meteorological Administration. For realistic numerical simulations, we used the meteorological variables such as wind speeds and directions and potential temperatures predicted by LDAPS as the initial and boundary conditions of the CFD model. We trilinearly interpolated the horizontal wind components of LDAPS to provide the initial and boudnary wind velocities to the CFD model. The trilinearly interpolated potential temperatures of LDAPS is converted to temperatures at each grid point of the CFD model. We linearly interpolated the horizontal wind components of LDAPS to provide the initial and boundary wind velocities to the CFD model. The linearly interpolated potential temperatures of LDAPS are converted to temperatures at each grid point of the CFD model. We validated the simulated wind speeds and directions against those measured at the PKNU-SONIC station. The LDAPS-CFD model reproduced similar wind directions and wind speeds measured at the PKNU-SONIC station. At 07 LST on 22 June 2020, the inflow was east-north-easterly. Flow distortion by buildings resulted in the east-south-easterly at the PKNU-SONIC station, which was the similar wind direction to the measured one. At 19 LST when the inflow was southeasterly, the LDAPS-CFD model simulated southeasterly (similar to the measured wind direction) at the PKNU-SONIC station.

Simulations of Changes in Wind Field Over Mountainous Terrains Using WRF and ENVI-met Numerical Models (WRF와 ENVI-met 수치 모델을 이용한 산악지형의 바람장 변화 모사)

  • Won, Myoungsoo;Han, Seonho
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2013
  • In this paper we interpreted the changes in wind field over complex mountainous terrains. The results of our study can be applied for predicting the direction of fire spread and for establishing strategies for fire prevention. The study area is bounded by $12{\times}12$ km domains of the Samcheok's long-term ecological research (LTER) site located in the east coast, in which a large-fire had occurred from 7 to 13 April 2000. Because of the area's complex topography, we compared the result of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) mesoscale model with those observed by four automated weather stations. The WRF simulation overestimated the wind speed by 5 to 8 m/s (~200%) in comparison with those from four automated weather stations. The wind directions observed by the AWSs were from various directions whereas those from WRF model were mostly west wind at all stations. Overall, the simulations by the WRF mesoscale models were not appropriate for the estimation of microscale wind fields over complex mountainous areas. To overcome such inadequacy of reproducing the wind fields, we employed the ENVI-met model over Samcheok's LTER site. In order to test the model's sensitivity with the terrain effects, experimental simulations were conducted with various initial conditions. The simulation results of the ENVI-met model showed a reasonable agreement in wind speeds (about 70% accuracy) with those of the four AWSs. Also, that the variations in wind directions agreed reasonably well with changes in terrain effect. We concluded that the ENVI-met model is more appropriate in representing the microscale wind field over complex mountain terrains, which is required to predict fire spread and to establish strategies for forest fire prevention.

SST 차이에 따른 연안지역 중규모 대기유동장 및 오염패턴변화에 관한 수치모의

  • Jeon, Won-Bae;Lee, Hwa-Un;Lee, Sun-Hwan;Im, Heon-Ho;Choe, Hyeon-Jeong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Environmental Sciences Society Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.47-49
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    • 2008
  • 기상장 수치모의 결과 Case NGSST와 Case Default의 해수면 온도가 다르게 표현 되어 대상지역의 온도장을 변화 시켰고, 이에 따른 바다와 육지간의 온도경도 변화는 해풍 및 육풍의 침투 깊이를 변화 시켰을 뿐만 아니라 풍속의 변화에도 영향을 미쳤다. 이러한 기상장의 차이는 대기질 모의결과에도 영향을 미쳐 오존농도 분포의 차이로 나타났다.

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A Study on High-resolution Numerical Simulation with Detailed Classification of Landuse and Anthropogenic Heat in Seoul Metropolitan area (수도권지역의 지표이용도 및 인공열 상세적용에 따른 고해상도 수치실험 연구)

  • Lee, Hankyung;Jee, Joon-Bum;Min, Jae-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.232-245
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    • 2017
  • In this study, the high-resolution numerical simulation results considering landuse characteristics are analyzed by using single layer Urban Canopy Model (UCM) in Weather Research Forecast (WRF). For this, the impact of urban parameters such as roughness length and anthropogenic heat in UCM is analyzed. These values are adjusted to Seoul metropolitan area in Korea. The results of assessment are verified against observation from surface and flux tower. Forecast system equipped with UCM shows an overall improvement in the simulations of meteorological parameters, especially temperature at 2 m, surface sensible and latent heat flux. Major contribution of UCM is appreciably found in urban area rather than non-urban. The non-urban area is indirectly affected. In simulated latent heat flux, applying UCM is possible to simulate the change similarly with observations on urban area. Anthropogenic heat employed in UCM shows the most realistic results in terms of temperature and surface heat flux, indicating thermodynamic treatment of UCM could enhance the skills of high resolution forecast model in urban and non-urban area.

Temporal and Spatial Wind Information Production and Correction Algorithm Development by Land Cover Type over the Republic of Korea (한반도 시공간적 바람정보 생산과 토지피복별 보정 알고리즘 개발)

  • Kim, Do Yong;Han, Kyung Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2012
  • Wind is an important variable for various scientific communities such as meteorology, climatology, and renewable energy. In this study, numerical simulations using WRF mesoscale model were performed to produce temporal and spatial wind information over the Republic of Korea during 2006. Although the spatial features and monthly variations of the near-surface wind speed were well simulated in the model, the simulated results overestimated the observed values as a whole. To correct these simulated wind speeds, a regression-based statistical algorithm with different constants and coefficients by land cover type was developed using the satellite-derived LST and NDWI. The corrected wind speeds for the algorithm validation showed strong correlation and close agreement with the observed values for each land cover type, with nearly zero mean bias and less than 0.4 m/s RMSE. Therefore, the proposed algorithm using remotely sensed surface observations may be useful for correcting simulated near-surface wind speeds and producing more accurate wind information over the Republic of Korea.

Carbon Monoxide Dispersion in an Urban Area Simulated by a CFD Model Coupled to the WRF-Chem Model (WRF-Chem 모델과 결합된 CFD 모델을 활용한 도시 지역의 일산화탄소 확산 연구)

  • Kwon, A-Rum;Park, Soo-Jin;Kang, Geon;Kim, Jae-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.5_1
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    • pp.679-692
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    • 2020
  • We coupled a CFD model to the WRF-Chem model (WRF-CFD model) and investigated the characteristics of flows and carbon monoxide (CO) distributions in a building-congested district. We validated the simulated results against the measured wind speeds, wind directions, and CO concentrations. The WRF-Chem model simulated the winds from southwesterly to southeasterly, overestimating the measured wind speeds. The statistical validation showed that the WRF-CFD model simulated the measured wind speeds more realistically than the WRF-Chem model. The WRF-Chem model significantly underestimated the measured CO concentrations, and the WRF-CFD model improved the CO concentration prediction. Based on the statistical validation results, the WRF-CFD model improved the performance in predicting the CO concentrations by taking complicatedly distributed buildings and mobiles sources of CO into account. At 04 KST on May 22, there was a downdraft around the AQMS, and airflow with a relatively low CO concentration was advected from the upper layer. Resultantly, the CO concentration was lower at the AQMS than the surrounding area. At 15 KST on May 22, there was an updraft around the AQMS. This resulted in a slightly higher CO concentration than the surroundings. The WRF-CFD model transported CO emitted from the mobile sources to the AQMS measurement altitude, well reproducing the measured CO concentration. At 18 KST on May 22, the WRF-CFD model simulated high CO concentrations because of high CO emission, broad updraft area, and an increase in turbulent diffusion cause by wind-shear increase near the ground.

Local Wind Field Simulation over Coastal Areas Using Windprofiler Data (윈드프로파일러 자료를 이용한 연안 지역 국지 바람장 모의)

  • Kim, Min-Seong;Kim, Kwang-Ho;Kim, Park-Sa;Kang, Dong-Hwan;Kwon, Byung Hyuk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.195-204
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, the applicability and usefulness of windprofiler input data were investigated to generate three dimensional wind field. A logical diagnostic model CALMET with windprofiler data at ten sites and with weather forecasting model WRF output was evaluated by statistically comparing with the radiosonde data at eight sites. The horizontal wind speed from CALMET simulated with hourly windprofiler data is in good agreement with radiosonde observations within 1.5 m/s of the root mean square error, especially local circulation of wind such as sea breeze over the coastal region. The root mean square error of wind direction ranged $50^{\circ}{\sim}70^{\circ}$ is due to the wind direction error from the windprofiler polluted by ground clutters. Since the exact wind can be produced quickly and accurately in most of the altitude with windprofiler data on CALMET, we expect the method presented in this study to be useful for the monitoring of safe environment as well as weather in the coastal zone.

Long-term Runoff Simulation using Global Landuse and Soil data (전지구 토지이용 및 토양자료를 활용한 북한지역 유출모의)

  • Kim, Nam-Won;Lee, Jeong-Eun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1068-1071
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    • 2009
  • 현재 한강수계의 화천댐 상류, 임진강 상류지역의 상당부분이 북한에 속해있다. 따라서, 장기유출모의 수행을 위한 기본입력자료인 수문기상자료 및 수치주제도(토지이용, 토양)의 활용에 있어 미계측 유역으로 간주되어 왔다. 그러나, 전세계 기상통신망(GTS: Global Telecommunication System)을 통해 수문기상자료(강수량, 기온, 습도, 풍속 등)는 기상청에서 제공되고 있으며, 국제연합대학(United Nations University)에서 추진하고 있는 WaterBase 프로젝트를 통해 토지이용도(24종류, 1km 해상도) 및 토양도(5,000종류, 10km 해상도)를 활용할 수 있는 상황이다. 하지만, 언급한 자료에 대한 국내검토는 충분히 이루어지지 못하고 있다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 화천댐 상류유역을 대상으로 전세계 기상통신망 수문기상자료와 전지구 토지이용과 토양자료에 대한 검토를 수행하였다. 또한 물리적 기반의 장기유출모형인 SWAT-K의 입력자료로 활용하여 유역물수지 및 유출분석을 실시한 후, 그 적용성을 평가하였다. 이러한 연구는 기후변화 및 북한지역의 댐건설과 같은 한강수계의 수문학적 조건 변화로 인한 수자원 관리 및 계획를 위해 보다 활발히 이루어져야 할 것으로 판단된다.

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