• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.20 no.1_2
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• pp.231-290
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• 1998

본고에서는 한 국가가 요소부존도의 독특성을 상실함으로써 교역조건의 악화 및 후생손실을 겪을 수 있다는 '헥셔올린 구축가설'을 이론적 토대로 지난 20년간 우리나라 제조업의 구조변화를 분석함으로써 당면하고 있는 구조적인 문제점이 무엇인가를 살펴보려 하였다. 그 결과 그간 중고등교육 노동력의 급속한 양적 팽창에도 불구하고 이러한 요소를 집약적으로 사용하는 부문(전기 전자, 기계 등 일본가 같은 선진국과 경쟁관계에 있는 부문)의 비교우위 획득속도가 매우 더디었을 뿐 아니라, 이 부문의 상대가격이 중장기적으로 하락하여온 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 현상이 요소부존도의 독특성 상실에 기인하는 한 이는 헥셔올린 구축가설과 일맥상통한다고 볼 수 있다. 또한 비숙련산업(섬유 의류 등)은 중국 및 동남아의 등장 이후 비교우위를 급속히 상실하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 하지만 이 부문에서 수입물가대비 수출물가가 오히려 지속적으로 상승한 것은 헥셔올린 구축가설이 의미하는 것과는 정반대의 현상이라고 할 수 있겠다. 종합적으로 반숙련 및 숙련(화학 등)산업에서의 상대가격 및 교역조건(수출물가/수입물가) 하락현상이 두드러져 제조업 전체로는 80년대 후반 이후 교역조건 악화현상이 일어났다고 판단된다. 교역조건의 악화현상은 우리가 만든 물건을 값싸게 수출하고 값비싼 물건을 수입하여야 한다는 점에서 후생의 손실을 의미한다. 동태적으로도 반숙련 및 숙련산업에서의 상대가격 및 교역조건 악화는 중등 및 고등교육인력의 상대임금을 하락시켜 인적자본의 축적을 저해하는 방향으로 작용할 것이다. 이러한 현상이 일어난 원인이 본고에서 주장한 바와 같이 요소부존도의 독특성 상실에 있다면 이에 대한 대책은 차별화 및 혁신능력을 보유한 양질의 인력양성과 같은 것이 될 것이다. 그러나 본고가 물적자본이나 기술과 같은 요소들을 고려하지 못한 한 구체적 정책적 함의의 도출에는 보다 신중을 기해야 할 것이다.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.17 no.10
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• pp.598-615
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• 2017

This paper compares the sources of the changes in the production of manufacturing industry between Korea and Japan during year 2000 ~year 2011 by I-O SDA. The results show that the first source of the increase in the production of Manufacturing industry in Korea is export, while in Japan the technological change. However, the contribution of technological change is relatively small in Korea and moreover decreasing. Meanwhile, the domestic final demand is the second source of the increase in the production of Korean manufacturing industry, but it was the first source of the decrease in the production of Japanese counterpart. On the other hand, the decrease in import substitution for both the intermediate and domestic final goods is significantly contributed to the decrease in the production of both Korean and Japanese manufacturing industry. Conclusively, these results confirm that the growth of Korean manufacturing industry has heavily depended on export. Then, considering the current global economic environment that is rapidly becoming more uncertain as well as volatile, the results imply that the heavy export dependence may become a key hurdle for the solid sustained growth of Korean manufacturing industry, so that policy ensuring more evenly balanced growth contribution from all growth sources is necessary. In particular, policy to promote technological change and import substitution is required with greater weight.

• Journal of Information Technology and Architecture
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.359-369
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• 2014

This paper aims to analyze the change of dominion in Russian automotive market and Korea port to export cars to the Russia. First, we provide the current market structure and growth potentials of Russian automotive industry by using literature reviews and data survey. Next, we analyze the current situation to export cars through the Korean seaports using the BCG (Boston Consulting Group)'s matrix method. The analysis shows that the Russian car market has growth potential. The result of expectation of Russian major car export's port within 3~5 years since the year 2013 shows that the Pohang Port will maintain current market share because it has higher market share and growth potential. On the contrary, the Guangyang Port, Busan Port, and Ulsan Port will lose the market share because of the low growth potential. Also, the Incheon Port will become the cash cow market because it has more than 10 percent market share and higher growth potential. To increase the car export volume of ports to Russian market, this paper proposes that we should provide a differentiated service to Russian port based on the analysis of domestic or foreign car export logistics structure and flow. For further study, EA-based framework should be applied for efficient and effective policies.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.83-105
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• 2017

I tried to analyze export relation of influence in Chinese H beam(common steel), Hot Rolled Steel(common steel), Plate(common steel) which could be influenced immediately by China's cancellation of the export rebate of value added tax in 2010 through the statistic methods such as cointegration, Granger causality, impulse response and variance decomposition. In the first period they mutually influenced each other in export to Korea but in the second period, this relation of influence was lessoned. Due to production expansion of Hot Rolled Steel(common steel), Plate(common steel) in Korea, the change of import trend, the market change of steel users' industries and China's expedient export of boron steel to Korea, mutual influence among these products was greatly declined. Ever since Hyundai Steel's production expansion involving blast furnace facilities, there is need for the industry to concentrate on developing new markets for its facilities' output in Korea. Therefore, Korea's steel industry desperately needs strength of de-jure standards such as unique quality standards and related certifications, efficient distribution management, as well as export promotion strategy through its global trading network to effectively address its structural supply-demand imbalances.

• Journal of Korean Electronics
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• v.18 no.9
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• pp.1-9
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• 1998

최근 우리는 IMF 체제로 인한 극심한 경제적 어려움에 직면해 있는데, 외환 안정과 실업 억제 및 성공적인 구조조정이 사태해결에 필수적이며 이를 위해서는 오직 수출을 증대시켜 나가는 길밖에 없는 상황이다. 우리 수출은 산업의 기반이 허약해 외부 영에 너무 민감하게 변화되는 바 최근 '원'화는 큰 폭으로 절상되고 경쟁국인 일본, 대만 등이 대미 '달러'화에 큰 폭으로 절하되고 있어 우리의 수출 증대에 가장 큰 문제점으로 대두되고 있다. 더구나 전자산업은 우리나라 총수출의 30.4%를 차지하는 제1의 주종산업일 뿐 아니라 생산대 수출비중이 70%에 이르는 수출 주도형 산업인 관계로 그 영향을 분석, 대응해 나가기 위해서 주요 123개 전자업체(총수출의 87% 차지)들의 설문조사를 통해 본 보고서를 발표하였다.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.4 no.3
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• pp.311-322
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• 2001

This study is on the decomposition analysis of the IT export of Korea, Japan, and China (toward US IT market) by using log mean Divisia method. The analysis shows that the increase in the Korea-US IT exports is the result of not only the increase in the US's IT imports but also the increase in the US's IT market shares. The increases in the Japan-US IT export have shown to be the result of the increase of US's IT import but the market shares have been decreased. The increase in the China-US IT export is the result of the changes in the market shares, changes in IT import structure. and the IT import increase. In order to increase exports toward US markets, Korea have to continue increasing the market share of communication equipments, secure competitive power toward US IT markets with the decline of Japanese's market shares, and secure technical superiority over rising competitive power of Chinas IT industry.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.181-201
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• 2016

In this study, transaction cost approach was applied to analysis on direct export determinants of SMEs by using key attributes of transactions, asset specificity, environmental uncertainty, frequency and marketing capability, with a parameter of opportunism. Typical Transaction Cost Analysis theory explains that when transaction cost with business channels(whether it is for buy or sell) increase, the firms integrate the channels. So it is a choice made by firms regarding direct versus indirect channels. The theory was extended to a model of choice of institutional form of direct or indirect export by a norm of opportunism in this empirical study. The survey result showed that lower level of asset specificity and marketing capability or higher level of environmental uncertainty were likely to expose indirect exporters to higher level of opportunism of direct exporter. And we also saw that indirect exporters were likely to choose direct export chanel when opportunism of exporters was higher. From the standpoint of theory, we can say that the basic propositions of the Transaction Cost Analysis, except the attribute of frequency, are supported. This study result could provide a profiling of target business areas and firms for government's policy on direct export promotion of SMEs.

• Convergence Security Journal
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• v.14 no.6_1
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• pp.23-32
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• 2014

Japan has abolished the 3 Principles on Arms Exports and announced the new 3 Principles on Transfer of Defense Equipment and Technology. This article investigates the backgrounds of the abolition of the old regulation on banning arms exports. Japan government repealed 3 principles on arms exports to develop military industry and they insist that they pursue their national strategy called "Proactive Contribution to Peace." The future changes in defense industry due to the new principles are examined with the analysis of the defense industry indicators. The home production of the arms could be continued. However the international cooperation for the co-development and co-production of the weapon systems would be increased with not only the US but also the various countries. At the same time the efforts to export arms overseas are anticipated to be enhanced by the Japanese government and defense companies.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.147-170
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• 2013

The Free Trade Agreement between Korea and Peru entered into force in 2011. Under the agreement, both countries will eliminated all tariffs within ten years after it takes effect. The Korea-Peru Free Trade Agreement turned out to have significantly boosted Korea's exports to the South American state, as well as its relative share in the local import market. Korea mainly imports resources such as zinc and copper, and exports such goods as passenger car and color televisions. The FTA opens up a larger market for Korean home appliances like color televisions. Korea's trade with Peru has been mainly about concentrated investment into mining and exporting limited variety of export items. This paper analyzes the recent trends of problems of trade between Korea and Peru and suggests solutions for boosting trade to provide proper strategic guidelines for Korea that are planning to expand to Peruvian market

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.406-420
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• 2009

European economic integration and geographical enlargement brought change in the intra-european trade flow and a trade structure. The first, an european enlargement contributes to the increase in intra-european trade, but its effect relatively becomes smaller successive enlargement. The second, the intra-industry trade increases in the intra-european trade according as an european economic integration and enlargement make possible the economy of scale. In the intra-industry trade, the horizontal intra-industry trade decreases and the vertical intra-industry trade increases. The third, the Western Europe's trade is generally an intra-industry trade, the trade of Southern Europe, Central and Eastern Europe is an inter-industry trade. But the South Europe's trade and Central and Eastern Europe's trade change from the inter-industry trade to the intra-industry trade.