• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수급예측

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Evaluation of yield and growth responses on paddy rice under the extremely high temperature using temperature gradient field chamber (온도구배야외챔버를 이용한 고온에서의 벼 생육반응 및 수량성 평가)

  • Oh, Dohyeok;Ryu, Jae-Hyun;Cho, Yunhyeong;Kim, Wonsik;Cho, Jaeil
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2018
  • The effect of elevated temperature on temperate paddy rice will be significant for dependable food supply in East Asia. Using temperature gradient field chamber (TGFC), which was designed to make the horizontal air temperature gradient by $0^{\circ}C$ to $3^{\circ}C$ higher than outside, we examined the measurement to understand the effects of extremely high temperature on paddy rice. In particular, the data of the year 2016, the worst heat wave in over 22 years, was analyzed in this study. The rice height in the relatively warmed condition was rapidly increased during early growth stage. However, the average grain weight and number of spikelet per panicle in the warmed chamber condition were gradually declined with increasing air temperature averaged for 40 days after first heading in each chamber. In particular, the grain yield was more dramatically decreased by the raising temperature because the percent ripened grain was quickly dropped as getting over the threshold temperature for pollination. Therefore, the surplus photosynthetic product by such lower grain filling rate may disturbed the decreases of the NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) and SPAD chlorophyll values after first (normal) heading. In addition, the late-emerging head grain were appeared. However, this yield was too small to recover the normal yields decreased by extremely high temperature condition. Our result represented that the warmed condition in 2016 would be the critical limit for the stable yield of temperate paddy rice.

Design of Web-GIS based SWG Simulator for Disseminating Integrated Water Information (통합 물정보 제공을 위한 웹 GIS 기반의 SWG 시뮬레이터 설계)

  • Park, Yonggil;Kim, Kyehyun;Lee, Sungjoo;Yoo, Jaehyun
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.19-31
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    • 2015
  • Due to the global warming and unstable abnormal climate changes, water resources differences between regions and water shortage are occurring. Therefore, the water resources management is becoming more important for the stable securement of future water supply and demand. Researches on Smart Water Grid (SWG), which is considered as a new method, that can stably secure and maintain the water resources, are actively being conducted but it is still in infancy. Thus, this study aimed to design SWG simulator based on GIS in order to provide integrated water information in web environment. The user's requirements were analyzed for system development and important functions such as SWG current situation checking, future prediction, filtration plant situation checking functions were designed and data expression techniques using GIS and HTML5 were applied to enhance the understanding of the users. Also, when the emergency situations occurred, the solving process of the situations are reproduced to check the solution process using scenario reproduction functions. Use-case, class, sequence diagram, which are a design for real system development and defines the system usage contents of users, were written, and the story board was written to check the final development contents. This study designed a SWG simulator in order to support the water maintenance reacting to climate changes. The development of system is expected to help securing information to deal with emergency situations such as water shortage and help the decision maker to make decision through reproduction of scenario. The major functions were designed for the convenience of water resource manager and producer but new contents for consumers must be developed to enable duplex information transmission.

Operation Scheduling in a Commercial Building with Chiller System and Energy Storage System for a Demand Response Market (냉각 시스템 및 에너지 저장 시스템을 갖춘 상업용 빌딩의 수요자원 거래시장 대응을 위한 운영 스케줄링)

  • Son, Joon-Ho;Rho, Dae-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.312-321
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    • 2018
  • The Korean DR market proposes suppression of peak demand under reliability crisis caused a natural disaster or unexpected power plant accidents as well as saving power plant construction costs and expanding amount of reserve as utility's perspective. End-user is notified a DR event signal DR execution before one hour, and executes DR based on requested amount of load reduction. This paper proposes a DR energy management algorithm that can be scheduled the optimal operations of chiller system and ESS in the next day considering the TOU tariff and DR scheme. In this DR algorithm is divided into two scheduling's; day-ahead operation scheduling with temperature forecasting error and operation rescheduling on DR operation. In day-ahead operation scheduling, the operations of DR resources are scheduled based on the finite number of ambient temperature scenarios, which have been generated based on the historical ambient temperature data. As well as, the uncertainties in DR event including requested amount of load reduction and specified DR duration are also considered as scenarios. Also, operation rescheduling on DR operation day is proposed to ensure thermal comfort and the benefit of a COB owner. The proposed method minimizes the expected energy cost by a mixed integer linear programming (MILP).

A Causality Analysis of the different types of onion prices (주요산지 양파 작형별 가격간 인과관계 분석)

  • Yang, Jin-Suk;Kim, Bae-Sung;Kim, Hwa-Nyeon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.440-447
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the causation and variation among the various types of onion prices in the major production sites to predict these prices. The Granger causal relationship was tested on the basis of VECM by setting the onion price of the early, middle, and late species as individual variables. The analysis shows that the amount of onions produced in the prior term affects the price of onions for the later period, while garlic in the substitution relationship with onions also affects the prices of onions for the early and middle-variety. On the other hand, the price of the late-variety is affected by the price of the early-variety, and the price of the middle-variety is also affected by the price of the early-variety. If the price of onions on Jeju changes due to other factors, the prices of onions in Jeollanam-do and Gyeongsangnam-do provinces will be affected. Accordingly, when the production of late-variety increases or decreases in production under any factor and to promote stability of the prices of middle and late-variety through preemptive supply and demand measures when the prices of ultra-breed onions rise or fall due to any factor (Ed- I cannot understand this last sentence and cannot guess at the correct meaning. Please try to rewrite very simply).

Review of Laser Based Uranium Enrichment Technology for Nuclear Power Fuel Production (원전연료 생산을 위한 레이저 공정 개발동향)

  • Kim, Jae-Woo;Lee, Jae-Chul;Yang, Maeng-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.965-982
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    • 2011
  • Currently, dependency of natural and energy resources on world economy may not be more serious than any before increasing the uncertainty of Korea's national economy, especially as China uses unexpectedly fast glowing portion of world resources. Due to insufficient natural resources and unmatured renewable energy system, it is very important for Korea to secure the energy sources not only for national prosperity but also security for the future. In this regard, importance and necessity of nuclear energy as a major electric power source in Korea are in need to be emphasized. Korea currently imports all the necessary enriched uranium for fabrication of nuclear fuel from abroad. Thus, it is extremely important to establish a secured supply system for enriched uranium regardless of the global political unstability as well as economic fluctuation. In order to build the nuclear fuel procurement system, it is required to analyze the global market status, current enrichment service systems, and the future technology under development. For this purpose, this study comparatively analyzes the laser based advanced technology for uranium enrichment under development in the United States, which is assumed to be 2~3 times more economically viable than currently available technologies.

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A Study on the Pork Market Analysis of the Philippines and the Export Prospect of Korea Pork (필리핀 돼지고기 시장 분석 및 수출 전망)

  • Kwak, Young-Tai
    • Food Science of Animal Resources
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.491-496
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    • 2006
  • This study was focused on the pork market analysis of the Philippines and the export prospect of Korean pork to the Philippines. The main results are as follows; first, the Philippines have relied on import some quantity of pork consumption every year because climate condition is unfavorable for pig raising and production technologies are undeveloped. Major exporting countries to the Philippines are Germany, Canada, Belgium, Denmark, France, Holland. Second, Korea exported pork of 2,885 tons to the Philippines from Jan. 2004 to Oct. 2004. It was 5.7% of total import pork Third, pork of skinning was 20% higher than the pork of scalding in the consumer price of pork in the Philippines. The consumer price of pork in Korean pork market was 281% in belly, 118% in loin, 106% in leg, 117% in tenderloin higher than the Philippines pork market. Fourth, the export of Korean pork to the Philippines depends on the price of Korean pork market entirely for future, but low grade part of pork and byproducts can be exported to the philippines because consumer price of pork in the Philippines is low compared to Korean pork market.

Effect of the Civil Servant's Suspension of Pension Payments on the Labor Supply and Suggestions on Developmental Alternatives of Suspension of Pension Payments (공무원연금의 지급정지제도가 가입자의 노동공급에 미치는 영향 및 지급정지제도의 발전방향 모색)

  • Ji, Eun-Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.375-403
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    • 2005
  • This Study reviews theoretical argument about the effect of retirement earnings test on the labor supply of the aged which is controversial issue in OECD countries and analyze the effect on the incidence of re-employment, re-employment period of suspended officials and the possibility of re-retirement through Government Employment Pension Corporation data. It consists of 178,363 public officials who received pension benefit or disability pension in January 2005. The main result of this research shows that public officials re-employed were 8,086 which is 4.5% of total retired, and median survival time of suspended pension payments is 3.3 years. Also the median re-employment period of 100% suspended officials is about 20 month shorter than that of 1/2 suspended officials and it is shown in regression analysis that the possibility of re-retirement by 100% suspended officials is statistically significant higher than those of 50%. It specially expects greater influence if includes in case taking lump-sum or no making effect of re-employment because current system withhold pension payments even by earned income itself. Therefore, this analysis suggests suspension of pension payment properly applied according to the age and income together with "Delayed Retirement Credit" or "Partial Pension" for developmental alternatives of civil servant's suspension of pension payments. Furthermore, It is urgently needed that distinctive quality data about re-employment including earnings to perform deep-empirical research for effective policy. Lastly, it is extremely necessary to reinforce management system of Government Employment Pension Corporation.

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Spatio-temporal variability of future wind energy over the Korean Peninsular using Climate Change Scenarios (기후변화 시나리오를 활용한 한반도 미래 풍력에너지의 시공간적 변동성 전망)

  • Kim, Yumi;Lim, Yoon-Jin;Lee, Hyun-Kyoung;Choi, Byoung-Choel
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.49 no.6
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    • pp.833-848
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    • 2014
  • The assessment of the current and future climate change-induced potential wind energy is an important issue in the planning and operations of wind farm. Here, the authors analyze spatiotemporal characteristics and variabilities of wind energy over Korean Peninsula in the near future (2006-2040) using Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP) scenarios data. In this study, National Institute of Meteorological Research (NIMR) regional climate model HadGEM3-RA based RCP 2.6 and 8.5 scenarios are analyzed. The comparison between ERA-interim and HadGEM3-RA during the period of 1981-2005 indicates that the historical simulation of HadGEM3-RA slightly overestimates (underestimates) the wind energy over the land (ocean). It also shows that interannual and intraseasonal variability of hindcast data is generally larger than those of reanalysis data. The investigation of RCP scenarios based future wind energy presents that future wind energy density will increase over the land and decrease over the ocean. The increase in the wind energy and its variability is particularly significant over the mountains and coastal areas, such as Jeju island in future global warming. More detailed analysis presents that the changes in synoptic conditions over East Asia in future decades can influence on the predicted wind energy abovementioned. It is also suggested that the uncertainty of the predicted future wind energy may increase because of the increase of interannual and intra-annual variability. In conclusion, our results can be used as a background data for devising a plan to develop and operate wind farm over the Korean Peninsula.

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Technology Trends and Future Prospects of Satellite-Based Photovoltaic Electricity Potential (위성기반 태양광 발전가능량 산출기술 개발 동향 및 향후 전망)

  • Han, Kyung-Soo;Kim, Jinsoo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.579-587
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    • 2016
  • To obtain a stable energy supply and manage PhotoVoltaic (PV) systems efficiently, satellite imagery methods are being developed to estimate the solar PV potential. This study analyzed trends in the use of satellite imagery in solar PV and solar irradiation estimation technology. The imaging technology is used to produce solar energy resource maps. The trend analysis showed that the level of solar PV technology in Korea is 30% below that of advanced countries. It is impossible to raise such low-level technologies to the levels of advanced countries quickly. Intensive research and development is the only way to achieve the 80% technology level of advanced countries. The information produced in this process can contribute to the management of solar power plants. A valid technology development strategy would be to obtain effective data that can be used for fieldwork. Such data can be produced by estimating solar irradiation very accurately with several-hundred-meter resolution using Communication, Ocean, and Meteorological Satellites (COMS) and next-generation GEO-KOMPSAT 2A, developing core technologies for short- and medium-term irradiation prediction, and developing technologies for estimating the solar PV potential.

Supply-Demand Forecasting of Principal Engineers in Construction Industry Using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스를 활용한 건설 특급기술자 수급전망)

  • Kim, Sung-Tae;Lee, Hyun-Soo;An, Sun-Ju;Ryu, Han-Guk;Park, Moon-Seo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.161-172
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    • 2007
  • By prosperous condition of construction economy in the early 90s in Korea, the government needed a lot of the qualified professional engineers (PE) to manage the construction site. In order to meet the high demand of P.E., Government has established the admitted engineer systems(AES) in 1995 that give the authority of principal engineers to the admitted engineers who do not take the written examination but have equivalent working experience. Since 2000, professional $engineer^{\circ}{\phi}s$ shortage has been resolved. however, the opposite situation, which is serious over-supply of construction engineers has occurred. Thus, Government announced that would abolish the admitted engineer systems as recognized the existent admitted engineers(about 1,000,000 persons) from 2007. However, Professional Engineers Institution has strongly insisted that Government should not recognize existent admitted engineers. From this point of view, it is critical to make the supply-demand forecast systems as a derivative approach of System Dynamics also, that is useful in comparing the argument between Government and Professional Engineers Institution. This paper describes about principal $engineer^{\circ}{\phi}s$ supply change by admitted engineer system abrogation and suggests the idea to regulate the supply and demand with the improvement of the regal system.