Browse > Article

Supply-Demand Forecasting of Principal Engineers in Construction Industry Using System Dynamics  

Kim, Sung-Tae (서울대학교 건축학과)
Lee, Hyun-Soo (서울대학교 건축학과)
An, Sun-Ju (서울대학교 건축학과)
Ryu, Han-Guk (한미파슨스 건설전략연구소)
Park, Moon-Seo (서울대학교 건축학과)
Publication Information
Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management / v.8, no.5, 2007 , pp. 161-172 More about this Journal
Abstract
By prosperous condition of construction economy in the early 90s in Korea, the government needed a lot of the qualified professional engineers (PE) to manage the construction site. In order to meet the high demand of P.E., Government has established the admitted engineer systems(AES) in 1995 that give the authority of principal engineers to the admitted engineers who do not take the written examination but have equivalent working experience. Since 2000, professional $engineer^{\circ}{\phi}s$ shortage has been resolved. however, the opposite situation, which is serious over-supply of construction engineers has occurred. Thus, Government announced that would abolish the admitted engineer systems as recognized the existent admitted engineers(about 1,000,000 persons) from 2007. However, Professional Engineers Institution has strongly insisted that Government should not recognize existent admitted engineers. From this point of view, it is critical to make the supply-demand forecast systems as a derivative approach of System Dynamics also, that is useful in comparing the argument between Government and Professional Engineers Institution. This paper describes about principal $engineer^{\circ}{\phi}s$ supply change by admitted engineer system abrogation and suggests the idea to regulate the supply and demand with the improvement of the regal system.
Keywords
Admitted Engineer System(AES); Professional Engineers(PE); Principal Engineers; System Dynamics(SD);
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 1  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 Forrester, J. W. (1969). Urban dynamics, Cambridge: The MIT Press
2 Lyneis, J., Cooper, K, and Els, S. (2001). 'Strategic management of complex projects: A case study using system dynamics', System Dynamics Review, Vol. 17, No.3, pp.237-260   DOI
3 박환표, 건설경기 변화에 따른 건설기술자의 수급전망, 대한건축학회논문집 21권 12호, pp.199-207, 2005
4 과학기술부, 기술사법개정공포, 보도자료, 2007
5 대한측량협회, http://www.kasm.or.kr/, (2006.12.31)
6 한국엔지니어링진흥협회, http://www.kenca.or.kr/, (2006.12.31)
7 이덕기 (1999). 예측방법의 이해, SPSS 아카데미, pp. 4-5
8 건축법 (개정, 2007.01.03)
9 건설감리협회, http://www.gamri.or.kr/, (2006.12.31)
10 건설기술관리법시행령 (개정, 2006.12.29)
11 건설산업기본법 (개정, 2006.06.12)
12 Sterman, J. (2000).' Business dynamics: System thinking and modeling for a complex world', New York: McGraw-Hill, pp.191-232
13 김현철 (2005). 시계열자료의 분석과 예측, 교육과학사, pp14-17
14 대한건설협회, http://www.cak.or.kr/, (2006.12.31)
15 통계청, http://kosis.nso.go.kr/, (2006.12.31)
16 교육인적자원부, http://www.moe.go.kr/,(2006.12.31)
17 노동부, http://laborstt.molab.go.kr/, (2006.12.31)
18 이교선 (2003). 건설기술자의 자격인정체계 개선방안, 건설경제, 통권35권, 한국국토개발원
19 안선주 (2006). 건설 엔지니어링 경력개발 프로그램 구축 방안, 건축학회논문집 제 22권 8호, pp 149-158
20 Kwak, S. (1995). 'Policy analysis of Hanford tank farm operations with system dynamics approach.' Ph. D Dissertation, The Massachusetts Institute of Technology
21 한국산업인력공단, http://www.q-net.or.kr/, (2006.12.31)
22 한국건설기술인협회, http://www.kocea.or.kr/, (2006.12.31)
23 장현승, 이복남, 김우영 (2005), 선진국의 건설기술사제도를 통해본 시사점, 한국건설산업연구원
24 장수진 (2005). 건설기술자 관련제도의 개선방안에 관한 연구, 서울대학교 석사학위 논문