• Title/Summary/Keyword: 손실회피성

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The Effect of Ambiguity Aversion on Self-Protection and Self-Insurance effort (모호성 회피성향이 손실 발생 확률 및 손실 크기를 줄이기 위한 노력에 미치는 영향)

  • Hong, Ji-Min
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.433-438
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    • 2018
  • This study examined the effects of ambiguity aversion on the self-protection and self-insurance efforts using a two-period model to consider the time difference between making an effort and occurring loss, which is in contrast with the existing one-period model. The loss follows a binary distribution while the distribution is ambiguous. The distribution depends on the state variable. First, the effort of ambiguity averse individuals is not always greater than that of ambiguity neutral ones. Second, the effects of absolute ambiguity aversion (AAA), which does not appear in one-period model, were observed. Not-increasing AAA is a sufficient condition to increase the efforts of ambiguity averse individuals compared to those of ambiguity neutral ones. In addition, the change in effort also depends on the probability function of the state. Lastly, the results hold even when the individual is risk neutral or risk loving. As a result, ambiguity aversion needs to be considered independently with risk aversion.

The Efforts of Self-Insurance-cum-Protection Activity in a Two-Period Model (2기간 모형에서의 손실통제 노력)

  • Hong, Ji-Min
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.10
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2019
  • This study examined the effects of risk aversion on the Self-Insurance-cum-Protection activity (SICP) in a two period model, which is in contrast to existing studies that focused on an one period model. The assumption that there is a time difference between making an effort and incurring loss helps examine the effects of risk aversion in the long-term period. An increase in risk aversion always increases the efforts of SICP, whereas existing studies require additional restrictions to both the loss and cost function. Second, an increase in risk aversion always increases the efforts on self-insurance and self-protection. This result is in contrast to that of existing studies in that an increase in risk aversion increases the efforts of self-insurance, whereas the effects on the efforts of self-protection are unclear. Lastly, when there exists a background risk with zero mean and risk aversion increases in a two period model, the prudence condition of the utility function is a sufficient condition to increase the efforts of SICP.

A Performance Analysis of Routing Protocols Avoiding Route breakages in Ad hoc Networks (애드 흑 네트워크에서 경로 손실 회피 라우팅 프로토콜의 성능평가)

  • Wu Mary;Jung Sang Joon;Jung Youngseok;Kim Chonggun
    • Journal of KIISE:Information Networking
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2006
  • When the movement of a node breaks the route in ad-hoc network, on-demand routing protocol performs the local route recovery or a new route search for the route maintenance. And when it performs the new route search or the local search, the packet which is transmitted can be delayed. There are ARMP and RPAODV as the methods reducing the delay resulted from the route-breakage. They predict the route-breakage and construct an alterative local route before the occurrence of the route-breakage. When the link state is unstable, the success rate of the alternative local route that can avoid the route-breakage can give a direct effect on the route-breakage and the transmission delay, To estimate the performance of routing protocols avoiding route-breakage, we suggest the numerical formulas of AODV, the representative on-demand routing protocol, and ARMP, RPAODV. To verify the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed numerical formulas, we analysis and compare with the results of the computer simulation and that of the numerical formulas.

Collision Avoidance Scheme for Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (무인 비행체 장애물 회피 방안)

  • Choi, Hyun-Soo;Choi, Hyo-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2012.01a
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    • pp.49-50
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    • 2012
  • 본 논문에서는 다수의 소형 무인 항공기(UAV) 그룹이 이동 중 장애물을 만났을 때 장애물과의 충돌을 방지하는 효율적인 장애물 회피 정책을 제안한다. 이 정책은 무선 에드혹(moblie ad hoc) 네트워크를 기반으로 단순히 UAV 간의 충돌 회피 뿐만이 아니라 UAV 그룹이 이동하는 도중 장애물을 발견 하였을 경우 장애물을 효율적으로 회피하는 방법과 연결성이 손실되는 경우에 대처하는 방안도 고려하였다. 제안하는 정책은 UAV가 장애물을 포착 하였을 때 현재 이동 속도를 유지한 채 장애물을 기준으로 UAV 그룹을 2개의 그룹으로 분리하여 장애물을 회피 한 후 일정한 지점에서 모여 다시 각 UAV간의 연결성을 유지한 채 목표물을 향해 이동하는 정책을 제안한다.

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Factor Analysis Affecting on Chartering Decision-making in the Dry Bulk Shipping Market (부정기 건화물선 시장에서 용선 의사결정에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석)

  • Lee, Choong-Ho;Park, Keun-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.151-163
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    • 2024
  • This study sought to confirm the impact of analytical methods and behavioral economic theory factors on decision-making when making chartering decisions in the dry bulk shipping market. This study on chartering decision-making model was began to verify why shipping companies do not make rational decision-making and behavior based on analytical methods such as freight prediction and process of alternative selection in the same market situation. To understand the chartering decision-making model, it is necessary to study the impact of behavioral economic theory such as heuristics, loss aversion, and herding behavior on chartering decision-making. Through AHP analysis, the importance of the method factors relied upon in chartering decision-making. The dependence of the top factors in chartering decision-making was in the following order: market factors, heuristics, internal factors, herding behavior, and loss aversion. Market factors, heuristics, and internal factors. As for detailed factors, spot freight index and empirical intuition were confirmed as the most important factors relied on when making decisions. It was confirmed that empirical intuition is more important than internal analysis, which is an analytical method. This study can be said to be meaningful in that it academically researched and proved the bounded rationality of humans, which cannot be fully rational, and sometimes relies on experience or psychological tendencies, by applying it to the chartering decision-making model in the dry bulk shipping market. It also suggests that in the dry bulk shipping market, which is uncertain and has a high risk of loss due to decision-making, the experience and insight of decision makers have a very important impact on the performance and business profits of the operation part of shipping companies. Even though chartering are a decision-making field that requires judgment and intuition based on heuristics, decision-makers need to be aware of this decision-making model in order to reduce repeated mistakes of deciding contrary to market situation. It also suggests that there is a need to internally research analytical methods and procedures that can complement heuristics such as empirical intuition.

An Experimental Study on the Prospect Theory (전망이론에 관한 실험연구)

  • Guahk, Seyoung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2017
  • This paper performed an experimental study to test the validity of the prospect theory proposed by Tversky and Kahneman as an alternative to the expected utility theory. 115 college students attended the hypothetical games to choose one of two lotteries, one is safe option while the other one is risky. The risky options were set up to have low, medium or high probability of payoffs or losses. The amount of payoffs and losses of the lotteries was either large or small. Maximum likelihood estimation of the hypothetical games have shown that in case of high probability of positive payoffs the respondents were risk averse and when the probability of positive payoffs were small the respondents were risk loving. when the possibility of loss is high they were risk loving, while the probability is of loss is low the respondents were found to be risk averse. When the probability of risky options were medium the results were significant statistically in case of only losses. The amount of positive payoff or losses does not affect the results. Overall the results of this experiments support the prospect theory more than those of Laury & Holts (2008).

Purchasing Avoidance of Digital Convergence Products: Focusing on the Customer's Psychological Factors and the Innovation Resistance (디지털 컨버전스제품 구매회피에 관한 연구: 소비자의 심리적 요인과 혁신저항을 중심으로)

  • Suh, Mun-Shik;Ahn, Jin-Woo;Lee, Eun-Kyung;Oh, Dae-Yang
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.270-284
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    • 2009
  • There is a big attention to digital convergence products(DCP) nowadays. However, consumers' response on the DCP is not always positive. These products may not match consumers' value and consumers may not know how to use them, because the DCP is generally innovative products. DCP marketers should learn that why consumers do not purchase them. Thus, this paper examines and identifies the consumers' purchase-avoiding psychological factors and antecedents on DCP. In detail, It is empirically checked that how the relationship between purchase-preventing factors such as complexity, incongruence, uncertainty, and unreasonability and purchase-avoiding psychological factors such as dissonance, innovation resistence, and perceived loss is. Also, these purchase-avoiding psychological factors' influence on the purchase-intention is empirically checked. As results, complexity and incongruence have an effect on the innovation resistence significantly. Uncertainty and unreasonability influence perceived loss variable. Unreasonability also influences consumers' cognitive dissonance variable. Additionally, cognitive dissonance have an influence on innovation resistence positively, and such innovation resistence influence consumer's purchase-intention negatively. Therefore, marketers should think twice about the roles of these purchase-preventing factors before launching.

Prospect Theory and Risk Preferences of Real Estate Development Companies (부동산 개발 및 공급 기업의 손익과 경영진의 위험 선호도)

  • Kim, Byungil;Kim, Won Tae;Chung, Do-Bum
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.83-88
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    • 2022
  • Companies make decisions with risks such as choosing an investment plan in order to pursue profits. This study explained the decision making of the management of construction companies in South Korea using the tendency to avoid losses in the Prospect Theory. To this end, 20-year financial data of 2,881 companies engaged in real estate development, which have to bear the greatest risk among the construction industry, were collected. The collected companies were roughly classified based on the reference point, and the causal relationship between average return on equity and risk preference by group was empirically analyzed through regression analysis. As a result, it was confirmed that if the average return on equity of a company decreases for the group above the reference point, it tends to select an investment plan with low uncertainty in order not to lose additional money. In addition, it was confirmed that if the average return on equity of a company decreases for the group below the reference point, it tends to select an investment plan with high uncertainty to move to the profit area. This result is exactly consistent with the loss aversion tendency of the Prospect Theory.

Dielectric Characteristics of the Polymers Containing Nano-size Conductive Carbon Black Powders (전도성 나노 카본 블랙을 함유한 고분자 재료의 유전특성)

  • 진우석;이대길
    • Composites Research
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.68-77
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    • 2004
  • The electromagnetic (EM) absorption or shielding characteristics of a material is an important issue not only for military purpose but also for commercial purposes such as radar, electric or telecommunication devices. In order to design the effective electromagnetic wave absorber, the electromagnetic characteristics of the constituents of the material should be available in target frequency band. Also, it must be possible to predict the electromagnetic properties of absorbers with respect to the content of lossy ingredients. In this study, the dielectric properties of unsaturated polyester resins containing nano-size conductive carbon black powder were measured with a free space method in the X-band frequency range and analyzed with respect to the content of carbon black. Finally, the method for estimating the dielectric properties of polymeric resin containing conductive carbon black with respect to the EM frequency was developed and verified.

Development of a New Pedestrian Avoidance Algorithm considering a Social Distance for Social Robots (소셜로봇을 위한 사회적 거리를 고려한 새로운 보행자 회피 알고리즘 개발)

  • Yoo, Jooyoung;Kim, Daewon
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.734-741
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    • 2020
  • This article proposes a new pedestrian avoidance algorithm for social robots that coexist and communicate with humans and do not induce stress caused by invasion of psychological safety distance(Social Distance). To redefine the pedestrian model, pedestrians are clustered according to the pedestrian's gait characteristics(straightness, speed) and a social distance is defined for each pedestrian cluster. After modeling pedestrians(obstacles) with the social distances, integrated navigation algorithm is completed by applying the newly defined pedestrian model to commercial obstacle avoidance and path planning algorithms. To show the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm, two commercial obstacle avoidance & path planning algorithms(the Dynamic Window Approach (DWA) algorithm and the Timed Elastic Bands (TEB) algorithm) are used. Four cases were experimented in applying and non-applying the new pedestrian model, respectively. Simulation results show that the proposed algorithm can significantly reduce the stress index of pedestrians without loss of traveling time.