• Title/Summary/Keyword: 상권변화

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Predicting Changes in Restaurant Business District by Administrative Districts in Seoul using Deep Learning (딥러닝 기반 서울시 행정동별 외식업종 상권 변화 예측)

  • Jiyeon Kim;Sumin Oh;Minseo Park
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.459-463
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    • 2024
  • Frequent closures among self-employed individuals lead to national economic losses. Given the high closure rates in the restaurant industry, predicting changes in this sector is crucial for business survival. While research on factors affecting restaurant industry survival is active, studies predicting commercial district changes are lacking. Thus, this study focuses on forecasting such alterations, designing a deep learning model for Seoul's administrative district commercial district changes. It collects 2023 and 2022 second-quarter variables related to these changes, converting yearly fluctuations into percentages for augmentation. The proposed deep learning model aims to predict commercial district changes. Future policies, considering this study, could support restaurant industry growth and economic development.

Exploring Spatial Dependencies of Retail Market Areas in Seoul : Economic effects of COVID-19 (서울 소매업 상권의 공간적 의존성 분석 : 코로나19 전후 변화를 중심으로)

  • Minjoo Lee;Jae Sik Jeon;Seungbeom Kang
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.3-17
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    • 2024
  • Despite extensive discussions on the repercussions of the prolonged COVID-19 pandemic, there is a lack of analysis on the relationships and changes in relationships between business districts Therefore, this study aims to understand the impact of COVID-19 on retail business districts in Seoul by considering the geographical dependency and interactions of these districts. Using data from the fourth quarters of 2019 to 2021 for 1,490 retail business districts in Seoul, we employed the 3-Stage Least Squares (3SLS) estimation method for simultaneous equation modeling to empirically examine how spatial dependencies among retail business districts in Seoul have evolved due to the influence of COVID-19. The results indicate the existence of spatial dependence among retail business districts in Seoul, with developmental districts exerting a negative influence on nearby districts. Furthermore, the analysis reveals changes in dependency patterns after the onset of COVID-19, interpreted as a decrease in commercial activities in developmental districts due to the impact of the pandemic. The significance of this study lies in providing new insights into Seoul's retail business districts through a spatially dependent analysis, offering a foundation for various stakeholders, including government, local authorities, and small business owners, to respond appropriately to changes in business districts by considering their interrelationships.

Analysis of Changes of Commercial Areas in Yeongdo-gu Urban Regeneration Region (영도구 도시재생사업 대상지의 상권변화 분석)

  • Lee, Hye-In;Oh, Kwang-Suek
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.367-376
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    • 2022
  • In this study, changes in commercial areas in Yeongdo-gu urban regeneration region were analyzed in terms of regional revitalization. Urban decline can accelerate the decline of downtown commercial functions, and revitalization of stagnant areas can be evaluated as enhancing the vitality of commercial areas. To reach this objective, dynamic changes in the commercial area in urban regeneration region were confirmed through store density, industry diversity, and restaurant/cafe ratio. As a result of the study, it was found that the store density and industry diversity showed an increasing trend in Yeong-do urban regeneration region. Although it is difficult to find a substantial difference in the ratio of restaurant/cafe, it seems that Yeongseon 2-dong has undergone a relatively large commercial change. This research is significant in that it quantitatively evaluated and analyzed commercial changes in Yeongdo-gu urban regeneration region.

Application of spatial information for survey and analysis of market authority of mid and small city. (중소도시 상권변화 조사 및 분석을 위한 공간정보의 활용)

  • Yeon, Sang-Ho;Kim, Gwang-Hyeon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.147-151
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    • 2004
  • 현재 중소도시에서의 상권조사는 대부분이 과거의 자료와 지적도를 이용한 가가호호를 일일이 방문하여 확인하는 방법을 쓰고 있다. 본 연구에서는 상권조사용 조사용 편집 지도를 제작하여 약 7개 상권역의 점포명과 유동인구 및 임대료 등을 조사하여 정리한 것이다. 이러한 조사방법과 분석은 가시적인 조사 방법이어서 조사하기가 쉽고 누락될 염려가 없을 뿐 아니라 전산처리를 위한 분석 작업도 매우 편리하다. 본 연구에서는 중소도시에 대한 과거 상권과 현재의 상권의 변화를 파악하기 위하여 업종별 조사를 실시하여 분석함으로써 시간절약은 물론 공간정보의 다양한 활용을 모색한 것이다.

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An Analysis of Spatial Changes in Commercial Districts using Survival-Exit Dynamics of Commercial Businesses in Seoul, Korea (사업체의 생존·폐업 기간을 활용한 서울시 상업공간의 변화분석)

  • Choi, Eunjun;Cheon, SangHyun;Lee, Sugie
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.3-19
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    • 2021
  • This study examines changes in commercial space in Seoul from 1999 to 2016 by investigating operating periods of commercial businesses. This study finds that the characteristics of spatial changes in commercial districts are classified by the following two major points. First, the traditional CBD and Yeongdeung-po commercial districts show that both ages (survival duration) of operating commercial businesses and operating periods of market-exit businesses have changed to become longer than the average values of the two business types in Seoul. In contrast, the Gangnam and the Mapo commercial districts show that the operating periods of survived and closed commercial businesses have changed to become shorter over time. The difference suggests that survival-exit relations of businesses are closely related to the characteristics of each commercial district. In addition, this study shows that each commercial district has experienced dynamic changes in the intensity of commercial activities and the hierarchy of commercial space. Finally, this study indicates that public policies for commercial space should consider survival-exit dynamics of commercial activities in commercial districts.

A Model Research on How the Development of Transport Changes Central Place System (교통발달에 의한 중심지체계 변화 모형의 분석과 함의)

  • Kwon, Ohyeok
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2016
  • Dramatic changes have so far been made in the system of central places over the past century. The development of transport has particularly exercised principal influences on the changes of the system of central places. This paper is to examine how and why the development of transport enables such changes to take place in the system of central places, through conducting model research. This paper suggests some models that development of transport be taken as an independent variable and that the division of market area between the central places be as the development of variable. The suggested models show that the development of transport extends the market area of higher central places but reduces the market area of lower central places.

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A Study on Policy Suggestions of Commercial District Revitalization through the Interaction between Local Commercial Districts and Customer Component : The Way of Revitalizing Commercial Districts in Cheonan City (지역상권과 고객구성의 상호작용을 통한 상권활성화에 관한 정책제안 - 천안상권 활성화 방안을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Hyun-Gyo;Kim, Cheol-Ho;Lee, Dong-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.73-91
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    • 2012
  • This study is in the purpose for the revitalization of traditional market as comparing to the relevancy between the central characteristics of a floating population going around for buying something or eating food and lots of small-sized businesses comprising of the commercial districts. The several traditional markets such as Cheonan station, Dujeong-dong, Sinbu-dong in Cheon-An city has been investigated repeatedly almost every two or three years by the Small Enterprise development Agency(SEDA) since 2001. By analyzing the raw data of those commercial districts made by SEDA, we can calculate the number of firms andthe ratio of business type of each commercial districts. In this research, the type of each business is classified into four groups such as restaurant, service, retail and the rest. Moreover, the central character of the floating population is derived from the raw data, which means the customer information about sex, age structure or the most populous time zones. From these characteristics, one commercial districts has his own specific features distinguishing from the others. The most important differences of past researches are firstly the dynamic viewpoint rather than a static one. Secondly it suggests that the relation between the central characteristics of districts and the floating population would exist. Lastly, it suggests that the interaction between both of them have a significant effect on the growth or decline of the districts and the rates of business type, other adjacent commercial districts as well. Eventually, this study provides several meaningful points for the revitalization of commercial districts to government or stakeholder such as management organization, business owners and new starter etc.

Changes of the Trade Areas of Commercial Centers in Chongju City and Revitalization of Traditional Markets (청주시 상권면모와 재래시장 활성화 방안)

  • 김진덕
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.21-34
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    • 2000
  • Trade areas of the commercial centers in Chongiu City are rapidly changing as the urban spacial structure is transformed, consumer behaviors are changed and large shopping stores are located in the area. The City's CBD has been in the Sung-an-gil district. The trade areas of the CBD have expanded along the major roads in the directions of north, south and west from the Sang-dang park. Especially, two newly formed secondary commercial centers are noticeable: one is the center around the express bus terminal in Gagyong-dong, and the other is formed in the Yongam, Bunpyong and Sannam district. As such changes are intensified, small retailers in the traditional markets that are mainly concentrated in the Yukgerri market place have faced hardship in business and management. The commercial hardship has been hastened up by openings of large discount stores and expanding tendency of internet shopping businesses. Acknowledging the changes in the business environment of traditional markets, this paper attempts to suggest policies to gentrificate the declining market areas in the CBD. The suggested polices are differentiated according to the types of traditional markets, stores. and merchants. And also suggestion is provided regarding amendments of the City's codes.

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Analysis of the Changes in Urban Vitality Before and After the COVID-19 Outbreak: the Case of Commercial Districts in Seoul (COVID-19 발생 전·후의 사회적·경제적 활력 변화 연구 -서울시 상권을 대상으로-)

  • Park, Sunghee;Song, Jaemin
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.51-63
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    • 2022
  • COVID-19 has had a detrimental effect on urban vibrancy, particularly in urban commercial districts. Against this backdrop, the goal of this study is to examine the changes in social and economic vitality in Seoul's commercial area before and after the COVID-19 outbreak, and to identify influential factors for the changes in vitality using multinomial logistic analysis. The following are the key findings derived from the study. First, an examination of the changes in the vitality of commercial districts by type revealed that the decline in economic vitality was greater than the decline in social vitality. Second, the greater the residential ratio, the less harmful the impact of COVID-19 on urban vibrancy. Third, unlike other types of commercial districts, traditional markets had a minor increase in credit card sales even though the floating population fell during the COVID-19 pandemic. Fourth, the accessibility of the subway did not play a positive role in reversing the decline in social and economic vitality caused by the pandemic in the commercial district of Seoul; rather, the accessibility of private automobiles contributed to the increase in social and economic vitality. These results imply that the development and activation of commercial areas accessible by non-motorized modes in the residential neighborhood are becoming crucial in the post pandemic era.