• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사전확률

Search Result 416, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

A Study on the Classification for Satellite Images using Hybrid Method (하이브리드 분류기법을 이용한 위성영상의 분류에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Young-Joon;Kim, Jin-Il
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
    • /
    • v.11B no.2
    • /
    • pp.159-168
    • /
    • 2004
  • This paper presents hybrid classification method to improve the performance of satellite images classification by combining Bayesian maximum likelihood classifier, ISODATA clustering and fuzzy C-Means algorithm. In this paper, the training data of each class were generated by separating the spectral signature using ISODATA clustering. We can classify according to pixel's membership grade followed by cluster center of fuzzy C-Means algorithm as the mean value of training data for each class. Bayesian maximum likelihood classifier is performed with prior probability by result of fuzzy C-Means classification. The results shows that proposed method could improve performance of classification method and also perform classification with no concern about spectral signature of the training data. The proposed method Is applied to a Landsat TM satellite image for the verifying test.

Development on Classification Standard of Drought Severity (가뭄심도 분류기준의 개선방안 제시)

  • Kwon, Jin-Joo;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2012.05a
    • /
    • pp.407-407
    • /
    • 2012
  • 우리나라 뿐 아니라 전 세계적으로 지구온난화에 따른 기후변화에 의해 홍수 및 이상가뭄이 빈발하고 있다. 또한 산업화와 도시화에 따른 물수요 및 각종 오폐수의 증가로 수질오염도 심화되어 물 사용의 한계를 느끼게 되는 심각한 상황을 맞이하고 있다. 특히 우리나라는 1990년 이후 남부지역을 중심으로 겨울에서 봄철까지의 만성적인 가뭄 횟수가 증가하고 여름철에는 태풍과 집중호우가 빈번하게 발생함으로써, 가뭄 및 홍수로 인한 피해가 늘어나고 있는 실정이다(한국수자원공사, 2002). 이러한 상황에서 가뭄은 홍수에 비해 체계적인 종합대책 마련이 미비한 실정이다. 가뭄은 불가피성과 반복성을 가진 자연 현상이므로 가뭄 발생 전 사전대비계획과 가뭄발생시 가뭄관리체계 구축을 통해 그 피해를 최소화해야 한다. 또한 가뭄의 특성상 다른 자연재해와는 달리 진행속도가 느리므로 사전에 대처할 수 있는 시간적 여유가 있다. 따라서 가뭄 진행상황의 모니터링을 통해 신속한 대처와 피해경감 효과를 기대할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 대상지역의 가뭄심도를 평가하여 가뭄상황에 대처하고자 우리나라에 적합한 가뭄 분류기준을 제시하였다. 관측년수 30년 이상의 강우자료를 확보한 61개 지점에 대해 1973년부터 37년 치의 월강우량 자료를 사용하였고 현 정부기관에서 사용되고 있는 가뭄상황단계를 그대로 활용하여 본 연구에서도 통일화된 가뭄 구간을 총 4등급으로 구분하였다. 한국수자원공사에서 제시한 주요가뭄발생현황을 참고하여 우리나라에 맞는 가뭄심도의 분류기준을 가뭄 발생의 누가 확률 98-100%를 예외적인 가뭄(Exceptional Drought), 94-98%를 극심 가뭄(Extreme Drought), 90-94%는 심한 가뭄(Severe Drought), 86-90%는 보통 가뭄(Moderate Drought)으로 구분하였다. 각 지점의 가뭄지수(SPI, PDSI)를 내림차순으로 작성하여 가뭄심도 분류기준에 맞는 가뭄지수의 정량적 값을 산정하였다. SPI와 PDSI의 가뭄심도 분류 결과와 실제 가뭄을 비교하기 위해 년 단위 비교와 월 단위 비교를 분석한 결과, 년 단위 비교와 SPI의 월 단위 비교는 각 지역의 가뭄지수 평가가 대부분 일치하게 나타났으나 같은 기간의 PDSI의 월 단위 비교는 실제 기록과 분석치가 일치하지 않았다. 이는 이들 지수의 상호보완에 대한 추후 연구의 필요성을 보여주는 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

Predictive Analytics Model for Death Accidents in Building Projects by Trade - Based on Decision Tree- (PA기법을 이용한 건축공사 공종별 사망사고 예측모델 개발에 관한 연구 - 의사결정나무를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Jeong Won;Kim, Han Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.22 no.5
    • /
    • pp.55-65
    • /
    • 2021
  • Compared with other industries, construction industry shows a higher rate of death accidents and recently companies' legal responsibilities are to be increasingly enforced. The trend causes tremendous concerns for construction firms and increases the importance of forecasting and pro-actively managing death accidents in construction fields. The objective of the study is to develop a predictive analytics model for forecasting death accidents in building projects based on a decision tree technique, which enables to forecast the probabilities of death accidents by trade. The use of the model helps to decrease risks of legal punishments and to assist the safe execution of building projects by forecasting and pro-actively managing death accidents.

Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS): Advantages and Limitations (유방영상 판독과 자료체계: 장점과 한계)

  • Ji Soo Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
    • /
    • v.84 no.1
    • /
    • pp.3-14
    • /
    • 2023
  • Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) is a communication and data tracking system that standardizes and controls the quality of reporting by presenting lexicon descriptors, assessment categories, and recommendations for managing breast lesions. Using standardized terminology recommended by BI-RADS, radiologists can concisely and reproducibly communicate breast imaging results to clinicians. They can also provide the estimated malignant probability of the lesions found and guide management for them by determining the final assessment category. The limitations of BI-RADS 5th edition currently in use are that there are some areas for which standardized terminologies still need to be established, and that the diagnostic criteria of MRI assessment categories 3 and 4 are ambiguous compared to those for mammography or ultrasound. The next revision of BI-RADS is expected to include solutions for overcoming current limitations.

The Effects of Pair Assistant Collaborative Learning on Academic Achievement of Second Year Middle School Students in the Areas of Probability and Figures (짝 도우미 협력학습이 중학교 2학년 확률 및 도형영역의 학업성취에 미치는 효과)

  • Shin, Haeng-Ja;Kim, Seong-A;Shim, Kyu-Bark
    • Communications of Mathematical Education
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.261-288
    • /
    • 2011
  • We examined the effects of pair assistant collaborative learning on academic achievement of the 2nd year middle school students in the three subjects such as the Probability, Properties of Figures and Similarities of Figures. In order to carry out this study, we selected 2 classes of 2nd year students in a girls middle school in the Fall semester of 2009 and set up the experiment group and comparison group by the result of academic achievement tests given in the end of the Spring semester of 2009. Pair assistant collaborative learning was adopted for students in problem solving 2 or 3 times per a week in the experiment group and each academic achievement was given at the end of each subject in both groups. Also, we had a final survey to find out students' attitude to this collaborative learning. The achievement and survey were analysed by statistical methods. We conclude that our pair assistant collaborative learning was effective in Probability and Similarities of Figures Units. According to the result of survey, this collaborative learning brought about an opportunity to promote students' community spirit through reflecting each one's role in the group.

A study of improved ways of the predicted probability to criminal types (범죄유형별 범죄발생 예측확률을 높일 수 있는 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Young-Suk;Kim, Jin-Mook;Park, Koo-Rack
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.163-172
    • /
    • 2012
  • Modern society, various great strength crimes are producing. After all crimes happen, it is most important that prevent crime beforehand than that cope. So, many research studied to prevent various crime. However, existing method of studies are to analyze and prevent by society and psychological factors. Therefore we wishes to achieve research to forecast crime by time using Markov chain method. We embody modelling for crime occurrence estimate by crime type time using crime occurrence number of item data that is collected about 5 great strength offender strength, murder, rape, moderation, violence. And examined propriety of crime occurrence estimate modelling by time that propose in treatise that compare crime occurrence type crime occurrence estimate price and actuality occurrence value. Our proposed crime occurrence estimate techniques studied to apply maximum value by critcal value about great strength crime such as strength, murder, rape etc. actually, and heighten crime occurrence estimate probability by using way to apply mean value about remainder crime in this paper. So, we wish to more study about wide crime case and as the crime occurrence estimate rate and actuality value by time are different in crime type hereafter applied examples investigating.

Performance Improvement by Cluster Analysis in Korean-English and Japanese-English Cross-Language Information Retrieval (한국어-영어/일본어-영어 교차언어정보검색에서 클러스터 분석을 통한 성능 향상)

  • Lee, Kyung-Soon
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
    • /
    • v.11B no.2
    • /
    • pp.233-240
    • /
    • 2004
  • This paper presents a method to implicitly resolve ambiguities using dynamic incremental clustering in Korean-to-English and Japanese-to-English cross-language information retrieval (CLIR). The main objective of this paper shows that document clusters can effectively resolve the ambiguities tremendously increased in translated queries as well as take into account the context of all the terms in a document. In the framework we propose, a query in Korean/Japanese is first translated into English by looking up bilingual dictionaries, then documents are retrieved for the translated query terms based on the vector space retrieval model or the probabilistic retrieval model. For the top-ranked retrieved documents, query-oriented document clusters are incrementally created and the weight of each retrieved document is re-calculated by using the clusters. In the experiment based on TREC test collection, our method achieved 39.41% and 36.79% improvement for translated queries without ambiguity resolution in Korean-to-English CLIR, and 17.89% and 30.46% improvements in Japanese-to-English CLIR, on the vector space retrieval and on the probabilistic retrieval, respectively. Our method achieved 12.30% improvements for all translation queries, compared with blind feedback in Korean-to-English CLIR. These results indicate that cluster analysis help to resolve ambiguity.

Seismic Fragility Assessment of Liquid Storage Tanks by Finite Element Reliability Analysis (유한요소 신뢰성 해석을 통한 액체저장탱크의 지진 취약도 평가)

  • Lee, Sangmok;Lee, Young-Joo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.718-725
    • /
    • 2017
  • A liquid storage tank is one of the most important structures in industrial complexes dealing with chemicals, and its structural damage due to an earthquake may cause a disastrous event such as the leakage of hazardous materials, fire, and explosion. It is thus essential to assess the seismic fragility of liquid storage tanks and prepare for seismic events in advance. When a liquid storage tank is oscillated by a seismic load, the hydrodynamic pressure caused by the liquid-structure interaction increases the stress and causes structural damage to the tank. Meanwhile, the seismic fragility of the structure can be estimated by considering the various sources of uncertainty and calculating the failure probabilities in a given limiting state. To accurately evaluate the seismic fragility of liquid storage tanks, a sophisticated finite element analysis is required during their reliability analysis. Therefore, in this study, FERUM-ABAQUS, a recently-developed computational platform integrated with commercial finite element and reliability analysis software packages, is introduced to perform the finite element reliability analysis and calculate the failure probability of a liquid storage tank subjected to a seismic load. FERUM-ABAUS allows for automatic data exchange between these two software packages and for the efficient seismic fragility assessment of a structure. Using this computational platform, the seismic fragility curve of a liquid storage tank is successfully obtained.

A Bayesian Estimation of Price for Commercial Property: Using subjective priors and a kriging technique (상업용 토지 가격의 베이지안 추정: 주관적 사전지식과 크리깅 기법의 활용을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Chang Ro;Eum, Young Seob;Park, Key Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
    • /
    • v.49 no.5
    • /
    • pp.761-778
    • /
    • 2014
  • There has been relatively little study to model price for commercial property because of its low transaction volume in the market. Despite of this thin market character, this paper tried to estimate prices for commercial lots as accurate as possible. We constructed a model whose components consist of mean structure(global trend), exponential covariance function and a pure error term, and applied it to actual sales price data of Seoul. We explicitly took account of spatial autocorrelation of land price by utilizing a kriging technique, a representative method of spatial interpolation, because the land price of commercial lots has feature of differential price forming pattern depending on submarkets they belong to. In addition, we chose to apply a bayesian kriging to overcome data scarcity by incorporating experts' knowledge into prior probability distribution. The chosen model's excellent performance was verified by the result from validation data. We confirmed that the excellence of the model is attributed to incorporating both autocorexperts' knowledge and spatial autocorrelation in the model construction. This paper is differentiated from previous studies in the sense that it applied the bayesian kriging technique to estimate price for commercial lots and explicitly combined experts' knowledge with data. It is expected that the result of this paper would provide a useful guide for the circumstances under which property price has to be estimated reliably based on sparse transaction data.

  • PDF

Bayesian Cognizance of RFID Tags (Bayes 풍의 RFID Tag 인식)

  • Park, Jin-Kyung;Ha, Jun;Choi, Cheon-Won
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
    • /
    • v.46 no.5
    • /
    • pp.70-77
    • /
    • 2009
  • In an RFID network consisting of a single reader and many tags, a framed and slotted ALOHA, which provides a number of slots for the tags to respond, was introduced for arbitrating a collision among tags' responses. In a framed and slotted ALOHA, the number of slots in each frame should be optimized to attain the maximal efficiency in tag cognizance. While such an optimization necessitates the knowledge about the number of tags, the reader hardly knows it. In this paper, we propose a tag cognizance scheme based on framed and slotted ALOHA, which is characterized by directly taking a Bayes action on the number of slots without estimating the number of tags separately. Specifically, a Bayes action is yielded by solving a decision problem which incorporates the prior distribution the number of tags, the observation on the number of slots in which no tag responds and the loss function reflecting the cognizance rate. Also, a Bayes action in each frame is supported by an evolution of prior distribution for the number of tags. From the simulation results, we observe that the pair of evolving prior distribution and Bayes action forms a robust scheme which attains a certain level of cognizance rate in spite of a high discrepancy between the Due and initially believed numbers of tags. Also, the proposed scheme is confirmed to be able to achieve higher cognizance completion probability than a scheme using classical estimate of the number of tags separately.