• Survey Research
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.1-26
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• 2011

Mortality for oldest-old age (aged 80 or over) in Korea has never been studied mainly due to lack of data leaving its quality aside. The rapid aging recently occurring in Korea, which no other country has never experienced, must introduce a drastic change in the structure of future population pyramid, requring a careful investigation on mortality level, pattern, and trend for the oldest-old age in Korea. For mortality trend, we need to extend the past mortality data, which has provided only an open-ended age interval 80 or 85 years and over, to age-specific mortality up to 115 years old. A prerequisite for such an extension is constructing a Korean standard mortality by which one can figure out the mortality level and pattern of the oldest-old age. A Korean standard mortality is proposed by applying one relational model and eleven functions from which we select best models for each sex in terms of three measures of fits and three consistencies of mortality. Then we extend the mortality of the open-ended age intervals by providing a method to avoid the longitudinal consistency of mortality.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.28 no.4
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• pp.621-641
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• 2015

Benefit-cost ratios are estimated using life-expectancies of the national pension old-age pensioners in Korea and a compared to whole nation. To obtain the ratios, future mortalities are estimated by multiplying the ratios of experienced mortalities for old-age pensioners to those of the whole nation and the future mortalities of the whole nation projected on an expanded CBD model. The results indicate that the life expectancies of old-age pensioners are longer than the whole nation that lead to higher benefit-cost ratios for old-age pensioners.

• Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.181-187
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• 2000

동맥의 일부분이 팽창하는 동맥류는 파열로 인한 높은 사망률을 야기한다. 동맥류의 발생 및 파열에는 혈관벽의 구조적 약화와 혈류에 의한 응력이 중요한 역할을 하며, 혈류에 의해 혈관벽에 가해지는 전단응력은 간접적으로 혈관벽 구조를 변화시키고, 직접적으로 혈관벽에 응력을 가하므로 동맥류 파열에 영향을 미치는 중요한 혈류역학적 인자이다. 동맥류가 자주 발생하는 복부대동맥류 모델을 제작하여 정상류와 맥동류 유동에서 광색성 염료를 이용한 유동가시화 방법으로 벽 전단변형률을 측정하였다. 벽전단변형률은 동맥류 내부에서 감소하여 음의 값을 가지며, 동맥류 최대확장부 후부에서 다시 증가하여 확장부가 끝나는 위치에서 동맥 벽에 비해 약 1.5배 정도의 큰 전단변형률 값을 가졌다. 동맥류 최대확장부 후부에서는 벽전단변형률의 방향의 바뀌며, 위치에 따른 전단변형률의 변화가 크게 나타났다. 맥동류 유동에서는 동맥류의 위치에 따라 시간에 따른 벽전단형률 파형이 측정되었다. 동맥류 내부에서는 전단변형률의 크기가 작고 그 방향이 시간에 따라 변화가 심하였으므로 혈관벽의 구조변화가 발생하기 쉬운 지역으로 지목된다. 동맥류 최대 확장부 후부는 위치 및 시간에 따른 전단변형률의 변화가 심하며, 혈관벽 응력이 최대값을 갖는 지역이므로 동맥류의 파열이 발생하기 쉬운 지역으로 예측된다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.115-125
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• 2011

By use of a mortality forecasting model and a life table, forecasting the average life expectancy is an effective way to evaluate the future mortality level. There are differences between the actual values of average life expectancy at present and the forecasted values of average life expectancy in population projection 2006 from Statistics Korea. The reason is that the average life expectancy forecasts did not reflect the increasing speed of the actual ones. The main causes of the problem may be errors from judgment for projection, from choice, or use of a mortality forecasting model. In this paper, we focus on the choice of the mortality forecasting model to inspect this problem. Statistics Korea should take a mortality forecasting model with considerable investigation to proceed population projection 2011 without the errors observed in population projection 2006. We compare the five mortality forecasting models that are the LC(Lee and Carter) model used widely and its variants, and the HP8(Heligman and Pollard 8 parameter) model for handling death probability. We make average life expectancy forecasts by sex using modeling results from 2010 to 2030 and compare with that of the population projection 2006 during the same period. The average life expectancy from all five models are forecasted higher than that of the population projection 2006. Therefore, we show that the new average life expectancy forecasts are relatively suitable to the future mortality level.

• Journal of Chest Surgery
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• v.35 no.5
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• pp.387-391
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• 2002

Background: Postoperative morbidity and mortality in destroyed lung are relatively high. We tried to identify the prognostic factors affecting postoperative morbidity and mortality in destroyed lung through a retrospective study. Material and method: The retrospective study was undertaken in 112 patients who had undergone pneumonectomy or pleuropneumonectomy for destroyed lung at Severance Hospital from 1970 to 2000. We analyzed the correlation between postoperative morbidity and mortality and etiology, duration of disease, preoperative FEV1, presence or absence of peroperative empyema, operation timing, the side of operation, duration of operation, and operation type. Result: There were 55 men and 57 women, aged 20 to 81 years (mean 44 years). Etiologic diseases were tuberculosis in 86 patients(76.8%) including tuberculos empyema in 20 and tuberculous bronchiectasis in 4, pyogenic empyema in 12(10,7%), bronchiectasis in 12(10.7%), and lung abscess in 2(1.8%). Postoperative morbidity were 25%(n=28) and postoperative mortality was 6%(n=7). The presence of preoperative empyema(p=0.016), pleuropneumonectomy(p=0.037) and preoperative FEV1 of less than 1.75 L(P=0.048) significantly increased the postoperative morbidity, If operation time was less than 300min, postoperative morbidity(p=0.002) and mortality(p=0.03) were significantly low. Conclusion: Postoperative morbidity and mortality in destroyed lung were acceptable. Postoperative morbidity and mortality were significantly low when operation time was less than 300 min. Preoperative existence of empyema, pleuropneumonectomy and preoperative FEV1 of less than 1.75 L significantly increased postoperative morbidity.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.26 no.6
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• pp.1019-1032
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• 2013

The accurate prediction of future mortality is an important issue due to recent rapid increases in life expectancy. An accurate estimation and prediction of mortality is important to future welfare policies. The optimal selection of a mortality model is important to estimate and predict mortality; however, the period of time series data used is also an important issue. It is essential to understand that the time series data for mortality is short in Korea and the data before 1982 is incomplete. This paper divides the time series of Korean mortality into two sets to compare the parameter estimates of the LC model and LC model with a cohort effect by the period of data used. A modeling and prediction of the mortality index and cohort effect index as well as the evaluation of future life expectancy is conducted. Finally, some suggestions are proposed for the future prediction of mortality.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.24 no.5
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• pp.769-789
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• 2011

The life table is a statistical model for life expectancy and reflects mortality experiences exposed to a particular group of people. The following three issues are prerequisite for constructing the life table : a selection of how to estimate the death probability from observed death rates, a graduation method to smooth irregularity of the death probabilities, and an extension method of the death probabilities for oldest-old ages. To construct the life table that is fittest to Korean mortality experiences, we examine five estimation methods such as Chiang's and Greville's for the death probability, three graduation techniques including Beer's and Greville's formulae, and twelve mathematical functions for the extension of death probabilities for oldest-old ages. We also propose a method to resolve the cross-over problem arising from construction the life table.

• The Monthly Diabetes
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• s.134
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• pp.72-73
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• 2001

당뇨병 환자에서 고혈압의 빈도는 일반인에 비해 2배 이상 높고, 대개 환자의 약 40$\~$60$\%$에서 고혈압을 동반한다. 고혈압이 당뇨병과 같이 있는 경우는 대혈관 및 미세혈관 질환의 위험인자로서 작용하여 심장사, 관상동맥 질환, 울혈성 심부전, 뇌혈관질환, 그리고 말초혈관 질환의 발생 위험을 높여 당뇨병 환자 사망원인의 대부분을 차지하며, 고혈압이 동반되어 있지 않을 경우에는 장기생존률이 높다. 또한 당뇨병에서 확장기 및 수축기 혈압은 당뇨병성 신증과 망막증의 발생 및 경과 악화에도 영향을 미친다. 당뇨병에서 고혈압이 예후에 중대한 영향을 미치는 만큼, 고혈압을 동반한 당뇨병 환자에서, 혈당의 조절뿐 아니라 죽상경화증의 예방 및 고혈압의 치료가 당뇨병에 의한 혈관 합병증의 발생과 진행을 지연시키고 사망률을 감소시키는데 결정적이라 할 수 있다.

• Journal of Chest Surgery
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• v.38 no.9 s.254
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• pp.616-621
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• 2005

Background: In the resection of lung cancer, pneumonectomy occupied $20 {\~}35\%$ of all resections, and significantly high operative mortality is reported in right pneumonectomy ($10{\~}25\%$). The aim of this study is to identify the characteristics of morbidity, operative mortality and factors affecting operative mortality after pneumonectomy. Material and Method: This study recruited the database which performed pneumonectomy for lung cancer in Korea Cancer Center Hospital from Aug 1987 to Apr 2002. Result: Total of 386 pneumonectomies were peformed in that period. Sidedness were left in 238, right in 148; and the procedures were standard resection in 207, and extended resection in 179. Morbidity occurred in 115 cases ($29.8\%$, 115/386). Mortality occurred in 12 cases ($3.1\%$, 12 in 386). This mortality rate was similar to that of lobectomy ($2.1\%$, 13 in 613) during the same period. Morbidity consisted of 42 hoarseness, 17 (9) pneumonia and ARDS, 8 empyema, 5 (1) broncho-pleural fistula, 5 reoperation for bleeding, 5 (1) arrhythmia, 1 (1) pulmonary edema, and 25 others (The number in the parenthesis is the number of mortality case for that morbidity). Several factors affecting the operative mortality were evaluated. At first, extended procedure ($3.3\%$, 6 in 179) affected the operative mortality similar to the standard procedure ($2.9\%$, 6 in 207)(p=0.812). Second, the rate of operative mortality in an elderly group over 60 years ($5.5\%$, 10 in 182) was significantly higher than the younger group under 60 years ($1\%$, 2 in 204)(p=0.016). Third, sidedness of resection affects to operative mortality. Right pneumonectomy ($6.8\%$, 10 in 148) showed higher operative mortality than that of left pneumonectomy ($0.8\%$, 2 in 238)(p=0.002). The group over 60 years showed higher incidence of respiratory morbidity ($11.0\%$, 20 in 182) than that of the group under 60 years ($3.4\%$, 7 in 204)(p=0.005). Right pneumonectomy also showed significantly higher incidence ($11.5\%$, 17 in 148) than that of left pneumonectomy ($4.2\%$, 10 in 238)(p=0.008). Conclusion: Age and sidedness of pneumonectomy were the risk factors of operative mortality and respiratory complications, Therefore, careful selection of patients and more attention perioperatively were demanded in right pneumonectomy. However, because the operative mortality is acceptable, pneumonectomy could be done safely if the pneumonectomy is necessary for curative resection of lung cancer.

• Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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• v.20 no.5
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• pp.601-608
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• 1999

동맥의 일부분의 팽창하는 동맥류는 높은 사망률을 야기하는 혈관계 질환이다. 동맥류의 발생 및 파열에는 동맥류 내부의 혈류의 유동에 의한 혈관벽 전단 응력 및 압력이 주용한 원인 중 하나로 의심되고 있다. 복부대동맥류 내부의 혈류 유동 특성을 밝히기 위해서 동맥류의 최대 확장부가 복부동맥의 1.5배, 2배인 유리 모델을 제작하였다. 정상류 상태에서 다양한 레이놀즈수에 대해서 속도 및 난동도를 입자영상속도계를 이용하여 측정하였다. 경계층 박리로 인한 재순환 부분이 끝나는 재부착점은 동맥류 최대 확장부 후부에서 발생하였으며, 이 위치는 레이놀즈수의 변화에 따라 바뀌었다. 축방향 속도의 난동은 최대 확장부 후부에서 크게 나타났으며, 이 위치에서 난동에 의한 부가적 응력이 크며 혈관벽 구조변화가 발생하리라 예측된다. 동맥류 내부의 압력분포는 수치해석에 의해 계산되었다. 동맥류 내부 압력은 크기가 증가함에 따라 커졌으며 압력은 동맥류 최대 확장부 후부에서 발생하는 재부착점에서 최대값을 나타내었다. 동맥류 최대확장부 후부는 압력이 최대값을 가지며, 전단력의 변화 및 난동이 큰 지역이므로 동맥류의 파열이 발생하기 쉬운 지역으로 예측된다.