The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics (응용통계연구)

The Korean Statistical Society (한국통계학회)
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Estimating the Benefit-Cost Ratios by Applying Life-Expectancies of National Pension Old-Age Pensioners

국민연금 노령연금 수급자의 기대여명과 이를 적용한 수익비 산출

  • Received : 2015.07.13
  • Accepted : 2015.08.04
  • Published : 2015.08.31
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Abstract

Benefit-cost ratios are estimated using life-expectancies of the national pension old-age pensioners in Korea and a compared to whole nation. To obtain the ratios, future mortalities are estimated by multiplying the ratios of experienced mortalities for old-age pensioners to those of the whole nation and the future mortalities of the whole nation projected on an expanded CBD model. The results indicate that the life expectancies of old-age pensioners are longer than the whole nation that lead to higher benefit-cost ratios for old-age pensioners.

본 연구에서는 수익비를 국민연금의 노령연금 수급자의 기대여명을 사용하여 계산하고 국민 전체의 기대여명을 사용하여 계산한 수익비와 비교한다. 이를 위해 CBD 확장모형을 이용하여 추계한 국민 전체의 사망률에 노령연금 수급자의 경험 사망확을 적용하여 노령연금 수급자의 미래 사망률을 전망한다. 연구 결과 노령연금 수급자의 사망률이 적용된 기대여명과 이로부터 산출된 수익비가 국민 전체 사망률이 적용된 결과보다 높은 것으로 나타났다.

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References

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