• Korea journal of population studies
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• v.30 no.1
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• pp.49-66
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• 2007

본 연구는 2001년 한국에서 사망한 60세 이상 노인들 62,000명의 사망기록 자료를 이용하여 사망원인의 다양성을 보여주는 한편 치매에 의한 사망원인을 가장 잘 예측할 수 있는 변수를 경험적으로 규명하고자 실시하였다. 이와 같은 목적을 위한 연구내용은 다음과 같다. 첫째, 노인들의 주요 사망원인에 해당하는 악성종양, 뇌혈관 질환, 심장병, 당뇨, 만성 호흡기 질환, 치매, 고혈압, 간 질환, 사고, 결핵 및 기타 질병 등 11개 사망원인에 대하여 빈도분석을 실시하였다. 둘째, 60세 이상 사망자들 가운데 치매에 의한 사망원인과 나머지 19개의 사망원인을 비교하여 치매에 의한 사망에 영향을 미치는 요인들을 다항로지스틱회귀분석을 통해 분석하였다. 그 결과, 한국의 노인인구 가운데 연령이 높을수록 치매로 인하여 사망할 가능성(우도비)이 높으며 여성이 남성에 비해 치매에 의하여 사망할 가능성이 높은 것으로 밝혀졌다. 그러나 교육수준이 높을수록 치매에 의하여 사망할 가능성이 낮은 것으로 나타났으며 거주지역은 치매에 의한 사망과 통계적으로 유의미한 관계가 있었으나 일관성은 없는 것으로 밝혀졌다. 한편 결혼지위는 치매에 의한 사망과 통계적으로 유의미한 관계가 없는 것으로 나타났다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2013.06a
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• pp.398-400
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• 2013

해상교통관제(VTS; Vessel Traffic Service)는 IMO RESOLUTION A.857(20) on Guidelines for Vessel Traffic Service와 해사안전법 제36조, 개항질서법 제 28조에 의거 해상운송에서의 위험을 감소하고 해상교통질서확립과 안전확보를 위하여 전세계 주요항만 및 수역에서 이용되고 있다. 최근 해상교통관제 분야에 인적요인을 도입하여 사고예방 및 감소를 도모하고 있으나 해상교통관제의 특수한 상황을 충분히 고려하지 못하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 해상교통관제와 해상교통관제사의 특수한 업무상황을 고려하여 직무를 분석하고 인간공학적 분석기법을 적용하여 사전해상상황인식을 위한 관제업무의 예측모듈을 개발하는데 목적이 있다. 본 연구를 통하여 체계적인 관제업무 분석의 프레임을 제공하고 관제사들이 효율적으로 관제업무를 수행하도록 하기 위한 실무적 업무프로세스를 제시한다.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.126-139
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• 1994

Best-estimate thermal-hydraulic codes, CATHARE2 V1.2 and RELAP5/MOD3, hate been assessed against the BETHSY 6.2 tc six-inch cold leg break loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA) test. Main objective is to analyze the overall capabilities of the two codes on physical phenomena of concern during the small break LOCA i.e. two-phase critical flow, depressurization, core water level de-pression, loop seal clearing, liquid holdup, etc. The calculation results show that the too codes predict well both in the occurrences and trends of major two-phase flow phenomena observed. Especially, the CATHARE2 calculations show better agreements with the experimental data. However, the two codes, in common, show some deviations in the predictions of loop seal clearing, collapsed core water level after the loop seal clearing, and accumulator injection behaviors. The discrepancies found from the comprision with the experimental data are larger in the RELAP5 results than in the CATHARE2. To analyze the deviations of the two code predictions in detail, several sensitivity calculations have been performed. In addition to the change of two-phase discharge coefficients for the break junction, fine nodalization and some corrections of the interphase drag term are made. For CATHARE2, the change of interphase drag force improves the mass distribution in the primary side. And the prediction of SG pressure is improved by the modification of boundary conditions. For RELAP5, any single input change doesn't improve the whole result and it is found that the interphase drag model has still large uncertainties.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.345-345
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• 2022

기후변화의 영향으로 도시하천의 홍수피해가 증가추세이며, 여름철 돌발호우 발생으로 하천내 고립사고 피해가 빈번히 발생하고 있다. 특히 중·소규모 도시하천은 홍수유출 도달시간이 매우 짧고 수위가 급격히 상승하여 돌발호우에 매우 취약하므로, 정확한 홍수발생 가능성 및 시점 예측을 통한 신속한 홍수 예·경보가 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 강우강도, 강우시간분포, 강우지속시간 등에 따른 홍수발생여부 뿐만 아니라 홍수발생시간을 예측할 수 있는 Flooding Time Nomograph (FTN)를 개발하였다. 본 연구의 대상유역은 도림천 유역으로, FTN 개발을 위하여 도시하천의 강우-유출모의에 적합한 XP-SWMM 모형을 구축하여 활용하였다. 또한 Huff의 4분위 강우분포를 이용한 다양한 형태의 가상 강우시나리오를 설정하여 강우유출모의를 수행하였으며, 모의결과를 기반으로 강우강도와 홍수발생시간의 관계식을 산정하여 FTN을 생성하였다. 실제 호우 사상에 대한 관측 홍수발생시간과의 비교를 통해 FTN의 적용성을 평가한 결과, 상관계수 CC=0.8, NSE=0.6 이상으로 높은 정확도를 보이는 것으로 나타났으며, 강우발생 시 둔치수위 도달 홍수위 기준 최대 30분의 사전 대피시간 확보가 가능함을 확인하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서 개발한 FTN을 이용한 도시하천의 홍수 예·경보 시스템 구축의 경우, 강우정보에 따른 홍수발생여부 및 홍수발생시간을 합리적으로 판단할 수 있어, 둔치 수위 예·경보 등 보다 신속한 상황대응이 가능할 것으로 사료된다.

• Journal of Energy Engineering
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.27-35
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• 2018

The passive containment cooling system (PCCS) has been designed to remove the released decay heat during the accident by means of the condensation heat transfer phenomenon to guarantee the safety of the nuclear power plant. The heat removal performance of the PCCS is mainly governed by the condensation heat transfer of the steam-air mixture. In this study, the heat removal performance of the PCCS was evaluated by using the MARS-KS code with a new empirical correlation for steam condensation in the presence of a noncondensable gas. A new empirical correlation implemented into the MARS-KS code was developed as a function of parameters that affect the condensation heat transfer coefficient, such as the pressure, the wall subcooling, the noncondensable gas mass fraction and the aspect ratio of the condenser tube. The empirical correlation was applied to the MARS-KS code to replace the default Colburn-Hougen model. The various thermal-hydraulic parameters during the operation of the PCCS follonwing a large-break loss-of-coolant-accident were analyzed. The transient pressure behavior inside the containment from the MARS-KS with the empirical correlation was compared with calculated with the Colburn-Hougen model.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.34 no.2
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• pp.583-595
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• 2014

Currently, Korean transportation policies are aiming for increase of safety and environment-friendly and efficient operation, by avoiding construction and expansion of roads, and upgrading road alignments and facilities. This is revealed by that there have been 22 road expansion projects (30%) and 50 road improvement projects (70%) under the 3rd Five-Year Plan for National Highways ('11~'15), while there were 53 road expansion projects (71%) and 22 road improvement projects (29%) under the 2nd Five-Year Plan for National Highways. For more effective road improvement projects, there is a need of choosing projects after an objective and scientific safety assessment of each road, and assessing safety improvement depending on projects. This study is intended to develop a model for this road safety analysis and assessment. The major objective of this study is creating a road safety analysis and assessment model appropriate for Korean society, based on the HSM (Highway Safety Manual) of the U.S. In order to build up data for model development, the sections thought to have identical geometrical structure factors in 5 lines, Cheonbuk province, were divided as homogeneous sections, and representative values of geometric structures, facilities, traffic volume, climate conditions and land usage were collected from the 1,452 sections divided. In order to build up data for model development, the sections thought to have identical geometrical structure factors in 5 lines, Cheonbuk province, were divided as homogeneous sections, and representative values of geometric structures, facilities, traffic volume, climate conditions and land usage were collected from the 1,452 sections divided. The collected data was processed correlation analysis of each road element was implemented to see which factor had a big effect on traffic accidents. On the basis of these results, then, an accident model was established as a negative binomial regression model.Using the developed model, an Crash Modification Factor (CMF) which determines accident frequency changes depending on safety performance function (SPF) predicting the number of accident occurrence through traffic volume and road section expansion, road geometric structure and traffic properties, was extracted.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.15 no.11
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• pp.245-250
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• 2017

Flash floods is defined as the flooding of intense rainfall over a relatively small area that flows through river and valley rapidly in short time with no advance warning. So that it can cause damage property and casuality. This study is to establish the flash-flood warning system using 38 accident data, reported from the National Disaster Information Center and Land Surface Model(TOPLATS) between 2009 and 2012. Three variables were used in the Land Surface Model: precipitation, soil moisture, and surface runoff. The three variables of 6 hours preceding flash flood were reduced to 3 factors through factor analysis. Decision tree, random forest, Naive Bayes, Support Vector Machine, and logistic regression model are considered as big data methods. The prediction performance was evaluated by comparison of Accuracy, Kappa, TP Rate, FP Rate and F-Measure. The best method was suggested based on reproducibility evaluation at the each points of flash flood occurrence and predicted count versus actual count using 4 years data.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.54 no.7
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• pp.495-507
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• 2021

With the recent industrial development, accidental pollution in riverine environments has frequently occurred. It is thus necessary to simulate pollutant transport and dispersion using water quality models for predicting pollutant residence times. In this study, we conducted a field experiment in a meandering reach of the Sum River, South Korea, to validate the field applicability and prediction accuracy of RAMS+ (River Analysis and Modeling System+), which is a two-dimensional (2D) stream flow/water quality analysis program. As a result of the simulation, the flow analysis model HDM-2Di and the water quality analysis model CTM-2D-TX accurately simulated the 2D flow characteristics, and transport and mixing behaviors of the pollutant tracer, respectively. In particular, CTM-2D-TX adequately reproduced the elongation of the pollutant cloud, caused by the storage effect associated with local low-velocity zones. Furthermore, the transport model effectively simulated the secondary flow-driven lateral mixing at the meander bend via 2D dispersion coefficients. We calculated the residence time for the critical concentration, and it was elucidated that the calculated residence times are spatially heterogeneous, even in the channel-width direction. The findings of this study suggest that the 2D water quality model could be the accidental pollution analysis tool more efficient and accurate than one-dimensional models, which cannot produce the 2D information such as the 2D residence time distribution.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.64-75
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• 2017

Previous count models using fixed parameter can not consider the unobserved heterogeneity, as the standard error of the count value is underestimated, excessive t-values are derived thereby reducing the reliability of the model. Also, the study of unsignalized intersections are inadequate because of the difficulty of collecting data and statistical limits for accurate analytical processes compared to the signalized intersections. The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors affecting traffic accidents by constructing the count model using random parameters, and it aimed to distinguish between existing studies based on the rural unsignalized intersections. As a result of the analysis, 7 variables were presented as significant variables, and 2 variables(presence of crosswalk, speed limit) were presented as random parameter.

• Progress in Medical Physics
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.161-166
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• 2007

A model theory of passive-targeted drug delivery in sphere-shaped solid tumors is introduced on the basis of Fick's law of diffusion, with appropriate boundary and initial conditions. For a uniform initial concentration inside the tumor, the concentration is obtained as a function of time and radial position. The concentration is shown to approach the equilibrium distribution as the time elapses, as is expected by the Gedanken Experiment. The time-evolution rate is found to be determined by the diffusion coefficient of the drug in the tissue, the size of the tumor, the volume of the drug-injected region, and the concentration gradient at the boundary.