• Title/Summary/Keyword: 붕괴확률

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Performance Based Evaluation of Concrete Material Properties from Climate Change Effect on Temperature and Humidity Curing Conditions (기후변화의 온도와 습도 양생조건에 따른 콘크리트 재료특성의 성능중심평가)

  • Kim, Tae-Kyun;Shin, Jae-Ho;Shin, Dong-Woo;Shim, Hyun-Bo;Kim, Jang-Ho Jay
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.114-122
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    • 2014
  • Currently, global warming has become a serious problem arising from the usage of fossil fuels such as coal and petroleum. Moreover, due to the global warming, heat wave, heavy snow, heavy rain, super typhoon are frequently occurring all over the world. Due to these serious natural disasters, concrete structures and infrastructures are seriously damaged or collapsed. In order to handle these problems, climate change oriented construction technology and codes are necessary at this time. Therefore, in this study, the validity of the present concrete mixture proportions are evaluated considering temperature and humidity change. The specimens cured at various temperature and humidity conditions were tested to obtain their compressive and split tensile strengths at various curing ages. Moreover, performance based evaluation (PBE) method was used to analyze the satisfaction percentage of the concrete cured at various condition. From the probabilistic method of performance evaluation of concrete performance, feasibility and usability can be determined for future concrete mix design.

Limit State Assessment of SCH80 3-inch Steel Pipe Elbows Using Moment-Deformation Angle Relationship (모멘트-변형각의 관계를 이용한 SCH80 3인치 강재배관엘보의 한계상태 평가)

  • Kim, Sung-Wan;Yun, Da-Woon;Cheung, Jin-Hwan;Kim, Seong-Do
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.122-129
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    • 2020
  • To conduct probabilistic seismic fragility analysis for nuclear power plants, it is very important to define the failure modes and criteria that can represent actual serious accidents. The seismic design criteria for piping systems, however, cannot fully reflect serious accidents because they are based on plastic collapse and cannot express leakage, which is the actual limit state. Therefore, it is necessary to clearly define the limit state for reliable probabilistic seismic fragility analysis. Therefore, in this study, the limit state of the SCH80 3-inch steel pipe elbow, the vulnerable part of piping systems, was defined as leakage, and the in-plane cyclic loading test was conducted. Moreover, an attempt was made to quantify the failure criteria for the steel pipe elbow using the damage index, which was based on the dissipated energy that used the moment-deformation angle relationship.

Finite Element Analysis for the Failure Mode of Welded Flange-Bolted Web Connection (Welded Flange-Bolted Web 강접합부의 파괴모드 추정을 위한 유한요소해석)

  • 조창빈
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.33-46
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    • 1999
  • In spite of 6.8 magnitude and the neighborhood of the epicenter, the steel moment frame survived after Northridge earthquake without collapse or casualties. However, following investigation revealed that there were severe damages at the column-weld interface of welded flange-bolted web (WFBW) steel moment connection, which was believed to be economic and safe from earthquakes based on experience and past tests. In this paper, this unexpected brittle fracture of the steel moment connection is explored using linear elastic fracture mechanics and post-Northridge tests. A method to predict the brittle fracture strength of the steel moment connection is proposed. Using this method, the failure mode of the WFBW connection and reduced beam section (RBS) connection are presented.

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Flood Damage Reduction Estimation for 4 Major River Restoration Project Applying Overtopping Risk of Levee Using Bayesian MCMC (Bayesian MCMC에 의한 하천제방 월류위험도 적용 4대강살리기사업 홍수피해경감편익 산정 방안)

  • Yi, Choong-Sung;Lee, Han-Goo;Chung, Nahm-Jung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.448-452
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    • 2011
  • 기존의 하천개수사업 치수경제성분석에서는 홍수피해경감편익 산정시 계획홍수위 이하의 홍수에 대해서 제방이 완벽히 방어한다는 가정 하에 제방으로 인한 피해경감액을 편익으로 산정하고 있다. 그러나 전통적 빈도해석 방법 및 수리수문 모형에 내재된 매개변수 불확실성으로 인하여 특정 하천구간에서 산정된 계획빈도 이하의 홍수위가 제방고에 해당하는 임계사상을 초과할 수도, 반대로 계획빈도 이상의 홍수위가 임계사상을 초과하지 않을 가능성도 있다. 이러한 불확실성은 수공구조물의 붕괴에 대한 잠재성을 가진 중요한 요인으로도 작용한다. 본 연구는 이러한 잠재적 위험도를 제방 월류위험도로 정의하고 이를 Bayesian MCMC에 의해 산정하는 방법을 제시하였다. 제시된 방법론은 4대강살리기사업 전 후에 대해 적용하였으며, 계획홍수위 저하에 따른 잠재적 홍수위험 감소 효과를 정량적으로 나타낼 수 있었다. 월류 위험도는 빈도별 홍수피해액의 피해발생 확률로서도 적용될 수 있으며, 이는 물리적 침수구역 설정의 어려움에 따른 홍수피해액 과다산정 문제 해결의 대안으로서도 의미가 있다.

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Behaviour of Pulsating Flow in the Jetflow Region through Cylindrical Chokes (원통형 초크의 분류영역에서 맥동유동의 거동)

  • Moh, Y.W.;Yoo, Y.T.;Hong, S.S.;Wee, K.H.
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.3 no.5
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 1995
  • Cylindrical chokes are used widely as components of hydraulic equipments. The dynamic charac teristics between flowrate and pressure drop through the cylindrical chokes were discussed by the frequency characteristics of the chokes. It was assumed no pressure recovery occured at the downstream neighborhood of the choke. The pulsating jetflow from outlet of cylindrical chokes shows very complex behaviours which are quite different from the steady jetflow but it is not clarified quantitatively. In order to utilize the chokes as a flowmeter, it is indispensable to discuss the estimation of the dynamics of pressure drop in the downstream jetflow region of cylindrical chokes. In this experimental study, the dynamic behaviours of the jetflow in the downstream region of cylindrical chokes are investigated precisely by using flow visualization. In the results of experimental sutdy, it is clarified that the retachment length depended on pressure wave is compared with it depended on velocity wave.

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Kinematic Analysis of Plane Failure for Rock Slope Using GIS and Probabilistic Analysis Method (GIS와 확률론적 해석 기법을 기반으로 한 평면파괴의 운동학적 안정성 해석)

  • Lee, Seok Hwan;Park, Hyuck Jin
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2014
  • The stability of rock slope is mainly controlled by the orientation and shear strength of discontinuties in rock mass. Therefore, in kinematic analysis, the orientation of the combination of discontinuities and slope face is examined to determine if certain modes of failure can be occurred. In previous kinematic analysis, a representative orientation of the slope face and mean orientation of discontinuity set were used as input parameters. However, since the orientations of slope face varies according to locations of measurement, the representative slope face orientation could cause misunderstanding for kinematic instability. In addition, since the orientations of each discontinuity are scattered in the same discontinuity set, there is the possibility that uncertainties are involved in the procedure of kinematic analysis. Therefore, in this study, the detailed digital topographic map was used to obtain the orientation of slope face. In addition, the probabilistic analysis approach was utilized to deal properly with the uncertainties in discontinuity orientation. The proposed approach was applied to steep slopes in mountain road located in Baehuryeong, Chunncheon city, Gangwon-Do. The analysis results obtained from the deterministic and probabilistic analysis were compared to check the feasibility of proposed the analysis.

Time-dependent Reduction of Sliding Cohesion due to Rock Bridges along Discontinuities (암석 브리지에 의한 불연속면 점착강도의 시간의존성에 관한 연구)

  • 박철환;전석원
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.167-174
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    • 2004
  • This paper is to introduce an article published in Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering, 2003. In this research, a fracture mechanics model is developed to illustrate the importance of time-dependence far brittle fractured rock. In particular a model is developed fer the time-dependent degradation of rock joint cohesion. Degradation of joint cohesion is modeled as the time-dependent breaking of intact patches or rock bridges along the joint surface. A fracture mechanics model is developed utilizing subcritical crack growth, which results in a closed-form solution for joint cohesion as a function of time. As an example, a rock block containing rock bridges subjected to plane sliding is analyzed. The cohesion is found to continually decrease, at first slowly and then more rapidly. At a particular value of time the cohesion reduces to value that results in slope instability. A second example is given where variations in some of the material parameters are assumed. A probabilistic slope analysis is conducted, and the probability of failure as a function of time is predicted. The probability of failure is found to increase with time, from an initial value of 5% to a value at 100 years of over 40%. These examples show the importance of being able to predict the time-dependent behavior of a rock mass containing discontinuities, even for relatively short-term rock structures.

Ultimate Strength tests Considering Stranding Damage (좌초손상을 고려한 최종강도 실험)

  • Lee, T.K.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.86-91
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    • 2008
  • Ships operating in littoral sea are likely to be subjected to accidental load such as stranding. Once she has damage on the hull structure, her ultimate strength will be reduced. This paper is to investigate the effect of the stranding damage on ultimate strength of ship structure by using a series of collapse tests. For the experiment, 720 mm $\times$720 mm in section and 900mm in length of five box-girder models with stiffeners were pre- pared. Of the five, one has no damage and faur have an diamond shaped damage which represents the shape of rock section in seabed. The damage size is different between models. Among the damaged models, the damages of 3 of them were made by cutting the plate and one by pressing to represent stranding damage. Experiments were carried out under pure bending load and the applied load and displacements were recorded. The ultimate strength is reduced as the damage size increases, as expected. The largest damaged model has the damage size of 30% of breadth and its ultimate strength is reduced by 21% than that of no damaged one. The pressed one has lower ultimate strength than cut one. This might be due to the fact that the plate around the pressed damage area effect negatively on the ultimate strength.

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Development of Structural Reliability Analysis Platform of FERUM-MIDAS for Reliability-Based Safety Evaluation of Bridges (신뢰도 기반 교량 안전성 평가를 위한 구조신뢰성 해석 플랫폼 FERUM-MIDAS의 개발)

  • Lee, Seungjun;Lee, Young-Joo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.884-891
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    • 2020
  • The collapse of bridges can cause massive casualties and economic losses. Therefore, it is thus essential to evaluate the structural safety of bridges. For this task, structural reliability analysis, considering various bridge-related uncertainty factors, is often used. This paper proposes a new computational platform to perform structural reliability analysis for bridges and evaluate their structural safety under various loading conditions. For this purpose, a software package of reliability analysis, Finite Element Reliability Using MATLAB (FERUM), was integrated with MIDAS/CIVIL, which is a widely-used commercial software package specialized for bridges. Furthermore, a graphical user interface (GUI) control module has been added to FERUM to overcome the limitations of software operation. In this study, the proposed platform was applied to a simple frame structure, and the analysis results of the FORM (First-Order Reliability Method) and MCS (Monte Carlo simulation), which are representative reliability analysis methods, were compared. The proposed platform was verified by confirming that the calculated failure probability difference was less than 5%. In addition, the structural safety of a pre-stressed concrete (PSC) bridge was evaluated considering the KL-510 vehicle model. The proposed new structural reliability analysis platform is expected to enable an effective reliability-based safety evaluation of bridges.

A Financial Theory of the Demand for Insurance With Simultaneous Investment Opportunities (투자(投資)와 보험수요(保險需要)의 상관관계(相關關係)에 관한 재무경제학적(財務經濟學的) 연구(硏究))

  • Witt, Robert C.;Hong, Soon-Koo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.223-262
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    • 1992
  • This paper develops a theory of the demand for insurance. The present model incorporates insurance demand time value of insurance premium, and demand for listless and risky assets simultaneously within the expected utility framework. For a special case of CARA, an insurance decision can be made separately from other portfolio decisions. However, in general, the interactions of both decisions cannot be ignored even when insurable and speculative risks are stochastically independent. In particular, the role of risky investment in hedging insurable risk is demonstrated and it is shown that this role cannot be duplicated by an insurance contract. When the investment decision is made simultaneously with the insurance decision, some of the classic theory on insurance should be modified. As an example, the authors characterize the sufficient conditions, under which the Bernoulli criteria (without and with premium loadings) hold or are violated in terms of the net gain of risky investment, the net cost of insurance, and the stochastic relationship between insurable and speculative risks. The authors interpret the results using the Rothschild and Stiglitz's (1970) notion of 'increase in riskiness'.

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