• Title/Summary/Keyword: 분할자료 회귀분석

Search Result 31, Processing Time 0.039 seconds

Development of Trip Generation Type Models toward Traffic Zone Characteristics (Zone특성 분할을 통한 유형별 통행발생 모형개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Rho, Jeong-Hyun;Kim, Young-Il;Oh, Young-Taek
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.12 no.4
    • /
    • pp.93-100
    • /
    • 2010
  • Trip generation is the first step in the conventional four-step model and has great effects on overall demand forecasting, so accuracy really matters at this stage. A linear regression model is widely used as a current trip generation model for such plans as urban transportation and SOC facilities, assuming that the relationship between each socio-economic index and trip generation stays linear. But when rapid urban development or an urban planning structure has changed, socio-economic index data for trip estimation may be lacking to bring many errors in estimated trip. Hence, instead of assuming that a socio-economic index widely used for a general purpose, this study aims to develop a new trip generation model by type based on the market separation for the variables to reflect the characteristics of various zones. The study considered the various characteristics (land use, socio-economic) of zones to enhance the forecasting accuracy of a trip generation model, the first-step in forecasting transportation demands. For a market separation methodology to improve forecasting accuracy, data mining (CART) on the basis of trip generation was used along with a regression analysis. Findings of the study indicated as follows : First, the analysis of zone characteristics using the CART analysis showed that trip production was under the influence of socio-economic factors (men-women relative proportion, age group (22 to 29)), while trip attraction was affected by land use factors (the relative proportion of business facilities) and the socio-economic factor (the relative proportion of third industry workers). Second, model development by type showed as a result that trip generation coefficients revealed 0.977 to 0.987 (trip/person) for "production" 0.692 to 3.256 (trip/person) for "attraction", which brought the necessity for type classifications. Third, a measured verification was conducted, where "production" and "attraction" showed a higher suitability than the existing model. The trip generation model by type developed in this study, therefore, turned out to be superior to the existing one.

Development of weekly rainfall-runoff model for drought outlooks (가뭄전망을 위한 주간 강우-유출 모형의 개발 및 적용)

  • Kang, Shinuk;Chun, Gunil;Nam, Woosung;Park, Jinhyeog
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2019.05a
    • /
    • pp.214-214
    • /
    • 2019
  • 가뭄이 '심함' 단계 이상 도달 시에는 매주 수문분석을 수행하여 가뭄전망을 수행하여야 한다. 이를 위해서는 기상청의 강수량과 기온 등의 기상예측 자료가 필요하다. 현재 기상청에서는 3개월 기상전망으로 월단위 강수량과 평균기온을 매월 제공하고 있다. 1개월 전망에서 4주의 강수량합과 평균기온을 제공하고 있다. 하지만, 향후 4주간을 전망하는 1개월 전망에서는 1주단위의 강수량과 평균기온이 아닌, 4주간의 강수량합과 평균기온을 1주일 단위로 업데이트해 WINS에 제공하고 있다. 1주단위의 강수량과 평균기온을 취득하기 어려워, 평년 일단위 강수량과 평균기온 자료를 사용하여 4주간의 자료를 1주 단위로 분할하는 방법을 사용하였다. 주간단위 수문자료의 처리를 위해 국제표준기구(ISO)에서 제시하는 기준(ISO 8601)에 따랐다. ISO 8601은 월요일부터 일요일까지를 1주로 정의하며 현재 사용하고 있는 날짜체계와 1대1로 대응되도록 하였다. 예를 들면 1981년 2월 22일은 '1981-W07-7' 또는 '1981W077'로 표시한다. 표시된 형식은 1981년 7번째 주 일요일을 뜻한다. 이 기준에 따라 수문자료를 정리할 수 있도록 프로그램을 개발하였다. 주간 단위 잠재증발산량 계산은 월잠재증발산량 프로그램을 1주단위로 계산할 수 있도록 수정 및 보완하여 개발하였다. 수정 및 보완한 부분은 외기복사(外氣輻射)량 계산부분이다. 외기복사량은 지구가 태양을 1년 주기로 공전하므로 특정 위도에서 특정날짜에 따라 복사량이 달라지므로 주간단위의 월요일부터 일요일에 해당하는 날짜의 외기복사량을 각각 계산하고 이를 평균하여 주간단위 대푯값으로 사용하도록 하였다. 계산된 주간단위 외기복사량과 최고 최저기온을 입력하여 Hargreaves식에 의해 잠재증발산량을 계산한다. 융적설을 포함한 주단위 강우-유출 모형의 매개변수를 추정하기 위해 전국 24개 지점의 수문자료를 사용하였다. abcd 모형과 융적설모듈의 초기값 포함 11개 매개변수를 SCE-UA 전역최적화 알고리즘으로 추정하였다. 추정된 유역의 매개변수는 토양배수, 토양심도, 수문지질, 유역특성인자를 사용한 군집분석 결과에 의해 113개 중권역에 할당하였다. 개발된 주간단위 강우-유출 모형은 비교적 단기 가뭄전망을 위해 사용된다. 계산된 유량은 자연유량이며, 전국 취수장 수량, 하수처리장 방류수, 회귀수를 반영하여 지점별 유량을 계산하여 가뭄전망에 사용되고 있다.

  • PDF

Exploring the Cognitive Factors that Affect Pedestrian-Vehicle Crashes in Seoul, Korea : Application of Deep Learning Semantic Segmentation (서울시 보행자 교통사고에 영향을 미치는 인지적 요인 분석 : 딥러닝 기반의 의미론적 분할기법을 적용하여)

  • Ko, Dong-Won;Park, Seung-Hoon;Lee, Chang-Woo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.22 no.5
    • /
    • pp.288-304
    • /
    • 2022
  • Walking is an eco-friendly and sustainable means of transportation that promotes health and endurance. Despite the positive health benefits of walking, pedestrian safety is a serious problem in Korea. Therefore, it is necessary to investigate with various studies to reduce pedestrian-vehicle crashes. In this study, the cognitive characteristics affecting pedestrian-vehicle crashes were considered by applying deep learning semantic segmentation. The main results are as follows. First, it was found that the risk of pedestrian-vehicle crashes increased when the ratio of buildings among cognitive factors increased and when the ratio of vegetation and the ratio of sky decreased. Second, the humps were shown to reduce the risk of pedestrian-related collisions. Third, the risk of pedestrian-vehicle crashes was found to increase in areas with many neighborhood roads with lower hierarchy. Fourth, traffic lights, crosswalks, and traffic signs do not have a practical effect on reducing pedestrian-vehicle crashes. This study considered existing physical neighborhood environmental factors as well as factors in cognitive aspects that comprise the visual elements of the streetscape. In fact, the cognitive characteristics were shown to have an effect on the occurrence of pedestrian- related collisions. Therefore, it is expected that this study will be used as fundamental research to create a pedestrian-friendly urban environment considering cognitive characteristics in the future.

A Comparative Study on Precarious Labor Market in Korea and Japan: Gender and Occupational Division of Precarious work (한국과 일본의 불안정노동시장 비교연구: 불안정노동의 젠더적·직업계층적 분절)

  • Back, Seung Ho;AN, Juyoung;Lee, Sophia Seung-yoon
    • 한국사회정책
    • /
    • v.24 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-29
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study compares and analyzes precarious labor market in Korea and Japan in terms of gender and occupational class. Previous studies have analyzed precarious labor limited to the level of employment type such as non-standard workers. This study reconceptualizes precarious labor in terms of the combination of employment relations and income level. In addition. we analyzed whether there are differences in the characteristics of precarious labor between Korea and Japan. In order to analyze the labor market precariousness in Korea. we used data from the 17th Korea Labor Panel Survey (2014) and for Japan. we used the 9th (2012) data from the Keio Household Panel Survey. As a result. we could confirm the feminization of labor market precariousness and horizontal division by occupation in both Korea and Japan. Also. ordered logistic regression analysis showed that the more women. and those in their 60s or older. the less skilled service workers. or the manufacturing workers are likely to face labor market instability in both Korea and Japan. The results of this analysis reflect the fact that Korea and Japan have experienced similar changes in the labor market structure with institutionalized employment protection system based on male workers.

Study on the Gender Differences in Investment Attraction Performance of Early Start-Up (창업초기 투자유치성과의 성별 차이에 대한 연구)

  • Kong, Hyewon;Choo, Seungyoup
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.21 no.9
    • /
    • pp.570-579
    • /
    • 2021
  • Compared to men, women experience difficulties in fund-raising, which can be a fundamental impediment to the success of women entrepreneurs. In this study, we examine whether is a difference between genders in the initial funding performance of start-up companies and confirm whether there are differences in organizational factors and entrepreneur factors that affect the initial funding performance. Data were collected through a survey of technology-based start-up companies located in the metropolitan area, and 287 companies were used for hypothesis analysis. The results reveal that there was a significant difference between genders in the investment attraction performance of early-stage entrepreneurs. In addition, as a result of the split-group regression analysis, it was found that in the case of men, firm age, early firm size, starting capital, engineering major had a significant effect on men. However, in the case of the women's group, it was confirmed that all the variables related to the organizational factors and entrepreneur factors were not significant. This study indirectly suggests that prejudices such as gender role stereotypes actually affect economic activities related to investment attraction activities.

Assessment of actual condition based on GIS for UHF band Propagation Interference caused by Apartment (GIS를 활용한 아파트 지역의 전파 장애 실태 평가)

  • 김진택;엄정섭
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
    • /
    • 2004.03a
    • /
    • pp.389-397
    • /
    • 2004
  • 본 연구는 GIS를 이용하여 아파트 단지의 UHF대역의 전파장애에 대한 예측모델을 제시한다. 전파예측모델은 기지국 및 중계기 위치설계와 전파음영지역 결정 등 무선네트워크 서비스에 결정적으로 활용된다 기존의 전파예측모델은 한국지형요소나 3차원 공간기술이 반영되지 않고 외국지형기반의 2차원적인 접근으로 개발되어 있다. 특히 많은 사람이 거주하는 아파트단지에 대해서는 고려가 되어 있지 않은 실정이며, 마치 아파트 단지가 일반 건물로 취급되어 전파환경 요소로 분류되지 않은 상태이다. 그리고 전파관리자가 기존 전파 예측모델을 이용한 무선네트워크 설계 및 운용등에 있어 정확한 의사결정지원에 어려움이 많다. 본 연구는 이러한 한계와 문제점을 해결하기 위해서 아파트 단지의 전파에 대한 영향을 3차원 공간밀집, 건물높이, 전파의 전송방향에 대한 건물배치등 3가지 요소로 분류하고 GIS 도구로 그 요소들을 분석하였다. 그 결과로 상관과 회귀분석등 정량적인 방법으로 평가하여 아파트 전파예측모델(GARP)을 개발하여 다음의 결과를 얻었다. 첫째, 아파트 단지가 UHF 대역의 전파에 대한 영향은 전파진행방향성이 57%, 공간밀집이 30%, 건물높이가 13%의 순으로 나타났다. 둘째, 본 연구에서 개발된 아파트 모델은 기존 모델에 비해 평균 6.3dBm, 최소 2.15 ~ 최대 12.48dBm의 개선 효과가 있다. 셋째, 급속히 확산되는 도시 개발에 3차원 공간상에서 전파예측모델을 시뮬레이션하여 전파의 영향을 예측할 수 있으며, 대단지 아파트 건설과 전파환경영향평가의 기초정보 수집에 활용될 수 있다. 본 연구는 GARP모델과 GIS 가시권 분석기능을 이용하여 실제 지형공간상에서 전파경로 손실치를 도시화함으로써 전파관리자가 무선서비스지역 설계, 전파음영지역 판단, 최적 중계기와 기지국 위치 선정에 기여할 것으로 판단된다.하지 않은 지역과 서로 다른 분광특성을 나타내므로 별도의 Segment를 형성하게 된다. 따라서 임상도의 경계선으로부터 획득된 Super-Object의 분광반사 값과 그 안에서 형성된 Sub-Object의 분광반사값의 차이를 이용하여 임상도의 갱신을 위한 변화지역을 탐지하였다.라서 획득한 시추코아에 대해서도 각 연구기관이 전 구간에 대해 동일하게 25%의 소유권을 가지고 있다. ?스굴 시추사업은 2008년까지 수행될 계획이며, 시추작업은 2005년까지 완료될 계획이다. 연구 진행과 관련하여, 공동연구의 명분을 높이고 분석의 효율성을 높이기 위해서 시료채취 및 기초자료 획득은 4개국의 연구원이 모여 공동으로 수행한 후의 결과물을 서로 공유하고, 자세한 전문분야 연구는 각 국의 대표기관이 독립적으로 수행하는 방식을 택하였다 ?스굴에 대한 제1차 시추작업은 2004년 3월 말에 실시하였다. 시추작업 결과, 약 80m의 시추 코아가 성공적으로 회수되어 현재 러시아 이르쿠츠크 지구화학연구소에 보관중이다. 이 시추코아는 2004년 8월 중순경에 4개국 연구팀원들에 의해 공동으로 기재된 후에 분할될 계획이다. 분할된 시료는 국내로 운반되어 다양한 전문분야별 연구에 이용될 것이다. 한편, 제2차 시추작업은 2004년 12월에서 2005년 2월 사이에 실시될 계획이다. 수백만년에 이르는 장기간에 걸쳐 지구환경변화 기록이 보존되어 있는 ?스굴호에 대한 시추사업은 후기 신생대 동안 유라시아 대륙 중부에서 일어난 지구환경 및 기후변화를 이해함과 동시에 이러한 변화가 육상생태계 및 지표지질환경에 미친 영향을 이해하는데 크게 기여할 것이다.lieve in safety with Radioactivity wastes control for harmony with Environment.d by the experiments under vari

  • PDF

Estimation of Stand-level Above Ground Biomass in Intact Tropical Rain Forests of Brunei using Airborne LiDAR data (항공 LiDAR 자료를 이용한 브루나이 열대우림의 임분단위 지상부 생체량 추정)

  • Yoon, Mihae;Kim, Eunji;Kwak, Doo-Ahn;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Lee, Jong-Yeol;Kim, Moon-Il;Lee, Sohye;Son, Yowhan;Salim, Kamariah Abu
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.31 no.2
    • /
    • pp.127-136
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study aims to quantify the stand-level above ground biomass in intact tropical rain forest of Brunei using airborne LiDAR data. Twenty four sub-plots with the size of 0.09ha ($30m{\times}30m$) were located in the 25ha study area along the altitudinal gradients. Field investigated data (Diameter at Breast Height (DBH) and individual tree position data) in sub-plots were used. Digital Surface Model (DSM), Digital Terrain Model (DTM) and Canopy Height Model (CHM) were constructed using airborne LiDAR data. CHM was divided into 24 sub-plots and 12 LiDAR height metrics were built. Multiple regression equation between the variables extracted from the LiDAR data and biomass calculated by using a allometric equation was derived. Stand-level biomass estimated from LiDAR data were distributed from 155.81 Mg/ha to 597.21 Mg/ha with the mean value of 366.48 Mg/ha. R-square value of the verification analysis was 0.84.

Study on the Optimum Range of Weight-Age Data for Estimation of Growth Curve Parameters of Hanwoo (한우의 체중 성장곡선 모수 추정을 위한 체중 측정 자료의 최적 범위에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Y.M.;Yoon, H.B.;Park, B.H.;Ahn, B.S.;Jeon, B.S.;Park, Y.I.
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.44 no.2
    • /
    • pp.165-170
    • /
    • 2002
  • Mature weight (A) and rate of maturing (k) estimated by nonlinear regression were studied to determine the optimum age range over which the estimate of growth curve parameters can be estimated. The weight-age data from 1,133 Hanwoo bulls at Hanwoo Improvement Center of N.A.C.F. were used to fit the growth curve using Gompertz model. All available weight data from birth to the specific age of months were used for the estimation of parameters: the six specific ages used were 12, 14, 16, 18, 20 22 and 24 months of age. The mean estimates of mature weight (A) were 966.5, 1,255.9, 1,126.2, 916.5, 842.2, 780.9 and 767.0kg for ages 12 through 24 months, respectively. The mean estimates of mature weight (A) to 22 and 24 months of age were not different from each other. However, they were different from the estimates based on the data to other ages. Mean estimates of rate of maturing (k) were 3.362, 3.595, 3.536, 3.421, 3.403, 3.409 and 3.411 for ages 12 through 24 months, respectively. The mean estimates of maturing rate (k) for ages 18 through 24 months of age were not significantly different from each other. However, they were different from the estimates based on the data to other ages. Correlations among estimates of A at various ages showed the highest value of 0.93 between 22 and 24 months. Correlations among estimates of k at various ages were highest ranging from 0.91 to 0.99 among 18 to 24 months. The correlations between A and k were positive and tended to decrease with the increase of the age from 0.84 for the age of 12 months to 0.10 for the age of 24 months. Thus, the estimates of growth curve parameters, A and k, suitable for genetic studies can be derived from accumulated Hanwoo bulls after 22 months of age.

An Evaluation of the Use of Statistical Methods in the Journal of Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases ([결핵 및 호흡기질환] 게재 논문의 통계적 기법 활용에 대한 평가)

  • Koh, Won-Jung;Lee, Seung-Joon;Kang, Min Jong;Lee, Hun Jae
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
    • /
    • v.57 no.2
    • /
    • pp.168-179
    • /
    • 2004
  • Background : The statistical analysis is an essential procedure ensuring that the results of researches are based on evidences rather than opinion. The purpose of this study is to evaluate which statistical techniques are used and whether these statistical methods are used appropriately or not in the journal of Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases. Materials and Methods : We reviewed 185 articles reported in the journal of Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases in 1999. We evaluated the validity of used statistical methods based upon the checklist that was developed on the basis of the guideline for statistical reporting in articles for medical journals by International Committee of Medical Journal Editors. Results : Among 185 articles, original articles and case reports were 110 (59.5%) and 61 (33.0%) respectively. In 112 articles excluding case reports and reviews, statistical techniques were used in 107 articles (95.5%). In 94 articles (83.9%) descriptive and inferential methods were used, while in 13 (11.6%) articles only descriptive methods were used. With the types of inferential statistical techniques, comparison of means was most commonly used (64/94, 68.1%), followed by contingency table (43/94, 45.7%) and correlation or regression (18/94, 19.1%). Among the articles in which descriptive methods were used, 83.2% (89/107) showed inappropriate central tendency and dispersion. In the articles in which inferential methods were used, improper methods were applied in 88.8% (79/89) and the most frequent misuse of statistical methods was inappropriate use of parametric methods (35/89, 39.3%). Only 14 articles (13.1%) were satisfactory in utilization of statistical methodology. Conclusion : Most of the statistical errors found in the journal were misuses of statistical methods related to basic statistics. This study suggests that researchers should be more careful when they describe and apply statistical methods and more extensive statistical refereeing system would be needed.

Change Prediction of Future Forestland Area by Transition of Land Use Types in South Korea (로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 우리나라 산지면적의 공간변화 예측에 관한 연구)

  • KWAK, Doo-Ahn;PARK, So-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.99-112
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study was performed to predict spatial change of future forestland area in South Korea at regional level for supporting forest-related plans established by local governments. In the study, land use was classified to three types which are forestland, agricultural land, and urban and other lands. A logistic regression model was developed using transitional interaction between each land use type and topographical factors, land use restriction factors, socioeconomic indices, and development infrastructures. In this model, change probability from a target land use type to other land use types was estimated using raster dataset(30m×30m) for each variable. With priority order map based on the probability of land use change, the total annual amount of land use change was allocated to the cells in the order of the highest transition potential for the spatial analysis. In results, it was found that slope degree and slope standard value by the local government were the main factors affecting the probability of change from forestland to urban and other land. Also, forestland was more likely to change to urban and other land in the conditions of a more gentle slope, lower slope criterion allowed to developed, and higher land price and population density. Consequently, it was predicted that forestland area would decrease by 2027 due to the change from forestland to urban and others, especially in metropolitan and major cities, and that forestland area would increase between 2028 and 2050 in the most local provincial cities except Seoul, Gyeonggi-do, and Jeju Island due to locality extinction with decline in population. Thus, local government is required to set an adequate forestland use criterion for balanced development, reasonable use and conservation, and to establish the regional forest strategies and policies considering the future land use change trends.