• Title/Summary/Keyword: 분위회귀 분석

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Analysis of Long-term Linear Trends of the Sea Surface Height Along the Korean Coast based on Quantile Regression (분위회귀를 이용한 한반도 연안 해면 고도의 장주기 선형 추세 분석)

  • LIM, BYEONG-JUN;CHANG, YOU-SOON
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.63-75
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzed the long-term linear trends of the sea surface height around the Korea marginal seas for the period of 1993~2016 by using quantile regression. We found significant difference about 2~3 mm/year for the linear trend between OLS (ordinary least square) and median (50%) quantile regression especially in the Yellow Sea, which is affected by extreme events. Each area shows different trend for each quantile (lower (1%), median (50%) and upper (99%)). Most areas of the Yellow Sea show increasing trend in both low and upper quantile, but significant "upward divergence tendency". This implies that significant increasing trend of upper quantile is higher than that of lower quantile in this area. Meanwhile, South Sea of Korea generally shows "upward convergence tendency" representing that increasing trend of upper quantile is lower than that of lower quantile. This study also confirmed that these tendencies can be eliminated by removing major tidal components from the harmonic analysis. Therefore, it is assumed that the regional characteristics are related to the long term change of tide amplitude.

A Study on Estimation of Soil Moisture Multiple Quantile Regression Model Using Conditional Merging and MODIS Land Surface Temperature Data (조건부 합성기법과 MODIS LST를 활용한 토양수분 다중분위회귀모형 산정 연구)

  • Jung, Chung Gil;Lee, Ji Wan;Kim, Da Rae;Kim, Se Hun;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.23-23
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구에서는 다중분위회귀분석모형(Multiple Quantile Regression Model, MQRM)과 MODIS(MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) LST (Land Surface Temperature) 자료를 이용하여 전국 공간토양수분을 산정하였다. 공간토양수분을 산정하기 위한 과정은 크게 두가지로 구분된다. 첫 번째로 기존의 MODIS LST 자료를 조건부 합성 보정기법을 적용하여 실측 LST 자료와 비교하여 위성 LST 자료가 갖고 있는 오차를 보정하였다. 그 결과, 조건부 합성 보정기법을 적용하기전 전국 71개 지상관측지점에서 관측한 실측 LST와 MODIS LST의 $R^2$는 전체 평균 0.70으로 어는정도 유의성 있는 상관관계를 나타냈으나 조건부 합성 보정기법을 적용한 후 실측 LST와 MODIS LST의 $R^2$는 전체 평균 0.92로 상당히 크게 향상됨을 알 수 있었다. 두 번째로 보정된 MODIS LST를 이용하여 다중분위회귀분석 모형을 개발하고 토양수분을 예측하는 단계로 입력자료로 위성영상 자료와 관측자료를 융합하여 사용하였다. 위성영상 자료로는 보정된 MODIS LST와 MODIS NDV를 구축하였고 일단위 강수량 및 일조시간의 기상자료는 기상청으로부터 전국 71개 지점에 대해 구축하여 IDW 공간보간기법을 이용한 공간자료로 구축하였다. 토양수분 결과를 비교하기 위한 관측 토양수분은 자동농업기상관측(Automated Agriculture Observing System, AAOS)지점에서 2013년 1월부터 2015년 12월까지의 실측 일단위 토양수분 자료를 구축하여 사용하였다. 다중분위회귀분석 모형은 LST 인자를 중심으로 각각의 분위(0.05, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75, 0.95)에 해당되는 값의 회귀식을 NDVI, 강수 입력자료를 독립인자로서 조합하여 계절 및 토성에 따른 총 80개의 회귀식을 산정하였다. 관측 토양수분과 모의 토양수분을 비교한 결과 $R^2$가 0.70 (철원), 0.90 (춘천), 0.85 (수원), 0.65 (서산), 0.78 (청주), 0.82 (전주), 0.62 (순천), 0.63 (진주), 0.78 (보성)로 높은 상관성을 보였다. 본 연구에서는 다중분위회귀 모형의 성능을 검증하기 위해 기존의 다중선형회귀모형의 결과와 비교하여 크게 개선됨을 나타냈다.

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A Study on the User Satisfaction of Demand Response Transport(DRT) by Quantile Regression Analysis (분위회귀분석에 의한 수요응답형교통 이용자 만족도 분석)

  • Jang, Tae Youn;Han, Woo Jin;Kim, Jeong Ho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.118-128
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    • 2016
  • As the rural areas have experienced the population reduction and the aging, the service level of public transit decreases. This study analyzes the effecting factor to user satisfaction of demand response transport(DRT) as alternative to rural public transit by the quantile regression that aims at estimating either the conditional median or other quantiles of the response variable. Jeonbuk Province tested DRT operations in Dongsang of Wanju County and Sannae of Jeongup City each in 2015. The user DRT satisfaction of Wanju was higher than one of Jeongup in basic statistics analysis. The difference in satisfaction between higher quantile and lower quntile of Wanju is smaller than one of Jeongupy as a result of quantile regression analysis. Also, Wanju DRT continues the second test operation of DRT as satisfaction from Ordinary Least Squares(OLS) close to higher satisfaction quantile.

Comparison of Regression Coefficient Significance Test for Temporal Distribution by Multiple Regression Analysis Method (다중회귀분석 방법에 따른 시간분포 회귀식의 회귀계수 유의성 검정 비교)

  • Lee, Sung Ho;Lee, Jae Joon;Park, Jin Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.205-205
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    • 2019
  • 우리나라에서 강우의 시간분포를 위해 보편적으로 사용되고 있는 방법은 Huff 4분위법으로 강우의 시간적 분포특성을 나타내는 무차원 시간분포곡선을 제시한 것으로, 강우의 지속기간을 4분위로 구분하여 각 분위의 강우량 중 가장 큰 값이 속해 있는 구간을 선택하여 그 구간의 위치에 따라 분위를 정하는 방법이다. 현재 실무에서는 Huff의 분위별 곡선에 대한 회귀식은 지속기간 전반에 걸쳐 정확도가 높은 이유로 6차식을 적용하고 있으나, 통계 모델링에서 간결함의 원리에 따라 회귀식이 간결할 필요가 있으며, 통계적 유의수준에 기초하여 회귀계수를 결정하여야 하므로 유의성 검정 방법을 통한 검정결과를 비교할 필요가 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 다중회귀분석 방법에 따른 회귀계수 유의성 검정결과 비교를 위하여 구미지역의 무차원 누가우량 백분율을 이용한 시간분포 회귀식을 이용하여 유의성 검정 방법인 분산분석 방법(Analysis of Variance)과 변수선택 방법(Backward Selection)의 검정 결과를 도출 및 비교하였다. 통계프로그램인 프로그래밍 R을 이용하여 변수선택 방법 중 후방제거법 함수를 이용하여 최종 회귀식을 도출하고 또한 7차 회귀식을 분산분석을 이용한 후방제거법으로 회귀계수를 제거하는 방법으로 최종 회귀식을 산정하였다. 분산분석을 이용한 후방제거법의 유의성 검정결과는 프로그래밍 R을 이용한 후방제거법의 결과와 동일한 것으로 분석되었다. 일반적으로 설계강우량의 시간분포를 위한 방법으로 사용되고 있는 Huff의 4분위 방법의 시간분포 회귀식은 회귀계수의 유의성 검정이 이루어지고 있지 않으므로 본 연구결과를 통해 설계강우량 시간분포 회귀식의 유의성 검정방법 제시 및 결과도출과정을 통해 시간분포 회귀식 산정기법으로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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Influence Comparison of Customer Satisfaction Factor using Quantile Regression Model (분위회귀모형을 이용한 고객만족도 요인의 영향력 비교)

  • Kim, Seong-Yoon;Kim, Yong-Tae;Lee, Sang-Jun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.125-132
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    • 2015
  • It is current situation that a number of issues are being raised how the weight is calculated from customer satisfaction survey. This study investigated how the weight of satisfaction for each quantile is different by comparing ordinary least square regression model to quantile regression model and carried out bootstrap verification to find the influence difference of regression coefficient for each quantile. As the analysis result of using R(Quantreg package) that is open software, it appeared that there was the influence size of satisfaction factor along study result and quantile and there was the significant difference statistically regarding regression coefficient for each quantile. So, to use quantile regression model that offers the influence of satisfaction factor for each customer group along satisfaction level would contribute to plan the quantitative convergence policy for customer satisfaction.

Income Distribution and Determinants of Self-Employment: Quantile Regression Analysis (자영업 부문의 소득분포 및 소득결정요인: 분위회귀분석)

  • Choi, Kang-Shik;Jeong, Jin-Ook;Jung, Jin-Hwa
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.135-156
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    • 2005
  • This paper analyzes the distribution and determinants of income of the self-employed, in comparison with salaried workers. Relative to salaried workers, in general, the self-employed tend to have a larger dispersion of income and larger heterogeneity. In this regard, the quantile regression analysis was used, along with a typical OLS regression analysis. According to the empirical findings, the income of the self-employed is larger than that of salaried workers, and this difference is larger for higher income group. The marginal effect of education is larger for higher income groups for both the self-employed and salaried workers, implying the return on education is larger for higher income groups. In contrast, for self-employed women, the marginal effect of education is smaller for higher income groups. Put differently, the return on education in the labor market is larger for salaried workers and self-employed men of high income groups as compared to those of low income groups, whereas the opposite holds for self-employed women.

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Glass ceiling in arts and culture professionals: Between J and R industries (문화예술분야 전문인력에 대한 유리천장효과 분석: J산업과 R산업 중심으로)

  • Chan, Jong-Sub;Heo, Shik
    • Review of Culture and Economy
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.3-28
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    • 2018
  • This study focuses on analyzing the glass ceiling effect in arts and culture professionals through the quintile decomposition applied to the RIF unconditional quantile regression and Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition technique. From the industrial viewpoint, we divide arts and culture professionals into cultural contents professionals(large category J industry) and arts professionals(large category R industry). For our analysis, we employ the pooling data of 'Wage Structure Survey' from 2009 to 2016. Our results are summarized as follows. First, as OLS wage decomposition showed that the gender wage gap among the arts professionals was lower than cultural contents professionals, but the discrimination portion of total gender wage gap was larger. Second, from quintile regression decompositions, the glass ceiling effects of two types of professionals showed different results. Cultural contents sector was observed with the "steady glass ceiling effect" as the portion of the discrimination was continuously increased, while the arts sector was observed with the "limited glass ceiling effect" as the discrimination had drastically increased in the 80s and 90s.

Inter-Regional Wage Gap and Human Capital in Korea - An Unconditional Quantile Regression Decomposition Approach - (수도권과 비수도권의 임금격차와 인적자본 - 무조건 분위회귀 분해법의 적용 -)

  • Kim, Minyoung;Lim, Up
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.3-23
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to understand how human capital is related to the inter-regional wage gap between the capital region and the non-capital region in Korea. We focus more specifically on whether the inter-regional wage gap is due to high levels of human capital in the capital region or due to high returns to human capital in the capital region. The decomposition method based on the unconditional quantile regression was used to examine how the relationship between human capital and the inter-regional wage gap varies along the wage distribution. When first estimating earnings functions from the two regions to apply this decomposition method, we included not only conventional indicators of human capital, such as education and on-the-job training, but also occupational skills including cognitive-interactive skills, technical skills, and physical skills. As a result, other things being equal, a large part of the inter-regional wage gap was explained by the human capital variables. Although the composition effect of the human capital variables existed in all the wage quantiles, the more important factor was the wage structure effect of the human capital variables. In addition, among the various human capital variables, the wage structure effect of years of education was a key factor in explaining the inter-regional wage gap. This study is meaningful in that it shows that the relationship between human capital and the inter-regional wage gap may vary depending on the wage quantiles.

Retirement-related Subjective Expectations and the Capital Accumulation of the Korean Baby-boom Generation (주관적 기대가 한국 베이비붐 세대의 자산축적에 미치는 효과)

  • Lee, Yoonsoo;Woo, Seokjin
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.855-870
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    • 2011
  • This paper investigates the effect of retirement-related subjective expectations on the capital accumulation of the Korean baby-boom generation. Using the 1st, 2nd waves of the KLoSA (2006, 2008), we estimate the distributional effects with quantile regression. In addition, the endogeneity of the expectation variables is handled using the fixed effect model. The quantile regression results reveal that the schooling, gender and the number of children are important determinants, but their effects are heterogenous across quantiles to a significant margin. The expectations of the stronger bequest motives and longer lifespan turned out to lead to more capital accumulation. The expectation regarding the expanded role of government retirement support seemed to crowd out private savings for the baby boomers with the total assets over 0.7 percentile.

Heterogeneity in the Effects of FDI on Firms' Productivity in South Korea: A Quantile Regression Approach (외국인투자가 국내기업의 생산성에 미친 효과: 분위회귀 접근법)

  • Kim, Jaehoon;Chun, Bong Geul
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.1-42
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    • 2014
  • This study analyzes how heterogeneous across firms' productivity level the effects of foreign direct investment (FDI) on the productivity of firms in a host country are. The study uses firm level data over 2000~2009 in South Korea and takes a quantile regression approach to estimate FDI's heterogeneous effects on the invested firm ('direct effects') and other domestic firms in the industry to which the invested firm belongs ('intra-industry spillover effects'). Major empirical results are as follows. In manufacturing sector, FDI has positive and statistically significant direct effects on the invested firm. In addition, the higher the quantiles of firms' productivity level are, the larger the positive productivity effects are. FDI also has positive and statistically significant intra-industry spillover effects on domestic firms in low quantiles of productivity while it has negative and statistically significant or insignificant spillover effects on those in high productivity quantiles. In service sector, on the other hand, Sufficient evidence is not found that FDI has statistically significant direct effects or intra-industry spillover effects. Taken together, the study suggests that FDI has heterogeneous effects on the productivity of firms in host country, depending on the firms' productivity level and sector.

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