• Title/Summary/Keyword: 분양률

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A Regression Model for Forecasting the Initial Sales Ratio of Apartment Building Projects (아파트 프로젝트의 초기 분양률 예측 회귀모델)

  • Son, Seung-Hyun;Kim, Do-Yeong;Kim, Sun-Kuk
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.439-448
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    • 2019
  • There are various factors affecting the success and failure of an apartment building project. However, after the unit sale price has been determined and the sale has started, the most important factor affecting on the project is the initial sales ratio for one month after the sale. Generally, developers predict an initial sales ratio by various data such as economic situation, the trend of the housing market, and the house price near the business place. However, it is very difficult for these factors to be calculated quantitatively in connection with the initial sales ratio. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to develop a regression model for forecasting the initial sales ratio of apartment building projects. For this study, pre-sales data collection, correlation analysis between influencing factors, and regression model development are performed sequentially. The results of this study are used as basic data for predicting the initial sales ratio in the feasibility analysis of apartment building projects and are used as key data for the development of the risk management model.

A Study on the Prediction of Initial Sales Rate on Apartment Housing Projects (민간 아파트 사업의 초기계약률 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seongsoo;Kim, Leeyoung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 2015
  • Apartment developers consider the initial sales rate as an important indicator for their success of apartment development projects. They tried to achieve a secure level of initial sales rate. In spite of its importance, there is little research on the initial sales rate because of the difficulties in gathering proper data for analysis. This study, however, collects the data in initial sales rates in Su-won from various sources such as construction companies, marketing companies, sales companies and so on. By using this rare data, this study analyses the initial contract rate of apartment and estimates the initial contract rate by sales price. The result of this study shows that important of land area ratio, brand, and distance to park. It is expected that the proposed model will be used for apartment developers in sales planning phase.

A Study on the Definition and the Analysis of Impact Parameter for Sales Rate of Condominiums (아파트 분양률의 영향변수 정의 및 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo Byung-Seung;Baik Jong-Keon;Kim Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.555-558
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    • 2002
  • Sales Rate is a key parameter whose indications on real estate market plays a key role in prospecting and establishing governmental policies and strategies for Condominiums. However, it's not easy to present systematic model for tracing the effects of this parameter on sales rate without definite concept and relations with sales rate. Therefore, this study (1) derives factors affecting Sales Rate of Condominiums, (2) specially, gives an analysis of correlation with variable for the rest of factors based on economic factors, and then finds out its influential relation, (3) presents diagrammatic analysis model of all impact variables by factor to grasp on the whole for Sales Rate of Condominiums.

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지방 주택 시장의 문제점과 향후 대책 방안

  • Lee, Sang-Ho
    • 주택과사람들
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    • s.194
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    • pp.32-35
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    • 2006
  • 지방 주택 시장이 고사 직전까지 왔다. 분양률과 계약률은 분양 물량의 50%에도 미치지 못하고 있다. 또한 성공적으로 분양한 주택도 입주율은 30~40%에도 미치지 못한다고 한다. 지방 주택 시장의 침체 원인을 분석했다.

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A Study on the Influence of the Characteristics of Planning on the Cost of Apartment (공동주택의 계획특성이 분양원가에 미치는 영향에 대한 분석)

  • Kim, Gwang-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.1 s.29
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2006
  • Usually feasibility analysis in a narrow sense is a economic analysis of project. Feasibility analysis focused in this study is confined to the matter of finance. Many studies have been executed in qualitative element which include decision-making process or prediction of housing market. But it is difficult to find economic analysis related to characteristics of planning. In this study, floor area ratio, selling area ratio and term of works are adopted as the Characteristics of Planning. So, the purpose of this study is to analyze the Influence of the characteristics of planning on the cost of apartment by means of multiple regression analysis and what-if method.

A Study on the Regional Conditions and Characteristics of Apartment Ownership Resale (지역별 아파트 분양권 실태 및 특성 연구)

  • Kim, Sun-Woong;Suh, Jeong-Yeal
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.5-20
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    • 2018
  • This paper aims to analyze characteristic by the cities focused on the ratio of new apartment resale that is one of the apartment unit sale market, which has been increased recently. So, this study examined characteristics of population, apartment trade & sale, housing with 162 cities and counties and performed multiple regression analysis with dependent variable, ratio of new apartment resale. As a result. the factors affecting the ratio of new apartment resale are 7variables, apartment sales rate, transfer of ownership, apartment turnover rate, sale volume, regional apartment rate, population increasing rate, housing average apartment sale price rate. In terms of the increase in apartment sales prices, the rate of sales price increase was relatively low in areas where the transaction rate for apartment sales is high, and the number of apartment sales right transactions increased as the number of other ownership transfers rose. As a result, the data will be based on the improvement of the government's policies and systems to stimulate the transaction focused on the real estate agents in the apartment market.

무주택 우선공급 75% · 용적률 169%의 저밀도 전원도시

  • Kim, So-Jin
    • 주택과사람들
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    • s.193
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    • pp.64-65
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    • 2006
  • 부산 최대 규모의 생태 신도시로 조성되는 정관신도시의 분양이 6월에 실시된다. 정관신도시는 녹지율 25%, 용적률 169%의 친환경 생태 도시로 만들어질 예정이어서 수요자들의 눈길을 끌고 있다. 정관신도시의 개발 방향과 업체별 분양 규모, 수요자들의 청약 전략에 대해 알아보자.

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Study on Estimating New Apartment Sales Price Using Transaction price (실거래가를 이용한 분양 아파트의 적정분양가와 계약률 책정에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kwang-Suk;Park, Won-Gap
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.567-572
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of the study is aimed at estimating the reasonable price and forecasting the sales rate of the new apartment, using transaction data of the existing apartment that is close to perfectly competitive markets. In the present paper, therefore, attempts were made to determine the relationship between the existing apartment market and the new housing market. Also conducted an empirical analysis that complemented the problems of precedent studies.

Determination of Urban-Life Housing Price and Return Ratio by Location (도시형생활주택의 입지별 분양가격 및 수익률 결정요인)

  • Park, Jin-A;Woo, Chul-Min;Baik, Min-Seok;Shim, Gyo-Eon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.469-481
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    • 2012
  • The demand for small-sized housing has been increasing due to the recession of real-estate price and the increase of small-sized households. Especially, the demand for affordable housing has been increasing since the style of housing and the location fits the lifestyle of small-sized household. In addition, many investors have been buying it because it has advertised as an investment property holding high-return ratio. However, an empirical analysis about the selling price and the return ratio has not been done yet. Therefore, the purpose of the research is having the empirical analysis based on the selling price and return ration by examining the affordable housing in Seoul. The urban-life housing more than 50 generations of the Seoul was irradiated for the analysis. And the linear regression analysis and PLS(Partial Least Square Regression) analysis was used for the empirical analysis. The result of analysis, based on the linear regression analysis, showed that factors including neighboring housing price and subway catchment area have a significant effect to the determinant factors of housing price. The analysis for return ratio showed neighboring housing price, subway catchment area and amenities affects the ratio. Especially, the fault of using small sample was covered by using the partial least square regression in this research.

A Study on the Profitability According to the Different Sales Timing in Apartment Housing Development Projects (공동주택 개발 사업의 분양시기 변동에 따른 수익성 비교.분석에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Seung-Hyeon;Kang, Hyun-Wook;Kim, Yong-Su
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.62-71
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze of profitability accordance to the different sales timing in apartment housing development projects. The adapted research method about public apartment hosing development projects by a private construction company is concentrated on the middle and large scale housing. The methodology for analysis of profitability through the change of timing for sales is analysed. According to this methodology, the difference of profitability by different timing of first sales is compared and analyzed. The results of this study are as followed 1)The major factors to affect the profitability for apartment housing development project consist of the timing of sales, the method of payment and the rate of sales. 2) The case study was carried out and then the profitability is analyzed the profitability for the three of cases is got worse when the sale after construction especially on the time of construction progress rate 80% is carried out.