• Title/Summary/Keyword: 북한 경제정책

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Study on Changes in Military Negotiations under the Kim Jeong-eun Regime through Working-Level Talks for Gaeseong Industrial Complex (김정은시대 개성공단 실무회담 분석을 통한 군사협상 변화 연구)

  • Lee, Sung Choon
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2013
  • This study is trying to suggest the continuity and changes that would be made in inter-Korean military negotiations in the future under the Kim Jeong-eun regime by analyzing the recent inter-Korean Working-Level Talks for Gaeseong Industrial Complex based on 'anti-Japanese guerilla style negotiation model, the military negotiation model under Kim Jeong-il era. Especially, through analysis of the inter-Korean Working-Level Talks for Gaeseong Industrial Complex, it is verified that behavior similar to that in the military talks in the past is found even in the economic negotiations. Such analysis leads to an assumption that negotiations under the Kim Jeong-eun regime would be made within the category of the military negotiations under the Kim Jeong-il era. Fundamentally North Korea will change but try to achieve its objectives in the military talks within the existing frame of strategic culture rather than changing it. Such phenomenon will continue for some time. In the future inter-Korean military talks, however, North Korea will try to change its behavior to cope with its financial difficulties. Accordingly, the South Korea's government will have to have paradigm shift toward inter-Korean military negotiations. Especially, Kim Jeong-eun's studying abroad in the past will make him change in the negotiations. At this moment, the South Korean government must make continuous efforts to induce dialogue and negotiation. In order to induce the North Korea to change, the development of economic norm logic with the united front applied in the strategic culture of military negotiation and the formation of a value system in the North Korea's military negotiation policy makers will lead to the creation of a new military negotiation framework.

Discussion of Alternatives for Inter-Korean Mobile Communication Cooperation in the era of 5G Technology (5G시대, 남북한 이동통신 협력 대안 논의)

  • Lee, Jeong-Jin
    • Informatization Policy
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.84-102
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    • 2022
  • Changes have been taking place in North Korea, which has been pushing for selective informatization with a priority on a system safety. North Korea has been developing its own mobile communication industry over the past decade by expanding base stations, producing smartphones on its own, and developing applications useful in real life. Recently, the introduction of 5G technology has been elevated to the status of a national agenda to be fostered as a key industry for national economic development. The time has arrived when the needs of North Korea, which has to advance technology, are aligned with the capabilities of South Korean mobile communication companies, which are seeking to new markets to overcome stagnant growth. The purpose of this paper is to illustrate a cooperative scenario for mobile communications companies between the two Koreas in the early stages of the 4th Industrial Revolution and its core technology 5G, while also making a timely proposal to position North Korea in the GVC. Mobile communications is a large-scale industry that can create synergies from inter-Korean economic cooperation by facilitating exchanges and cooperation between the two Koreas, inducing numerous derivative industries and driving job creation. Joint mobile communications activities with North Korea would be an effective cooperative aspect that can contribute to the economic prosperity of the entire Korean Peninsula.

Study on the Economic Analysis for Developing Bukhansan Mountain Train (북한산 산악철도 개발의 경제성 분석 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Seong;Song, Moon-Shuk
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.4969-4976
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    • 2015
  • South Korea has more than two-thirds of the land consists of mountainous terrain. It is necessary to enable the recycling of mountain tourism policy to allow people to use. This paper studied Bukhansan where there seems to have the most economical efficiency and effectiveness as an alternative means of transportation applying user'swillingnessto pay by age based upon the Study on Introduction Bukhansan Mountain Railway which was progressed as part of the balanced national development and railway promotion strategy. The Analyisis results are shown that cost-benefit ratio is Lim 0.73 and rack & pinion 0.8. The rack-and-pinion method is selected as an applicable alternative. If the new technologies are developed and made part of the construction of the tunnel route was judged as possible as an alternative way LIM

Developmental Process of Forest Policy Direction in Korea and Present Status of Forest Desolation in North Korea (남북한 산림정책의 전개과정과 북한의 산림황폐지 실태)

  • Choi, In-Hwa;Woo, Jong-Choon
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.35-49
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    • 2007
  • This study analyzed on the developmental process of forest policy direction in Korea and present status of forest desolation in North Korea of the pre and post division of the Korean peninsular with historical point of view and indicates future tasks to take. Forests in Korea were destroyed in the early of 1900s while Korean peninsular was under Japanese colonial rule. In 1945, Korea was divided into two parts, which developed its own forest policy under the different political system. South Korea was at Korean war in 1950 and accomplished the greening movement from 1970s to 1980s. After 1990s, the country has aimed to sustainable forest management. North Korea has focused on forestation until 1960. However, the result has been doubtful with North Korean economic depression, and these days North Korea faces forest desolation due to failures of forest management. Therefore, necessary is that recovery measures for forest desolation in North Korea, cooperation and interchange between North and South Korea and plans of forest management in case of unification.

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Ecosystem service-based economic valuation of forest restoration in North Korea (북한 산림복원의 생태계 서비스 기반 경제적 가치평가)

  • Lim, Chul-Hee;Choi, Hyun-Ah
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.225-235
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    • 2021
  • To attain the long-term benefits of forest restoration in North Korea, it is important to present the economic value of reforestation. This study as aimed to evaluate the economic value based on cost-benefit analysis from the ecosystem services perspective. The benefits of reforestation were classified into ecosystem services such as carbon sequestration, water supply, soil erosion control, and disaster risk reduction, and were converted into economic values to calculate comprehensive benefits. In the forest restoration scenario, an "independent forest restoration scenario (IFS)" and a "cooperation-based forest restoration scenario (CFS)" were composed in consideration of recent afforestation performance and forest policy, and the difference in the quantity of afforestation was derived as a scenario despite the same restoration period. In the IFS, it is estimated that over the next two decades, 800 thousand ha of the forest will be restored at a cost of KRW 3,829 billion, resulting in a benefit of KRW 6.87 trillion. The present benefit net value is KRW 3,39 trillion. In the CFS, it is estimated that the benefits of KRW 18,890 billion will be generated by restoring 2.2 million ha of the forest at a cost of KRW 10,053 billion. The present benefit net value is KRW 8,359 billion. In both scenarios, BCR had an economic feasibility value greater than 1, but there was a big difference in the expected benefits. In conclusion, forest restoration can have higher benefits than cost, and its value could be enhanced through forest cooperation.

Finance Plan Reasearch for development of Trans Korean Railway using real options (실물옵션을 적용한 남북철도 개발을 위한 재원조달 방안 연구)

  • Park, Jung-Joon;Na, Heu-Sung;Hwang, Young-Jin
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.1785-1792
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    • 2011
  • 남북분단 60년 한반도의 남북철도 역시 분단되어 왔으나 2007년 5월19일 경의선과 동해선에서 동시에 열차시험운행을 통해 단절되었던 남북철도가 다시 연결되었다. 그러나 이후 경의선 열차 운행이 잠정 중단됨으로써 남북철도 운행은 언제 깨어날지 모르는 깊은 동면에 들어갔다. 남북철도 연결은 정치 사회적인 의미를 고려하지 않더라도 남북한을 하나의 교통망으로 묶는 실질적 수단인 동시에 한반도를 대륙과 연결함으로써 고립에서 벗어날 수 있는 중요한 기회를 제공하는 도구임에 분명하다. 분단 이후 남한과 북한의 철도는 상이(相異)한 시스템을 유지해 왔고, 북한은 오랜 경제난으로 철도보수와 현대화가 뒤쳐져 있는 상황이다. 이는 남북철도가 현대사회에서 요구하는 교통수단으로 정착되기 위해서는 수많은 정책적 기술적 현안들을 해결해야 함을 의미한다. 본 고에서는 남북철도 연결에 수반되는 여러 현안 중 재원조달방안을 중심으로 1)그동안 학계에서 제안된 기존 방법론들을 조사하고, 2)최근 새로운 투자방법으로 주목받고 있는 실물옵션에 대해 설명하고, 3)이를 남북철도 개발에 적용하는 방법에 대해 다루고자 한다.

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The cooperation of civil aviation and legal and political issues related to direct route operation between South and North Korea (남북간 민간항공협력과 직항로 개설 운영상의 법적 정책적 과제)

  • Kim, Maeng-Sern;Hong, Soon-KiI
    • The Korean Journal of Air & Space Law and Policy
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    • v.17
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    • pp.111-132
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    • 2003
  • The air transport industry is the most important as means of human exchange between the countries. Because the spread effect and the durability by aviation cooperation between the countries are much higher than any other industry, a research about air transport industry is very important to allied industry field as well as national policy about International cooperation and integration. Specially, according to the economic interchange with North Korea becomes active, the role of air transport as related traffic network with North Korea becomes more important. The number of flights is increasing sharply after South-North summit meeting, and two sides established and are using temporary direct route between South-North Korea. When we consider that the number of flights utilizing temporary direct route is increasing every year, It is not desirable to use temporary routes continuously because the current agreement between South and North cant be reliable far the case of unexpected circumstance. In addition, the current agreement is not based on the international standards. The paper is to study the condition to promote the coordination of civil aviation in the whole Korean peninsula. As known, the aviation system in North Korea is mainly operated by military unit. The study will review the current status of air transport system of South and North and the effective way of cooperation of civil aviation between both sides. The cooperation between governments as well as between airlines is studied. The establishment of Air Traffic Service Agreement is going to be handled heavily because the stable air traffic service is the most required base for the operation of air transport. The authors also try to find a way to support the development of infrastructure of aviation industry in North Korea.

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A Study on Auction Mechanism for DMZ Conservation using the South-North Korean Economic Development Projects (남북경제협력에 따른 개발이익 경매와 DMZ 보전기금 확보)

  • Park, Hojeong;Kim, Joonsoon;Kim, Hyunhee
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.39-59
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    • 2019
  • The Korean Demilitarized Zone (DMZ) has the great ecosystem as all the artificial activities in DMZ have been prohibited over half a century. The ecosystem should be conserved even after the reunification of Korea and hence the conservation plan should be established not after the reunification but before it. It requires a considerable budget to conserve DMZ, considering management of ecology resource, recovery, and research. The objective of this paper is to analyze a fund-raising measure for DMZ conservation, using economic incentives mechanism when multiple developers participate in the auction to get the right to develop North Korean regions, have private information about their sunk costs and pay a part of their profits for the fund. First, we analyze the real option model to decide the optimal investment time. Second, we construct the auction for bidders not to misrepresent their private information, based on Bayesian Nash equilibrium.

Factors Affecting School Drop-out Intention of North Korean Refugee Youth (북한이탈청소년의 학교중도탈락 의도에 영향을 미치는 요인)

  • Kim, Yeun-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.61 no.4
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    • pp.191-215
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    • 2009
  • The purposes of this study were to investigate the factors that influence the school drop-out of North Korean refugee youth and to generate recommendations for social work practice and the resettlement policies of the government to ameliorate the high school drop-out rate among North Korean refugee youth. This study examined the effects of the environmental factors such as the quality of parenting practice, peer attachment and the kind of school a youngster attends, and personal characteristics such as self-respect and acculturation stress level, and academic efficacy on the school drop-out intention. Gender, duration of stay in Korea, family economic status were established as control variables. The drop-out intention was used as a proxy for drop-out behavior. The study findings indicate that the personal characteristics such as gender, self-respect and acculturation stress, academic efficacy were the significant influencing factors, whereas environmental factors such as quality of parenting, peer attachment did not exert any statistically significant effect on the drop-out intention. At the conclusion, the implications of the study findings for research, social work practice and the government policies were discussed.

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Economic Challenges and Solutions in the Korean Peninsula Unification Process (한반도 통일 과정의 경제적 과제와 해결 방안)

  • Kyong-Seok Hong;Kyoung-Haing Lee;Sang Hyuk Park
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.437-442
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    • 2024
  • The unification of the Korean Peninsula is not only a national aspiration but also holds significant economic implications. By maximizing the economic synergy between South and North Korea and reconstructing the North Korean economy, balanced development across the peninsula can be promoted. However, the unification process will face various economic challenges, including the substantial costs of unification, integrating different economic systems, and bridging the economic disparity between the two Koreas. This paper aims to analyze these anticipated economic issues and propose systematic and phased solutions. Specifically, it discusses the objective estimation of unification costs and funding strategies, suggests effective integration methods for the disparate economic systems of the two Koreas, and identifies policy tasks to reduce economic disparities. The paper reviews existing studies on unification costs, explores strategies for the balanced development of South and North Korean economies through industrial restructuring and gradual transition to a market economy, and proposes concrete measures such as the expansion of North Korea's social overhead capital (SOC) and the development of human capital. The goal is to establish a solid economic foundation for peaceful unification and create opportunities for the economic resurgence of the Korean Peninsula.