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An Empirical Analysis on Public Transportation Demand and TOD Design Factors in Seoul subway adjacent area (서울시 역세권의 TOD환경과 대중교통이용수요 관계분석)

  • Moon, Young-Il;Rho, Jeong-Hyun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.211-220
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    • 2011
  • TOD(Transit Oriented Development) has recently been active, which presents that TOD planning elements should be comprehensively taken into consideration in order to enhance domestic transit ridership by changing environments in rail station areas and an empirical analysis on the type of rail station areas and transportation demand should be a prerequisite for usage of future development planning. This study aims to grasp a variety of TOD of influence factors in Seoul rail station area and to perform analysis to identify relationship between public transportation demand and these TOD design factors. To make it come true, we gathered data with respect to Density, Diversity, and Accessibility as representative TOD planning elements and carried out factorial and regression analysis. Consequently, we drew 7 influence factors base on factorial analysis: Factor 1(Diversity/ -Use Mix(LUM)), Factor 2(Density/development density), Factor 3(Accessibility/public transportation facility supply), Factor 4(Design/street design), Factor 5(Green/access mode (pedestrian, bike), Factor 6(Design/subway size), Factor 7(Accessibility/Public transit operation) As the result of model development by using factorial and regression analysis, positive influence factors on passenger flow in rail station area are Factor 1(Diversity : Land-Use Mix), Factor 3(Accessibility : public transportation facility supply), Factor 2(Density : development density), Factor 5(Design/ access mode) and Factor 6(subway size) Next, negative influence factor on passenger flow in rail station area shows Factor 7(Accessibility/Public transit operation) as the most influential factor. This is because the growth of service interval of linked subway and bus leads to reduced demand.

A study on Estimating the Transfer Time of Transit Users Using Deep Neural Network Models (심층신경망 모형을 활용한 대중교통 이용자의 환승시간 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Gyeongjae;Kim, Sujae;Moon, Hyungtaek;Han, Jaeyoon;Choo, Sangho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.32-43
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    • 2020
  • The transfer time is an important factor in establishing public transportation planning and policy. Therefore, in this study, the influencing factors of the transfer time for transit users were identified using smart card data, and the estimation results for the transfer time using the deep learning method such as deep neural network models were compared with traditional regression models. First, the intervals and the distance to the bus stop had positive effects on the subway-to-bus transfer time, and the number of bus routes had a negative effect. This also showed that the transfer time is affected by the area in which the subway station exists. Based on the influencing factors of the transfer time, the deep learning models were developed and their estimation results were compared with the regression model. For model performance, the deep learning models were better than those of the regression models. These results can be used as basic data for transfer policies such as the differential application of transit allowance times according to region.

Empirical Study on the Mode Choice Behavior of Travelers by Express Bus and Express Train (특급(特急)과 고속(高速)버스 이용자(利用者)의 수단선정행태(手段選定行態)에 관한 경험적(經驗的) 연구(研究))

  • Kim, Kyung Whan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 1983
  • The purposes of this study are to analyze/model the mode choice behavior of the regional traveler by express bus/express train and to offer useful source in deciding the public transportation policy. The data analyzed were trips of both modes from March, 1980 to November, 1981, between Seoul and other nineteen cities; the data were grouped as five groups according to the change of service variables. Service variables were travel time(unit: minute), cost(:won), average allocation time(:won), service hour(:hour), and dummy variables by mode. As model Logit Model with linear or log utility function were postulated. As the result of this study, some reseanable models were constructed at Model Type I(eq. 2. of this paper) based on the above data except the dummy. It was judged that the parameters calibrated by Group III and Group IV data in table 4, were optimal. Among the parameters, the parameter of travel cost was most reliable. There was a tendency preferring express bus to train in October and November. With the constructed model and Pivot-Point Method. the demand change of express train caused by the service variables' change could be forecasted over 99%.

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Comparative Analysis for Clustering Based Optimal Vehicle Routes Planning (클러스터링 기반의 최적 차량 운행 계획 수립을 위한 비교연구)

  • Kim, Jae-Won;Shin, KwangSup
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.155-180
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    • 2020
  • It takes the most important role the problem of assigining vehicles and desigining optimal routes for each vehicle in order to enhance the logistics service level. While solving the problem, various cost factors such as number of vehicles, the capacity of vehicles, total travelling distance, should be considered at the same time. Although most of logistics service providers introduced the Transportation Management System (TMS), the system has the limitation which can not consider the practical constraints. In order to make the solution of TMS applicable, it is required experts revised the solution of TMS based on their own experience and intuition. In this research, different from previous research which have focused on minimizing the total cost, it has been proposed the methodology which can enhance the efficiency and fairness of asset utilization, simultaneously. First of all, it has been adopted the Cluster-First Route-Second (CFRS) approach. Based on the location of customers, we have grouped customers as clusters by using four different clustering algorithm such as K-Means, K-Medoids, DBSCAN, Model-based clustering and a procedural approach, Fisher & Jaikumar algorithm. After getting the result of clustering, it has been developed the optiamal vehicle routes within clusters. Based on the result of numerical experiments, it can be said that the propsed approach based on CFRS may guarantee the better performance in terms of total travelling time and distance. At the same time, the variance of travelling distance and number of visiting customers among vehicles, it can be concluded that the proposed approach can guarantee the better performance of assigning tasks in terms of fairness.

A Study on the Prediction of Yard Tractors Required by Vessels Arriving at Container Terminal (컨테이너터미널 입항 선박별 야드 트랙터 소요량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Hyun-Jun;Shin, Jae-Young
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2021
  • Currently, the shipping and port industries are implementing strategies to improve port processing capabilities through the expansion and efficient operation of port logistics resources to survive fierce competition with rapidly changing trends. The calculation of the port's processing capacity is determined by the loading and unloading equipment installed at the dock, and the port's processing capacity can be improved through various methods, such as additional deployment of logistics resources or efficient operation of resources in use. However, it is difficult to expect an improvement effect in a short period of time because the additional deployment of logistics resources is clearly limited in time is clear. Therefore, it is a feasible way to find an efficient operation method for resources being used to improve processing capacity. Domestic ports are also actively promoting informatization and digitalization with the development of the 4th industrial revolution technology. However, the calculation of the number of Y/T (Yard Tractor) assignments in the current unloading process depends on expert experience, and related previous studies also focus on the allocations of Y/T or Calculation of the total number of Y/T required. Therefore, this study analyzed the factors affecting the number of Y/T allocations using the loading and unloading information of incoming ships, and based on this, cluster analysis, regression analysis, and deep neural network(DNN) model were used.

Trip Assignment for Transport Card Based Seoul Metropolitan Subway Using Monte Carlo Method (Monte Carlo 기법을 이용한 교통카드기반 수도권 지하철 통행배정)

  • Meeyoung Lee;Doohee Nam
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.64-79
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    • 2023
  • This study reviewed the process of applying the Monte Carlo simulation technique to the traffic allocation problem of metropolitan subways. The analysis applied the assumption of a normal distribution in which the travel time information of the inter-station sample is the basis of the probit model. From this, the average and standard deviation are calculated by separating the traffic between stations. A plan was proposed to apply the simulation with the weights of the in-vehicle time of individual links and the walking and dispatch interval of transfer. Long-distance traffic with a low number of samples of 50 or fewer was evaluated as a way to analyze the characteristics of similar traffic. The research results were reviewed in two directions by applying them to the Seoul Metropolitan Subway Network. The travel time between single stations on the Seolleung-Seongsu route was verified by applying random sampling to the in-vehicle time and transfer time. The assumption of a normal distribution was accepted for sample sizes of more than 50 stations according to the inter-station traffic sample of the entire Seoul Metropolitan Subway. For long-distance traffic with samples numbering less than 50, the minimum distance between stations was 122Km. Therefore, it was judged that the sample deviation equality was achieved and the inter-station mean and standard deviation of the transport card data for stations at this distance could be applied.

A Study on Methodology for Improving Demand Forecasting Models in the Designated Driver Service Market (대리운전 시장의 지역별 수요 예측 모형의 성능 향상을 위한 방법론 연구)

  • Min-Seop Kim;Ki-Kun Park;Jae-Hyeon Heo;Jae-Eun Kwon;Hye-Rim Bae
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 2023
  • Nowadays, the Designated Driver Services employ dynamic pricing, which adapts in real-time based on nearby driver availability, service user volume, and current weather conditions during the user's request. The uncertain volatility is the main cause of price increases, leading to customer attrition and service refusal from driver. To make a good Designated Driver Services, development of a demand forecasting model is required. In this study, we propose developing a demand forecasting model using data from the Designated Driver Service by considering normal and peak periods, such as rush hour and rush day, as prior knowledge to enhance the model performance. We propose a new methodology called Time-Series with Conditional Probability(TSCP), which combines conditional probability and time-series models to enhance performance. Extensive experiments have been conducted with real Designated Driver Service data, and the result demonstrated that our method outperforms the existing time-series models such as SARIMA, Prophet. Therefore, our study can be considered for decision-making to facilitate proactive response in Designated Driver Services.

An Empirical Analysis of Influencing Factors toward Public Transportation Demand Considering Land Use Type Seoul Subway Station Area in Seoul (토지이용유형별 서울시 역세권 대중교통 이용수요 영향인자 실증분석)

  • Oh, Young Taek;Kim, Tae Ho;Park, Je Jin;Rho, Jeong Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.4D
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    • pp.467-472
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    • 2009
  • Even if Seoul City administration improved its public transportation service, transportation model share in seoul has not been increased. Subway user is also decreasing. Therefore, policy transition into TOD(Transit Oriented Development) should be applied in oder to enhance subway modal share. This paper develops a influencing model by using variables of transportation demand and supply. In addition, it provides major influencing factors for users in subway station area and level of transportation supply based on the analysis results. The results show that: first, cluster analysis presents that traffic pattern is proved to be different according to land use characteristics(residence, non-residence); second, main transportation variables such as transferring distance, the number of bus stop, the number of short distant bus lines, and the number of bicycle are more supplied in residential area compared to non-residential areas; third, the number of lines, bus dispatching interval, operating time, and distance between subway stations are more supplied in non-residential areas than residential areas. All in all, the results will be useful for providing priority of considerations in case of decision-making on public transportation policy in subway station area.