• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.10 no.5
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• pp.149-158
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• 2010

Recent rainfall patterns in Korea show that both of the total amount of rainfall and the total number of heavy rain days have been increased. Therefore, the damage resulted from flood disaster has been dramatically increased in Korea. The purpose of the present study is to analyze flooding in an urban area using SWMM linked with FLUMEN. The study area is Suyeong-Mangmi lowland area, Busan, Korea. Suyeong-Mangmi lowland area have been a flooding hazard zone since 1995. The last flooding cases of this area occurred on July 7th and 16th, 2009, and the later flooding case was analyzed in this study. The first step of computation is calculating flow through storm sewers using the urban runoff simulation model of SWMM. The flooding hydrographs are used in the inundation analysis model of FLUMEN. The results of inundation analysis were compared with the real flooding situation of the study area. The real maximum inundation depth was guessed by 1.0 m or more on July 16th. The computation yields the maximum inundation depth of 1.2 m and the result was somewhat overestimated. The errors may be resulted from the runoff simulation and incapability of simulation using FLUMEN for flow into buildings. The models and procedures used in this study can be applied to analysis of flooding resulted from severe rainfall and insufficiency of drainage capacity.

• Journal of Labour Economics
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• v.38 no.4
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• pp.1-29
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• 2015

The Individual Retirement Pension (IRP) enables workers to continuously receive a retirement pension even when workers change their jobs in different companies and so it performs a bridge fund as the complimentary living expenses until they receive government public pension. Although the Korean government has forced workers to maintain an IRP account until their retirement age and to close their accounts only when they want to do so, it is not clear to measure its really effectiveness and, in fact, most of IRP accounts have been terminated immediately after the changes of their jobs. In this respect, IRP has not performed the bridge role for the future retirement pension income. We provide an economic decision-making model of both government and workers, where the retirement benefits related with the IRP are explicitly considered. Our model is required to select specific severance pay systems to maximize the income security and stability for their future old ages. It is concluded that the need of workers on the severance pay system is automatically revealed into the switch to IRP when workers are out from their current jobs, which is equivalent to the effect of gradually unifying the dual system of the retirement payment. In additoin, our empirical data indicates the relatively higher probability of termination on IRP for the older male workers having the more retirement deposit.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.43 no.8
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• pp.681-694
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• 2010

In this study, methodology to determine optimal location of washlands based on economic analysis is presented. Install costs of washlands are calculated by construction cost and land compensatory cost and benefits of washlands are calculated from flood damage reduction and befit from using washland as wetland. Indirect approach for runoff-flood damage relationship is suggested and benefit-cost analysis is used for economic analysis. Economic analysis is added to existing models that used only flood reduction effect to determine optimal location of washlands. Suggested methodology is applied to 13 potential washlands in Anseong River basin to examine its applicability. Applied result of new methodology is compared with that of existing model. As the application results, it is possible to determine the optimal combinations of washlands can provide more economic benefit compared to existing studies. It is determined that considering economic analysis can be better option for decision making problem searching for optimal location of washlands.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.35 no.4
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• pp.553-568
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• 2022

The Household Income and Expenditure Survey is a representative survey of Statistics Korea, which aims to measure and analyze national income and consumption levels and their changes by understanding the current state of household balances. Recently, the disconnection problem in these time series caused by the large-scale reorganization of the survey methods in 2017 and 2019 has become an issue. In this study, we model the characteristics of the time series in the Household Income and Expenditure Survey up to 2016, and use the modeling to compute forecasts for linking the expenditures in 2017 and 2018. In order to evenly reflect the characteristics across all expenditure item series and to reduce the impact of a specific forecast model, we synthesize a total of 8 models such as regression models, time series models, and machine learning techniques. In particular, the noteworthy aspect of this study is that it improves the forecast by using the optimal combination technique that can exactly reflect the hierarchical structure of the Household Income and Expenditure Survey without loss of information as in the top-down or bottom-up methods. As a result of applying the proposed method to forecast expenditure series from 2017 to 2019, it contributed to the recovery of time series linkage and improved the forecast. In addition, it was confirmed that the hierarchical time series forecasts by the optimal combination method make linkage results closer to the actual survey series.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.45-55
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• 2024

This study analyzed the efficiency determinants of specialty construction companies by industry using the DEA model and the Tobit model. The analysis targets are 394 specialty construction companies as of 2022. As a result of analysis of efficiency determinants using 12 company characteristics as independent variables, the biggest problem for specialty construction companies was overall efficiency reduction due to rising labor costs. In addition, in a situation where construction companies' loan regulations are severe, the debt ratio was found to have a positive effect on efficiency. Company size had a different impact by industry, and the number of businesses held, credit score, and total capital turnover had an effect only on some industries. This study presents results that are an advance on existing research in that it strategically analyzes factors for improving the efficiency of specialty construction companies. However, it has limitations such as limiting the analysis to only specialty construction companies subject to external audit, insufficient number of companies subject to analysis by industry, and analyzing relative efficiency in the same category for each industry.

• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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• v.102 no.4
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• pp.506-514
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• 2013

This study examined the feasibility on the construction of a wood industrialization service center for a wood industry cluster establishment in Jeollanam-do. Construction of the wood industrialization service center is based on a discount rate of 3.5%, an investment period of 4 years, a business operations period of 16 years and an investment cost of 24600 million won; the total amount of the net present value, the cost-benefit ratio and the internal rate of return were assumed to be 2.579 million won, 2.51%, and 10.1%, respectively. In addition, the production inducement coefficient, the induced production effect, the income-induced coefficient, the income inducement effect, the employment inducement coefficient, and the employment inducement effect were estimated 1.4345, 35287 million won, 0.1655, 4000.7 million won, and 0.4665, 1,145 people, in the effects of the wood related industries using the multi-regional input-output model, respectively. Financial independence of operating income to cover its own costs incurred in accordance with the operating project might be practicable.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.52 no.12
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• pp.1001-1009
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• 2019

Due to recent increasing heavy snow in Korea, the damage caused by heavy snow is also increasing. In Korea, there are many efforts including establishing disaster prevention measures to reduce the damage throughout the country, but it is difficult to establish the design criteria due to the characteristics of heavy snow. In this study, snowfall frequency analysis was performed to estimate design snow depths using observed snow depth data at Jinju, Changwon and Hapcheon stations. The conventional frequency analysis is sometime limted to apply to the snow depth data containing zero values which produce unrealistc estimates of distributon parameters. To overcome this problem, this study employed mixed distributions based on Lognormal, Generalized Pareto (GP), Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Gamma, Gumbel and Weibull distribution. The results show that the mixed distributions produced smaller design snow depths than single distributions, which indicated that the mixed distributions are applicable and practical to estimate design snow depths.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.22 no.6
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• pp.1065-1074
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• 2011

During several decades, many researchers in the field of finance have studied Value at Risk (VaR) to measure the market risk. VaR indicates the worst loss over a target horizon such that there is a low, pre-specified probability that the actual loss will be larger (Jorion, 2006, p.106). In this paper, we compare conditional copula method with two conventional VaR forecasting methods based on simple moving average and exponentially weighted moving average for measuring the risk of the portfolio, consisting of two domestic stock indices. Through real data analysis, we conclude that the conditional copula method can improve the accuracy of portfolio VaR forecasting in the presence of high kurtosis and strong correlation in the data.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.695-713
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• 2009

This study investigates the determinants of municipal water prices and costs in Korea. A panel data set of 164 municipalities for the period 2000~2007 is used for the study. Both random and fixed effect models with an appropriate set of instruments are applied to the data. Substantial differences in prices and costs among municipalities are observed. The study finds that prices and costs increase if the leakage rate is high, the quality of primary water is bad, and the municipality has to purchase primary water from K-water which is the single creation and management corporation of water resources facilities in Korea. Prices and costs decline if the size of consumer is large, the proportion of paying consumer is high, and the amount of subsidy from the central government is large.

• 전기의세계
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.33-37
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• 1969

한전은 1968년 11월 3일 오전 10시 04분을 기하여 154KV 전계통의 직접접지방식 전환을 단행하였다. 종전의 P.C(소고선륜) 중성점접지방식을 직접접지방식으로 전환한것으로서 전력사상 특기 할 만한 근대화사업이며 다년간을 두고 추진해온 중요과제였다. 전력계통의 확대와 복잡화는 선진국가에서도 실시하고 있는 직접접지방식의 채택을 불가변하게 하였고 또한 1차 AID송배전차관도 이의 채택을 조건부로 승인되었던 것으로서 1968년 이후에 건설되는 송변전기기는 직접접지계에서만 운전할 수 있는 절연Level 650KV급이 도입되어 부산화력발전소 3호기가 준공되는 1968년 10월말까지는 직접접지전환이 반드시 이루어져야 하는 실정에 놓여 있었다. 그런데 직접접지방식의 단점인 인접통신선에 미치는 유도장해를 해결하는 문제가 다년간을 두고 진지하게 검토되어 왔으나 해결이 늦어지고 있었다. 사유는 154KV 계통에 인근된 통신선이라면 체신부, 내무부, 교통부, 국방부등 여러기관의 것이 있는데, 유도장해보안방법과 유도보상비문제에 대하여 전력측(상공부, 한전)과 통신측(상기의 체신부등)의 견해차가 해소되지 않기 때문이었다. 그것이 1968년 5월에 와서 전력.통신쌍방이 범국가적입장에서 제반애로를 무릅쓰고 최소한의 투자로 가능한 범위내의 보안책으로서 우선 Arrester 보안방식을 채택하기로 합의되어 경제장관회의를 거쳐 시공하기에 이른것이다. 이 란을 빌려 이 사업의 필요성과 경위및 통신선유도장해방지를 위한 보안방식내용을 간단히 소개함으로써 앞으로 이 분야의 항구적인 유도대책연구에 다소나마 참고가 된다면 다행으로 생각하겠다.면서 예측강우의 질이 저하되기 시작하였으나 QPM을 합성함으로써 생산한 BQPF는 보다 신뢰성있고 양호한 결과를 얻을 수 있었다. 이러한 결과들은 향후 정량적 분포형강우 예측을 이용한 실시간 홍수유출 예측시 댐운영자는 리드타임(홍수선행시간)을 충분히 확보함으로서 안정적이고 예측 가능한 홍수조절을 하는데 도움을 줄 수 있을 것으로 기대된다. 이와 같이 다양한 단기저수지 유입량의 예측정보 제공으로 다목적댐 저수지 운영모형의 효용성을 제고하여 향후 실제 저수지 유입량 예측에 이용함으로써 저수지 단기운영효율 개선에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.다. 이것은 여름철 강수량이 증가하고, 호우발생빈도, 특히 8월의 강수일수가 증가하고 있다는 것과 밀접한 관련이 있다. 여름과 가을에 우리나라에 영향을 미치는 태풍의 수는 뚜렷한 추세를 보이지 않으나, 2002년 루사, 2003년 매미로 인하여 각각 6조원, 4조원 이상의 막대한 피해가 발생하였다. 태풍에 의한 피해액은 GDP 대비 약 0.9%(태풍 루사)로 최근 경제상장률과 비교해 보면, 상당한 비율을 차지한다. 우리나라에 영향을 미치는 태풍은 연근해의 해수면 온도가 높아지면 세기가 강해질 가능성이 높다. 폭설과 한파일수도 평년대비 최근 10년 감소하였고 일최저기온이 영하 $10^{\circ}C$ 이하인 날도 연간 발생일수가 감소하였다. 최근 10년간 우리나라 기후의 변화특성은 기온상승과 더불어 서리종료일이 앞당겨지고 열대야가 증가하고 폭설, 한파, 겨울철 일최저기온 영하 10도 이하인 날의 감소 등이 나타나고, 여름철 재해의 원인인 호우일수는 증가하는 추세이다.