• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모형적합도

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A Comparative Study on the Genetic Algorithm and Regression Analysis in Urban Population Surface Modeling (도시인구분포모형 개발을 위한 GA모형과 회귀모형의 적합성 비교연구)

  • Choei, Nae-Young
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2010
  • Taking the East-Hwasung area as the case, this study first builds gridded population data based on the municipal population survey raw data, and then measures, by way of GIS tools, the major urban spatial variables that are thought to influence the composition of the regional population. For the purpose of comparison, the urban models based on the Genetic Algorithm technique and the regression technique are constructed using the same input variables. The findings indicate that the GA output performed better in differentiating the effective variables among the pilot model variables, and predicted as much consistent and meaningful coefficient estimates for the explanatory variables as the regression models. The study results indicate that GA technique could be a very useful and supplementary research tool in understanding the urban phenomena.

Batting index prediction model 2017 (2017년 한국프로야구 타자력 예측모형 개발)

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Shin, Dong Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.635-645
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we propose batting index prediction models of 2017. Due to the insufficiency of KBO pitchers data, batting index prediction models of 2016 has been developed based on elected eight batting index collecting the past three years data of MLB and KBO. It has been found that this prediction model fits well to both MLB and KBO, and the KBO model fits better than MLB in some cases. Using these prediction models, we analyzed and compared 2016's estimated values for the batting index of MLB and KBO. With the relation results between batting index prediction and batter's age for MLB and KBO, it can be determined that there is no relationship between the significant batting index and ages.

Forecasting Unemployment Rate using Social Media Information (소셜 미디어 정보를 이용한 실업률 예측)

  • Na, Jonghwa;Kim, Eun-Sub
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2013
  • Social media has many advantages. It can gain latest information with real time, be spread rapidly, easily be reproduced and distributed regardless of its form. These advantages can result in real time predictions using the latest information, which is possible due to the increase in social demand for more quick and accurate economic variable predictions. In this paper we adopted ARIMAX and ECM model to predict the unemployment rate and as a social information we used the Google Index provided by Google Trend. Also we used News Index as a domestic social information. The process of fitting statistical model considered in this paper can be adopted to predict various socio/economic indices as well as unemployment rate.

The software quality measurement based on software reliability model (소프트웨어 신뢰성 모델링 기반 소프트웨어 품질 측정)

  • Jung, Hye-Jung
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 2019
  • This study proposes a method to measure software reliability according to software reliability measurement model to measure software reliability. The model presented in this study uses the distribution of Non - Homogeneous Poisson Process and presents a measure of the software reliability of the presented model. As a method to select a suitable software reliability growth model according to the presented model, we have studied a method of proposing an appropriate software reliability function by calculating the mean square error according to the estimated value of the reliability function according to the software failure data. In this study, we propose a reliability function to measure the software quality and suggest a method to select the software reliability function from the viewpoint of minimizing the error of the estimation value by applying the failure data.

A Study on the Regionalization of Rainfall-Runoff Model Considering the Interrelationship between Parameters and Watershed Characteristics (매개변수와 유역특성인자의 상호연관성을 고려한 강우-유출 모형 지역화에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Guk;Son, Kyung-Hwan;Hong, Sung-Hoon;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.311-311
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    • 2020
  • 가뭄·홍수 등 수재해 대응대책 수립 측면에서 유역의 자연유출량 산정은 가장 핵심적인 사항이라 할 수 있다. 우리나라는 전국적으로 수위-유량관측소를 설치하여 실시간 유출량 모니터링을 통해 수문정보를 수집하며, 주요지점을 제외한 유역에서는 주기적으로 강우-유출모형의 매개변수 최적화를 통해 산정된 장기유출량 결과를 자연유출으로 가정하여 수자원 계획 수립시 활용하고 있다. 그러나 강우-유출모형의 최적 매개변수 추정을 위해 활용되는 관측 수문자료는 상대적으로 자료의 연한이 짧고, 계절·공간적인 특성으로 인해 매우 제한적이며, 유역의 특성을 충분히 고려하지 못해 미계측유역의 매개변수 추정시 모형의 자료에서 기인한 불확실성이 크게 발생한다는 단점이 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 관측자료에 대한 신뢰성이 유의하며, 공간적으로 고르게 분포된 12개 댐 유역을 대상으로 매개변수 지역화 연구를 수행하였다. SCEM-UA기법을 통해 GR4J 강우-유출모형의 매개변수를 최적화 하였으며, 매개변수와의 상관관계 및 선형회귀분석을 통해 유역특성인자를 선별하여 Copula 함수를 통해 지역화된 매개변수를 추정하였다. 최종적으로 본 연구에서 제시된 방법론에 대한 적합성을 평가하기 위하여 매개변수 최적화가 수행된 유역을 미계측 유역으로 가정하여 교차검증 관점에서 적합성을 검토하였으며, 통계적으로 유의한 결과가 도출되는 것을 확인하였다.

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Antecedents of Health-Promoting Behavior Among Female University Students in Korea (여대생의 건강증진 행위에 영향을 미치는 요인)

  • Shin, Hye-Sook;Shin, Hyun-Sook
    • Journal of East-West Nursing Research
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.78-86
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 여대생의 건강증진행위를 설명하기 위하여, 문헌고찰을 통해 가설적 모형을 도출하고, 여대생을 대상으로 건강증진행위를 횡단적으로 조사하여 모형의 적합성과 모형에서 제시된 가설을 검증하는 서술적 상관관계 연구이다. 연구에 사용된 변수는 건강증진행위와 관련된 선행 문헌의 고찰을 근거로 선정되었으며, 총 280명의 자료가 최종 분석에 이용되었다. 설문지는 Pender의 건강증진모형을 기초로 하여 개발하였으며, 조정요인 5문항, 건강상태 지각 3문항, 건강 통제위 4문항, 자아 존중감 5문항, 건강증진 행위 24문항의 총 41문항으로 구성하여 사용하였다. 개발된 항목에 대하여 간호대학생들을 대상으로 사전 조사를 실시하여 최종적인 설문지를 완성하였다. 본 연구모형에 대한 구성개념의 파악을 위해서 탐색적 요인분석을 실시하였고, 측정항목에 대한 요인별 단일 차원성 확인 및 통계적 검정을 위해 확인적 요인분석을 실시하였다. 연구의 가설검증을 위해 공변량 구조분석을 실시하였다. 모형의 적합도는 카이제곱은 244.04(자유도=121, p<0.001), GFI=0.91, CFI=0.97, NNFI=0.96, RMSR= 0.022으로 나타났다. 분석결과 여대생의 자아존중감과 내적통제위는 건강상태지각 및 건강증진행위에 유의한 영향을 미치는 요인으로 확인되었으며, 여대생의 건강상태지각은 건강증진행위에 유의한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다.

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Comparison of evaluation measures for classification models on binary data (이진자료 분류모형에 대한 평가측도의 특성 비교)

  • Kim, Byungsoo;Kwon, Soyoung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.291-300
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    • 2019
  • This study investigates the characteristics of evaluation measures for classification models on a binary response variable in order to evaluate their suitability for use. Six measures are considered: Accuracy, Sensitivity, Specificity, Precision, F-measure, and the Heidke's skill score (HSS). Evaluation measures are reformulated using x(ratio of actually 1), y(ratio predicted by 1), z(ratio of both actual and predicted by 1) from the confusion matrix. We suggest two necessary conditions to assess the suitability of the evaluation measures. The first condition is that the measure function is constant for x and y in the case of a random model. The second condition is that the measure function is increasing for z and decreasing for x and y. Since only HSS satisfies the two conditions, that is always appropriate as an evaluation measure for the classification model on the binary response variable, and the other measures should be used within a limited range.

A Study on the Success Judgement Model of Parts Development Projects (부품개발과제의 성공판정모형에 관한 연구)

  • 권철신;조근태;김점복
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.118-121
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구는 부품업체가 갖는 고유의 사업에 대한 특성분석을 통하여 방대한 부품개발과제들에 적합한 성공판정모형을 제시하고자 한다. 이를 위해서 전자부품업체를 대상으로 전문가에 대한 인터뷰조사와 설문 조사의 분석결과를 토대로 부품개발과제의 유형화를 시도하였고, 이에 따른 부품개발과제의 유형별 성공판정모형을 구축하였다. 본 연구의 모형 및 결과는 개발과제에 대한 합리적인 성패판정 기준 내지는 모형의 구축을 갈구하는 우리나라의 기술기업들에게 하나의 유용한 틀을 제공해 줄 수 있을 것이다.

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Comparison of marginal and internal fit of 3-unit monolithic zirconia fixed partial dentures fabricated from solid working casts and working casts from a removable die system (가철성 다이 시스템으로 제작된 작업 모형과 솔리드 작업 모형 상에서 제작된 지르코니아 3본 고정성 치과 보철물의 변연 및 내면 적합도 비교)

  • Wan-Sun Lee
    • Journal of Dental Rehabilitation and Applied Science
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.72-81
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study aimed to assess the marginal and internal fit of 3-unit monolithic zirconia fixed partial dentures (FPDs) fabricated via computer-aided design and computer-aided manufacturing (CAD/CAM) from solid working casts and removable die system. Materials and Methods: The tooth preparation protocol for a zirconia crown was executed on the mandibular right first premolar and mandibular right first molar, with the creation of a reference cast featuring an absent mandibular right second premolar. The reference cast was duplicated using polyvinyl siloxane impression, from which 20 working casts were fabricated following typical dental laboratory procedures. For comparative analysis, 10 FPDs were produced from a removable die system (RD group) and the remaining 10 FPDs from the solid working casts (S group). The casts were digitized using a dental desktop scanner to establish virtual casts and design the FPDs using CAD. The definitive 3-unit monolithic zirconia FPDs were fabricated via a CAM milling process. The seated FPDs on the reference cast underwent digital evaluation for marginal and internal fit. The Mann-Whitney U test was applied for statistical comparison between the two groups (α = 0.05). Results: The RD group showed significantly higher discrepancies in fit for both premolars and molars compared to the S group (P < 0.05), particularly in terms of marginal and occlusal gaps. Color mapping also highlighted more significant deviations in the RD group, especially in the marginal and occlusal regions. Conclusion: The study found that the discrepancies in marginal and occlusal fits of 3-unit monolithic zirconia FPDs were primarily associated with those fabricated using the removable die system. This indicates the significant impact of the fabrication method on the accuracy of FPDs.

A study on the effects of DINESERV's 5-dimensions by multiply-model on satisfaction, revisit intention and customer loyalty (곱모형에 의한 외식업 서비스품질 5차원이 고객만족도, 재방문의도 및 고객애호도에 미치는 영향)

  • Cho, Yoon-Shik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.273-281
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    • 2009
  • The gap(P-E)-model is based on the disconfirmation paradigm that tries to under stand the effect of the gap between before purchase expectations and after purchase perceptions of the product performance on dependent variables such as customer satis-faction. But Bhote proposed multiply($I{\times}P$)-model instead of gap(P-E)-model in 1998. This paper is focused on Bhote's multiply($I{\times}P$)-model in food service industry. The purpose of this research is to test whether DINESERV's 5-dimensions by multiply($I{\times}P$) model fits in explaining satisfaction, revisit intention and customer loyalty. The F-value of regression model was used to test the fitness of regression model of the multiply($I{\times}P$)-model. Through analysis, it was found that the multiply($I{\times}P$)-model fits.

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