• Title/Summary/Keyword: 리스크 비용

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A Study on the Perceptions and Current Practices in Estimating Risk Cost of Contractor's Construction Budget - Focused on Building Projects - (종합건설사 실행예산 편성 시 리스크 비용 산정에 관한 인식 및 실태에 관한 연구 - 건축공사를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Jeong Won;Kim, Han Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2022
  • Construction projects are exposed to various types of risks, which tend to increase. The increasing risks call for contractors' more attentions to forecasting and dealing with these risks. One of the measures to deal with contractors' risks is to forecast or estimate risk cost and include it in the construction budget. Although various researches in relation to risk cost have been observed, little attention has been paid to general contractors' perceptions and current practices in estimating risk cost of construction budget. The objective of the study is to identify and discuss key characteristics and implications based on the survey and analysis of general contractors' perceptions and current practices in estimating risk cost of construction budget. The study shows that there is a gap between the perception and the practice of estimating risk cost, that is, high perception of the importance of risk cost and a relatively low level of practice. It suggests that historical cost data, guidelines and corporate-level standard procedures are required to improve the current practice in addition to sufficient time allocations for risk cost estimating. It discusses that there is a need for using sophisticated estimating techniques including bid data analytics despite a low level of the current adoption, and also proposes that research and development in the field of the sophisticated estimating techniques should be further implemented in order to increase their practicality.

A Study on the Research Trends for Establishment of Risk Management System (리스크경영시스템 구축을 위한 연구동향 분석)

  • Kim, Jong-Gurl;Park, Ji-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2011.04a
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    • pp.397-406
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    • 2011
  • 최근 기술의 급격한 발달과 기업환경의 변화 및 자연환경의 변화로 인해 다양한 리스크 문제들이 대두되고 있고 리스크의 범주도 확대되고 있다. 리스크 관리 실패는 기업 및 국가경쟁력에 상당히 많은 영향을 미친다. 기업 및 국가에서는 리스크를 관리하기 위해 리스크경영시스템을 구축하고, 리스크를 최소화하여 리스크로 인한 손실비용을 줄이기 위해 노력하고 있다. 이에 본 논문에서는 국내외 리스크경영시스템 및 리스크 관리, 리스크 분석기법들을 조사 연구하여 리스크경영시스템 구축에 있어 필요한 기초자료들을 제시하고자 한다.

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A Comparative Analysis of Risk Impacts on Cost Overrun between Actual Cases and Managers' Perception on Overseas Construction Projects (해외 프로젝트 시공단계 리스크 요인의 실제 비용 초과 영향과 현장관리자 인식 차이 분석)

  • Lee, Kyung-Tae;Ann, Hannah;Kim, Jae-Won;Kim, Ju-Hyung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.52-60
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    • 2021
  • Due to the significant size of overseas construction projects, the cost overrun has enormous impacts on the financial status of construction companies. The managers' appropriate perception and identification of key risk factors in the construction phase notably affect the performance of projects. However, the actual impacts of risk factors and local manager' s perception of them could be deviated. For this reason, we aim to compare the performance of actual cases and general opinions of responsible practitioners in terms of risk factors relevant to cost overruns in order to present a practical strategy for risk management. Firstly, factors classified from literature review were used to simulate 290 cost overruns data sets from 20 cases by introducing Monte-Carlo Simulation and were ranked by standardized coefficients through multiple regression analysis. Secondly, a survey was conducted against 42 local managers to rank their perception of impact on cost overrun with identical factors by using Stepwise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SWARA). Comparison results show that conflicts such as 'conflict with subcontractors' and 'conflict with the local community' have caused excessive cost overrun. However, managers' perception of these as less significant than the actual influences and consider other risks such as 'material price fluctuation' and 'construction quality errors', as relatively serious. Therefore, education for local managers on conflict risks needs to be presented.

Risk-Based Performance Evaluation and Prediction Tool by Characterizing Construction Projects in Pre-Project Planning (초기 단계 프로젝트 특성을 고려한 리스크 평가 및 예측 툴 개발)

  • Shin, Kang-Yong;Cha, Hee-Sung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.168-175
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    • 2008
  • Project risk factors are major triggers in cost performance in construction projects. Both owners and contractors are highly concerned in managing their risks in earlier times. As such, it is needed to provide a robust risk evaluation methodology in identifying and assessing the potential risks before project execution. In previous research, risk identification was conducted only in specific phases, i. e., design, procurement, construction. Therefore, the comprehensive approach in risk management was limited and their quantifying method was not well-defined. Since the benefit of planning in earlier times are maximized compared to later times, the risk management should be implemented in earlier planning stage. This study provide a new risk evaluation method by incorporating previous research and extensive literature review. By quantifying each risk factor from an extensive industry survey, the proposed tool can enhance the reliability of each factor weight and also the weights are categorized from a various perspectives, i.e., owners, contractors, lager-scale company, smaller-scale company, building projects. The proposed tool can be also useful in deciding on whether to proceed a particular project and How much the project contingency would be set aside in project execution. The study findings can also expedite the risk management procedure in a more systematic approach.

A Study on Countermeasures for Risk Factors Through Risk Analysis of Earthwork (흙막이공의 리스크 분석을 통한 리스크 요인별 대응 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Byung Ju;Isah, Muritala Adebayo;Kim, Hyun Bee;Lee, Yang Gyu;Kim, Byung Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.681-688
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    • 2022
  • According to a recent study, most construction companies in Korea do not manage risk effectively, and it is judged that the risk management system needs to be improved. In addition, most risk-related studies deal with risks from a macroscopic perspective, and there are few studies dealing with process risks at the project construction stage. Therefore, this study tried to suggest a risk response plan through analysis and classification of risk factors that may occur in retaining work among process risks. To this end, a workshop was held for risk experts to identify and analyze risks that may occur during the construction of retaining work for apartments. As a result of the study, it was expected that savings of KRW 4.97 billion would be possible in the 95 % confidence interval, and the maximum possible cost was reduced from KRW 15 billion to about KRW 10 billion. Based on the risk reduction ratio, it was found that risks that can be reduced without any special input cost, risks with large effects in response to risks, and risks with insignificant effects were found. Therefore, using the types and risk factors presented in this study as guides, it is expected that it will be helpful in successfully operating the project if an appropriate response strategy is prepared and systematically responded to the site conditions.

A Study on the Cost Risk Analysis Method for Construction Projects (건설 프로젝트의 코스트 리스크 분석방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Dong-Un;Kim Yeong-Su
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.4 no.4 s.16
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    • pp.201-211
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    • 2003
  • Considering about construction projects characteristics, there Is an existing uncertainty which causes inaccuracy or invalidity under decision making situation. Therefore, cost risk analysis of numerous construction projects are Inclined to depend on expert's experiences and subjective judgements. In Korean domestic construction works, however, there is no reasonable method or process for applying subjective elements. Only probabilistic analysis using objective calculation are being used now. This research suggests a cost risk analysis method to analyze quantitatively Cost Impact by risk, and it appraises expert's subjective elements for the purpose of enhancing validity of cost estimation. Moreover, a new cost risk analysis method is introduced for providing convenient user interface in practical business.

A Case Study of Risk Management factors in Web Design Project (웹 디자인 프로젝트에서 리스크 매니지먼트 요인에 대한 사례 연구)

  • 박은영
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2003
  • Risk Management is one of the most important factors in web design project management. The purpose of risk management is to identify reasons of risk to avoid risky situation and successfully achieve final goal of the project. This paper first describes concept of the web design project management and its processes. Secondly this study presents planning principles for systematic risk management process. Also it suggests a model of risk management. Finally this paper demonstrates utility of the risk management model through case studies based on the suggested risk management model.

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A Study on the Quantitative Risk Level Calculation Model in Cooperation with the Reserve Fund (예비비와 연계한 정량적 리스크 수준 산정 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Kwoak, Song-Hae;Park, Koo-Rack;Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.10
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    • pp.159-166
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    • 2016
  • Recent public information project, which has been organized mainly to large companies is a situation that is being reorganized to small and medium-sized systems integration company. However, many of the small and medium-sized companies lack knowledge of the systematic risk management. Thus, in connection with the revenue, it involves a number of problems. Therefore, in this paper, we present a risk element that occurs mainly in the field of the project, providing a model for measuring the risk element by risk level costs associated with this. Through the convergence, we aim at providing a management system that is able to make the project successfully accomplished, predicting the risk that occurs in advance to pursue the project; Based on the proposed model, it is possible to secure a proper size of reserve fund so it is expected to enable companies to ensure the cost of risk analysis.

A Study on The Risk on the Non-payment of Monthly Rent of Seoul Office Market in the Framework of Asymmetric Information (정보비대칭 관점에서 서울 오피스 시장의 월세미납리스크에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Nam;Choi, Young-Sang;Koh, Sung-Soo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.7
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    • pp.531-543
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    • 2015
  • Benjamin, Lusht, and Shilling(1998) suggested that the level of deposit can be used as a tool to resolve the problem of adverse selection by the leaseholder under the circumstance of information asymmetry. In this respect, this research aims to verify how the level of deposit and monthly rent mitigate the problem of information asymmetry existing in the office market in Seoul. So far, the analysis of the office market in Seoul has been difficult due to the fixed rate of deposit and monthly rent. This research attempts to adopt the concept of occupancy cost, a global standard indicator that would replace the default risk of monthly payment for analyzing the market. As a result of a series of empirical analysis, the lessors tend to add about 9 percent of risk premium to the occupancy cost to hedge against the default risk of monthly payment. It allows for estimating at what extent one should reflect the leaseholder's default risk of monthly payment for operating deposit and monthly rent in the office building lease market.