• Title/Summary/Keyword: 리스크 분석

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A Study on the Perceptions and Current Practices in Estimating Risk Cost of Contractor's Construction Budget - Focused on Building Projects - (종합건설사 실행예산 편성 시 리스크 비용 산정에 관한 인식 및 실태에 관한 연구 - 건축공사를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Jeong Won;Kim, Han Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2022
  • Construction projects are exposed to various types of risks, which tend to increase. The increasing risks call for contractors' more attentions to forecasting and dealing with these risks. One of the measures to deal with contractors' risks is to forecast or estimate risk cost and include it in the construction budget. Although various researches in relation to risk cost have been observed, little attention has been paid to general contractors' perceptions and current practices in estimating risk cost of construction budget. The objective of the study is to identify and discuss key characteristics and implications based on the survey and analysis of general contractors' perceptions and current practices in estimating risk cost of construction budget. The study shows that there is a gap between the perception and the practice of estimating risk cost, that is, high perception of the importance of risk cost and a relatively low level of practice. It suggests that historical cost data, guidelines and corporate-level standard procedures are required to improve the current practice in addition to sufficient time allocations for risk cost estimating. It discusses that there is a need for using sophisticated estimating techniques including bid data analytics despite a low level of the current adoption, and also proposes that research and development in the field of the sophisticated estimating techniques should be further implemented in order to increase their practicality.

A Study on the Current Status of Supply Chain Risks after COVID-19: Focusing on Network Analysis (코로나19 이후 공급사슬 리스크에 대한 현황연구: 네트워크 분석을 중심으로)

  • EuiBeom Jeong;Keontaek Oh
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.77-92
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    • 2023
  • In this study, keyword network analysis was performed based on global and domestic journals, and network text analysis was conducted for news and articles to examine major issues and research trends on supply chain risks after COVID-19. As a result of analyzing the supply chain risk, after COVID-19 which was relatively insufficient in previous studies, research trends and topics such as supply chain risk recovery, response and public welfare, which are different from previous previous studies, were found in global and domestic journals, news and articles and it was possible to suggest practical strategies and insights for supply chain risk strategies for firms.

Risk Factors Analysis and Quantitative Risk Assessment Model for Plant Construction Project (플랜트 건설 리스크 분석 및 리스크 정량화 모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn, Sung-Jin;Kim, Tae-Hui;Nam, Kyung-Yong;Kim, Ji-Myong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2019
  • Due to the increasing demand for and complexity of plant construction projects, unpredictable risk factors are on the consequent increase. For that reason, the quantitative risk analysis is being called for, in order for the development of a risk assessment model using risk indicators for the plant construction projects. This study used the claim payout data collected at a global insurance company to reflect the actual financial losses in plant construction projects as dependent variables in the risk assessment model. In terms of independent variables, the geographic information, i. e., landform, and the construction information including test-run, schedule rate, total cost and duration are adopted. In addition, this study suggests that the regression model containing such independent variables that are statistically significant can be applied to as a foundational guideline for the plant construction project risk analysis during the phase of construction and commissioning.

A Feasibility Study on Small-sized Rental Residential Building Project through Risk Management (리스크 관리를 통한 프로젝트 타당성 검토방안에 대한 연구 -소규모 임대주택을 대상으로-)

  • Kim Sang-Chul;Park Chan-Jeong;Yoon Jun-Seon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.5 no.3 s.19
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2004
  • Planning phase became very important because the construction market in Korea is often unpredictable. The existing feasibility analysis cannot fulfill its purpose in development projects because they are based on intuitive approach rather than systematic approach. The purpose of this study is to make a prototype of feasibility model to be a good investment. To build the model, first, risk factors which can be occurred in project had to be selected. Risk factors were divided into several groups in basis of characteristical risk. Economical risk factors were input on financial analysis. Then, to catch the relevance and influence of all risk factors, influence diagram and decision tree were made. Finally, sensitivity analysis was activated, then what the critical factors were, and how those factors could be solved. Through these procedures, the feasibility model that was made in this study could include both quantitative and qualitative factors. This model is expected to be used as a guide of feasibility analysis including all risk factors and is to serve systematic frame in planning and feasibility stage.

Effect of Supply Chain Risk Management Factors on Risk Management Strategy and Corporate Performance (공급사슬관리 리스크 요인이 위험관리전략과 기업성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Choong-Bae;Kim, Hyun-Chung
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.55-74
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    • 2020
  • With globalization and the development of information and communication technology, the supply chain is becoming more widespread and complex, which increases the occurrence and damage caused by supply chain risks. Supply chain risk management has a great impact on corporate performance through the analysis of risk factors and proactive and strategic approaches. This study aims to analyze the effects of supply chain risk factors on risk management strategies and corporate performance empirically. In the research model for empirical analysis, supply chain risk factors were classified into supply, demand, operation, network, and external environment, while the risk management strategies were divided into active and passive strategies, as well as financial and operational performance for corporate performance. The data obtained via the questionnaire were analyzed for the path of the structural equation model. As a result of the analysis, companies are actively pursuing risk management for internal risk factors, rather than external factors, in terms of internal and external risk factors, and it was found that these strategies have a significant effect on corporate performance. Therefore, in the future, companies should conduct risk management strategies more proactively and preemptively through a thorough analysis of various risk factors affecting business operations.

Development of a Product Risk Assessment System using Injury Information in Korea Consumer Agency (한국소비자원 위해정보를 활용한 제품 리스크 평가시스템 개발)

  • Suh, Jungdae
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.181-190
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    • 2017
  • Recently, safety accidents of daily necessities such as humidifier disinfectant, mobile phones, and infant diapers, have occurred frequently. To protect consumers from these accidents, product safety management is required, and a product risk assessment tool is needed to evaluate the degree of safety of the product. In this paper, we have constructed RAS, which is a system that can evaluate product risk based on injury information of product accident in Korea Consumer Agency. RAS consists of an injury information analysis system for analyzing accident-related information and a risk assessment system for assessing risk using information derived from the system. The Bayesian network - based probabilistic method is applied to reflect the causal relationships that affect product risk in the risk assessment process. We used RAS to evaluate 33 children's products and compared them with the results of EU RAPEX RAG. Subsequent tasks include reducing the subjectivity of the input of the accident impact scale, and linking the above two systems.

Assessment of Risk Management Practices of CM Enterprise: The Need for an Enterprise-level Risk Management Framework (CM기업 현장운영 리스크 관리 실태 분석을 통한 효율적 관리 방안 제시)

  • Park, Kyungmo;Lee, Hyun Woo;Kim, Changduk
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.66-73
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    • 2014
  • The Korean construction industry has been severely impacted by the 2008 global financial crisis, which resulted in a significant reduction in the overall contract amount. For survival, many construction management (CM) companies had to adapt a strategy of lowering bid prices to maintain their competitiveness. As a result of the strategy, companies faced a number of issues including their decreased capability in risk management. However, most risk management-related studies focused on construction risk management, yet these studies lacked consideration of enterprise-level risk management practices. To fill the gap, the objectives of the present study are (1) to investigate, the risk management practices of Korean CM companies, (2) to identify factors that determine efficient enterprise-level risk management practices, and (3) to propose a module for the development of enterprise-level risk management. Lastly, the efficiency of the proposed development module was validated by using a survey.

The Case Study on Performance Measurement Weighting for Efficient Value Engineering Study of Sewage Treatment Facliity (건설사업의 효율적인 리스크관리를 위한 RBES 분석기법과 적용에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Jaeil;Kim, Dongjin;Kim, Gyeonghyun;Lim, Jongkwon;Lee, Minjaee
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.125-133
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    • 2016
  • The Project Risk Management is intended to result in the effective management by identifying in advance and mitigating all significant risks including project risks and opportunities during the entire project life cycle - from project inception to completion of construction. It is impossible to predict an exact budget and construction duration before finishing a project. So, Washington Department of Transportation mandates that workshop-based risk management is conducted for projects over specific cost. However, the domestic construction sites have depended on numerical risk analysis without any workshop and efficient risk management have not made. Therefore, in this study, we propose the effective risk management using the RBES program which is very useful for workshop-based risk management and pre & post mitigation, by workshop-based risk management techniques. This proposed risk management approach is applied to a domestic 'A' river recovery project. It is concluded that we may expect the effect to mitigate the total cost overrun problem and the construction duration delay effect in the project by identifying significant risks and by preparing effective risk mitigation strategies.

Performance analysis of satellite maneuver and structure control using risk-sensitive control (위성 운동과 건물 진동제어에 활용된 리스크 센서티브 제어기의 성능 분석)

  • Won, Chang-Hui
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.219-226
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    • 1997
  • 지구를 원궤도로 돌고 있는 위성 운동과 지진에 흔들리는 건물 진동을 선형 확률적 미분 방정식으로 나타내고 최적화 제어를 위하여 리스크 센서티브 제어기를 사용한다. 리스크 센서티브 파라미터에 따라서 코스트 함수의 평균과 분산이 변하게 된다. 이 파라미터가 무한히 커지면 리스크 센서티브 제어기는 기존의 LQG 제어기와 같아지므로 리스크 샌서티브 제어이론은 LQG 제어 이론을 포함한 종합적인 이론이다. 이 논문에서는 리스크 센서티브 이론을 소개하고, 리스크 센서티브 제어 방식의 성능 측정및 평가 방법을 도출하기 위하여 공분산을 이용하면 리스크 센서티브 제어기는 기존의 LQG 제어기 보다 우수한 성능을 나타낸다는 것을 보여준다. 시뮬레이션을 통하여 위성의 자세및 궤도 운동 제어와 건물 진동 제어에 활용된 리스크 센서티브 제어기의 향상된 성능과 안정성을 보여준다.

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Development of Standard Risk Indicators for the Prevention of Serious Accidents in Mobile Crane Operations(Focused on Construction Industry) (이동식크레인 작업의 중대재해예방을 위한 표준 리스크 평가지수 개발(건설업을 중심으로))

  • Choi, Jong-Gook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2023.11a
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    • pp.228-229
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    • 2023
  • 이동식크레인은 높은 사망률에 기여하는 기계로 최근 6년간(2016~2021) 사고사망사례 중 건설업 2,574건을 분석한 고위험 요인(SIF)정보에서 이동식크레인의 사고는 총 61건의 재해가 발생하였다. 현장의 안전대책에도 불구하고 제대로 활용이 안되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 표준 리스크 평가 지수를 제시하여 사고예방에 기여하고자 한다

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