• Title/Summary/Keyword: 리스크 분석

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A Study on the Risk Analysis Method on the Transport System (운송시스템의 리스크 분석방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Ji;Kim, Hwan-seong
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.147-157
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    • 2016
  • The trend of globalization and the development of the communication-Information technology have led the organization of a complex supply chains which are more vulnerable to risks. The impact of risk on the supply chain can be adverse so importance of risk management on a supply chain has increased. In order to analyze the risk factors of transport system, this study described about the definition of transport risk and investigated the relationship between likelihood index and effect index of each risk factor. We identified risk factors on transport system and measured likelihood index and effect index of each risk factor. Finally, a numerical risk index, which is a value of total transport system, has been resulted by aggregating all indices. In addition, a case study using the proposed method has done on a heavy vehicle transport context with a transport company.

FREES : Fuzzy Risk Evaluation Expert System (Fuzzy 이론을 활용한 건설프로젝트 리스크 분석 및 평가 시스템)

  • Cho Ick-Rae;Park Chan-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.1 no.1 s.1
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2000
  • This study proposes FREES(Fuzzy Risk Evaluation Expert System) for analyzing and evaluating risks occurring during the construction process. The feasibility of this system model was tested by virtual scenario. For the development of the model, at first, risk breakdown structure was established based on risks identified in the existing researches, that is quantitative and qualitative. FREES can reflect human cognition process in the risk analysis and evaluation by adopting artificial intelligence fuzzy theory, differentiating the existing quantitative analysis model. The FREES can be applied to all the project phases from planning to operation & maintenance stage.

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Development of a Risk Management Procedure Model for the Construction Project Using Construction Risk Management System (CRMS를 활용한 건설공사의 리스크관리 절차모형 개발)

  • Kim, Chang Hak;Kang, Leen Seok;Park, Hong Tae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.4D
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    • pp.423-432
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    • 2010
  • This study suggested CRMS (construction risk management system) which is a new risk analysis model after analyzing existing risk management process for to guarantee a successful performance at the construction planning and work phase. CRMS is risk management procedures in order that the contractor identify, analyze and administrate the risk during performing construction project. This model may give much help to quantify and be ready the right managing methods about identified risk by the contractor. Especially, the most important and difficult things of all risk management may be to identify risk in the project. This study make more focusing on the developing a procedure that can identify risk more easily in the construction project. The risk is divided into global risk and local risk of a project. Also, this study suggests methods which are using the RBS (risk breakdown structure) related with WBS. This result will be useful as basic materials for developing computerizing system for risk management.

A risk management system applicable to NATM tunnels: methodology development and application (NATM 터널의 리스크 관리 시스템 개발 및 현장적용)

  • Chung, Heeyoung;Lee, Kang-Hyun;Kim, Byung-Kyu;Lee, In-Mo;Choi, Hangseok
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.155-170
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, a risk management system applicable to NATM tunneling projects is proposed. After investigating case histories in NATM tunnel collapse, this paper analyzes the potential risk factors and their corresponding risk events during NATM tunnel construction. The risk factors are categorized into three groups: geological, design and construction risk factors. The risk events are also categorized into four types: excessive deformation, excessive deformation with subsidence, collapse inside tunnels, and collapse inside tunnels with subsidence. The paper identifies risk scenarios in consideration of the risk factors and proposes a risk analysis/evaluation method for the NATM tunnel risk scenarios. Based on the evaluation results, the optimal mitigation measure to handle the risk events is suggested. In order to effectively facilitate a series of risk management processes, it is necessary to develop a risk register and a management ledger for risk mitigation measures that are customized to NATM tunnels. Lastly, the risk management for an actual NATM tunnel construction site is performed to verify the validity of the proposed system.

A Study on the Development of Risk Check List and Identification of Risk Factors for Survey in Road Construction (측량 분야의 리스크 식별을 위한 리스크 체크리스트 개발 -도로 공사를 중심으로-)

  • Kwak, Jun-Hwan;Park, Hyung-Keun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.901-904
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the risk factors, analyze the risk factors and make a risk check list of survey in road construction. Generally. the risk management is consisted of 3 steps: risk identification, Risk analysis, Risk hedge. This study is focused on the identification of risk and analysis of risk. To identify the risk factors of survey, we used the specifications of road construction, law of survey, and check list of road construction. This study provides the risk check list of survey for road construction. This research was undertaken to analyze risk factors being determine by the FGI(Focus Group Interview) method with survey specialists.

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Virtual Construction System for Visualizing Risk Management Information (건설공사 리스크관리기법의 가상건설시스템 연동 방법론 연구)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Seung;Park, Jin-Jung;Park, Nam-Jin;Choi, Gwang-Yeol;Seo, Hwa-Jin;Kang, Leen-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2010.04a
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    • pp.77-80
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    • 2010
  • 최근 건설 프로젝트의 대형화 및 다양한 신공법들의 도입으로 불확실한 위험도 요인들이 점점 증가함으로써 일련의 시스템적 절차에 따른 리스크관리 (Risk Management)체계와 프로젝트 참여자들간의 효율적인 정보전달 방안이 요구되고 있다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 '리스크 시각화 시뮬레이션 구축 방법론'을 제시한다. 이는 최근 각종공사 정보 시각화부분에서 주목받고 있는 4D CAD 기술과 리스크 분석을 시스템적인 절차로 구성하여 연계한 방법이다. 시스템적 리스크 분석 절차는 리스크관리기법인 AHP 및 퍼지 분석기법을 동시에 적용하여 합리적인 리스크 정량화를 수행할 수 있도록 구성하였다. 그리고 이로부터 산출된 리스크 요인별 위험정도는 WBS 코드체계 기반으로 4D CAD의 공종과 연계되어 리스크 정도 수준에 따라 설정된 색상으로 시뮬레이션이 구현되도록 구성하였다. 이러한 방법론은 IDEF0 모델링 기법으로 제시함으로써 향후 시스템 구축의 기초 자료로 활용할 수 있도록 하였다.

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Cash flow Forecasting in International Construction Projects through Categorized Risk Analysis (특성별 리스크 분석을 통한 해외건설공사 현금흐름 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yeom, Sang-Min;Han, Seung-Heon;Kim, Du-Yeon;Nam, Ha-Na;Park, Hee-Dae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 2006
  • In this research, risk factors which can raise project cost are identified in the initial stage and picked out through the decision maker's baseline. And also this probable risks are implemented to the project cash flow to estimate the contingency and to build a risk management system in the level of project. The risks that affect the projects profits were classified in two categories in the risk checklist. Firstly, financial risks derived from the external economic conditions for example exchange rate, escalation, interest rates etc. are analyzed through the stochastic methods, Monte-Carlo Simulation. Secondly, the project individual risks which are come from the project characteristics, for example country risk, clime, owner etc., are evaluated using the utility curve of the decision maker. Finally these risk analysis methods are used to forecast the actual project cash flow and final profit.

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An Investigation Study on the Risk Management Systems (선진국 리스크경영시스템 규격비교)

  • 김종걸;엄상준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2002.06a
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    • pp.321-328
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    • 2002
  • 다양한 리스크문제가 발생하고 있는 기업 환경 속에서 세계선도 기업들은 이미 효과적인 리스크 관리시스템의 운영을 통하여 기업의 손실을 최소화함으로써 이윤을 극대화하고 있으나 우리 기업들은 아직 그렇지 못한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 국제규격인 ISO14971과 IEC62198, JIS Q 2001의 리스크 경영 규격을 중심으로 리스크 경영 시스템(Risk Management System : RMS)의 구성을 분석 비교한다. 각각의 규격에서 사용되는 적용범위, 용어 및 정의, 리스크 경영의 개념과 절차, 경영 시스템에 적용되는 기법들을 비교, 분석하여 우리 기업들이 가지고 있는 리스크문제를 효과적으로 관리할 수 있는 대안 모색을 가능하도록 하는 기초 자료를 제시하고자 한다.

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Analysis and Quantitative Estimation of Risk Factors of Design-Build (턴키 프로젝트에서 리스크요인 분석 및 정량적 평가)

  • Oh, Guk-Yeol;Lee, Young-Dai
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.12-24
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    • 2012
  • The Risks in undertaking a construction project comes from many sources and often involves many participants in the project. This study has identified various kinds of risks, assessed the risk factors quantitatively and suggested risk management method for response pertinent in Design Build(Turn Key)type of projects in Korean context. A questionnaire was designed comprising of 145 possible risks in all types of construction projects. The population from owner, consultant and contractor groups was asked to indicate the risks applicable in DB projects. 25 numbers of critical risks in DB projects were identified and further analyzed for reveling inherent relationship between them through factor analysis. Factor analysis revealed 8 risk factors in DB projects. Construction site related, contract related and design related risk factor consisted about 72% of total risk weight. It has been found out about 6%, while considering the mutual dependency, it is about 10% of total cost of DB project. Therefore, It is suggested that 6% to 10% of construction amount as contingency has to be made provision for risk responses in the DB projects.

Risk Analysis and Classification of Public-Private Partenership in Project Financing Process (민관합동형 PF사업의 단계별 리스크 분류 및 위험도분석)

  • Park, Hye-Sung;Kim, Sun-Kuk
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.117-126
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    • 2011
  • With Public-private partnership PF (project financing) deals saw explosive increase in quantity since its introduction to Korea in 2001, but, met with severe recession in the fallouts of the financial crisis that hit the global economy in 2008. This study intends to identify the risk factors corresponding to issues of public-private partnership projects financing structure and classify and analyze them by project phase. Outcomes of this research are expected to help recognize risk factors in each project phase during project planning and develop risk control and mitigation strategy during project implementation.