• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2006.11b
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• pp.341-344
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• 2006

Most construction companies recognize the necessity of risk management. The practical application, however, is not easy because of the absence of systematic procedure for risk management and the difficulty in objectification of subjective risk factors. This study suggests a systematic procedure and a web-based analysis system. In the first place for those researches, this study analyzes the present condition of risk management in the railway facility construction industry. Finally, this study defines risk management procedures as preparation, identification, analysis, response and risk analysis method to manage potential risks in the railway construction project.

• Information Systems Review
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.135-164
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• 2008

This research is to offer a structured yet practical ex-ante evaluation methodology for IT investment. Benchmarking the best practices of four Korean organizations, we try to integrate core processes, relevant measures, and evaluation dimensions into a consistent and wholesome body of evaluating methodology. The best practices we considered encompass a wide range of business enterprises, including for-profit, non-profit, service-oriented, and manufacturing entities. The proposed methodology consists of three stages; the first stage checks the validity of investments by looking into comprehensiveness of planning, willingness to accomplish, justifiable grounds for the investments, overlapping investments, and obstructing risks; the second do so by putting an IT investment into economic, strategic, and technological perspectives; and the last third would produce a unified quantity that summarizes outcome of the previous stages. Incorporating the proven knowledge, guidelines, and quantifying tools, the methodology could make a valuable reference model for IT evaluation practitioners who have been bedeviled by having to going through such ex-ante evaluations.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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• autumn
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• pp.306-310
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• 2002

Agreements such as the Uruguay Round and the New Round have dramatically changed international construction markets. The globalization of the construction industry provides tremendous opportunities for construction industry, while it generates the complex skeins of risks to contractors wllo would like to expand into new foreign markets. According to ENR, recently about $13.9\%$ of contractors that entered international construction markets have experienced loss in projects and furthermore, their average profits have also declined continuously. Accordingly, contractors need a strategic risk management system for assessing various risks and improving Profitability for overseas construction projects. This paper discusses the long-term trend of profitability performed by Korean contractors in international construction markets during the last 35 years. Then, it identifies the key factors that affect the profitability significantly through the structured surveys from 59 actual overseas projects. These factors can be used for developing a risk management system for international construction project.

• Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.155-162
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• 2017

In recent years, aviation-related safety-critical systems have been developed in Korea, but these products have not satisfied the specified requirements and thus have not been commercialized or commercialized. Due to increasing complexity of the modern aviation system, traditional verification and validation techniques are not sufficient to identify and reduce latent risks in the system. To overcome this shortcoming, a new method which is called 'Independent verification and validation (IV&V)' is suggested. However, academic researches on the effectiveness of this independent verification and validation have not been conducted domestically, and it is performed very rarely even overseas. Therefore, in this paper, we investigated the application of independent verification and validation of the safety-critical aviation systems performed by advanced aviation organizations, and analyzed various positive effects on projects. As a result of the analysis, IV&V shows that early error detection rate is increased, potential risk is mitigated early, and the complex reworking probability, which appears later in the development life cycle, is reduced, greatly preventing the development schedule and costs from increasing.

• Archives of design research
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• v.18 no.3 s.61
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• pp.15-24
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• 2005

There is a large waste of time, money, and production through the infelicitous product design process in small and medium enterprises. They don't possess enough career-manpower with respect to design. Especially, the objective and scientific approach process isn't presented very well on the 'establishment concept' of the embodiment phase or 'Sketch and Rendering' of the development phase which are the most important design processes. So, this research is applied to the conception of the AHP method. It uses the basic concept of relativity to decrease risk from the calculational quantity data, and supplement the decision making phase. Generally, human beings can conclude by relative judgement which is more influenceable than absolute judgement. So we must use the relative comparison concept rather than the comparison of two items with variable sketches based on characteristics of human beings. Thus, efficiency judgement is dependent on design sketch comparisons which help the consistency progress of variable alternative plans. We can decrease risk when we chose the final design and increase efficiency of the design decision making. That is now a perfect selection of each alternative's ranking and sensitive design result but this research will provide consistency criterion on filtering and lead to variable design alternatives. The significance of this research is the efficiency method that overcomes differences of character and sensitivity on many phases of the process. Finally, this research proposes a new ideal process that where applied improves quality and evidence of propriety through comparison to existing methods result in method application research for improvement quality.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 2006.11a
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• pp.388-390
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• 2006

투자안 가치평가 방법에는 화폐의 시간가치를 고려한 방법과 고려하지 않는 방법이 있다. 이중 가장 많이 쓰이고, 중요한 방법으로는 화폐의 시간 가치를 고려한 순현재가치법(NPV), 내부수익률법(IRR), 수익성지표법(Pl)등이 있다. 이중에서도 우리는 투자사업으로부터 사업의 최종년도까지 얻게 되는 순이익(수익-비용)의 흐름을 현재가치로 계산하는NPV 분석을 많이 실시하고 있다. 즉, 어떤 자산의 NPV가 0보다 크면 투자 시 기업가치의 순증가가 발생하므로 투자가치가 있는 것으로 평가하고 0보다 작으면 기업가치의 순감소가 발생하므로 투자가치가 없는 것으로 평가한다. 여기에서 많은 기업경영자 및 재무담당자들은 다음과 같은 의문을 갖고 NPV분석의 약점을 보안할 필요성을 제기하고 있다. “결과로부터 얻은 단일 값이 정말 신뢰할 만한 값인가?”, “만약 몇 가지의 리스크 요인이 우리의 사업모델에 영향을 미친다면 그 결과는 어떻게 달라질 것인가?”, “우리가 얻은 결과 값의 실현 가능성은 몇%이고 나머지 발생 가능한 값들의 분포는 어떻게 될 것인가?” 위 질문에 대한 답을 얻을 수 있다면 투자안에 대해 빠르고 올바른 의사결정을 내릴 수 있으며 실패의 위험을 줄일 수 있다 이런 분석을 가능하게 해 주는 것이 확률론적 분석이며, 즉 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션 기법이다. 이미 많은 선진 기업에서 이 방법을 통하여 모든 의사결정에 중요한 참고 자료로 이용하고 있으며 본 논문은 몬테카를로 분석의 대표적인 소프트웨어인 Crystal Ball을 이용하여 그 활용 사례를 소개하고자 한다.

• Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.185-194
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• 2022

Avionics equipment requires various environmental conditions and performance during development, and as a countermeasure against such development risk, the worst-case circuit analysis(WCCA) is applied to predict perform preliminary performance analysis. WCCA calculates the maximum and minimum values by combining the parameter values of the relevant circuit after deriving the parameter values in consideration of the aging of the temperature and operating period at the component level. In this paper, the necessary matters for WCCA application are described. Chapter 2 describes the differences and characteristics of the WCCA techniques EVA, RSS, and Monte Carlo.Chapter 3 introduces the analysis process through the example circuit to introduce the actual analysis procedure. Chapter 4 describes the method of selecting an analysis technique for each condition of the analysis target. As a result of applying the procedures and analysis methods introduced in this paper when open, it was confirmed that preliminary performance analysis and part optimization design verification are possible.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.21 no.5
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• pp.64-73
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• 2020

The government announced a plan for fund support to the enterprises with high possibility of recovery and early restructuring for the enterprises with low recovery by objectifying credit assessment system. Such announcement of government could be extended to restructuring risk of middle standing enterprises with low financial soundness by establishing the basis to prepare prompt restructuring by reinforcing the basis for restructuring through capital market. This research analyzed financial soundness based on the financial evaluation of bank by selecting 10 middle standing construction companies which focused on housing business in 2019, based on such analysis result, it was confirmed that there was a high possibility of restructuring risk. This research determined that there would be a decrease in growth rate of construction industry on the whole in 2020 due to fall of economic growth rate and reinforced real estate regulation, accordingly, there's a big possibility for middle standing construction companies with paid-in capital ratio due to its low possibility of maintenance of stable credit rating. This research established KCSI assessment model by utilizing the material of a reliable research institute in order for middle standing construction companies to evade restructuring risk, and indicated risk ratio differentiated per each item through a working-level expert survey. Such research result could suggest credit risk reduction method to middle standing construction company management staffs, and prepare a basis to evade restructuring risk.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.115-122
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• 2001

Recently construction enterprises involves more occurred with increase of size and complxity of construction works. Risk management is one of the key project management process. Numerous tools are available to support the various phases of the risk management process. We present the results of a study designed to identify the tools that are most widely used and those that are associated with successful project management in general, and in effective project risk management in particular. The study is based on a questionnaire administered to a sample of project managers from construction enterprises. The response data was analyzed in order to find which tools are mon likely to be used in the those organizations that report better project management performance and in those that value the contribution of risk management processes.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.354-357
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• 2018

본 연구의 목적은 저축은행 부실에 영향을 미치는 주요 변수를 선정하고, 기존 전통적인 통계기법에 국한된 국내 부실 예측 연구를 벗어나 기계학습을 활용하여 부설 예측모형에 대한 성능을 향상시키는 것이다. 이를 위해 본 연구는 2010년부터 2014년까지의 부실저축은행 297개사와 건전 저축은행 88 개사의 재무정보 1,5067개 분기자료를 기반으로 로지스틱회귀분석 뿐만 아니라, ANN, SVM 및 Decision Tree와 같은 알고리즘을 이용하여 보다 정교한 부실 예측 모형을 개발하고 활용함으로써 금융기관에 대한 리스크 상시 감시를 통해 부실을 사전에 예방하고 시장의 안정화 및 금융질서를 유지함을 목적으로 하고 있다.