• Title/Summary/Keyword: 로짓모델

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Network Theory Based Empirical Studies on the Factors Affecting Global Liners' Port Selection : Focused on Major Trade Port in Korea and China (Network 관점에서 본 글로벌해운선사의 항만선택 결정요인에 관한 연구 - 한국과 중국의 주요 무역항만을 대상으로 -)

  • Jang, Heung-Hoon;Han, Byoung-Sop
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2009
  • Transportation decisions of ship liners are crucial for policy formulation in ports and shipping lines. Ship liners' port selection depends on the location characteristic of port. With network theory based, we empirically investigated determinants of global ship liners' port selection focused on major trade ports in China and Korea during 1995-2007. We present a detailed discussion on the related literatures about port selection, and develop hypothesis using network-based view. With conditional logit model, empirical results show that global liners select globally positioned ports rather than domestic oriented ones. Global ship liners select ports which have intra national network centrality, global ship network centrality and global network linkage.

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The Comparision of the Influencing Factors on the Subjective Health Status of the Urban-Rural Elderly (도시-농촌 노인의 주관적 건강수준에 영향을 미치는 요인에 대한 비교)

  • Lee, Jeong Hun;Lee, Hee Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.553-565
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    • 2016
  • Population aging has been an increasing social issue and the elderly health has become one of the most urgent public attentions in Korea. The aims of this paper are to compare the subjective health status according to the personal characteristics, social networks, and daily leisure activities of the urban-rural elderly, and to analyze the influencing factors of their subjective health status. Using 2011 elderly survey data, ordered logit Model was established to extract influencing factors of the elderly health status. The results show that socioeconomic and demographic characteristics of individual as well as frequent social contacts and daily activities within neighborhood environments influence the level of health status of the elderly. The most significant factors affecting the elderly health are personal economic conditions such as the education achievement level and household income. The elderly who visit an elderly welfare center in Seoul has almost 1.82 times higher odds of increasing health status level than not to visit an elderly welfare center. This study may give some important policy implications of the elderly health promotion strategy in urban-rural communities.

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Mode Choice Behavior Analysis of Commuter Feeder Passengers to Subway System (통근.통학자의 지하철 연계교통수단 선택행태분석)

  • 정헌영;김정주
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.69-82
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    • 2000
  • When new subway lines are considered to construct in a large city, there is a need to establish the appropriate transfer systems between subway and other transit modes, so as to increase the use of subway system. In this study, a multi-nominal logit model is developed to analyze the travel characteristics and the mode choice of subway Passengers transferring to and from the buses, minibuses and taxi. These passengers represent a large Portion of transit Passengers in Pusan city It shows that the explanatory variables that affect Passengers\` mode choice are in order of OVIT(Out-of-Vehicle Travel Time), IVTT(In-Vehicle Travel Time), transit fare,. income, gender, and age in modeling. In particular, OVTT is shown to have more significant impact on the mode choice than IYTT due to the fact that transfer trip is involved only in a short distance. Variables associated with the travel costs, however, do have an insignificant impact on the mode choice. It shows that it would be a better Policy to improve the quality of transit service using additional financial resource by increasing transit fare rather than by reducing the fare to increase travel demand. It also shows that value of travel time of OVTT is remarkably higher than that of IVTT and value of travel time of taxi Passengers is much higher than that of minibus Passengers .

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Analyzing the Determinants and Estimate cost against Resettlement on New Town Project Using Ordinal Logit Model (순서형로짓모형을 이용한 재정비촉진지구의 재정착비용추정 및 결정요인 분석)

  • Choi, Yeol;Park, Sung Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2D
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    • pp.287-293
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    • 2009
  • The aim of this paper is to analyze resettlement cost and decision factors of resettlement since Redevelopment Promotion Projects. Range of resettlement cost was averagely increased 204% by using actual data. Consequently, the research is operated for aboriginal people in these areas by a questionnaire. The questionnaire ask a payment range of the resettlement cost with 4 stages; 150% and less, 180% and less, 200% and less, excess of 200%. Research scope is consist of Seo-kumsa, Civil Park, Chung-mu and Young-do. These areas are redevelopment of Busan metropolitan city. Resettlement is come under the influence of the resettlement cost and many factors by each specific character. In many alternatives for resettlement, understanding the reason why aboriginal peoples select a certain alternative and if we actualize the proper alternative, aboriginal peoples' resettlement ratio will be increased. Moreover it ask housing characteristic, housing life pattern for understanding aboriginal peoples' characteristic. Also data analysis model is ordinal logistic model'. In analysis result, resettlement cost is 150% of aboriginal assets. and significance parameter is sex, job, income, region, affection, attachment, housing possession type, size and others have influence on aboriginal peoples' resettlement.

Multiple Regression Analysis between Weather Factor and Line Outage using Logit Model (로짓(Logit) 모델을 이용한 날씨요소와 송전선로 고장의 다중회귀분석)

  • Shin, Dong-Suk;Lee, Youn-Ho;Kim, Jin-O;Lee, Baek-Seok;Bang, Min-Jae
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.11b
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    • pp.187-189
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    • 2004
  • This paper investigates the effect of weather factors(such as winds, rain, snows, temperature, clouds and humidity) on transmission line outages. The result shows that weather variables have significant effects on the transmission line historical outages and the relationship between them is nonlinear. Multiple regression analysis using Logit model is proved to be appropriate in forecasting line failure rate in KEPCO systems. It could also provide system operators with useful informations about system operation and planing.

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A Loyalty Score Model Development in Credit Card Business (고객 로열티 스코어 모델 개발)

  • Chun, Heui-Ju
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.211-219
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    • 2008
  • Customer Loyalty is very important for a company to be survived and to make profit for a long time. Especially, since the credit card company has to manage proper card members and merchants, the CRM(Customer Relationship Management) is much emphasized. A loyalty score is more essential to credit card companies which provide differential financial services based on card members and merchants than any other companies. In this paper, we discuss behavioral measures to define customer loyalty and suggest a method to make loyalty score with an example of a credit card company. The loyalty score developed is considered easy to understand and simple to apply in card industry. In the development of loyalty score, first, we define the loyal customers and non-loyal customers by measuring variables indicating loyalty. And we perform individual logistic regression by each exploratory measuring variable and obtain the weight of measure variables using Chi-square statistics which is used for model fitness. The loyalty score suggested shows very stable results in terms of PSI (Population Stability Index) as time goes.

An Analysis of the Migration of the Public Institutes workers on Resettlement to Local cities (혁신도시 이전공공기관 종사자의 거주이전 결정요인 분석)

  • ROH, Yong Sik;LEE, Young Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.221-231
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    • 2021
  • This paper identify factors of migration of employees' household who work for relocated public institutions. As a factors of migration, we consider individual and household characteristics, the gravity model of distance and population and so on. Considering discrete dependant variable and structure of data, we employ the logistic multilevel model and random intercept model. The result indicates employees' who are female, 30s and 40s, higher education level(PhD) and whose spouse are unemployed tend to transfer their residential registration to new city near relocated public institution. Regarding regional variable, the distance from employee's previous residential location and number of migration of prior year are statistically significant. Also the model indicate regional economy, educational and residential environment of new city influence employee's decision for transferring residential registration.

Projection of Forest Vegetation Change by Applying Future Climate Change Scenario MIROC3.2 A1B (미래 기후변화 시나리오 MIROC3.2 A1B에 따른 우리나라 산림식생분포의 변화 전망)

  • Shin, Hyung-Jin;Park, Geun-Ae;Park, Min-Ji;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.64-75
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    • 2012
  • To predict the future distribution of forest vegetation, the present forest stand distributions of South Korea were represented by multinomial logit model with the following environmental variables: summer average precipitation, the coldest month average temperature, elevation, degree of base saturation, and soil organic matter. The future forest community was predicted by applying the MIROC3.2 hires A1B scenario. The future climate data were downscaled by statistically method. The coldest month average temperature increased $4.4^{\circ}C$, $6.0^{\circ}C$, and $9.4^{\circ}C$, and 3 months average precipitation changed -1.2%, 5.7%, and 5.3% for 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s respectively. For the projected summer precipitation and the coldest temperature, the future deciduous and mixed forests in the study area increased 56.9% and 8.3% and the coniferous forest decreased 11.2% in 2080s based on present.

Determinants of Moonlighting: the Case of the Married Workers in Korea (부업 참여 및 부업 근로시간의 결정요인: 기혼자를 중심으로)

  • Im, Yongbin;Cho, Hyung-Jai
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.31-68
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    • 2017
  • This study examined the moonlighting behavior in Korea, to which relatively less attention has been paid. Based on the wage earners of 25 to 65 year old married, the results show that about 1.4% of the sample have dual jobs, working very long hours, on average 60 hours for a week combining both the primary job and the secondary job. The results of the fixed effects logit model on the moonlighting participation indicate that the wage rate and the hours of work in the primary job have a negative effect on moonlighting participation while the insecurity of the primary job appears to lead to a higher probability of taking a secondary job. The results of the moonlighting hours analysis suggest that hours worked in the primary job have a negative effect on moonlight hours while the wage of the primary job does not appear to have any significant effect on moonlighting hours. Interestingly enough, the wage of the secondary job appears to have a negative impact on moonlighting hours, which might be very plausible considering the long working hours moonlighters are engaged in.

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Prediction of Estimated Sales Amount through New Open of Department Store (대형백화점의 신규출점에 따른 예상매출액 추정)

  • Park, Chul-ju;Ko, Youn-bae;Youn, Myoung-kil;Kim, Won-kyum
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.5-20
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    • 2006
  • Retail is called location business because it is one of the most important factors to estimate management of stores for retailers who are going to sell products directly to customers. Retailers' management achievements are shown in sale in general. Therefore, retailers tend to focus on ways to increase the numbers of customers in order to raise sales. First of all, in this research, I am going to examine the most fundamental models such as Reilly's retail gravitation, converse model, huff probability model and multiful losit model in selecting stores. Secondly, I am going to provide the process and analyzing ways to predict estimated sales amount with the previous theory model. Also I am going to predict estimated sales amount of the department store L which is located in D metorpolitan city. Lastly, I am going to argue about the problem of this research and the next research subject. Our main goal is to provide ways to complement and inspect sales estimation models, which can be used in fields after taking characters of high class structure of Korea into consideration on the base of previous researches. According to the result of the research, my conclusion is that if the process of analysis and changing factors are complemented, revise model, which can reflect reality of Korea, will be provided. Therefore, in the future study, we have to build up theory models to suit for our retail market through critic reviews about the existing high class structure of Korea.

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