• Title/Summary/Keyword: 로버스트 추정

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회귀분석을 위한 로버스트 신경망

  • 황창하;김상민;박희주
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.327-332
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    • 1997
  • 다층 신경망은 비모수 회귀함수 추정의 한 방법이다. 다충 신경망을 학습시키기 위해 역전파 알고리즘이 널리 사용되고 있다. 그러나 이 알고리즘은 이상치에 매우 민감하여 이상치를 포함하고 있는 자료에 대하여 원하지 않는 회귀함수를 추정한다. 본 논문에서는 통계물리에서 자주 사용하는 방법을 이용하여 로버스트 역전파 알고리즘을 제안하고 수학적으로 신경망과 매우 유사한 PRP(projection pursuit regression) 방법, 일반적인 역전파 알고리즘과 모의실험을 통해 비교 분석한다.

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A Robust EWMA Control Chart (로버스트 지수가중 이동평균(EWMA) 관리도)

  • Nam, Ho-Soo;Lee, Byung-Gun;Joo, Cheol-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.233-241
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    • 1999
  • Control chart is a very extensively used tool in testing whether a process is in a state of statistical control or not. In this paper, we propose a robust EWMA(exponentially weighted moving averages) control chart for variables, which is based on the Huber's M-estimator. The Huber's M-estimator is a well-known robust estimator in sense of distributional robustness. In the proposed chart, the estimation of the process deviation is modified to have a s table level and high power. To compare the performances of the proposed control chart with other charts, some Monte Carlo simulations we performed. The simulation results show that the robust EWMA control chart has good performance.

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Jolly-Seber방법을 이용한 로버스트 설계

  • Kim, Ji-Hye;Hong, Tae-Gyeong;Choe, Jin-Sik;Namkung, Pyung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.117-122
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    • 2003
  • 개방형 모집단에 대한 Mark-Recapture방법은 일반적으로 Jolly-Seber방법이 사용된다. 이 방법은 각 표본에서 모든 동물들에 대한 포획될 확률은 동일하다는 가정을 갖는다. 개방형 모집단에 대한 Mark-Recapture방법을 소개하고 폐쇄형 모집단에서 갖는 문제를 해결하기 위한 개방형 모집단의 로버스트 설계를 이용하려다. Pollock과 Kendall의 Jolly-Seber 모수로부터 유도된 모집단의 성장율 추정에 대하여 SAS와 POPAN의 결과를 비교하였다.

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Robust Estimation using Estimating Functions for Time Series Models (시계열모형에서 추정함수를 이용한 로버스트 추론방법)

  • 차경엽;김삼용;이성덕
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.479-490
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    • 1999
  • 선형시계열모형인 AR(1)모형과 비선형시계열모형인 RCA(1), ARCH(1)모형에서 이상치(Outlier)가 존재할 경우 최소제곱추정량과 M추정량간의 점근상대효율(Asymptotic Relative Efficiency: ARE)을 구하여 두 추정량의 로버스트 성질을 비교·분석하였다. 또한 여러 유계함수(Huber, Tukey, Andrews, Hampel)들을 M추정함수에 적용하여 각각의 유계함수들을 비교·분석하였다.

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Principal Components Logistic Regression based on Robust Estimation (로버스트추정에 바탕을 둔 주성분로지스틱회귀)

  • Kim, Bu-Yong;Kahng, Myung-Wook;Jang, Hea-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.531-539
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    • 2009
  • Logistic regression is widely used as a datamining technique for the customer relationship management. The maximum likelihood estimator has highly inflated variance when multicollinearity exists among the regressors, and it is not robust against outliers. Thus we propose the robust principal components logistic regression to deal with both multicollinearity and outlier problem. A procedure is suggested for the selection of principal components, which is based on the condition index. When a condition index is larger than the cutoff value obtained from the model constructed on the basis of the conjoint analysis, the corresponding principal component is removed from the logistic model. In addition, we employ an algorithm for the robust estimation, which strives to dampen the effect of outliers by applying the appropriate weights and factors to the leverage points and vertical outliers identified by the V-mask type criterion. The Monte Carlo simulation results indicate that the proposed procedure yields higher rate of correct classification than the existing method.

Outlier Detection of Autoregressive Models Using Robust Regression Estimators (로버스트 추정법을 이용한 자기상관회귀모형에서의 특이치 검출)

  • Lee Dong-Hee;Park You-Sung;Kim Kee-Whan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.305-317
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    • 2006
  • Outliers adversely affect model identification, parameter estimation, and forecast in time series data. In particular, when outliers consist of a patch of additive outliers, the current outlier detection procedures suffer from the masking and swamping effects which make them inefficient. In this paper, we propose new outlier detection procedure based on high breakdown estimators, called as the dual robust filtering. Empirical and simulation studies in the autoregressive model with orders p show that the proposed procedure is effective.

Doubly Robust Imputation Using Auxiliary Information (보조 정보에 의한 이중적 로버스트 대체법)

  • Park, Hyeon-Ah;Jeon, Jong-Woo;Na, Seong-Ryong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2011
  • Ratio and regression imputations depend on the model of a survey variable and the relation between the survey variable and auxiliary variables. If the model is not true, the unbiasedness of the estimator using the ratio or regression imputation cannot be guaranteed. In this paper, we develop the doubly robust imputation, which satisfies the approximate unbiasedness of the estimator, whether the model assumption is valid or not. The proposed imputation increases the efficiency of estimation by using the population information of the auxiliary variables. The simulation study establishes the theoretical results of this paper.

Online abnormal events detection with online support vector machine (온라인 서포트벡터기계를 이용한 온라인 비정상 사건 탐지)

  • Park, Hye-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.197-206
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    • 2011
  • The ability to detect online abnormal events in signals is essential in many real-world signal processing applications. In order to detect abnormal events, previously known algorithms require an explicit signal statistical model, and interpret abnormal events as statistical model abrupt changes. In general, maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimation theory to estimate well as detection methods have been used. However, the above-mentioned methods for robust and tractable model, it is not easy to estimate. More freedom to estimate how the model is needed. In this paper, we investigate a machine learning, descriptor-based approach that does not require a explicit descriptors statistical model, based on support vector machines are known to be robust statistical models and a sequential optimal algorithm online support vector machine is introduced.

Robust Discriminant Analysis using Minimum Disparity Estimators

  • 조미정;홍종선;정동빈
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.135-140
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    • 2004
  • Lindsay and Basu (1994)에 의해 소개된 최소차이추정량 (Minimum Disparity Estimators)들은 실제 자료 분석 도구로써 유용하다. 본 논문에서는 최소일반화음지수 차이추정량 (Minimum Generalized Negative Exponential Disparity Estimator, MGNEDE)이 최대가능도추정량 (Maximum Likelihood Estimator, MLE)와 최소가중 헬링거거리추정량 (Minimum Blended Weight Hellinger Distance Estimator, MBWHDE)에 비해 오염된 정규모형에서 효율적이고 로버스트하다는 것을 모의실험을 통하여 확인하였다. 또한 세 가지 추정량들에 의해 추정된 모수들을 이용하여 판별하였을 때 자 추정량득의 판별율을 비교함으로써 오염된 정규모형에서 MLE의 대안으로 MGNEDE와 MBWHDE를 사용할 수 있음을 보였다.

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Estimation of Spatial Dependence by Quasi-likelihood Method (의사우도법을 이용한 공간 종속 모형의 추정)

  • 이윤동;최혜미
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.519-533
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we suggest quasi-likelihood estimation (QLE) method and its robust version in estimating spatial dependence modelled through variogram used for spatial data modelling. We compare the statistical characteristics of the estimators with other popular least squares estimators of parameters for variogram model by simulation study. The QLE method for estimating spatial dependence has the advantages that it does not need the concept of lags commonly required for least squares estimation methods as well as its statistical superiority. The QLE method also shows the statistical superiority to the other methods for the tested Gaussian and non-Gaussian spatial processes.