• Title/Summary/Keyword: 대중교통수요

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A Study on Estimating Tourism Elasticities using Autoregressive Distributed Lag(ARDL) model (ARDL 모형을 이용한 관광탄력성 추정에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hee;Kim, Kyung-Soo
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 2017
  • This study was to investigate the elasticity in tourism demand of Chinese tourists visiting Malaysia through ARDL models by using Chinese tourists arrivals, GDP, CPI, transportation costs and others. When China was implementing an open-door policy with foreign countries in the early 15th century, the movement of Chinese was very limited, and then communication between China and other countries was very weak. However, the Chinese government persistently and entirely implemented an open-door policy by participating in the World Trade Organization(WTO) in 2001. The Chinese government has opened the economy through foreign direct investment by providing various incentives for foreign investment. As a result, inbound and outbound Chinese movements increased in the early 21st century. China was one of the top five most visited tourist destinations in the world by 2016, and also Chinese tourists traveling abroad increased, so they made Malaysia a popular tourists destination because of increase sharply to around 1.41 million. This study examined the significance of major economic factors affecting the increase in Chinese tourists arriving in Malaysia. Other factors that induced their arrival included income, tourism prices, transportation costs and promotional activities. Short-run shocks from the Asian economic crisis and the outbreak of SARS were included to understand how tourism demand in Malaysia was affected. Finally this study found that the combination of the ARDL and the Error Correction Model were useful to statistically estimate the elasticities of tourism demand.

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Evaluation of Metro Services based on Transit Smart Card Data (A Case Study of Incheon Line 1) (스마트카드 데이터를 활용한 도시철도 서비스 평가 (인천 1호선의 차내혼잡과 정시성을 중심으로))

  • Eom, Jin-Ki;Choi, Myoung-Hun;Kim, Dae-Sung;Lee, Jun;Song, Ji-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.80-87
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzed the quality of a commuter rail service of Incheon line 1 with respect to two service measures such as occupancy (crowdedness) and punctuality based on transit smart card data collected in 2009. In order to analyze the metro services by individual fleet, we aggregated the personal level card data into the fleet operated in each planned schedule. The results show a low level of service for both crowdedness and punctuality during peak hours at the line segment from 'Gyeyang' to 'International business district'. Further, a close relationship between vehicle occupancy and punctuality is found, which illustrates high passenger demand causes successive metro delay.

Analysis of Applicability in the Public Transportation System considering the Cost-volume Supply Curve of New Transit System Bi-Modal Tram (녹색 신교통 시스템 바이모달트램의 비용-수요 공급곡선을 고려한 도시 대중교통체계 적용 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Hong-Seok;Kim, Ryang-Gyun;Ham, Jae-Hyun;Jeon, Jae-Cheong;Yoon, Hee-Taek
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.2303-2308
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    • 2010
  • We studied the cost-volume supply characteristic of public transportation systems focused on Bi-modal Tram in the main cities to analyze the applicability and status for the new transit system Bi-modal Tram as public transportation system. The operation cost considering the characteristic of vehicle, facilities, operation and average cost for respective public transportation system and the time cost considering the travel and transfer time are defined to the social cost, and the cost-volume supply curve is based on this social cost. The cost-volume supply characteristic between public transportation modes in the city is determined on the basis of cost-volume supply curve. Through the comparison between cost-volume supply characteristic of main transportation systems, it is analyzed about the relation between public transportation systems in the city and the characteristic for proper service provision. The application of Bi-modal Tram in the city is concluded that it is effective to reduce the social cost on the existing public transportation system.

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The Development of Models and the Characteristics for Subway Noise Using the Classification and Regression Trees (CART 분석을 이용한 지하철 소음모형 개발 및 특성 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Lee, Jae-Myung;Won, Jai-Mu;Song, In-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.480-486
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    • 2007
  • The subway is a necessary public transportation in big cities, which many citizens are using now. However, the demands for subway inner circumstance by citizens are growing recently. Among them, the noise problem is the hot issue to be solved. So, in this study we classified the characteristics of subway noise using the classification and regression trees (CART) based on noise level data in line No. 5 in Seoul. After that We developed the models for effect of subway noise and analyzed the characteristics through it. The result of this study is that we need to consider the type of geometry design and operational factors when the problem of subway noise improves, because the factors which weigh with subway noise are different by type of geometry and operational part.

Value Analysis of Barrier-free Facilities at Subway Stations Using CVM with a Double Bounded Dichotomous Choice Question (이중양분선택형 질문법을 이용한 CVM에 의한 지하철 역사 Barrier-free 시설의 가치분석)

  • Jung, Hun-Young;Baik, Sang-Keun;Baek, Eun-Sang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.205-216
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    • 2008
  • As the aged and physically disabled people are expected to increase in the next several years, traffic demand especially for the 'mobility handicapped people' will be stronger. According to this trend, our society needs the improvement of social overhead capital for the aged and the disabled. First of all, Barrier-free of public transport facilities is urgent case. The purpose of this study is to estimate value of the Barrier-free facilities at subway stations by using Contingent Valuation Method(CVM) with Double Bounded Dichotomous Choice Question and to analyze the factor which affects the WTP(Willingness To Pay) of subway users by using Survival Analysis. As a result of this study, 'Elevators' and 'Escalators' are higher than 'Handicapped Gate Machines' and 'Ramps for Wheelchair' in the aspect of the average willingness to pay. Therefore the government is recommended to install the Barrier-free facilities for going up and down such as 'Elevators' and 'Escalators', and then supply others for just using subway, and passing such as 'Handicapped Gate Machines' and 'Ramps for Wheelchair'. Also, the average willingness to pay of 'mobility handicapped people' is higher than that of 'normal people'. It indicates that 'mobility handicapped people' value each Barrier-free facility high compared to 'normal people'.

Analysis of Bus Signal Priority Effect by BRT Stop Types: Focusing on Hannuri-daero, Sejong (BRT 정류장 형태에 따른 버스 우선 신호 효과 분석: 세종시 한누리대로를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Minji;Han, Yohee;Kim, Youngchan
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.20-33
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    • 2021
  • Modern society is steadily implementing policies to encourage public transportation to cope with the growing traffic demand on limited roads. The expectation is rising for transit signal priority to ensure the speed of buses as the installation of the bus rapid transit(BRT) expands nationwide to secure the competitiveness of buses. On the other hand, the form of BRT stops without considering some aspects of bus operation may increase the number of stops on the bus, thereby reducing the effectiveness of bus signal priority applications. This study suggests the type of bus stop to increase the operation efficiency of buses by analyzing the bus signal priority effect according to the BRT station type using Hannuri-daero, Sejong. The bus signal priority is used to maximize the two-way bandwidth of passenger cars and buses. As a result of the application, the effectiveness of the bus signal priority at the stop causing the double stop of the bus was reduced drastically, and the efficiency of the bus signal priority was increased significantly after improvement. These results are expected to be used as basic data in the form of proper bus stops considering the aspects of traffic operation when designing BRT stops in new towns in the future.

PRT Benefit Estimation Study; Focused on Nan-Gok line (PRT시스템 도입시 편익산정 연구; 난곡노선을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jin-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.370-375
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, as a follow-up PRT studies of "J. Lee & K. Kim[2]", in terms of public transportation systems, economic feasibility of PRT systems was investigated. Based on previous studies, PRT demand was estimated and the required number of PRT vehicles has been calculated and the benefit was estimated. To ensure the economic feasibility, construction cost of a PRT system should be the level of 8 billion won per km, and the annual operating costs of the PRT system construction should be approximately 4.63% level. As a result, how much to reduce PRT construction costs, depending on whether decisions are considered to be economically feasible. Thus, PRT technology development will be conducted by targeting the most lightweight and by minimizing the infrastructure and vehicles of PRT.

Bus Reliability Management Policy and Evaluation of Seoul Metropolitan Based on APTS Data (APTS 자료기반의 서울시 버스신뢰성 관리정책과 평가)

  • Lee, Ho-Sang;Lim, Jung-Sil;Jung, Young-Jae;Kim, Young-Chan
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2008
  • Recently, the roll of bus transit is critical more than before because of the dramatical increase in congestions and oil prices, but bus companies seriously encounter into vicious circle situation such as decrease in passenger demand, income reduction, and revenue deterioration. To tackle this, major metropolitan cities, Seoul, Busan, DaeGu, etc. have introduced a semi-public system to reinforce public function of bus. However, it was resulted in side effects that the main board of bus company did not control theirselves voluntarily, and the management and control of public sectors on bus become very important elements. In this research, the types, limitations, and development of operation-management items, and a methodology for analysis, and changes in those trends are addressed under semi-public system using APTS data. Conclusively, this study could be one of the useful application results and alternatives for the operation-management policy of bus transit-related agencies.

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The Extraction of Railroad Alignment Information Using Digital Imagery (디지털 영상을 이용한 철도선형정보 추출)

  • Seo, Dong-Ju;Kim, Joung-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.399-408
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    • 2006
  • Railroads have been developed as public transportation and made a great contribution to national economic growth. But after the mid-20th century, its qualities have been getting low because of focusing on the investment and development of cars and airplanes. Its role which is getting the excellent merits on the mass transportation, rapid transit, safety, state period, energy efficiency, and prevention of environmental pollution has been reconsidered. Elements of horizontal alignment are needed in the case where the existing railroad lines should be improved or moved. If its design drawing was lost or damaged, it is impossible to recover. It is not easy to repair for it as disasters. We must understand an existing railroad line to bring a function included a basic geography situation. In this study, we acquire, analyze, and process the digital images of the railroad and then reappear shape of three dimension. And we expect to be utilized to construct the facility information by extracting the alignment elements of existing railroad lines reversely.

Development of Demand Forecasting Model for Public Bicycles in Seoul Using GRU (GRU 기법을 활용한 서울시 공공자전거 수요예측 모델 개발)

  • Lee, Seung-Woon;Kwahk, Kee-Young
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.1-25
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    • 2022
  • After the first Covid-19 confirmed case occurred in Korea in January 2020, interest in personal transportation such as public bicycles not public transportation such as buses and subways, increased. The demand for 'Ddareungi', a public bicycle operated by the Seoul Metropolitan Government, has also increased. In this study, a demand prediction model of a GRU(Gated Recurrent Unit) was presented based on the rental history of public bicycles by time zone(2019~2021) in Seoul. The usefulness of the GRU method presented in this study was verified based on the rental history of Around Exit 1 of Yeouido, Yeongdengpo-gu, Seoul. In particular, it was compared and analyzed with multiple linear regression models and recurrent neural network models under the same conditions. In addition, when developing the model, in addition to weather factors, the Seoul living population was used as a variable and verified. MAE and RMSE were used as performance indicators for the model, and through this, the usefulness of the GRU model proposed in this study was presented. As a result of this study, the proposed GRU model showed higher prediction accuracy than the traditional multi-linear regression model and the LSTM model and Conv-LSTM model, which have recently been in the spotlight. Also the GRU model was faster than the LSTM model and the Conv-LSTM model. Through this study, it will be possible to help solve the problem of relocation in the future by predicting the demand for public bicycles in Seoul more quickly and accurately.