• Title/Summary/Keyword: 단계별 변수선택

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Application for the Selection Criteria of Apppropriate Probability Distribution (적정 확률분포형 선정기준의 적용성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Soo-Young;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.169-173
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    • 2006
  • 일반적으로 확률수문량을 산정하기 위해서는 수문자료에 대해 빈도해석을 실시한 후 확률수문량을 산정하게 된다. 재현기간이 커질수록 확률분포형에 따라 확률수문량의 값은 많은 차이를 나타내므로 적정 확률분포형의 선정은 매우 중요하다고 할 수 있다. 적정 확률분포형의 선정은 객관적인 기준에 의해 이루어져야 하나, 적정 확률분포형의 선정에 있어 명확한 기준이 마련되어 있지 않아 실무에서 확률수문량을 산정할 때 많은 어려움을 겪고 있는 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 적정 확률분포형의 선정기준으로 제시되어 있는 검정통계량을 이용한 방법의 적용성을 비교 검토하고자 한다. 이를 위해 우리나라에서 널리 사용되고 있는 Gumbel, GEV 분포형과 Weibull, Generalized logistic 분포형을 선택하고 각각의 분포형에 대해 자료의 크기별 모의를 통해 자료를 발생시킨 후 빈도해석을 수행하고, 적합도 검정 단계에서 산출되는 검정통계량을 비교하여 적정 확률분포형을 선정하여 적용성을 검토하고자 한다. 결과적으로 자료 발생에 이용된 분포형과는 관계없이 자료수가 작을수록 2변수 gamma, 자료수가 많을수록 5변수 Wakeby가 제일 많이 선정되는 것으로 나타났으며, Gumbel, GEV, generalized logistic 분포형의 경우는 대체로 자료의 수가 많아질수록 선정되는 빈도가 많은 것으로 나타났다.

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Impacts of the Accessibility of Parking and Public Transportation on Mode Choice by Trip Purpose in the city of Seoul (서울시의 주차 및 대중교통 이용여건이 통행목적별 교통수단 선택에 미치는 영향)

  • Sung, Hyun-Gon;Shin, Ki-Sook;Rho, Jeong-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 2008
  • Like always selecting anything in everyday lives, We must choose a travel mode to achieve its purposes driven by diverse factors such as travel distance and accessibility of public transit. Assuming that they are differentiated depending on whether a travel purpose is commuting, shopping or leasure, the study investigated their distinguished impacts on travel mode choice by using binary logit models by travel purpose and mode. Identifying that travel time has an important role in choosing a travel mode whether its purpose is any, the results show that longer travel time tends to increase the possibilities of taking public transit, transfer and rail transit rather than bus. In addition, the easy use of a car and its parking to travelers is more important in their choosing an automobile as a travel mode than other factors. In the models of identifying the probability of mode choice between bus and rail transit, we find that its choice tends to be decided by travelers depending on whether any public transit mode is more accessible to them. When comparing the results among travel purposes, we identify that the easy use of a car and parking in their destination is more important for commuting, while accessibility of public transit in their origination increases the probability of taking a transit mode.

Comparison of Different Multiple Linear Regression Models for Real-time Flood Stage Forecasting (실시간 수위 예측을 위한 다중선형회귀 모형의 비교)

  • Choi, Seung Yong;Han, Kun Yeun;Kim, Byung Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.1B
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 2012
  • Recently to overcome limitations of conceptual, hydrological and physics based models for flood stage forecasting, multiple linear regression model as one of data-driven models have been widely adopted for forecasting flood streamflow(stage). The objectives of this study are to compare performance of different multiple linear regression models according to regression coefficient estimation methods and determine most effective multiple linear regression flood stage forecasting models. To do this, the time scale was determined through the autocorrelation analysis of input data and different flood stage forecasting models developed using regression coefficient estimation methods such as LS(least square), WLS(weighted least square), SPW(stepwise) was applied to flood events in Jungrang stream. To evaluate performance of established models, fours statistical indices were used, namely; Root mean square error(RMSE), Nash Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSEC), mean absolute error (MAE), adjusted coefficient of determination($R^{*2}$). The results show that the flood stage forecasting model using SPW(stepwise) parameter estimation can carry out the river flood stage prediction better in comparison with others, and the flood stage forecasting model using LS(least square) parameter estimation is also found to be slightly better than the flood stage forecasting model using WLS(weighted least square) parameter estimation.

Quantitative EEG research by the brain activities on the various fields of the English education (영어학습 유형별 뇌기능 활성화에 대한 정량뇌파연구)

  • Kwon, Hyung-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.541-550
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    • 2009
  • This research attempted to find out any implications for strategies to design and develop the connections between the activities of the brain function and the fields of English learning (dictation, word level, speaking, word memory, listening). Thus, in developing the brain based learning model for the English education, attempts need to be made to help learners to keep the whole brain toward learning. On this point, this study indicated the significant results for the exclusive brain location and the brainwaves on the each English learning field by the quantitative EEG analysis. The results of this study presented the guidelines for the balanced development of the left brain and the right brain to train the specific site of the brain connected to the English learning fields. In addition, whole brain training model is developed by the quantitative EEG data not by the theoretical learning methods focused on the right brain training.

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A Study on Propriety of Pilot Aptitude Test Using Phased Analysis of Pilot Training (비행교육과정 단계별 분석을 통한 조종적성검사 항목 타당성 연구)

  • Kim, HeeYoung;Kim, SuHwan;Moon, HoSeok
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.218-225
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    • 2016
  • It is important to select the personnel with ideal pilot aptitude considering dramatically advancing aircraft performance and complexity of military operations as a consequence to the highly developed science and technology. The opportunity cost lost from dropouts and human error being the first cause of aviation accidents are the realistic reasons for the significance of personnel selection based on their aptitude. This study analyses the ROKAF pilot aptitude test that was improved in 2004, using various classification models. This study discusses the significance of the selected variables along with the direction of ROKAF pilot aptitude test for its development in the future. The accuracy of the classification models was improved by taking into account differing personnel characteristics of individuals on the test.

Comparison of recovery rates of DNPH-Cartridge sampler in the analysis of odorous carbonyl compounds (DNPH Cartridge를 이용한 악취성 카르보닐화합물의 분석회수율 비교)

  • Hong, One-Feel;Lim, Sung-Min;Kim, Ki-Hyun
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.446-456
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    • 2010
  • In this study, the performance characteristics of DNPH sampling were investigated in the collection and analysis of 5 carbonyl compounds (CC) in air using the cartridge products produced by three different makers. For these experiments, gaseous standards of 5 CCs were prepared to cover 9 concentration levels for each compound (33~2600 nmol). Some cartridge products exhibited relatively high blank values of acetaldehyde (AA) and propionaldehyde (PA). The recovery rates of all three cartridges showed moderate reduction as the molecular weight of CC increased. In addition, when the recovery rate was compared by percent error (%), the most stable patterns were achieved in the intermediate concentration range of 263~1312 nmol (in case of AA). The overall results of our study suggest that the optimal range of recovery for a given concentration range should be considered to obtain the most reliable data for the DNPH cartridge method.

The Changes in Polysomnographic Sleep Variables by Periodic Limb Movements During Sleep (주기성 사지운동증에 따른 수면다원검사 상 수면 변수들의 변화)

  • Choi, Jongbae;Choi, Jae-Won;Lee, Yu-Jin;Koo, Jae-Woo;Jeong, Do-Un
    • Sleep Medicine and Psychophysiology
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.24-31
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    • 2017
  • Objectives: Periodic limb movement disorder (PLMD) has been debated with regard to its clinical significance and diagnostic criteria. The current diagnostic criterion for PLMD in adults has been changed from periodic limb movement index (PLMI) > 5/hour to PLMI > 15/hour by the International Classification of Sleep Disorders (ICSD). In this study, we aimed to investigate the changes in polysomnographic sleep variables according to PLMI and to determine the relevance of the diagnostic criterion for PLMD. Methods: Out of 4195 subjects who underwent standard polysomnography, we selected 666 subjects (370 males and 296 females, aged $47.1{\pm}14.8$) who were older than 17 years and were not diagnosed with primary insomnia, sleep apnea, narcolepsy, or REM sleep behavior disorder. Subjects were divided into three groups according to PLMI severity: group 1 ($PLMI{\leq}5$), group 2 (5 < $PLMI{\leq}15$), and group 3 (PLMI > 15). Demographic and polysomnographic sleep variables and Epworth sleepiness scale (ESS) were compared among the three groups. Results: There were significant differences among the three groups in age and gender. Sleep efficiency (SE) and stage 3 sleep percentage in group 1 were significantly higher than those in groups 2 and 3. The wake after sleep onset (WASO) score in group 1 was significantly lower than those in groups 2 and 3. However, there were no significant differences in SE, stage 3 sleep percentage, or WASO between groups 2 and 3. Sleep latency (SL) in group 1 was significantly lower than that in group 3, but there was no difference in SL between group 2 and group 3. ESS score in group 1 was significantly higher than that in group 3, but there was no difference between group 2 and group 3. Partial correlation analysis adjusted by age showed that PLMI was significantly related to SE and WASO. Conclusion: This study suggests that PLMI influences polysomnographic sleep variables. In addition, we found the individuals who did not have PLMD but had PLMI > 5 were not different in polysomnographic sleep variables from the individuals who had PLMD according to the current criterion. These results raise questions about the relevance of the current diagnostic criterion of PLMD.

A Study on the Influences of Korean Consumer Characteristics and Propensity to Purchase in Brand Choice (한국소비자 특성과 구매성향이 브랜드 선택에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyung-Suk;Kim, Chur
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.321-339
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study to the analyze characteristics and purchasing activities of consumers by using the Multinomial Logit model, which is a well-known discrete selection model to explain and forecast consumers' selection activities(patterns). The study aims to determine the state of competition between National Brand and Private Band and how some demographic characters and marketing variables influence consumers' brand selections within the facial tissue market. Our analysis process includes reorganization of panel data(individuals' purchasing record at each point) to fit the purpose of our study as well as analysis of probability and influencing factors of consumers' brand selection at each point of purchases. The result showed that consumers at higher age and with higher income hold better probability to purchase National Brand. Likewise, locations also had considerable effect on selecting brand, and Private Brand was preferred in department store and discount stores. On the other hand, consumers loyal to National Brand reported higher probability to purchase if the product prices were higher while Private Brand buyers were more promoted the purchase under price discount.

A Research on Yield Prediction of Mixed Pastures in Korea via Model Construction in Stages (혼파초지에서 모형의 단계적 적용을 통한 수량예측 연구)

  • Oh, Seung Min;Kim, Moon Ju;Peng, Jinglun;Lee, Bae Hun;Kim, Ji Yung;Kim, Byong Wan;Jo, Mu Hwan;Sung, Kyung Il
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.80-91
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study was to select a model showing high-levels of interpretability which is high in R-squared value in terms of predicting the yield in the mixed pasture using the factors of fertilization, seeding rate and years after pasture establishment in steps, as well as the climate as a basic factor. The processes of constructing the yield prediction model for the mixed pasture were performed in the sequence of data collection (forage and climatic data), preparation, analysis, and model construction. Through this process, six models were constructed after considering climatic variables, fertilization management, seeding rates, and periods after pasture establishment years in steps, thereafter the optimum model was selected through considering the coincidence of the models to the forage production theories. As a result, Model VI (R squared = 53.8%) including climatic variables, fertilization amount, seeding rates, and periods after pasture establishment was considered as the optimum yield prediction model for mixed pastures in South Korea. The interpretability of independent variables in the model were decreased in the sequence of climatic variables(24.5%), fertilization amount(17.8%), seeding rates(10.7%), and periods after pasture establishment(0.8%). However, it is necessary to investigate the reasons of positive correlation between dry matter yield and days of summer depression (DSD) by considering cultivated locations and using other cumulative temperature related variables instead of DSD. Meanwhile the another research about the optimum levels of fertilization amounts and seeding rates is required using the quadratic term due to the certain value-centered distribution of these two variables.

A Study on the Selection of Pricing Factors for Used Bulk Carriers (중고 벌크선의 가격결정요인 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Yun-Ok
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.181-188
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    • 2017
  • In the existing ship sales market, prices determined based on the prices of similar ship types that recently traded. ince the 2008 financial crisis, ship prices have fluctuated, and ship price criteria have become ever more necessary to the imminent value of the ship. Therefore, this research used the hedonic price model to estimate imminent values of ships. In this study, the influence on ship prices was analyzed by the value of each characteristic and an estimated functional formula was. Out of the four models suggested by the hedonic price model, an optimal model was selected with variance inflation factors and a stepwise selection. For this, the influence of determinants of ship prices was analyzed based on actually traded ships and characteristic data. The selected model s the Log-Line model; as a result of regression analysis, eight variables, including DWT, Age, Market Value, Short-Term Charter, Long-Term Charter, Enbloc, Special Survey Due and Builder were to affect the ship price model. This model is expected to be useful for objective and balanced ship price evaluation.