• Title/Summary/Keyword: 누적위해성평가

Search Result 146, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

A Seasonal Risk Analysis and Damage Effects Assessment by Gas Leakage of Chemical Plant using 3D Scan and FLACS (3D 스캔과 FLACS를 활용한 화학플랜트 가스 누출의 계절별 위험성 및 피해영향 평가)

  • Kim, Jiyoung;Kim, Jiyu;Kim, Euisoo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2021
  • The process and facilities of modern chemical plants are becoming increasingly complex, there is possibility of potential risk. Internal chemicals generate stress concentration when operated due to turbulence, laminar flow, pressure, temperature, friction, etc. It causes cumulative fatigue damage, which can damage or rupture chemical facilities and devices. The statistics of chemical accidents found that the highest rate of occurrence was in summer, and in the last five years statistics on chemical accidents, leakage incidents make up a decent percentage of accidents. Chemical leaks can cause serious human damage and economic damage, including explosions and environmental pollution. In this study, based on the leak accident of chemical plant, the risk analysis, and damage effects assessment were estimated using a 3D scanner and FLACS. As a result, if chemicals leak in summer, the risk is higher than in other seasons, the seasonal safety management measures, and countermeasure were estimated.

Estimation and assessment of natural drought index using principal component analysis (주성분 분석을 활용한 자연가뭄지수 산정 및 평가)

  • Kim, Seon-Ho;Lee, Moon-Hwan;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.49 no.6
    • /
    • pp.565-577
    • /
    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to propose a method for computing the Natural Drought Index (NDI) that does not consider man-made drought facilities. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was used to estimate the NDI. Three monthly moving cumulative runoff, soil moisture and precipitation were selected as input data of the NDI during 1977~2012. Observed precipitation data was collected from KMA ASOS (Korea Meteorological Association Automatic Synoptic Observation System), while model-driven runoff and soil moisture from Variable Infiltration Capacity Model (VIC Model) were used. Time series analysis, drought characteristic analysis and spatial analysis were used to assess the utilization of NDI and compare with existing SPI, SRI and SSI. The NDI precisely reflected onset and termination of past drought events with mean absolute error of 0.85 in time series analysis. It explained well duration and inter-arrival time with 1.3 and 1.0 respectively in drought characteristic analysis. Also, the NDI reflected regional drought condition well in spatial analysis. The accuracy rank of drought onset, termination, duration and inter-arrival time was calculated by using NDI, SPI, SRI and SSI. The result showed that NDI is more precise than the others. The NDI overcomes the limitation of univariate drought indices and can be useful for drought analysis as representative measure of different types of drought such as meteorological, hydrological and agricultural droughts.

Probabilistic Assessment of Hydrological Drought Using Hidden Markov Model in Han River Basin (은닉 마코프 모형을 이용한 한강유역 수문학적 가뭄의 확률론적 평가)

  • Park, Yei Jun;Yoo, Ji Young;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.47 no.5
    • /
    • pp.435-446
    • /
    • 2014
  • Various drought indices developed from previous studies can not consider the inherent uncertainty of drought because they assess droughts using a pre-defined threshold. In this study, to consider inherent uncertainty embedded in monthly streamflow data, Hidden Markov Model (HMM) based drought index (HMDI) was proposed and then probabilistic assessment of hydrologic drought was performed using HMDI instead of using pre-defined threshold. Using monthly streamflow data (1966~2009) of Pyeongchang river and Upper Namhan river provided by Water Management Information System (WAMIS), applying the HMM after moving-averaging the data with 3, 6, 12 month windows, this study calculated the posterior probability of hidden state that becomes the HMDI. For verifying the method, this study compared the HMDI and Standardized Streamflow Index (SSI) which is one of drought indices using a pre-defined threshold. When using the SSI, only one value can be used as a criterion to determine the drought severity. However, the HMDI can classify the drought condition considering inherent uncertainty in observations and show the probability of each drought condition at a particular point in time. In addition, the comparison results based on actual drought events occurred near the basin indicated that the HMDI outperformed the SSI to represent the drought events.

Experimentation and Evaluation of Energy Corrected Snake(ECS) Algorithm for Detection and Tracking the Moving Object (이동물체 탐지 및 추적을 위한 에너지 보정 스네이크(ECS) 알고리즘의 실험 및 평가)

  • Yang, Seong-Sil;Yoon, Hee-Byung
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
    • /
    • v.16B no.4
    • /
    • pp.289-298
    • /
    • 2009
  • Active Contour Model, that is, Snake algorithm is effective for detection and tracking the objects. However, this algorithm has some drawbacks; numerous parameters must be designed(weighting factors, iteration steps, etc.), a reasonable initialization must be available and moreover suffers from numerical instability. Therefore we propose a novel Energy Corrected Snake(ECS) algorithm which improved on external energy of Snake algorithm for detection and tracking the moving object more effectively. The proposed algorithm uses the difference image, getting when the object is moving. It copies four direction images from the difference image and performs the accumulating compute to erasing image noise, so that it gets external energy steadily. Then external energy united with contour that is computed by internal energy. Consequently we can detect and track the moving object more speedily and easily. To show the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm, we experiment on 3 situations. The experimental results showed that the proposed algorithm outperformed by 6$\sim$9% of detection rate and 6$\sim$11% of tracker detection rate compared with the Snake algorithm.

Retrospective study on survival, success rate and complication of implant-supported fixed prosthesis according to the materials in the posterior area (구치부 임플란트 지지 고정성 보철물의 재료에 따른 생존율, 성공률 및 합병증에 대한 후향적 연구)

  • Chae, Hyun-Seok;Wang, Yuan-Kun;Lee, Jung-Jin;Song, Kwang-Yeob;Seo, Jae-Min
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Prosthodontics
    • /
    • v.57 no.4
    • /
    • pp.342-349
    • /
    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to retrospectively investigate the survival and success rate of implant-supported fixed prosthesis according to the materials in the posterior area. Other purposes were to observe the complications and evaluate the factors affecting failure. Materials and methods: Patients who had been restored implant prosthesis in the posterior area by the same prosthodontist in the department of prosthodontics, dental hospital, Chonbuk National University, in the period from January 2011 to June 2018 were selected for the study. The patient's sex, age, material, location, type of prosthesis and complications were examined using medical records. The KaplanMeier method was used to analyze the survival and success rate. The Log-rank test was conducted to compare the differences between the groups. Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the association between potential risk factors and success rate. Results: A total of 364 implants were observed in 245 patients, with an average follow-up of 17.1 months. A total of 5 implant prostheses failed and were removed, and the 3 and 5 year cumulative survival rate of all implant prostheses were 97.5 and 91.0, respectively. The 3 and 5 year cumulative success rate of all implant prostheses were 61.1% and 32.9%, respectively. Material, sex, age, location and type of prosthesis did not affect success rate (P>.05). Complications occurred in the order of proximal contact loss (53 cases), retention loss (17 cases), peri-implant mucositis (12 cases), infraocclusion (4 cases) and so on. Conclusion: Considering a high cumulative survival rate of implant-supported fixed prostheses, regardless of the materials, implant restored in posterior area can be considered as a reliable treatment to tooth replacement. However, regular inspections and, if necessary, repairs and adjustments are very important because of the frequent occurrence of complications.

The effects of local factors on the survival of dental implants: A 19 year retrospective study (임플란트의 생존율에 영향을 미치는 국소적 인자에 대한 19년간의 후향적 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Hoi;Kim, Sun-Jai;Lee, Keun-Woo;Han, Dong-Hoo
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Prosthodontics
    • /
    • v.48 no.1
    • /
    • pp.28-40
    • /
    • 2010
  • Purpose: The aim of this retrospective study was to provide long-term data about the correlation between multifactorial local factors and the survival of implants. Material and methods: During 19 years (1991 to 2009), 2796 implants were placed in 879 patients. From dental charts and radiographs, the following data were collected: patient's age at implant placement, gender, implant system, surface, length, diameter, location of implant placement, bone quality, primary stability, type of prosthesis. The correlations between these data and implant survival were analyzed. Statistical analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, Chi-square test, odds ratio. Results: 1. Among the 2796 implants, 150 implants failed that resulted in a cumulative survival rate of 94.64%. The cumulative survival rate of smooth surface implants (91.76%) was lower than rough surface implants (96.02%). 2. Anatomic location, implant surface, diameter of smooth surface implant, primary stability, type of prosthesis, patient's age and gender were significantly associated with implant survival (P < .05). 3. No significant difference in implant survival was found in relation to the following factors: implant length, bone quality, diameter of rough surface implants and type of rough surface according to implant manufacturer (P < .05). Conclusions: Local factors such as anatomic location, implant surface, diameter of smooth surface implant, primary stability and type of prosthesis have a significant effect on implant survival.

A New Methodology for the Assessment of Liquefaction Potential Based on the Dynamic Characteristics of Soils (II) : Verification (지반의 동적특성에 기초한 액상화 평가법 (II) : 타당성 검토)

  • 최재순;홍우석;박인준;김수일
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.18 no.1
    • /
    • pp.101-112
    • /
    • 2002
  • In this study, a new methodology fur the assessment of liquefaction potential is proposed and characteristics of the proposed methodology are verified. The experimental parameter of this methodology, that is, the plastic shear strain trajectory, is compared with the dissipated energy. It is shown that this parameter can express the liquefaction behavior which is generated by excess pore water pressure. This methodology takes advantage of the shear strain time history determined from the site response analysis based on the real time history of earthquake. In this site response analysis, shock type and vibration type records of similar predominant frequency are inputted. The liquefaction safely factors based on the proposed methodology and Korean detailed assessment related to the classical method are calculated from the results of the site response analysis and laboratory dynamic tests. Through this study, it is found that the proposed methodology can not only simulate the liquefaction behavior of saturated soils hut also express the seismic characteristics reasonably : leading type, predominant frequency, maximum acceleration, duration time.

Spray Visualization Using Laser Diagnostics (레이저를 이용한 분무 가시화)

  • 윤영빈
    • 한국가시화정보학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2005.04a
    • /
    • pp.87-112
    • /
    • 2005
  • 분무를 정량적으로 측정하는 것은 노즐의 설계와 개발을 위해서 뿐만 아니라 연소 시스템 전반의 효율 및 불안정성의 제거, 공해 저감 등의 요구 조건을 만족하기 위해서 중요하다. 이를 위해 이전에는 분무장 내에 수집관을 삽입하는 기계적 패터네이터(Mechanical Patternator)와 같은 삽입식 측정 방식을 이용하여 왔으나, 최근에는 고속카메라, Malvern particle analyzer, PDPA, 광학 패터네이터(Optical Patternator)와 같은 분무장을 교란시키지 않으면서도 빠른 측정이 가능한 가시화 기술들이 적용되고 있다. 특히 광학 패터네이터는 레이저 평면광을 이용하여 분무를 측정하는 비삽입식 기술로 단시간 내에 분무장 내 액체 연료의 질량 및 액적 크기의 단면 분포를 동시에 얻어낼 수 있는 장점을 갖고 있다. 그러나 분무 액적들의 수밀도가 증가하는 경우에는 이들 액적에 의한 입사광 및 신호 감쇠, 다중산란 등에 의한 오차가 심하게 발생하여, 기존의 PDPA, PLIF 등의 광학 기법으로는 충분히 신뢰할 만한 결과를 얻기가 어렵게 된다. 이러한 분무를 정량적으로 측정하기 위해서는 입사광의 감쇠뿐만 아니라 분무장 내 액적들에 의한 신호의 감쇠 과정에 대한 고려가 필요하다. 주면 액적들의 영향을 최소한으로 줄이기 위해서는 레이저 평면광을 사용하는 광학 패터네이터와 달리 레이저 광선을 분무장에 조사하여 고압에서 나타날 수 있는 다중 산란에 의한 오차를 최소화할 수 있다. 이러한 이미지 처리 기법을 이용하는 광학 선형 패터네이터(Optical Line Patternator)를 이용하여 기존 레이저 계측기법으로 측정이 곤란하였던 고압 환경 하에서의 스월 동축형 인젝터의 분무 특성을 해석할 수가 있다. 2015(년도) 6,388, 2025(년도) 13,367, 2035(년도) 18,756, 2045(년도) 22,595, 시장점유율 증가로 인한 수출액 증가분 누적(억원) : 2015(년도) 3,411, 2025(년도) 8,847, 2035(년도) 14,433, 2045(년도) 18,005 또한 시나리오 비교평가를 실시하여 본 결과, 본 연구에서 정의한 순편익 누적(Cumulative Net Profit) 변수를 적용하면 현재 연구비 추세 대비 $30\%$ 까지 연구비를 증가 시키는 것이 효율적임을 알 수 있었다.성, 생산 용이성, 제품 디자인의 우수한 정도가 a=0.01 수준 하에서 유의적으로 추정되었다. 이들 변수들 중에서 품질경쟁력에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 측정변수는 제품의 기본 성능, 수명(내구성), 신뢰성, 제품 디자인의 순서로 추정되었다. 이것은 한국 제조업이 아직 산업 디자인이 품질경쟁력에 크게 영향을 미치는 성숙단계에 이르지 못하였음을 의미한다. (2) 제품 디자인에게 영향을 끼치는 유의적인 변수는 연구개발력, 연구개발투자 수준, 혁신활동 수준(5S, TPM, 6Sigma 운동, QC 등)이며, 제품 디자인은 우선 품질경쟁력을 높여 간접적으로 고객만족과 고객 충성을 유발하는 것으로 추정되었다. 상기의 분석결과로부터, 본 연구는 다음과 같은 정책적 함의를 도출하였다. 첫째, 신상품 개발과 혁신을 위한 포괄적인 연구개발 프로젝트를 품질 경쟁력의 주요 결정요인(제품의 기본성능, 신뢰성, 수명(내구성) 및 제품 디자인)과 연계하여 추진해야 할 것이다. 둘째, 기업은 디자인 경영 마인드 제고와 디자인 전문인력 양성을, 대학은 디자인 현장 업무를 통하여 창의력 증진과 기획 및 마케팅 능력 교육을, 정부는 디자

  • PDF

Application Analysis of Short-term Rainfall Forecasting Model according to Bias Correlation in Rainfall Ensemble Data (강우앙상블자료 편의보정에 따른 단기강우예측모델의 적용성 분석)

  • Lee, Sanghyup;Seong, Yeon-Jeong;Bastola, Shiksha;Choo, InnKyo;Jung, Younghun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2019.05a
    • /
    • pp.119-119
    • /
    • 2019
  • 최근 기후변화와 이상기후의 영향으로 국지성 호우 및 가뭄, 홍수, 태풍 등 재해 발생 규모가 커지고 그 빈도 또한 많아지고 있다. 이러한 자연재해 및 이상현상에 대한 피해를 예방하고 빠르게 대처하기 위해서는 정확한 강우량 추정 및 강우의 시간적 예측이 필요하다. 이러한 강우의 불확실성을 해결하기 위해서 기상청 등에서는 단일 수치예보가 가지는 결정론적인 예측의 한계를 보완한 초기조건, 물리과정, 경계조건 등이 다른 여러 개의 모델을 수행하여, 확률적으로 미래를 예측하는 앙상블 예측 시스템을 예보기술에 응용하고 있으며 기존 수치모델의 정보와 예보 불확실성에 대한 정보를 동시에 제공하고 있다. 그러나 다양한 자연조건에 대한 불완전한 물리적 이해와 연산 능력 등의 한계로 높은 불확실성이 내포되어 있으므로 불확실성을 최소화하기 위한 편의보정이 수행될 필요가 있다. 강우분석의 적용 이전에 해당 자료의 타당성과 신뢰도의 분석이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 LENS(Local ENsemble prediction System) 예측값과 시강우 관측값을 단기예측모델에 맞추어 3시간 누적하여 비교하였다. 비교 기간은 호우가 집중되는 2016년 10월로 선정하였으며 대상지역은 울산중구로 선정하였다. LENS를 대상 지역의 관측소 지점값과 행정구역 면적값을 따로 추출한 후, 불확실성을 최소화하기 위해 활용되고 있는 CF 기법과 QM 기법을 이용하여 LENS 모델을 재가공하고 이에 따른 편의보정 기법에 따른 LENS 모델을 과거의 실제강우 관측값과의 비교분석을 이용해 적용성을 검토 및 평가하였다.

  • PDF

Reliability Evaluation of ACP Component under a Radiation Environment (방사선환경에서 ACP 주요부품의 신뢰도 평가)

  • Lee, Hyo-Jik;Yoon, Kwang-Ho;Lim, Kwang-Mook;Park, Byung-Suk;Yoon, Ji-Sup
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
    • /
    • v.5 no.4
    • /
    • pp.309-322
    • /
    • 2007
  • This study deals with the irradiation effects on some selected components which are being used in an Advanced Spent Fuel Conditioning Process (ACP). Irradiation test components have a higher priority from the aspect of their reliability because their degradation or failure is able to critically affect the performance of an ACP equipment. Components that we chose for the irradiation tests were the AC servo motor, potentiometer, thermocouples, accelerometer and CCD camera. ACP facility has a number of AC servo motors to move the joints of a manipulator and to operate process equipment. Potentiometers are used for a measurement of several joint angles in a manipulator. Thermocouples are used for a temperature measurement in an electrolytic reduction reactor, a vol-oxidation reactor and a molten salt transfer line. An accelerometer is installed in a slitting machine to forecast an incipient failure during a slitting process. A small CCD camera is used for an in-situ vision monitoring between ACP campaigns. We made use of a gamma-irradiation facility with cobalt-60 source for an irradiation test on the above components because gamma rays from among various radioactive rays are the most significant for electric, electronic and robotic components. Irradiation tests were carried out for enough long time for total doses to be over expected threshold values. Other components except the CCD camera showed a very high radiation hardening characteristic. Characteristic changes at different total doses were investigated and threshold values to warrant at least their performance without a deterioration were evaluated as a result of the irradiation tests.

  • PDF