• Title/Summary/Keyword: 극복요인

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Mortality Forecasting for Population Projection (장래인구추계를 위한 사망률 예측)

  • Kim, Tai-Hun
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.27-51
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, I have tested various kinds of methods for mortality projection and chose Lee-Carter method for projection of Korean mortality by age and sex. I reviewed the trends of life tables and life expectancies by age and sex from 2005 to 2050 projected by Lee-Carter method and found that the method was very applicable for Korean mortality projection. The differences between reported and estimated data for the period of 1971-2003 were small enough for both sexes and for all of the age groups. The projected life expectancies in 2051 were 82.73 years for males and 89.41 for females, and the differences decreased from 7.06 years in 2005 to 6.68 years. Because of the limitation of Korean infant mortality rate, I adopted the Japanese estimated IMR in 2050 as Korean object level in 2051. When the time series of IMR become long enough, we can use Korean IMR directly for the mortality projection. In addition, if we can estimate the changes of the main cause of death correctly in future, the mortality projection will be more correct and reliable. This will be available when we can produce a long series of life tables by cause of deaths.

Analysis on the Leisure Constraint and Index Concentrate Here Improvement's Leisure Activities among the Private Security Agents Applying PPA Technique (PPA기법을 적용한 민간경호경비원의 여가제약과 중점개선 여가활동 참가지수 분석)

  • Kim, Kyong-Sik;Kim, Chan-Sun;Park, Young-Man
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.317-325
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    • 2010
  • This study aims to deduct the extensive improvement types of leisure activities of private security agents using PPA technique and to examine the influence of leisure constraint on the index of participation. Through this process, this study consequently will draw the priority list of investment on the policy for improving the welfare status of private security agents. In this study, judgement sampling was applied to 6 security agencies located in Seoul, 2010, and 267 cases were used in the final analysis. Collected data went through factor analysis, reliability analysis, paired t test, PPA analysis, and regression analysis by using SPSSWIN 17.0. The conclusions were drawn as follows. In regard to the reliability, Cronbach's $\alpha$ was over .768. First, there was a difference between the preference rate and the participation rate which are the participation index of the private security agents' leisure activities. concentrate here in leisure types turned out to be fitness activities, walking/jogging, tourism, a day-long travel, and keep up the cood work in leisure types are movies, domestic tourist attractions, dating, eating out, personal relationship, watching sports, reading, karaoke, TV video watching, drinking etc. low priority in leisure types are water sports, hiking, biking, soccer, photography, ball games, sky sports, playing go/janggi, inline skates, and cooking. Second, the leisure constraint affects the participation index of leisure activities. As the personal constraint, and surrounding conscious constraint which are the subordinate factors of the leisure constraint get bigger, the participation index of favored leisure activities become lower. In contrast, when the difficulties such as structural constraint, time and economical constraint are overcome, participation index of leisure activities go on the rise.

A study of a system for predicting damages of complex disasters considering the damage of major facilities (주요 시설물 피해를 고려한 복합재난 피해 예측 시스템 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Byung-Jin;Lee, Byung-Hoon;Oh, Seung-Hee;Lee, Yong-Tea;Kim, Kyung-Seok
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.18-25
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    • 2017
  • Recently, disasters have become bigger and more complex, and the economic damage has increased due to the increase of urbanization and the concentration of infrastructure. These large complex disasters occur simultaneously in the second and third disasters due to the first single disaster, but the existing disaster management system in Korea is less adaptable because it is divided into natural disasters and social disasters. The cause of the complex disaster is the rapid urbanization of the residential environment caused by the change of the industrial structure, and the threat factors are various and unpredictable in the living environment. Natural disasters are becoming larger and more complex due to climate change due to global warming. Unlike the past, natural disasters are likely to develop into multiple disasters such as urban paralysis. Therefore, this paper considers natural disasters and social disasters in a comprehensive concept in order to overcome limitations of disaster management by existing single factors and manage disasters effectively and rationally. It is expected that it will play a big role in protecting the lives and property of the people through the establishment of a preemptive disaster management framework.

Reexamination of the Traditional Product Classification Theory as the Social Characteristics of Goods Become More Reflected in Consumption (전통적 상품분류방식의 문제점과 대안 모색: 상품의 사회적 특성화를 중심으로)

  • Yeo, Woon-Seung
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.103-129
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    • 2007
  • One of the most enduring concepts in the history of marketing thought relates to the classification of consumer goods. The product classification theory first proposed by Copeland(1923) has, with little modification, survived to the present day, and continues to be endorsed by the American Marketing Association and other related institutions some 80 years after it was first published. In truth, Copeland's classification is now outdated and bears little, if any, relevance to modern product advertising, retailing and consumption. In particular, it can not accommodate the fact that, in modern societies, consumer preoccupations with style, personal identity and status have meant that the social characteristics of goods, heavily promoted by brand managers who understand their markets, are key determinants of consumer choice and buyer behavior. In this respect, the author attempted to explore the reasons why product classification theory has been unresponsive to changes in market conditions over so many years and argue that its failure to embrace the many social influences on consumption and on consumer behavior is now its most serious weakness. And also, the author proposed the new categorization system of goods, based on the several existing literatures.

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A Study on the Effect of Business Capabilities on Job Creation Intenion : Mediating Effect of Entrepreneur Passion and Moderating Effect of Gender (비즈니스 역량이 창직 의지에 미치는 영향 : 기업가 열정의 매개효과 및 성별 조절효과)

  • Yoon, Byeong-Seon;Kim, Chun-Kyu
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.318-331
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to find ways to effectively utilize job creation activities that can be an alternative to employment and entrepreneurship in diverse and subdivided labor markets. The effect of business capability on the job creation intention and the mediating effect of entrepreneurship were identified, and gender was used as a control variable for comparison among groups. The questionnaire was composed of 4 questions for 6 variables, and a 7-point Likert scale was used. Frequency analysis, exploratory factor analysis, reliability analysis, descriptive statistics analysis, correlation analysis, confirmatory factor analysis, structural relationship analysis, mediating effect and moderating effect were conducted on 392 people who answered the questionnaire sincerely. As a result of analysis the relationship between the job creation intention in business capability, the entrepreneur passion in business capability and the job creation intention in entrepreneur passion had a positive (+) effect. Entrepreneur passion in the verification of bootstrapping mediating effects played a mediating role in the relationship between business capability and job creation intention. It was found that there was no difference in the job creation intention according to the gender that was compared between groups. The job creation activities must overcome the negative perspectives and worries around them with the differentiation of items experience and know-how a business model that reflects recent trends and a passionate and persistent Jobcreatorship.

An Economic Approach for Improvement of Radius for Hazarouds Road (위험도로 곡선반경 개선의 경제적 접근에 관한 연구)

  • Ha, Tae-Jun;Kim, Jeong-Hyun;Yoon, Pan;Park, Je-Jin;Kim, Young-Woon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2003
  • The Government presented improvement plans such as "Traffic Accident Frequent Point" and "Hazardous Roads" to reduce traffic accidents on the increase after 1980s. In case of the hazardous roads, they are expressed by grades which are marked by geometric elements such as width, radius, grade. sight distance. and other environmental factors. As each business for improving roads goes by only focusing on improvement of geometric elements, excessive expense can be invested too much nowadays causing economical waste. Therefore, as improvement plans approached by economic access are needed, this paper shows the cost-effective improvement of the business to keep safety related to traffic accident and economical waste. The hazardous roads which authorized by Gwang-ju National Road Preservation Office of Construction and Transportation Ministry in 1995 for business for improvement of roads, were investigated before 1999. First of all, estimating traffic accident models are presented by using existed data statistically. The models help to maximize traffic accident decrease through control of the presented factor. Secondly, optimum construction cost of improvement is presented to prevent overcapitalization. However, this paper is limited because it was difficult to sort the data with various areas and to approach various ways.

지질시대 및 지구조별 국내대리석 석재자원의 분류와 물성

  • 윤현수;홍세선;박덕원;이병대;김주용
    • Proceedings of the Mineralogical Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.153-169
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    • 2002
  • 국내 대리석류 석재자원은 지질시대 및 지구조별로 선캠브리아기의 경기육괴와 영남육괴, 시대미상의 옥천대 남서부, 캠브리아-오오도비스기의 옥천대 북동부 그리고 일부 기하시대의 옥천대 북동부 등으로 분류될 수 있다. 전자는 변성퇴적암류내에 협재된 결정질 석회암, 화강암질 편마암내 포획된 결정질 석회암 등s으로 경기육괴의 포천, 김포, 온수리, 목계와 신림도폭 그리고 영남육괴의 춘양, 현동, 울진, 중평동 장기리와 장계도폭 등이 해당된다. 시대미상암류는 옥천대 남서부로서 목계 충주 괴산, 강경, 남원과 송정도폭, 그리고 캠브리아기는 풍촌석회암으로 임계, 호명, 서벽리도폭 등이 해당된다. 오오도비스기는 정선석회암이 분포하는 석병산, 평창, 정선과 임계도폭, 화천리층이 분포하는 문경도폭, 그리고 황강리도폭 등이 해당한다. 기타시대는 시대미상의 각력질 석회암과 상부석탄기의 홍점층군내 협재하는 결정질 석회암으로 이들은 각각 정선도폭과 석병산도폭에 위치한다. 선캠브리아기, 시대미상, 캠브리아기 및 오오도비스기 대리석류의 물성 중에서 흡수율과 공극율은 선캠브리아기, 오오도비스기 시대미상과 캠브리아기의 순으로 점차 감소한다 이들의 공극율은 비중에 대하여 대체로 불규칙하며, 흡수율은 공극율에 대하여 거의가 뚜렷한 정의 상관관계를 이룬다. 압축강도는 공극율에 대하여 다소 불규칙한, 그리고 인장강도에 대하여 정의 상관관계를 이룬다. 그리고 마모경도는 압축강도와 인장강도에 대하여 대체로 뚜렷한 정의 경향을 각각 보인다. 이들 대리석류는 선캠브리아기 중경암-경암, 시대미상 중경암-경암, 캠브리아기 거의가 중경암-경암, 그리고 오오도비스기는 경암에 각각 해당한다.역할을 충실히 담당하고 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 그러나 과학기술의 급격한 발달, 소비패턴의 변화, 생활환경과 삶의 질을 중시하는 새로운 가치관의 확산 등으로 광업의 역할도 새로운 변화의 전기를 맞이하고 있음을 볼 수 있다. 국내광업이 21C 급변하는 산업환경에 적응하여 생존하기 위해서는 각종 첨단산업에서 요구하는 소량 다품종의 원료광물을 적기에 공급 할 수 있는 전문화된 기술력을 하루속히 확보해야 하며, 이를 위해 고품위의 원료광물 확보를 위한 탐사 및 개발을 적극 추진하고 가공기술의 선진화를 위해 선진국과의 기술제휴 등 자원산업 글로벌화 정책이 절실히 요구되고 있음을 알 수 있다. 또한 삶의 질을 향상시키려는 현대인의 가치관에 부합하기 위해서는 각종 소비제품의 원료를 제공하는 광업의 본래 목적 이외에도 자연환경 훼손을 최소화하며 개발 할 수밖에 없는 구조적인 어려움에 직면할 수밖에 없다. 이처럼 국내광업이 안고 있는 여러 가지 난제들을 극복하기 위해서는 업계와 정부가 합심하여 국내광업 육성의 중요성을 재인식하고 새로운 마음가짐으로 관련 정책을 수립 일관성 있게 추진해 나가야 할 것으로 보인다.의 연구 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 브랜드 이미지와 서비스 품질과의 관계에서 브랜드이미지는 서비스 품질의 선행변수가 될 수 있음을 증명하였으며 4개 요인의 이미지 중 사풍이미지를 제외한 영업 이미지, 제품 이미지, 마케팅 이미지가 서비스 품질에 영향을 미치고 있음을 알 수 있다. 둘째, 지각된 서비스 품질과 가격 수용성과의 관계에서, 서비스 품질은 최소 가격에 신뢰서비스 요인에서 정의 영향을 미치고 있으나 부가서비스, 환경서비스에서는 역의 영향을

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The Impact of Key Success Factors and Implementation Typology of SCM on the Business Performance -Using the Balanced Scorecard- (공급사슬관리(SCM)의 핵심성공요인과 추진유형이 기업의 경영성과에 미치는 영향 -균형성과표(BSC)를 활용한 성과측정-)

  • Lee, Jae-Sik
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.45-69
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    • 2009
  • Today, SCM is used as a important tool of management innovation for enterprise's survival and development. BSC forces managers to focus on balanced measures of business performance that are most critical. The purpose of this study is to find out the determinants of SCM adoption through the analysis which examine the relationship among the key success factors, and business performance using the BSC perspective. This study also gives the suggestion for the effective SCM implementation in the korean companies. This study has been conducted using the data collected from 107 companies implementing SCM. By analyses of the questionnaires, empirical results shows that the implementation of SCM has positive effect on organizational performance with 4 perspectives of BSC. The contribution of this study is that it provides a conceptual framework and empirical evidence of the causal relationship between key success factors, and business performance with 4 perspectives of BSC concept. This study showed that more consideration are essential to obtain balanced business performance for companies with SCM adoption plan.

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Performance Improvement of Single Chip Multiprocessor using Concurrent Branch Execution (분기 동시 수행을 이용한 단일 칩 멀티프로세서의 성능 개선)

  • Lee, Seung-Ryul;Kim, Jun-Shik;Choi, Jae-Hyeok;Choi, Sang-Bang
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SD
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.61-71
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    • 2007
  • The instruction level parallelism, which has been used to improve the performance of processors, expose its limit. The change of a control flow by a branch miss prediction is one of the obstacles that restrict the instruction level parallelism. The single chip multiprocessors have been developed to utilize the thread level parallelism. However, we could not use the maximum performance of the single chip multiprocessor in case of executing the coded programs without considering the multi-thread. In order to overcome the two performance degradation factors, in this paper, we suggest the concurrent branch execution method that applies to the multi-path execution method at a single chip multiprocessor. We executes all two flows of the conditional branch using the idle core processor. Through this, we can improve the processor's efficiency with blocking the control flow termination by the branch instruction and reducing the idle time. We analyze the effects of concurrent branch execution proposed in this paper through the simulation. As a result of that, concurrent branch execution reduces about 20% of idle time and improves the maximum 10% of the branch prediction accuracy. We show that our scheme improves the overall performance of maximum 39% compared to the normal single chip multiprocessor and maximum 27% compared to the superscalar processor.

Long-term Prediction of Bus Travel Time Using Bus Information System Data (BIS 자료를 이용한 중장기 버스 통행시간 예측)

  • LEE, Jooyoung;Gu, Eunmo;KIM, Hyungjoo;JANG, Kitae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.348-359
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    • 2017
  • Recently, various public transportation activation policies are being implemented in order to mitigate traffic congestion in metropolitan areas. Especially in the metropolitan area, the bus information system has been introduced to provide information on the current location of the bus and the estimated arrival time. However, it is difficult to predict the travel time due to repetitive traffic congestion in buses passing through complex urban areas due to repetitive traffic congestion and bus bunching. The previous bus travel time study has difficulties in providing information on route travel time of bus users and information on long-term travel time due to short-term travel time prediction based on the data-driven method. In this study, the path based long-term bus travel time prediction methodology is studied. For this purpose, the training data is composed of 2015 bus travel information and the 2016 data are composed of verification data. We analyze bus travel information and factors affecting bus travel time were classified into departure time, day of week, and weather factors. These factors were used into clusters with similar patterns using self organizing map. Based on the derived clusters, the reference table for bus travel time by day and departure time for sunny and rainy days were constructed. The accuracy of bus travel time derived from this study was verified using the verification data. It is expected that the prediction algorithm of this paper could overcome the limitation of the existing intuitive and empirical approach, and it is possible to improve bus user satisfaction and to establish flexible public transportation policy by improving prediction accuracy.