• Title/Summary/Keyword: 교통수요예측

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An Activity-Based Analysis of Heavy-Vehicle Trip Chains (우리나라 대형 화물차의 통행사슬 분석:활동기반모형 적용)

  • Joh, Chang-Hyeon;Kim, Chan-Sung;Seong, Hong-Mo
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.192-202
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    • 2008
  • Typical activity-based travel analysis has been focused on passenger travel using household survey data. The current research focuses on freight transport using one-day travel survey data. Passenger travel can be seen as the outcome of traveller's subjective decision-making, whereas freight transport is the outcome of shipper or transport company's optimized scheduling. The research conducts an activity-based analysis of freight-vehicle trip chains. In particular, the research focuses on the difference in travel pattern between shipper-oriented private vehicle and transport company-oriented business vehicle. The research analyzed the travel diary of freight vehicles collected as part of the third national logistic survey in 2005. The diary is freight driver's one-day travel record including the information of loading capacity, item transported, destination, arrival time, etc. The analysis results show the difference between private and business vehicles in the travel pattern regarding the sequences of destination, destination type and item transported and the multi-dimensional information of the three sequences.

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The Study for Hazardous Material Incidents in Korea

  • Kim, Geun-Young;Il, James E. Moore
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2009
  • Hazardous material (HazMat) is the material or substance that poses an unreasonable risk to human safety and health, and to property when transported in gases, solids, and liquids of all sizes. When HazMats are improperly released, they have potential to harm humans, property, or the environment to be considered hazardous, resulting in human-caused disasters. As the Korean economy has advanced, the use of HazMats has increased. And, the total number and the impacts of HazMat incidents have grown up. It increases the risk of HazMat incidents. When many goods of HazMats are transported from supply points to demand places, it is important to know what the types and characteristics of HazMat incidents are in terms of disaster management. The objectives of this research are: (1) to investigate types and characteristics of HazMats that generate HazMat incidents in Korea, and (2) to analyze time-series trends of HazMat incidents in terms of facilities and/or transportation. Statistical analysis methods including frequency analysis or analysis of category data are applied to examine the significance of difference in HazMat incidents.

Comparison of Liquefactive Hazard Map Regarding with Geotechnical Information and Spatial Interpolation Target (공간보간 대상 및 지반정보에 따른 액상화 재해도 비교)

  • Song, Seong-wan;Hwang, Bumsik;Cho, Wanjei
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.5-15
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    • 2022
  • Due to the Pohang earthquakes in 2017, concerns are increasing that Korea is no longer safe from liquefaction, and needs the research to take proper measures for liquefaction. Liquefaction is defined as the loss of shear strength of the ground. In order to solve this problem, many studies, such as composing a liquefaction hazard map using Liquefaction Potential Index (LPI), have been conducted. However, domestic researches on the comparative analysis of liquefaction prediction results are not sufficient. Therefore, in this study, liquefaction hazard maps were composed using the standard penetration test results, shear wave velocity values, and cone penetration test results. After that, the precision was determined by comparing the calculated LPI using the geotechnical information and predicted LPI via spatial interpolation target. Based on the analysis results, the predicted LPI value using geotechnical information is more precise than using calculated LPI value.

Introduction of Small-Scale Pumped-Storage Generation Technology to solve the Problem of Renewable Energy Volatility (재생에너지 변동성 문제 해결을 위한 소규모 양수발전 활용 기술 소개)

  • Tae Gyu Hwang;Jong Seok Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.78-78
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    • 2023
  • 기후변화 위기는 유사 이래 인류가 직면한 가장 큰 도전으로 범정부적 글로벌 문제로서 이를 해결하기 위한 다양한 정책들이 범국가 차원 혹은 세계적 기업들에 의해 발표 혹은 시행되고 있다. 이러한 기후변화위기와 탄소배출 저감을 위한 대표적인 대응 방안 중 하나가 바로 재생에너지의 확대·보급 노력이다. 그러나 재생에너지는 날씨와 계절 등 자연환경의 영향을 받는 에너지원으로써 간헐성, 변동성을 가지므로, 시간대별 발전량 예측과 전력공급 안정성에 어려움이 있다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위하여 재생에너지 발전은 석탄화력 발전과 달리 전력의 수요와 공급의 균형을 위한 에너지저장장치(Energy Storage System, 이하 ESS)가 있어야 한다. ESS는 전력공급 안정성 향상과 전력 수급의 유연성을 제공하는 장점이 있지만, 초기 설치비용이 높은 단점이 있다. 특히, 배터리 기반 ESS의 경우 높은 구축 비용과 한정적인 충. 방전수명으로 인하여 대용량 ESS로써의 역할 수행에는 분명한 한계가 있다. 하지만 재생에너지와 연계한 ESS로 양수발전댐을 활용할 경우 장주기, 장수명, 대용량 에너지 저장에 매우 합리적인 수단으로 판단되었다. 다만, 양수발전 댐 구축에는 토목공사로 인한 환경 훼손이라는 문제점도 존재한다. 본 고에서는 지역 분산형 소규모 양수발전(Pumped Storage Hydropower, 이하 PSH)댐 구축 및 운영기술 개발을 통해 지역 전력공급과 전력 수급을 조절하면서 변동성 재생에너지를 안정적으로 사용할 수 있는 방안을 소개하고자 한다. 특히, 해당 기술은 지역별 특성에 맞춰 유연하게 설치할 수 있으며, 대규모 토목공사로 의한 환경적 부작용을 최소화할 수 있다. 또한 소규모 PSH는 지역의 저수지 및 수자원을 이용하여 에너지를 저장함으로써 변동성 큰 재생에너지의 유연화 대응과 동시에 안정적인 에너지 공급이 가능하다. 본 고에서는 재생에너지의 확대·보급에 따른 문제점과 대표적 ESS 기술들을 분석·소개한다. 지역분산형 소규모 PSH 기술개발 연구기획 내용 소개를 통하여 전력 생산 및 공급의 탈중앙화를 달성하고, 지역별 변동성 재생에너지의 안정적 활용과 지역 전력공급 특성 및 전력 수급에 대응할 수 있는 방안을 제안하고자 한다.

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Entity Embeddings for Enhancing Feasible and Diverse Population Synthesis in a Deep Generative Models (심층 생성모델 기반 합성인구 생성 성능 향상을 위한 개체 임베딩 분석연구)

  • Donghyun Kwon;Taeho Oh;Seungmo Yoo;Heechan Kang
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.17-31
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    • 2023
  • An activity-based model requires detailed population information to model individual travel behavior in a disaggregated manner. The recent innovative approach developed deep generative models with novel regularization terms that improves fidelity and diversity for population synthesis. Since the method relies on measuring the distance between distribution boundaries of the sample data and the generated sample, it is crucial to obtain well-defined continuous representation from the discretized dataset. Therefore, we propose an improved entity embedding models to enhance the performance of the regularization terms, which indirectly supports the synthesis in terms of feasible and diverse populations. Our results show a 28.87% improvement in the F1 score compared to the baseline method.

A Study on the Improvement of Domestic Navigation Safety System: Focused on the Implementation of Korea Augmentation Satellite System (국내 항행안전시스템의 개선에 관한 연구: 한국형 정밀위성항법 보강시스템의 구축을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Yeong-Pil;Hwang, Kyung Tae
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.221-230
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    • 2021
  • The study attempts to suggest potential problem and solutions expected in the process of implementing KASS, which is currently under development to improve the domestic navigation safety system, and to summarize improvement effects of domestic navigation safety system anticipated by the implementation of KASS. Challenges expected in the process of implementing KASS exists in four aspects: emotional, technical, cost, safety aspects. When KASS is implemented and operates, various benefits can be realized. Benefits include cost savings by not using navigation safety systems during takeoff and landing; reduction of flight delays and cancellations by removing airway congestion; increase of aircraft accommodation capacity; reduction of carbon emissions; preparation for future aviation demands and improvement of air transportation safety; and reduction of flight accidents. In conclusion, it is expected to enter into an era of more intense competition due to increased aviation demands. In order to survive in this competitive environment, early introduction of KASS is indispensable. Analysis results of this study are expected to provide reference information for academic research in this area. A possible future research topic include a study predicting the changes in the navigation safety systems introduced by KASS and proposing practical and useful ways to respond the changes.

Development of Gate Choice Model of Subway Station (지하철 역사에서의 출구선택 모형 개발)

  • Park, Ji-Hun;Lee, Seung-Jae;Kim, Ju-Yeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2010
  • Until now, the location and the size of gate are designed by only experience and intuitive use judgement. However there are no studies that investigated how many people will be using each subway gate depending on the location of gates. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to develop a gate choice model of subway station. The most critical element of a gate choice in subway station is the location of pedestrian's destinations. In this study, the development of the regression model is constructed from data of land use characteristic of station vicinity and the number of bus route and the space structure of station vicinity(Depth concept by Space Syntax analysis and total road length of station vicinity) by using the real data of 30 subway station in Seoul. This study found that subway pedestrian flow are mainly determined by three factors; the total floor space of commercial buildings, Total Depth(space structure index of station vicinity), and the number of bus route. The verification of a proposed model is done by using the real gate pedestrian data of two subway station in Seoul; Gang-nam and Yang-jae. The additional study of how to define the gate impact area is analysed. Therefore, this study will provide the theoretical bases in decision of gate location and size when a new subway station is opened in future.

A Study on the Determinants of Demand for Visiting Department Stores Using Big Data (POS) (빅데이터(POS)를 활용한 백화점 방문수요 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Seong Youn;Park, Jung A
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.55-71
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the domestic department store industry is growing into a complex shopping cultural space, which is advanced and differentiated by changes in consumption patterns. In addition, competition is intensifying across 70 places operated by five large companies. This study investigates the determinants of the visits to department stores using the big data concept's automatic vehicle access system (pos) and proposes how to strengthen the competitiveness of the department store industry. We use a negative binomial regression test to predict the frequency of visits to 67 branches, except for three branches whose annual sales were incomplete due to the new opening in 2021. The results show that the demand for visiting department stores is positively associated with airport, terminal, and train stations, land areas, parking lots, VIP lounge numbers, luxury store ratio, F&B store numbers, non-commercial areas, and hotels. We suggest four strategies to enhance the competitiveness of domestic department stores. First, department store consumers have a high preference for luxury brands. Therefore, department stores need to form their own overseas buyer teams to discover and attract new luxury brands and attract customers who have a high demand for luxury brands. In addition, to attract consumers with high purchasing power and loyalty, it is necessary to provide more differentiated products and services for VIP customers than before. Second, it is desirable to focus on transportation hub areas such as train stations, airports, and terminals in Gyeonggi and Incheon. Third, department stores should attract tenants who can satisfy customers, given that key tenants are an important component of advanced shopping centers for department stores. Finally, the department store, a top-end shopping center, should be developed as a space with differentiated shopping, culture, dining out, and leisure services, such as "The Hyundai", which opened in 2021, to ensure future growth potential.

Defining, Measuring, and Forecasting Telecommuting (원격근무의 정의, 현황, 그리고 전망)

  • Kim, Seungnam;Ju, Jongwng
    • Informatization Policy
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.89-110
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    • 2014
  • As a travel demand management and environmental policy, the government actively promotes alternative work arrangements such as telecommuting. Against this backdrop, several empirical studies, which aim to verify the benefits of telecommuting, have been recently conducted. Little consensus, however, exists with respect to the defining, measuring, and forecasting telecommuting, although these are fundamental basis of policy evaluation and academic research. As a fundamental research for analyzing telecommuting impacts, this paper reviews various definitions regarding telecommuting, examines telecommuting penetration and level of telecommuting through review of available survey data in Korea, and forecasts future penetration. The result suggests that current home-based telecommuting penetration and level of telecommuting is approximately 0.5 to 1.1% and 0.2 to 0.5%, respectively, and is approximately 0.2% and 0.1%, respectively, for the center-based telecommuting. In addition, shift-share analysis shows that home-based telecommuting penetration in the Seoul Metropolitan Area in 2020 will be 1.3%, not much different with the current value. Consequently, current telecommuting penetration is much lower than the value that is fed to us by the media (10~20%), and the future prospect is also much lower than the goal of government (30~45%); thus, we can conclude that government's goal of telecommuting promotion is difficult to meet if active encouragement policy will not be introduced.

An analysis on the Feasibility of Busan Container Transshipment by Barge service (부산항 환적컨테이너의 바지선 운송 타당성 분석)

  • Cho, Boo-Lai;Choi, Man-Ki;Shin, Yong-John
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.397-404
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    • 2010
  • The Currently, most cargos of container transshipment between Busan Port and New Port are transported over land, and the rest is transported by barge. This study estimated firstly the traffic between those ports through simulations in order to analyze the feasibility of container transshipment by barge. It forecasted annual profitability using determinants to affect on the barge business by the traffic, and then, discussed the feasibility. This study supposed the flexible scenarios with 50%, 60%, 80%, or 100% transshipment and the 25 monthly barge service numbers between two ports, and measured the influences of different factors according to the above various scenarios. And then the sales were evaluated by the different traffics and freights scenarios provided the business would be actually operated. Finally, Net incomes were simulated to analyze the feasibility of different scenarios by various traffics and freights. The net income should be positive to get the feasibility. To achieve this, the minimum traffic should be secured and the lowest freight per TEU should be determined. While all countries of the world is controlling CO2 emissions and emphasizes the green logistics, this study contributed to solve at the same time the problems about the pollution and the efficiency of transportation by reviewing positively the feasibility of barge transportation as an alternative to transportation overland.