• Title/Summary/Keyword: 교통비용

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A Comparative Model Study on the Intermittent Demand Forecast of Air Cargo - Focusing on Croston and Holts models - (항공화물의 간헐적 수요예측에 대한 비교 모형 연구 - Croston모형과 Holts모형을 중심으로 -)

  • Yoo, Byung-Cheol;Park, Young-Tae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.71-85
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    • 2021
  • A variety of methods have been proposed through a number of studies on sophisticated demand forecasting models that can reduce logistics costs. These studies mainly determine the applicable demand forecasting model based on the pattern of demand quantity and try to judge the accuracy of the model through statistical verification. Demand patterns can be broadly divided into regularity and irregularity. A regular pattern means that the order is regular and the order quantity is constant. In this case, predicting demand mainly through regression model or time series model was used. However, this demand is called "intermittent demand" when irregular and fluctuating amount of order quantity is large, and there is a high possibility of error in demand prediction with existing regression model or time series model. For items that show intermittent demand, predicting demand is mainly done using Croston or HOLTS. In this study, we analyze the demand patterns of various items of air cargo with intermittent patterns and apply the most appropriate model to predict and verify the demand. In this process, intermittent optimal demand forecasting model of air cargo is proposed by analyzing the fit of various models of air cargo by item and region.

Service Scenario Development for Customized Evacuation Route Guidance Service in Regular Building (일반건물 맞춤형 대피동선 안내 서비스를 위한 서비스 시나리오 개발 사례연구)

  • Kim, Tae Wan;Lee, Sang Ki;Shin, Dong Min;Lee, Sung Pil
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.13-29
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    • 2018
  • The final goal of this study was to develop an optimal service scenario to ensure that building occupants can be effectively evacuated from the building within the golden time without extra assistance in preparing and evacuating for fires. In addition, the research was carried out by dividing the current services into fire evacuation and preparedness phases by applying the Double Diamond process in order to find a way to better familiar them as a lifestyle and to always be prepared for fires. For the building occupants and managers, a total of 14 ideas were first suggested, including not only the services of how to evacuate from a fire, but also the life-style service functions associated with fire implementation technology in daily life. The 14 proposed ideas were conducted by the Service quality evaluation and Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP) from the perspective of the service recipient, and those were finally prioritized from the service provider's perspective, taking into account the cost and practicality of the service provider. The results of this study show that differences in the importance of fire phases considered by stakeholders and the perception of fire generally vary considerably.

A Study on Measuring Urban Sprawl and Its Policy Implications for Urban Growth Management and Urban Regeneration in Seoul Capital Region (수도권 도시 스프롤 평가에 따른 도시성장관리 및 도시재생 정책 방향에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Hye-Jin;Woo, Myungje
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.3-18
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    • 2019
  • Urban sprawl has been criticized due to its negative effects, including the encroachment of farmland and open spaces, the increase in traffic congestion and air pollution, the decline of central city, the decrease in social capital, and the unfairness of tax burdens on infrastructure and public services. This study measures urban sprawl in the capital region of South Korea where the characteristics of urban sprawl have been known to be different from those identified in the U.S. metropolitan areas. In particular, the study examines whether the capital region has experienced the decline of the central city with an expansion of low density residential development in suburban areas. Three measurements, the sprawl index with population density, the ratio of changes in urbanized areas to changes in population, and the population density gradient, were employed to measure urban sprawl, and GIS mapping and descriptive analysis were used to examine the central city decline and the characteristics of development patterns in suburban areas. The results show that the capital region of South Korea is moving to the American style sprawled development with the decline of the central city and an increase of single detached homes in suburban areas, implying that policy makers need to develop growth management strategies to prevent urban sprawl and its negative effects that many U.S. metropolitan areas have suffered from.

A Study of Perceived Value and Intention to Use for Car Sharing Service : Based on User Experiences Serviced by Seoul Car Sharing (차량공유 서비스에 대한 지각된 가치와 이용의향에 관한 연구 : 서울시 나눔카 서비스 이용자를 중심으로)

  • Park, Keon Chul;Song, In-Kuk
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to deliver both market-practical and civil-centric political implication for sharing economy by investigating the nature of consumer-adoption for car-sharing service. With the global interest and market proliferation of the sharing economy, various service models for sharing idle resources have also been released in Korea. Particularly, in case of car sharing service, public - private partnership projects are spreading rapidly in various local governments including Seoul, along with the growing demand for alternative transportation system centering on the urban area. This study conducted an empirical study on the process of accepting the car sharing service by analyzing the data collected from users of the car sharing service "Sharing Car(Nanum Car)" of Seoul Metropolitan Government. A survey was conducted on 281 users in their twenties who are in the age of main use among the experienced users of the "Sharing Car(NaNum)" residing in Seoul. The result of analysis on the relationship between these users' perceived value and intention to use the vehicle sharing service would provide implications for establishing consumer(citizen)-centeric policies as well as market implications.

A Study on the Installation of a Sewage Separator Pipe inside an Existing Combined Sewer System for CSO Control (기존 합류식 하수관거에 CSO 제어를 위한 하수분리관의 설치에 관한 연구)

  • Guerra, Heidi B.;Kim, Youngchul
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.85-93
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    • 2021
  • Sewage separation which often involves installing a new pipe to separate wastewater flow from stormwater runoff flow can be costly and depends highly on its feasibility in a site. To be able to develop a potentially more economical alternative that can also lessen major road traffic disturbance during this process, a different approach where a smaller sewage separator pipe is installed inside an existing combined sewer pipe was investigated. A small-scale of a box sewer and the proposed sewage separator pipe was constructed in the laboratory to observe and compare the deposition of solids and other solid-associated major pollutants at different flow rates. In addition, three-dimensional flow simulations considering five different scenarios were conducted using Ansys Fluent to observe the effect of the proposed sewage separator pipe to the hydraulic flow if installed inside the combined sewer pipe. Results revealed that the deposition of TSS, TCOD, TN, and TP were reduced by at least 60% when the wastewater was conveyed by the sewage separator pipe instead of the combined sewer pipe. Moreover, the flow simulations conducted showed that there was little to no major disturbance in hydraulic flow and velocity distribution when the sewage separator was installed inside a straight pipe and even at pipe transitions such as intersections, turns, and drop in elevation. Considering the pipe dimensions and the results of the study, the proposed approach can be promising in terms of reduction in pollutant deposition without a major effect on the hydraulic flow. Further investigation and cost-analysis should be done in the future to support these preliminary findings and help alleviate the problems caused by combined sewer overflows by introducing an alternative approach.

Study on the Efficient Integration of Long-term Care Facilities and Geriatric Hospitals by Using NHIC Survey Data (실태조사를 통한 장기요양시설과 요양병원의 효율적 연계방안)

  • Choi, in-duck;Lee, eun-mi
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.855-869
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to identify how to efficiently integrate long-term care facilities into geriatric hospitals. We conducted a survey on the current operations of facilities and medical services of 2009 of 192 long-term facilities and 168 geriatric hospitals in Korea between October and November. Technical statistics and chi-square test were conducted on the collected data using the SPSS 13.0/Win program. There was a difference between the two facility types in terms of the co-payment levels of the food services. Both types selected the budget deficit as their major management problem. Ease of access and the surrounding environment were critical factors used to select the location of both types of facilities. Facility users benefited from the discounted co-payments of both facility types. However, facility users wanted more frequent visits and support from their family members during their stay at the facilities. It was discovered that users in the long-term care facilities stayed longer, that is until they died, compared to their counterparts in geriatric hospitals. The two types of facilities provided their services totally separately to users. Users of the two types of facilities are poorly supported and cared for by their families. This study suggests that setting reasonable service fees, paying caretakers, introducing an integrated facility, strengthening facility assessment standards, introducing the family doctor system, and introducing the handling of long-term care insurance by geriatric hospitals would allow the integration between long- term care facilities and geriatric hospitals to be beneficial.

Low-income Female Single-Parent Families' Experience of Economic Burden and Its Improvement by COVID-19 (코로나19(COVID-19)로 인한 저소득 여성한부모가족의 경제적 부담경험과 개선방안)

  • Sung, Jung Hyeun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.527-541
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to explore the economic hardship experiences of low-income single-parent families by COVID-19 to find ways to improve after COVID-19. To this end, 10 single parents with children under the secondary school age were recruited through snowball sampling method and in-depth interviews with economic activities, income, expenditure, and economic life. As a result of the study, participants suffered from unemployment and the disappearance of extra income activities in the early stages of COVID-19, additional expenses incurred by children's food and increased utility bills. In addition, it was recognized that COVID-19 has come to be more difficult and unequal to single-parent families of low-income women. It was found that the temporary living difficulties were resolved with disaster support funds, and it was helpful in the short term by spending according to priorities such as overdue monthly rent, food expenses, children's academy expenses, and purchasing home appliances. However, it was recognized that disaster support funds were inappropriate for customized disaster support and long-term and selective support was necessary. In the conclusion, to improve economic problems after COVID-19, it proposed measures to improve social welfare policies and practices

A Study on the Field Application of the Measurement Technique for Static Displacement of Bridge Using Ambient Vibration (상시 진동을 이용한 교량 정적 처짐 산정 기술의 현장 적용성 연구)

  • Sang-Hyuk Oh;Dae-Joong Moon;Kwang-Myong Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Recycled Construction Resources Institute
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.355-363
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    • 2023
  • In safety assessment of a aged bridge, dynamic characteristics and displacement are directly related to the rigidity of the structural system, especially displacement is the most important factor as the physical quantity that the bridge user can directly detect. However, in order to measure the displacement of the bridge, it is difficult to install displacement sensors at the bottom of the bridge and conduct traffic blocking and loading tests, resulting in increased costs or impossible measurements depending on the bridge's environment. In this study, a method of measuring the displacement of a bridge using only accelerometers without installing displacement sensors and ambient vibration without a loading test was proposed. For the analysis of bridge dynamic characteristics and displacement using ambient vibration, the mode shape and natural frequency of the bridge were extracted using a TDD technique known to enable quick analysis with simple calculations, and the unit load displacement of the bridge was analyzed through flexibility analysis to calculate static displacement. To verify this proposed technology, an on-site test was conducted on C Bridge, and the results were compared with the measured values of the loading test and the structural analysis data. As a result, it was confirmed that the mode shape and natural frequency were 0.42 to 1.13 % error ratio, and the maximum displacement at the main span was 3.58 % error ratio. Therefore, the proposed technology can be used as a basis data for indirectly determine the safety of the bridge by comparing the amount of displacement compared to the design and analysis values by estimating the displacement of the bridge that could not be measured due to the difficulty of installing displacement sensors.

Estimation of Economic Benefits Based on Appropriate Allocation of Emergency Medical Beds by Region in South Korea (지역별 응급의료병상 적정 분배에 따른 경제적 편익 추정)

  • Jeong Min Yang;Min Soo Kim;Jae Hyun Kim
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2024
  • Background: This study aimed to assess the appropriate allocation of emergency medical beds across 17 provinces and presume the economic benefits associated with such allocation. Methods: To estimate the optimal allocation of emergency medical beds by province, data from the Statistics Korea's "cause of death statistics (2014-2021)," regional statistics on "area, population, gender, age," and "population projections" were utilized. The "number of emergency beds by city and district" provided by the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service was also used. In estimating the economic benefits of preventing avoidable emergency deaths due to the expansion of emergency medical facilities, guidelines from the Korea Development Institute and the Korea Transport Institute were referenced to calculate the wage loss costs associated with emergency deaths and estimate the economic benefits. Results: The optimal ratio of emergency medical beds allocation by region was highest in Gyeonggi, Seoul, Gyeongnam, Gyeongbuk, and Busan, while Daejeon, Jeju, and Sejong showed lower ratios. Additionally, the prevention of avoidable deaths and economic benefits resulting from the increase in emergency medical facilities were highest in Gyeonggi, Seoul, Gyeongbuk, Gyeongnam, and Busan. However, when standardized by population, the prevention of avoidable deaths and economic benefits were analyzed to be highest in Gyeongbuk, Chungnam, Jeonnam, Gyeongnam, and Busan. Conclusion: The results of this study can serve as foundational data for future policy measures aimed at addressing the imbalance in the supply of emergency medical facilities across regions. Considering regional characteristics in the distribution of emergency medical facilities is expected to ultimately increase the efficiency of national finances and yield economic benefits.

Management of Infrastructure(Road) Based On Asset Value (자산가치 기반의 교통인프라 유지관리)

  • Dong-Joo Kim;Woo-Seok Kim;Yong-Kang Lee;Hoon Yoo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.100-107
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    • 2024
  • Currently, in Korea, due to the rapid aging and deterioration of facilities, the minimum Maintenance Level and Performance Level' of facilities are required by the 'Facility Safety Act' or 'Infrastructure Management Act'. Since infrastructure assets have a long lifespan and the pattern of deterioration over time is complex, it is very difficult to maintain infrastructure as 'minimum maintenance state' or 'minimum performance state' by the current way of management. 'Asset Management' shall be performed not only by a technical perspective, but also by an accounting perspective such as cost and asset value. However, due to lack of awareness of 'asset management' among stakeholder, only technical perspective management is being carried out in practice. In order to effectively manage infrastructure assets, complex consideration of various asset value factors such as budget and service as well as safety and durability are required. In this paper, we presented a theory to evaluate and quantify the road network value for efficient asset management of the road network. We also presented a method of simulation to apply the theory presented in this paper. Through simulation and the results derived from this study, it is possible to specify the budget for the future national asset management, and to optimize the strategy for the management of old road facilities.