• Title/Summary/Keyword: 계획교통량

Search Result 141, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

A Study on Inaccuracy in Urban Railway Ridership Estimation (도시철도 교통량 추정의 오차발생 요인 연구)

  • Kim, Kang-Soo;Kim, Ki Min
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.32 no.6
    • /
    • pp.589-599
    • /
    • 2014
  • This paper analyzes the forecasting errors of traffic volumes by comparing forecasted volumes for the opening year with the observed ones in the years after the urban railway construction in the metropolitan areas. The result shows that the average inaccuracy of traffic volumes for each station was estimated at around 7.27. Based on the confirmed factors of demand estimation errors, this study seeks for an alternative method to reduce estimation errors in feasibility studies. It is noted that there is a tendency that the inaccuracy varies by regions and the longer construction period or the shorter station spacing is, the overestimation increases. If urban railway projects are proceeded as planed, therefore, the level of the inaccuracy for traffic volume forecast will be decreased. In addition, thanks to the theoretical progress, recent estimation results show higher accuracy than before. In that sense, when we introduce the new railway line, it is necessary to make an accurate and realistic demand forecast based on actual outcomes and tendency of the previous estimation. The limitation of our study is that we only cover the errors of the initial period, the opening year and deal with the exogenous variables. Further research including other variables which might be considered to cause overestimation or errors would be needed for increasing the estimation accuracy of traffic volumes.

An Algorithm for Real-Traffic Signal Control at An Isolated-Intersection (실시간 신호제어알고리즘 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Eon-Kyo;Kim, Young-Chan;Lee, Jong-Man
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.22 no.7 s.78
    • /
    • pp.161-167
    • /
    • 2004
  • While most or fixed-time control systems such as UTCS produce the signal timing plans that either maximizing bandwidth or minimizing a disutility index of delay and stops, cannot consider the fluctuation of traffic flow. One category of the traffic-response control systems, which make small changes on a predefined signal plan such as SCOOT, cannot be easily modified for feedback real-time control schemes based on observation of variables other than traffic flow. The other category, which decide to whether switch the traffic lights or not at each step of time as in PRODYN, does not adequately consider the relations between traffic flows and traffic lights at each step of time. In this paper we present a complete formulation that adequately consider the relations between traffic flows and traffic lights at each step of time. The formulation is a binary mixed integer linear programing (BMILP) that obtain traffic lights at each step for minimizing delay. Since numarical examples for application of the proposed model illustrated that the model adequately produced dynamic traffic signal plans minimizing delay at each step, the model may be expected to contribute to advanced transportation management systems (ATMS) for dynamic traffic signal control.

A study on the field research of the actual of the using elevator in high-rise apartment houses (고층아파트의 엘리베이터이용실태 조사분석연구)

  • 정지열
    • The Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
    • /
    • v.1 no.1
    • /
    • pp.83-89
    • /
    • 1987
  • 본 논문에서는 기존 고층아파트의 승용엘리베이터이용상황에 관한 실제조사를 통해서 거주자의 출입교통량과 엘리베이터 서어비스상태를 분석하였다. 이로써 합리적인 아파트의 엘리베이터 설비계획에 필요한 요소 즉, 엘리베이터와 계단이용현황, 거주구성원별 출입현황, 5분간 수송능력, 동시승차이용자수, 대기시간 등의 관련기초자료를 얻을 수 있었다.

  • PDF

경부고속철도 기본계획 보완 검토 - 경제성과 재무성 -

  • 서광석
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
    • /
    • 1998.05a
    • /
    • pp.73-114
    • /
    • 1998
  • ▣ 경부 축은 우리나라 인구, 생산 등 사회·경제의 중심 축, 서울-부산 간 경부 축은 우리나라 인구와 생산이 70% 정도가 집중되고 있고 전국 교통량 중 여객 66%, 화물 70%를 담당 인구('95) : 전국 45백만명 (경부 축 32백만명, 71%), 여객('95) : 전국 730만명/일 (경부 축 480만명/일, 66%), 화물('95) : 전국 123만톤/일 (경부축 86만톤/일, 70%), 향후 경부축의 교통은 여객 및 화물이 매년 3.6%, 4.3%씩 늘어날 전망으로 지속적인 성장 계속(중략)

  • PDF

Determination of Minimum Spacing between Off-ramp Terminus and Intersection Considering the Influence of Adjacent Signalized Intersections (신호교차로 영향에 따른 도시고속도로 유출연결로 최소이격거리에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Gu;Sim, Dae-Yeong;Heo, Du-Wan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.79-87
    • /
    • 2007
  • The interchanges of urban freeways have many problems with traffic operation due to high off-ramp flows and frequent congestion at adjacent intersections. The flow exiting from off-ramps is affected by the operational status and traffic volume conditions of the nearest signalized intersection. As a result, off-ramp flow cannot exit and the queue backs up the freeway mainline when queues from the signalized intersection form up to the junction of the off-ramp and street. The spacing between an off-ramp and an adjacent intersection is likely to determine the traffic conditions at the adjacent intersection. However, the current design guidelines do not consider such a factor. This study is to develop a model calculating the spacing between off-ramps and adjacent intersections considering the signal, traffic, and road conditions. The variables affecting the model in this study are effective green time (g/C), volume-capacity ratio (v/c), the number of lanes, and off-ramp volume. Various scenarios are designed to represent the effects of the variables and the road networks are constructed using VISSIM, which is a common traffic micro-simulation software package. The queue length is derived from VISSIM and this length is considered as the recommended spacing between the off-ramp and the adjacent intersection. Through the simulation analysis, regression models are developed to calculate the queue length reflecting the various conditions such as signals, traffic, and road configurations. The developed model can be used to create road design guidelines to determine the location of off-ramps in the planning stage.

Development and Application of a Path-Based Trip Assignment Model under Toll Imposition (통행료체계에서의 경로기반 통행배정모형 개발과 적용에 관한 연구)

  • 권용석
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
    • /
    • 2000.02a
    • /
    • pp.3-22
    • /
    • 2000
  • 이용자의 경로선택 형태를 모사하는 통행배정모형 결과의 정확도는 교통계획에 상당한 영향을 미친다. 이용자의 경로선택 결정과정에서 가장 중요한 판단기준은 통행시간과 통행요금이다. 그런데 통행요금은 이용자의 경로거리에 따라 다양한 방식으로 부과되므로, 링크를 분석단위로 하는 기존의 통행배정모형은 현실적인 통행요금 반영이 힘들었고 또한 수요예측 결과를 이용한 다양한 분석에서 제약을 받아 왔다. 본 연구는 이러한 배경에서 경로교통량을 도출할 수 있는 경로기반 통행배정모형을 구축하였고, 또한 경로거리에 따라 결정되는 현실적인 통행요금을 반영할 수 있는 알고리즘을 개발하였다. 경로기반 배정모형에서는 GP(Gradient Projection) 알고리즘을 이용하였고, 계산상의 효율성 제고를 위해 K-최단경로 알고리즘 중 MPS(Minimal Path Search) 알고리즘을 이용하였다. 개발된 배정 모형은 현실적인 통행요금을 반영할 수 있으므로 통행배정 결과의 정밀도를 향상시켰을 뿐만 아니라 기존 배정모형에 비해 최적해로의 수렴속도도 개선되는 것으로 나타났다. 본 논문의 배정모형은 경로교통량이 도출되고 통행요금을 반영할 수 있으므로, 통행요금과 통행 거리 관계에 따른 목적함수의 규명과 그에 따른 효과척도를 계량화할 수 있다. 따라서 본 모형은 통행배정에서 실재상황을 보다 현실여건에 맞도록 규명할 수 있고, 기존의 제한적인 효과분석의 문제점을 해결할 수 있으므로 그 활용범위가 넓다. 또한 본 논문은 개발된 배정모형의 적용사례로서 고속도로 수요관리 요금체계 개선방안을 제시하였다. 기존의 고속도로 통행요금 산정 방법은 이론적 근거가 미약했던 반면, 본 논문에서 개발된 배정모형과 고속도로 수요관리 요금체계 개선방안은 고속도로 통행료 결정에 대한 과학적이고 합리적인 분석방법을 제공하였다.한 민감도 분석을 실시한 결과 대안1의 경우 교통량의 변화 및 화물통행의 시간가치의 증가시 사회적 편익이 오히려 감소하였고, 대안2와 3의 경우 사회적 편익이 증가하는 것을 알 수 있었다. 이는 경부고속도로의 화물차량의 구성비에 따라 대안 1의 경우 오히려 화물차의 통행시간이 증가함에 그 원인이 있다 할 것이다. 이상과 같은 결론을 통하여 경부고속도로상의 화물전용차선의 설치시는 수답렬 교통량의 구성비와 구간 평균교통량에 의하여 그 효과가 다르게 나타남을 알 수 있었다. 따라서 물류비용 절감차원에서의 화물전용차선의 설치는 본 연구에서 나타낸 방법과 같이 수단간의 경제적 편익을 고려한 구간별 시간대별 효과분석을 통하여 정책의 시행여부가 결정되어야 할 것이다. 한편, 화물전용차선의 설치로 인한 물류비용의 절감을 보다 효과적으로 달성하기 위해서는 종합류류 전산망의 시급한 구축과 함께 화물차의 적재율을 높이고 공차율을 낮출 수 있는 운송체계의 수립이 필요한 것으로 판단된다. 그라나 이러한 화물전용차선의 효과는 단기적인 치유책일 수밖에 없기 때문에 물류유통 시설의 확충을 위한 사회간접자본의 구축을 서둘러 시행하여야 할 것이다.으로 처리한 Machine oil, Phenthoate EC 및 Trichlorfon WP는 비교적 약효가 낮았다.>$^{\circ}$E/$\leq$30$^{\circ}$NW 단열군이 연구지역 내에서 지하수 유동성이 가장 높은 단열군으로 추정된다. 이러한 사실은 3개 시추공을 대상으로 실시한 시추공 내 물리검층과 정압주입시험에서도 확인된다.. It was resulted from increase of weight of single cocoon. "Manta"2.5ppm produced 22.2kg of co

  • PDF

Defining Level of Service for Railroad System and Analysis of it's Effects on System Planning (철도의 서비스수준의 정의와 시스템 계획에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Suh, D. Sun-Duck;Shin, Young-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
    • /
    • 2008.06a
    • /
    • pp.1594-1611
    • /
    • 2008
  • Level of Service(LOS) is classified A through F in highway system (KHCM), usually using LOS C in express way and D in national road. (LOS C denotes 75% of capacity) Meanwhile in Railroad System, there is no clearly defined LOS, and the daily demand in infra-structure planning has been used. It is very important that LOS provides consequently a consensus of opinion between users and operators because there is a close relation between user demand and level of services. Considering this, there should exist clearly defined Level of Services in Railroad System Planning so that demand can be predicted precisely.

  • PDF

A Study on the development of a decision model on free flow and congested traffic conditions to determine the optimal ventilation capacity in highway tunnels (고속도로 터널의 적정 환기용량 계획을 위한 원활 및 지체조건 판별모델 개발에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyo-Gyu;Yoo, Ji-Oh;Lee, Chang-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
    • /
    • v.14 no.4
    • /
    • pp.375-395
    • /
    • 2012
  • According to the local highway tunnel ventilation guideline, ventilation capacity calculation should be performed at the speed ranging from 10 km/h to 80 km/h. This is so reasonable method considering uncongested and congested traffic conditions in urban tunnels. But recently due to low traffic volume and very low congestion frequency in rural highway tunnels, it seems to be an inadequate way to apply the guideline. Therefore the calculation should be performed separately for the free flow and congested traffic cases classified by the appropriate decision model. This paper aims at determining unnecessary running speed range for reasonable tunnel ventilation design, considering free flow and congested traffic conditions. Firstly, traffic volumes in highway tunnels were collected and if any, the causes of congestion were investigated. And with concept of 'margin speed'($u-u_m$), the decision model on traffic congestion was developed. Applicability of the decision model was also analyzed with case study. According to the results, when design speed is 100 km/h, with V/C less than 0.1, then the range of unnecessary speed in tunnel ventilation design is less than 40 km/h; for $V/C{\leqq}0.35$, $V/C{\leqq}0.6$ and $V/C{\leqq}0.75$, the unnecessary speed ranges are found to be ${\leqq}30$, ${\leqq}20$ and ${\leqq}10km/h$, respectively.

A Study on the Public Evacuation Time Estimates for Radiological Emergency Plan and Preparedness of Wolsong Nuclear Power Plant Site (방사선 비상계획을 위한 월성원전 주변 주민 소개시간 예측 연구)

  • Lee, Gab-Bock;Bang, Sun-Young;Chung, Yang-Geun
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
    • /
    • v.32 no.2
    • /
    • pp.79-88
    • /
    • 2007
  • When an accident occurs at nuclear power plant and radionuclide material is released to the area around the plant, public evacuation is considered as a measure to protect the safety of the residents nearby. This study draws factors required to estimate evacuation time and make estimation of the time to evacuate all residents from the EPZ of Wolsong site in consideration of traffic condition in the neighborhood and on the basis of field data around the site for each factor. The traffic capacity and the traffic volume by season were investigated for the traffic analysis and simulation within EPZ of Wolsong site. As a result, the background traffic volume by season were established. To estimate TGT(Trip Generation Time), the questionnaire surveys were carried out for resident and transient. The TSIS code was applied to traffic analysis in the events of daytime/night and normal/adverse weather under normal day/summer peak traffic condition. The results showed that the evacuation time required for total vehicles to move out from EPZ took generally from 118 to 150 minutes. The evacuation time took longer maximum 17 minutes at night than daytime during summer peak traffic.

Development of Method to Define Influence Area using Travel Time on the Feasibility Study (도로사업 예비 타당성조사에서 통행시간을 이용한 영향권 설정기법의 개발)

  • Kim, Kang-Soo;Oh, Dong-Kyu;Chung, Sung-Bong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.23 no.8 s.86
    • /
    • pp.139-145
    • /
    • 2005
  • `Influence Area` means the area that the traffic flow pattern of which is changed remarkably after the construction of highway facilities. The Influence area would be a significant criteria for demand forecasting and economic analysis. However existing methods for defining influence area such as O/D method, traffic volume variation method and rate of traffic volume variation method have no standard criteria. In this paper, some problems which existing methods have are analyzed and a new method travel time method - is introduced. Influence area can be induced as the area where the vehicles reach from starting traffic zone to ending zone to which 95 percentile vehicles want to travel. In addition, the value of standard criteria for defining influence ayes are induced via this method.