• Title/Summary/Keyword: 계층 간 예측

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Stock Prediction Model based on Bidirectional LSTM Recurrent Neural Network (양방향 LSTM 순환신경망 기반 주가예측모델)

  • Joo, Il-Taeck;Choi, Seung-Ho
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.204-208
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we proposed and evaluated the time series deep learning prediction model for learning fluctuation pattern of stock price. Recurrent neural networks, which can store previous information in the hidden layer, are suitable for the stock price prediction model, which is time series data. In order to maintain the long - term dependency by solving the gradient vanish problem in the recurrent neural network, we use LSTM with small memory inside the recurrent neural network. Furthermore, we proposed the stock price prediction model using bidirectional LSTM recurrent neural network in which the hidden layer is added in the reverse direction of the data flow for solving the limitation of the tendency of learning only based on the immediately preceding pattern of the recurrent neural network. In this experiment, we used the Tensorflow to learn the proposed stock price prediction model with stock price and trading volume input. In order to evaluate the performance of the stock price prediction, the mean square root error between the real stock price and the predicted stock price was obtained. As a result, the stock price prediction model using bidirectional LSTM recurrent neural network has improved prediction accuracy compared with unidirectional LSTM recurrent neural network.

Design of a Large Real-Time Personalized Recommendation System (대용량 개인화 실시간 상품 추천 시스템 설계)

  • Kim Jong-Hee;Shim Jang-Sup;Lee Dong-Ha;Jung Soon-Key
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.109-112
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    • 2006
  • 최근 대용량 추천시스템에 대한 필요성이 증가하고 있고, 특히 대규모 인터넷 쇼핑몰을 위한 개인화 추천 시스템 구조에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 k-means 클러스터링과 순차 패턴 기법을 이용한 인터넷 쇼핑몰 상품 추천 시스템을 설계 및 구현한다. 사용자 정보의 일괄처리와 카테고리의 계층적 특성을 반영하면서 데이터 마이닝 기법을 활용하여 개인화된 추천 엔진을 대형 시스템에서 동작하도록 설계 하였다. 설계 구현한 시스템의 평가를 위해, 대형 쇼핑몰의 데이터를 이용하여 추천 예측 정확율(PRP: Predictive Recommend Precision), 추천 예측 재현율(PRR: Predictive Recommend Recall), 정확도 인수(PF1 : Predictive Factor One-measure)를 구하였다.

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Study of The Abnormal Traffic Detection Technique Using Forecasting Model Based Trend Model (추세 모형 기반의 예측 모델을 이용한 비정상 트래픽 탐지 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Sang-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.8
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    • pp.5256-5262
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    • 2014
  • Recently, Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) attacks, such as spreading malicious code, cyber-terrorism, have occurred in government agencies, the press and the financial sector. DDoS attacks are the simplest Internet-based infringement attacks techniques that have fatal consequences. DDoS attacks have caused bandwidth consumption at the network layer. These attacks are difficult to detect defend against because the attack packets are not significantly different from normal traffic. Abnormal traffic is threatening the stability of the network. Therefore, the abnormal traffic by generating indications will need to be detected in advance. This study examined the abnormal traffic detection technique using a forecasting model-based trend model.

The determinants of Emergency Care Utilization and Equity of Access to Care in Elderly Koreans (노인들의 응급의료이용 결정요인과 형평성)

  • Lee, Sukmin;Park, Ju Moon
    • Journal of Urban Science
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2019
  • This study examines the determinants of emergency care utilization and equity of access to care in elderly Koreans. Based on the data from the 2014 Korea Health Panel Survey, descriptive and logistic regression analysis was performed. The sample for this study was 1,313 individuals who participated in interviews. Predisposing factors such as age, sex, and education were significant determinants of emergency care utilization. Differences in need do not fully account for the original differences observed between subgroups of older Koreans. Health status was important determinant of older Koreans using emergency care services. Spending medical expense did not ameliorate the subgroup differences in the use of emergency care services. Nonetheless, spending medical expense remains a particularly important predictor of emergency care utilization. Health care reforms in Korea should continue to concentrate on insuring effective universal emergency care, implying that all older Koreans with need receive effective coverage. Future study is also needed to understand the access barriers that may exist for the selected demographic subgroups, i.e., those over 75, women, less educated persons, and those with higher medical expense.

Design and Implementation of Scalable Multi-view Video Coding Based on Integration of SHVC and MVC (SHVC 및 MVC 통합 기반의 스케일러블 다시점 비디오 부호화 설계 및 구현)

  • Jung, Tae-jun;Seo, Kwang-deok
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.405-408
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    • 2017
  • Based on the fact that high similarities exist between viewpoints of multi-view images, MV-HEVC achieves high encoding efficiency by performing conventional temporal direction prediction in a single viewpoint as well as inter-view prediction between viewpoints. In this paper, we propose to integrate SHVC and MVC (Multi-view Video Coding) to implement scalable multi-view video encoder using HEVC as a base layer. According to experimental results, it is verified that the BD-PSNR improvement reaches up to 1.5dB while reducing the BD-Bitrate by around 50~60%.

Analyzing the Impact of Multivariate Inputs on Deep Learning-Based Reservoir Level Prediction and Approaches for Mid to Long-Term Forecasting (다변량 입력이 딥러닝 기반 저수율 예측에 미치는 영향 분석과 중장기 예측 방안)

  • Hyeseung Park;Jongwook Yoon;Hojun Lee;Hyunho Yang
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.199-207
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    • 2024
  • Local reservoirs are crucial sources for agricultural water supply, necessitating stable water level management to prepare for extreme climate conditions such as droughts. Water level prediction is significantly influenced by local climate characteristics, such as localized rainfall, as well as seasonal factors including cropping times, making it essential to understand the correlation between input and output data as much as selecting an appropriate prediction model. In this study, extensive multivariate data from over 400 reservoirs in Jeollabuk-do from 1991 to 2022 was utilized to train and validate a water level prediction model that comprehensively reflects the complex hydrological and climatological environmental factors of each reservoir, and to analyze the impact of each input feature on the prediction performance of water levels. Instead of focusing on improvements in water level performance through neural network structures, the study adopts a basic Feedforward Neural Network composed of fully connected layers, batch normalization, dropout, and activation functions, focusing on the correlation between multivariate input data and prediction performance. Additionally, most existing studies only present short-term prediction performance on a daily basis, which is not suitable for practical environments that require medium to long-term predictions, such as 10 days or a month. Therefore, this study measured the water level prediction performance up to one month ahead through a recursive method that uses daily prediction values as the next input. The experiment identified performance changes according to the prediction period and analyzed the impact of each input feature on the overall performance based on an Ablation study.

The Method of Variability Management in the Product Line Engineering using Variation View (Variation View를 이용한 Product-Line의 가변성 관리기법)

  • 황길승;송문섭;양영종
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2004.10b
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    • pp.451-453
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    • 2004
  • Product-Line 개발방법에서 가변성의 표현과 선택은 최종 Product의 형태를 결정하는 중요한 요소이므로 개발 전 단계에서의 일관성 있는 관리가 필요하다. 현재 Product-Line에서 가변성의 표현을 위한 다양한 방법들이 연구되고 있지만 실제적으로 개발 단계간의 가변성의 연관된 변화과정을 서술하고 관리할 수 있는 방법은 부족한 실정이다. 본 논문에서는 소프트웨어 개발단계의 각 계층 간 가변성을 표현하는 방법을 정의하고 이 방법으로 Product-Line의 가변성이 효율적으로 관리될 수 있음을 증명한다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 Variation View를 이용하면 S/W 전체의 가변성의 변화를 한눈에 파악할 수 있고, 가변성 결정에 따른 소프트웨어 변화를 예측할 수 있으며, 향후 evolution 과정에서도 공통 아키텍처를 유연하게 확장할 수 있는 방법을 제공할 수 있다.

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Design of Purchasing Pattern Classification System Using Nural Network and Multiple-Level Association Rules (신경망과 다단계 연관규칙을 이용한 구매 패턴 분류 시스템의 설계)

  • Lee, Jong-Min;Jung, Hong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2000.05a
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    • pp.203-206
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    • 2000
  • 신경망을 이용해 고객집단을 분류하고 고객의 특성에 따라 세분화된 고객들에 대해 다단계 연관규칙을 적용해서 고객의 상품 구매패턴을 찾아 줌으로써 마케팅 전략 결정을 지원하는 구매패턴분류 시스템을 설계한다. 고객분류를 위한 신경망 시스템은 다층 퍼셉트론에 역전파 알고리즘을 이용한다. 주소, 구매금액, 구매횟수, 고객 구분, 상긴 등과 같은 고객정보를 입력층에 입력변수로 지정하고, 이에 따른 우량/일반고객을 출력변수로 지정한 후 신경망을 학습시키면, 실제의 우량/일반의 간과 예측되는 우량/일반의 값의 차이론 최소화시키면서 모형을 형성시켜 나가게 된다. 구매패턴 분류 시스템은 다단계 연관규칙을 이용한다. 고객분류 서브시스템을 통해 고객집단이 세분화되면 각각의 고객집단에 대해 TID와 품목 트랜잭션을 입력으로 cumulate 알고리즘과 개념계층을 이용해 일반화 과정을 수행하면서 빈발 항목을 찾게 되고 이론 근거로 항목간의 연관규칙을 찾아내게 된다.

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Probabilistic Connection Models Representation of Systems Genetic (생물학적 시스템에서 확률적 연결 모델 추론)

  • Park, Dong-Suk;Song, Sun-Hee;Na, Ha-Sun;Kim, Moon-Hwan;Bae, Chul-Soo;Ra, Sang-Dong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.566-570
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    • 2005
  • 생물학적 유전자 배열에서 다양한 레벨로 분자 세포 간 네트워크를 입증하여 고 처리를 응용하여 수치학적인 표현 모델 분석으로 정보공학 네트워크를 연구한다. 확률적 그래프 모델을 사용하여 네트워크의 계층적 구성 특성을 이용하여 생물학적 통찰력을 확률함수를 응용해 복잡한 세포 간 네트워크에 대한 고 대역 처리 데이터의 근원인 DNA 마이크로 배열을 응용하여 유전자 베이스네트워크 논리를 유전자 표현 레벨로 나타낸다. 유전자 데이터로부터 확률적 그래프 모델들을 추정 및 분석하고 논리적으로 예측하여 확률적 그래프 모델이 정보공학 네트워크로 확장 추론 한다.

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Forecasting and Suggesting the Activation Strategies for Sea & Air Transportation between Korea and China (한·중 간 Sea & Air 물동량 전망 및 활성화 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Hyun-Jae;Jeon, Jun-Woo;Yeo, Gi-Tae;Yang, Chang-Ho
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.36 no.10
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    • pp.905-910
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    • 2012
  • In early 1990s, the Sea & Air Transport Cargoes (SATC) was increased annually with more than 50% rate due to the rising trade between Korea and China. However, after that, the increasing rate of the SATC was slowdown from the late 1990s, furthermore, recently it became sluggish and declined. This phenomenon is totally different compared to the skyrocketing trade volumes between two countries. In this respect, to forecast the SATC, draw out the factors for activation, and calculate the weight of priority of these factors are urgently needed. To achieve the research objectives, the ARIMA and Fuzzy-AHP were used as research methodology. The estimated volume of SATC using the data from year 2007 to 2012 on the ARIMA model, will be reached approximately 33,000 tons in year 2015. In the mean time, For drawing out and weighing the activation factors for SATC, the Fuzzy-AHP was adopted. As a result, 'Sea & Air transportation-related information system policies' is the most important factor among the principle criteria, and 'the construction of consolidation logistics center' is the most important factor among the 12 sub-principle criteria.