• Title/Summary/Keyword: 계수 추정법

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Review of Parameter Estimation Procedure of Freund Bivariate Exponential Distribution (Freund 이변량 지수분포의 매개변수 추정과정 검토)

  • Park, Cheol-Soon;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.191-201
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    • 2012
  • This study reviewed the parameter estimation procedure of the Freund bivariate exponential distribution for the decision of the annual maximum rainfall event. The method of moments was reviewed first, whose results were compared with those from the method of maximum likelihood. Both methods were applied to the hourly rainfall data of the Seoul rain gauge station measured from 1961 to 2010 to select the annual maximum rainfall events, which were also compared each other. The results derived are as follows. First, when applying the method of moments for the parameter estimation, it was found necessary to consider the correlation coefficient between the two variables as well as the mean and variance. Second, the method of maximum likelihood was better to reproduce the mean, but the method of moments was better to reproduce the annual variation of the variance. Third, The annual maximum rainfall events derived were very similar in both cases. Among differently selected annual maximum rainfall events, those with the higher rainfall amount were selected by the method of maximum likelihood, but those with the higher rainfall intensity by the method of moments.

Application of the Inverse Scattering Theory to the Design of the Tapered Impedance-Matching Line (테이퍼형 임피던스 정합선로의 설계를 위한 역산란 이론의 응용)

  • 송충호;이상설
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.1139-1146
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    • 2001
  • A tapered impedance-matching line is designed by an inverse scattering method for the one-dimensional medium. The phase compensation factor(PCF) is introduced in order to reduce the error in the inverse scattering process to reconstruct the permittivity profile. By estimating the permittivity profile of the virtual one-dimensional dielectric medium whose reflection characteristic is the same as that of the specified matching line, the matching line is synthesized. The method can be used to design impedance-matching lines with arbitrary passband characteristics without any equivalent circuit analysis. The inevitable errors in the method using the time-domain reflection coefficient can be avoided by using the frequency-domain reflection coefficient.

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The Estimation of the Regional Gross Capital Stock in Transport Sector of Korea (교통부문의 지역별 자본스톡 추정)

  • 하헌구;조희덕
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.45-56
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    • 2002
  • In this research we estimated regional gross fixed capital stock of transport sector, such as road railroad, airport and seaport during 1968-1997 in Korea. We also compared our estimation results with those of Korea and Japan. As basic analytic method, we used the regional allocation method. To estimate regional gross fixed capital stock of transport sector, we used the basic data on national wealth surveys in 1997, regional land price index and regional facilities index in transport sectors. We used the most reasonable data in the process of estimation after reviewing the collected data In order to get the reasonable capital stock by regions. we chose the allocation index which can minimize the difference between the estimated result and the real regional capital stock in the process to allocate the total gross capital into the regions. Compared our results with those of other researches in Korea, estimates in our research project could be said more accurate than those.

A Geotechnical Parameter Estimation of Underground Structures in Elasto -plastic Condition (지하공간 건설시 탄.소성 모델에 의한 지반계수 추정)

  • Lee, In-Mo;Kim, Dong-Hyeon;Lee, U-Jin
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 1997
  • The design and construction of underground structures contain many substantial mincer dainties. A reasonable estimation of geotechnical parameters is of paramount importance and must be one of the most difficult tasks in designing and constructing underground structures. If the plastic zone exists by tunnel excavation, the ground response may also be dependent on the yield criterion mainly composed of strength parameters. In order to estimate unknown model parameters from the in-situ measurements as well as prior estimates for designing tunnels which have plastic zones, the Extended Bayesian Method(EBM) is adopted : an elasto-plastic finite element program is linked to the EBM as a mathematical model to predict the ground response. Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion is used to represent the plastic behavior. A hypothetical underground site, where the ground behaves elasto-plastically, is adopted to demonstrate the validity of the proposed feedback system.

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Estimation of Wood Oven-Dry Density by Using a Portable Dielectric Moisture Meter (휴대용 유전율식 수분계를 이용한 목재의 전건밀도 추정)

  • Kang, Chun-Won;Lim, Ho-Mook;Kang, Ho-Yang
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.629-639
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    • 2017
  • Tripitaka Koreana in Haein Temple, Hapcheon Province is the most historical and largest heritage in this country, however the species of their blocks have yet been unknown. A nondestructive test method is necessary to investigate their species. The oven-dry density of wood was measured by inversely using the principle of high frequency moisture meter. The oven-dry densities of more than 100 domestic species of specimens estimated by measurement method and high frequency moisture meter were compared and following conclusions were obtained. There was highly close correlation between the oven-dry density estimated by measurement method and the oven-dry density estimated by high frequency moisture meter. The densities of Tripitaka Koreana that was a global cultural heritage could be correctly estimated by using high frequency moisture meter and the equilibrium moisture content under which Tripitaka Koreana equilibrated, thus, it was expected to provide the key to species identification.

Study of Shipbuilding Cost Estimation for Catamaran-type Leisure Boats Using Product Configuration Model (제품구성모델을 이용한 쌍동형 레저보트 건조공수 추정 연구)

  • Oh, Dae Kyun;Oh, Woo Jun;Lee, Dong Kun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.38 no.8
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    • pp.911-916
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    • 2014
  • The leisure boat industry has the potential to become a high-value-added industry in the future. Recently, a study on Korean high-speed leisure boats for fishing was conducted. This study suggests a product configuration model-based shipbuilding cost estimation method for determining the type of leisure boat suitable for mass production, as part of a research for productivity improvement. The suggested estimation method based on the analysis of the leisure boat process and generic YWBS can calculate quantitative and concrete data. By using this method, the cost of building the catamaran-type design ship can be reduced by 17 times, compared to that of the monohull-type mother ship. This implies that the final design of the Korean high-speed leisure boat for fishing will have a competitive price at the actual production stage.

A Study on the Hardware Cost Estimation Equation of Professional Service Robot (전문서비스 로봇 하드웨어 비용추정 관계식 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jungsoo;Min, Jeongtack;Choi, Yeon-Seo;Park, Myeongjun;Sohn, Dongseop
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we proposed a parametric estimation method for estimating H/W cost by using the development data of professional service robot in Korea. In addition, we derived the factors and weights that we can estimate the costs depending on the application environmental conditions of the robot. For the analysis, we developed the equation of professional service robot cost estimation using parametric method. We also derived the adjustment factors and following weights through FGI and Delphi for environmental conditions. We have developed a cost estimation equation that reflects the weight, volume, and manufacturing difficulty, and can derive a relational equation that reflects the environmental factors(dust/water, heat/cold, safety, test, technology innovation). This provides an objective basis for estimating the cost of professional service robots and will lead to ongoing research for estimating the H/W development cost of professional service robots. In the future, we will increase reliability by collecting abundant data, and will strengthen models through finding functional factors.

An Evaluation Method of Deformation Moduli using Finite Element Analysis of Cyclic Plate Load Tests (반복재하 평판재하시험의 유한요소해석을 이용한 변형계수의 추정기법)

  • Oh, Seboong;Seo, Wonseok;Kwon, Ohkyun
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2007
  • The problem on cyclic plate load tests was analyzed by finite element method using an anisotropic hardening constitutive model. The constitutive model was coded to user subroutine in ABAQUS. Using the result of the analysis, Young's moduli corresponding to various strain levels were evaluated by a back calculation method and were very similar to those of input. On the basis of the back calculation method plate loading tests were verified. As a result, deformation moduli could be evaluated practically from cyclic plate load tests with respect site conditions.

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An Experimental Study of Measuring Unsaturated Hydraulic Parameters on Joomoonjin Sand (주문진 표준사의 불포화 침투특성 측정에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Jeong, Doo Young;Song, Kyung Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.261-273
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    • 1993
  • In order to study hydraulic properties and mechanical properties on unsaturated region, soil-water retention curve was obtained for suction plate method and pressure plate method, respectively. To investigate permeability of unsaturated soil and soil-water retention curve at the same time, unsaturated permeability tests using an improved Richard's method were performed on Joomoonjin Sand. These experimental results were compared with those by empirical equations. The relationship between air entry value and saturated permeability of filter was obtained for selecting a proper filter in unsaturated soil tests.

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Study on the prediction about thermal deformation of thin film solar cell according to metal substrates (금속기판재에 따른 박막형 태양전지의 열변형량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Koo, Seung-Hyun;Lee, Heun-Yeol;Yim, Tai-Hong
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.285-288
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    • 2007
  • 박막형 태양전지 및 플렉서블 태양전지 기판으로 사용되는 금속기판의 우수성은 잘 알려져 있다. 그러나 상용 금속기판이 직면하고 있는 문제점을 보완하기 위해서 전주법으로 제조된 2원합금 금속포일을 개발하였으며, 박막형 및 플렉서블 태양전지의 기판재로 적용가능성을 확인하였다. 일반적으로 태양전지를 제조할 때 열 공정이 수행되며, 이때 기판재와 cell을 구성하는 반도체의 열팽창 계수 차이에 의한 열변형으로 결함이 발생될 수 있고, 태양전지 효율 및 수명을 저하시키는 원인이 될 수 있다. 이러한 원인이 될 수 있는 구성 재료간의 열팽창계수 차이에 의한 cell 의 변형량을 추정하기 위해 유한요소해석 방법을 사용하였다. 유한요소해석을 수행하기 위해 ALGOR 라는 해석 tool 을 사용하였다. 유한요소해석 수행에 사용된 상용 금속인 Mo, Ti, Al, SUS 포일과 전주법으로 제조된 2원합금 금속포일의 열팽창 계수는 실험을 통한 측정치이며, cell을 구성하는 반도체의 열팽창 계수와 열특성은 참고 문헌에 있는 자료들이다. 이 값들을 기반으로 cell 의 구성을 단순화시킨 가상의 태양전지가 제조 공정 온도에서 상온으로 냉각될 때의 열변형량을 계산하였다.

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