• Title/Summary/Keyword: $L_p$-estimate

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Use of beta-P distribution for modeling hydrologic events

  • Murshed, Md. Sharwar;Seo, Yun Am;Park, Jeong-Soo;Lee, Youngsaeng
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.15-27
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    • 2018
  • Parametric method of flood frequency analysis involves fitting of a probability distribution to observed flood data. When record length at a given site is relatively shorter and hard to apply the asymptotic theory, an alternative distribution to the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is often used. In this study, we consider the beta-P distribution (BPD) as an alternative to the GEV and other well-known distributions for modeling extreme events of small or moderate samples as well as highly skewed or heavy tailed data. The L-moments ratio diagram shows that special cases of the BPD include the generalized logistic, three-parameter log-normal, and GEV distributions. To estimate the parameters in the distribution, the method of moments, L-moments, and maximum likelihood estimation methods are considered. A Monte-Carlo study is then conducted to compare these three estimation methods. Our result suggests that the L-moments estimator works better than the other estimators for this model of small or moderate samples. Two applications to the annual maximum stream flow of Colorado and the rainfall data from cloud seeding experiments in Southern Florida are reported to show the usefulness of the BPD for modeling hydrologic events. In these examples, BPD turns out to work better than $beta-{\kappa}$, Gumbel, and GEV distributions.

Effects of Selected Inoculants on Chemical Compositions and Fermentation Indices of Rye Silage Harvested at Dough Stage

  • Lee, Seong Shin;Paradhipta, Dimas H.V.;Joo, Young Ho;Lee, Hyuk Jun;Kwak, Youn Sig;Han, Ouk Kyu;Kim, Sam Churl
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 2018
  • This study was carried out to estimate the effect of selected inoculants on chemical compositions and fermentation characteristics of rye silage. Rye was harvested at dough stage and divided into 5 treatments, following: No additives (CON); L. plantarum R48-27 (LP27); L. buchneri R4-26 (LB26); Mixture of LP27 and LB26 at 1:1 ratio (MIX); and L. buchneri (LB). The rye forage was ensiled into 10 L bucket silo for 100 days. The contents of NDF and ADF were lowest (P<0.05) in LB26. The pH in LB26, MIX, and LB were lower (P<0.05) than CON and LP27. Lactate content in LB was higher (P<0.05) than the others, while acetate content in LB26 and LB were higher (P<0.05) than that in CON and LP27. Lactate to acetate ratio was highest (P<0.05) in LB, but lowest in LB26. Lactic acid bacteria (LAB) count in LB was higher (P<0.05) than that in CON, while yeast count in CON was lower than in all silages applied inoculants. In conclusion, silages inoculated with LB26 could improve potentially the aerobic stability caused by increases of acetate and propionate concentrations.

A Study on Stressful Life Events, Self-esteem and Perceived Health Status of the Elderly in a Rural Community (노인의 스트레스 생활사건, 자아존중감, 지각된 건강상태에 관한 연구)

  • Kang Young Sil;Park Ok Hee
    • Journal of Korean Public Health Nursing
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1999
  • This study was performed to estimate stressful life events, self-esteem and perceived health status in the elderly persons and to compare degree of self-esteem and perceived health status according to experience of stressful life events and general characteristics. The data was collected from 179 elders in a rural community. Data collection was done from October 20 to December 6, 1997. A comparison of self-esteem and perceived health status by experience of stressful life events and general characteristics was summarized as follows : 1) Eighty three persons, $46.4\%$ of the surveyed, have experienced stressful life events, including disease(54 persons) and death of family member(l2 persons). 2) Thirty eight percents of the surveyed persons evaluated they are not healthy. The average score of perceived health status of the elderly was 2.88± .92 for the scale of 5, which represents the healthiest status. 3) There were significant differences on the self-esteem score in the elderly according to having a spouse or not(t=3.51. p=.00l), having family members living together or not(t=2.98. p=.003) and socioeconomic status(F=7.08. p=.00l). 4) There were significant differences on the perceived health status in the elderly according to experience of stressful life events(t=3.51. p=.00l), having family members living together or not(t=2.09, p= .038) and socioeconomic status(F=6.56, p=.002). 5) Positive correlation was observed between self-esteem and perceived health(r= .5037, p=.000). The above results imply that support of family and society should be reinforced to improve self-respect and health of aged persons, and that it is desirable to build up social and economic environment promoting health status through daily life.

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Comparison of LDL-Cholesterol direct measurement with the estimate using various formula

  • Kwon, Se Young;Na, Young-Ak
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Laboratory Science
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2012
  • Low-Density Lipoprotein cholesterol (LDLC) is the most important marker for the treatment of hyperlipidemia in NCEP-ATP III(National Cholesterol Education Program-Adult Treatment Panel III) guideline. Therefore, LDL cholesterol is pathologically meaningful, accurate measurement should be a top priority. Currently, LDLC is directly measured in most cases, but, the estimate is still used in mass health examination or screening test. This study is about the comparison of LDL-Cholesterol direct measurement with the estimate using various formula (Friedewald: [LDL-F=TC-HDL-TG/5], Nakajima: [LDL-N=TC-HDL-TG/4], Hattori: [LDL-H =0.94TC-0.94HDL-0.19TG], Puavilai: [LDL-P=TC-HDL-TG/6], Carvalho: [LDL-C=3(TC-HDL)/4]) for calculating more accurate value. We analyzed total cholesterol (TC), try-glyceride (TG), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDLC), and LDLC levels of 210 subjects between June and November in 2011. Until now, the Friedewald formula is the most commonly used estimate for the LDLC. When Friedewald formula was applied, the correlation coefficient (r) was 0.940, showing high correlation. But, the result of the direct method was significantly different, compared with those of the Friedewald formula in triglyceride levels ${\geq}400mg/dL$(p<0.05). There was the highest correlation when we used LDL-P formula(r=0.947) in triglyceride levels <400 mg/dl. Also there was the lowest mean difference regardless of triglyceride level. Therefore, the study showed that TG/6 is more precise means of calculation than TG/5. On the other hand, the calculation of LDL-Cholesterol was underestimated, compared with direct measurement. It is necessary to have more data and modified Friedewald formula should be used for the accurate calculation.

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Optimization of Classification of Local, Regional, and Teleseismic Earthquakes in Korean Peninsula Using Filter Bank (주파수 필터대역기술을 활용한 한반도의 근거리 및 원거리 지진 분류 최적화)

  • Lim, DoYoon;Ahn, Jae-Kwang;Lee, Jimin;Lee, Duk Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.35 no.11
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2019
  • An Earthquake Early Warning (EEW) system is a technology that alerts people to an incoming earthquake by using P waves that are detected before the arrival of more severe seismic waves. P-wave analysis is therefore an important factor in the production of rapid seismic information as it can be used to quickly estimate the earthquake magnitude and epicenter through the amplitude and predominant period of the observed P-wave. However, when a large-magnitude teleseismic earthquake is observed in a local seismic network, the significantly attenuated P wave phases may be mischaracterized as belonging to a small-magnitude local earthquake in the initial analysis stage. Such a misanalysis may be sent to the public as a false alert, reducing the credibility of the EEW system and potentially causing economic losses for infrastructure and industrial facilities. Therefore, it is necessary to develop methods that reduce misanalysis. In this study, the possibility of seismic misclassifying teleseimic earthquakes as local events was reviewed using the Filter Bank method, which uses the attenuation characteristics of P waves to classify local and outside Korean peninsula (regional and teleseismic) events with filtered waveform depending on frequency and epicenter distance. The data used in our analysis were analyzed for maximum Pv values using 463 events with local magnitudes (2 < ML ≦ 3), 44 (3 < ML ≦ 4), 4 (4 < ML ≦ 5), 3 (ML > 5), and 89 outside Korean peninsula earthquakes recorded by the KMA seismic network. The results show that local and telesesimic earthquakes can be classified more accurately when combination of filtering bands of No. 3 (6-12 Hz) and No. 6 (0.75-1.5 Hz) is applied.

Bias and Accuracy of Single Milking Testing Schemes to Estimate Daily Milk (검정일 1회 검정에 의한 착유우의 1일 유량 추정시 오차와 정확도)

  • Cho, Y.M.;Ahn, B.S.;Choi, Y.L.
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.725-730
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    • 2003
  • This study was conducted to evaluate the adequacy of an alternative a.m.-p.m. testing scheme for milk yield in comparison with the official test method based on weighing two milkings within 24 h. A total of 8,309 p.m. milking weights and 6,767 a.m. milking weights from 72 Holstein cows raised at N.L.R.I. were collected between October 2000 and November 2001. Ratios were computes for daily milk yield to a.m. and p.m. milking weights(direct yield ratios) and ratios of a.m. and p.m. milking weights to daily milk yield (inverse yield ratios). Analysis of variance indicated that the milking interval is the most important source of variation for yield ratios. Adjustment factors for estimating daily milk yield from single milking weights were derived through regression analysis of direct and inverse yield ratios on the length of the milking interval. Daily milk yield was estimated more precisely and accurately when adjustment factors were used than when single milking weights were doubled. In conclusion, alternative recording of a.m. and p.m. milking weights led to reliable estimates of milk yields.

Pollutants Unit Loadings of the Stormwater Runoff in Industrial Complex (강우시 산업단지에서의 유출오염부하량 원단위 산정)

  • Lee, Jun-Ho;Bang, Ki-Woong;Choi, Jong-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.355-362
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    • 2000
  • The objective of this paper is to estimate the pollutant load based on event mear concentrations(EMC) in industrial complex. Eight sub-basins in the Chongju industrial complex were selected for sampling and study with different characteristics during the period from June 1997 to August 1998. During the storm events, measured EMC ranges of $BOD_5$, COD, SS, TKN, TP, HEM, $NO_3-N$, $PO_4-P$, Cr, Pb, Cu and Fe in the industrial complex watersheds were 11~176mg/L, 40~502mg/L, 23~633mg/L, 104~20.9mg/L, 0.22~7.51mg/L, 12.7~548.7mg/L, 0.06~2.66mg/L, 0.12~3.39mg/L, 0.01~0.50mg/L. 0.02~0.42mg/L, 0.01~0.15mg/L and 1.29~11.51mg/L respectively. And the calculated annual average pollutant unit loadings of $BOD_5$ COD, SS, TKN, $NO_3-N$, $PO_4-P$, TP, HEM, Cr, Pb, Cu and Fe were 374.4kg/ha/yr 924.1kg/ha/yr, 983.6kg/ha/yr, 48.8kg/ha/yr, 8.1kg/ha/yr, 9.7kg/ha/yr, 17.8kg/ha/yr 943.0kg/ha/yr, 0.7kg/ha/yr, 0.9kg/ha/yr, 0.3kg/ha/yr and 28.9kg/ha/yr, respectively.

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Geographic Variation and Interspecific Hybridization between Two Species of the Genus Agkistrodon (Crotalidae) in Korea (한국산 살모사속(뱀과) 2종의 지리적 변이 및 종간 잡종)

  • 백남극;양서영
    • Animal Systematics, Evolution and Diversity
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 1989
  • Genetic and morphometric comparison between two species of the genus Agkistrodon were performed to estimate the degree of genic variation and to clarify the taxonomic status of Cheju population, a suspected hybrid form between A. blomhoffii brevicaudus and A u ussuriensis. A sum of 147 specimens representing six populations of A.b. brevicaudus and two populations of A ussuriensis was used in this study. Out of the 21 loci examined, 5 loci (Adh, Ldh-2, Mdh-2, Mpi, Pgi) were monomorphic with identical mobility in both species. O Other Sioci (Aco, Gp, Fum, [po and Xdh in A b. brevicaudus; Est, Got-l, Gp, Mdh-l and 6Pgd in A ussuriensis) were highly poplymorphic. The degree of genic variation of Ab. b brevicaudus and A ussuriensis was A=1.SS, P=42.1%, HD=0.096, HG=O.l1S, and A= 1.4S, P = 31.6%, HD=0.117, HG =0.121, repectively. These values are twofold higher t than those of other reptilian species reported (Selander, 1976) including Korean species of Rhabdophis tigrina and Elaphe dione (Paik and Yang, 1986, 1987). The average values of t the genetic similarities among six populations of A b. brevicaudus and two populations of A ussuriensis were S=0.919 and S=0.962, respectively, whereas the value between species was S = 0.662. Presumed divergent time estimate (Nei, 1975) of these two species was about 1 1.8 million years ago. The analysis of the geographic variations of various morphological c characters was based on Gloyd’s criteria (Gloyd, 1972). Coloration of tongue and tail tip, t the number of ventral scales, and the number of subcaudal scales are good diagnostic c characters to identify these two species. The pattern of cross band is, however, highly variable within and between populations of both species. No hybrid was detected and the s suspected hybrid form of Cheju population falls within the range of A. ussuriensis in the g genetic and morphometric analyses.

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Health risk assessment for radon of groundwater in Korea

  • Kim, Yeshin;Kim, Jinyong;Park, Hoasung;Park, Soungeun;Dongchun Shin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society of Environmental Toocicology Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.170-170
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    • 2003
  • An initial study has been conducted with Korea Institute of Geoscience and Mineral resources and National Institute of Environment Research to evaluate the distribution of radon levels and their risk levels of groundwater in Korea. Probability distribution of 616 samples was log-normal one with 1,867pCi/L as arithmetic value, 920pCi/L as median and 40,010pCi/L as maximum during iou. years(1999-2002). In addition, 10% of total samples are in excess of 4,000pCi/L, 20% in excess of 2,700pCi/L, and 30% in excess of 1,700pCi/L, and 15 samples exceeds 10,000pCi/L. Total samples are grouped into 10 areas and 5 rocks unit, and difference of concentrations among areas and rocks are statistically significant(respectively, p<0.0001). The highest area is Daejeon located in ogcheon metamorphic rocks and granitic rocks, and most of all sites with high concentration sites are located in granitic rocks. The lowest area is Jeju located in volcanic rocks. We have estimated excess cancer risks of radon based on these data. To estimate risks, first of all, use patterns of groundwater are categorized with 6 groups: for drinking, household, farming, washing cars, raising stock, and others. We considered risk only for drinking water and household water because radon is rapidly dispersed before it of other use reach human respiratory organs. We select 565 samples for risk analysis, and applied unit risk which is 6.6210-7 per pCi/L to be recommended by NAS committee. Unit risk was derived from considering radon ingestion and radon inhalation from water use. When estimating risk, we analyzed PDF of concentration and represented risk as 50 and 95 percentile values to consider uncertainty with Monte-Carlo simulation. It results in 10-4 level of their excess cancer risk and in 10-2 level in some areas with high concentration of radon. It must be monitor periodically and take adequate actions in these risky sites. We recommend that it needs to take more survey and finally set guideline for radon regulation in groundwater.

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A Study on Price Elasticities of mobile telephone Demand in Korea (국내 이동전화 통화수요의 요금탄력성 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Woo-Soo;Cho, Byung-Sun
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.32 no.6B
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    • pp.390-401
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    • 2007
  • This paper is to estimate and analyze the price elasticities of demand for mobile calls. We used the data for the period from January 2000 to December 2005 on a monthly basis. Data used are call minutes to mobile-originating(ML+MM), tariff for dispatch of fixed and mobile calls($P_L,P_M$), income(Y), and subscriber for mobile(N). In order to provide robust estimates of price elasticities, we have used two different econometric models. One is a Dynamic model which includes a lagged dependent variable and so can differentiate between long-un and short-run price elasticities using the Generalized Method of Moments(GMM). The other is a Box-Cox transformation model which is one of the most useful methods. Box-Cox transformation model shows that elasticity changes with the lapse of time. The results are as follow : Not including the price indices for land-originating, the estimate is overestimated otherwise. In Box-Cox transformation case, price elasticity had been steadily declining. And this result shows that mobile services had been changed necessities increasingly in Korea.