초록
건설사업의 소송판결에 영향을 미치는 요인을 도시정비사업의 조합설립인가 사건을 중심으로 분석하였다. 판결에 영향을 미치는 요인을 카이제곱 검정에 의한 교차분석 및 로지스틱회귀분석을 활용하여 계량법학적 접근을 통해 분석하였다. 교차분석 결과, 본 안전항변그룹의 경우 조합원지위 또는 소유권 없음, 과거법률관계, 중복제소, 소권남용·소송신탁, 가판력존재, 원·피고적격없음, 제소기간도과 법률상이익없음, 인가고유하자아님 등이 유의한 것으로 나타났다. 반면, 본안쟁점그룹의 경우 유의한 변수는 없는 것으로 분석되었다. 로지스틱 회귀분석 결과, 본안전항변그룹의 경우 원·피고적격없음, 조합원지위 또는 소유권없음, 과거법률관계, 중복 제소, 인가고유하자아님, 소권남용·소송신탁, 기판력존재 등이 유의한 것으로 나타났다. 본안쟁점그룸의 경우 정관관련하자만 유의한 것으로 나타났다. 전반적으로 본안전항변그룹에 비해 본안쟁점그룹의 경우 유의미한 결과가 없거나 매우 낮은 것으로 나타났다.
This study analyzed the factors affecting the ruling of litigation on the housing reconstruction and housing redevelopment project based on the cross analysis and logistic regression analysis. According to cross analysis result, the defensive process prerequisite group was showed significant in many variables which were past legal relation, no ownership or association member status, double lawsuit, abuse of lawsuit right·litigation trust, existence of claim-preclusion, no standing to sue·no standing to be sued, lapse of litigation period, no legal interest, no own defect of approval. On the other hand, the offensive cause of action group was found to have no significant variable. According to logistic regression result, the defensive process prerequisite group was showed significant in many variables which were past legal relation, no standing to sue·no standing to be sued, no ownership or association member status, double lawsuit, no own defect of approval, abuse of lawsuit right·litigation trust, existence of claim-preclusion. Meanwhile, the offensive cause of action group was showed significant in only one variable that was defect in relation with articles of association. Overall, it is noteworthy that the offensive cause group showed very low significant results compared with the defensive process prerequisite group.