Journal of Korean Society of Transportation (대한교통학회지)

Korean Society of Transportation (대한교통학회)
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Values of travel time reliability

통행시간 신뢰성 가치 산정에 관한 연구

  • 장수은 (한국교통연구원 국가교통물류전략연구본부) ;
  • 강지혜 (한국교통연구원 철도교통연구실)
  • Published : 2008.12.31
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Abstract

The term, travel time reliability, refers to variations in journey time that travelers cannot predict. This issue has been one of the main research topics in transport studies. This paper, especially, investigates the value of travel time reliability. The marginal substitution rate method is suggested as the way for the valuation and travelers' stated preference data are collected based on a choice experiment. A mode choice model is estimated using the data surveyed. The parameters of travel costs and travel time reliability from the model are used to calculate the marginal substitution rate that is interpreted as the value of travel time reliability. The value is arranged by travel areas of intercity and urban trips and by journey purposes of working and non-working types. The result of this research is expected to be helpful of conducting more cautious economic feasibility studies of transport schemes.

통행시간 신뢰성은 통행자가 예측하기 힘든 통행시간의 변동을 설명하는 개념이다. 그 동안 이 주제는 교통학의 주요 연구 분야 중 하나였다. 본 연구는 특히 신뢰성의 가치에 관하여 살펴본다. 가치 산정을 위한 방법론으로는 한계대 체율법이 제안되며, 기초자료는 선택실험법을 이용하여 통행자의 잠재선호 자료를 구축한다. 조사된 자료를 이용하여 수단선택모형을 추정하며, 앞서 언급한 한계대체율법을 적용하여 신뢰성의 가치를 산정한다. 신뢰성의 가치는 통행권 역에 따라 지역 간과 도시부 통행으로 나누고, 통행목적에 따라 업무와 비업무 통행으로 구분하여 제시된다. 본 연구의 결과가 도로 및 철도 투자사업의 신중한 의사결정에 일조할 수 있기를 기대한다.

Keywords

References

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