• Title/Summary/Keyword: weibull analysis

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Piecewise Weibull Model with Covariates (와이블 모형의 모수 추정에서 분할법의 효율성)

  • Chung, Dae-Hyun;Kim, Ju-Sung;Won, Dong-Yu
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.295-302
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    • 2000
  • We study the efficient method to estimate the parameters for the Weibull model with covariates which occupies an important position in survival analysis. A treatment period may be divided by the stages of treatments under the different treatment arams. The piecewise method is considered to obtain the estimators of the parameters by maximum likelihood method. We explore the real data to show that the piecewise is more efficient than the nonpiecewise to estimate the parameters.

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Insulating Reliability according to additives in Epoxy Composites for PCB Material (인쇄 회로 기판용 에폭시 복합체의 첨가제에 따른 절연 신뢰도)

  • Yang, Jeong-Yun;Park, Young-Chull;Park, Geon-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.05b
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    • pp.159-163
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    • 2003
  • In this study, the DC dielectric breakdown of epoxy composites used for PCB material was experimented and then its data were simulated by Weibull distribution equation. The more hardener increased the stronger breakdown strength at low temperature because of cross-linked density by the virtue of ester radical, and the breakdown strength of specimens with filler was lower than it of non-filler specimens because it is believed that the adding filler forms interface and charge is accumulated in it, therefore the molecular motility is raised, the electric field is concentrated, and the acceleration of electron and the growth of electron avalanche are early accomplished. From the analysis of Weibull distribution, it was confirmed that as the allowed breakdown probability was given by 0.1[%], the applied field value needed to be under 21.5[kV/mm].

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The Analysis of Discharge Distribution due to the Inner Void of Extra High Voltage Cable

  • Kim Tag-Yong;Hong Jin-Woong
    • KIEE International Transactions on Electrophysics and Applications
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    • v.5C no.4
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    • pp.155-160
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    • 2005
  • This paper addresses the discharge characteristics of cross-linked polyethylene according to void by the Weibull function. It analyzes discharge number and amount of discharge using Weibull distribution to identify the inter-relationship between partial discharge and defect. We detected a 10 second discharge. The applied voltage increased by 1 [kV] at discharge inception voltage. As a result, in a no-void specimen, the shape parameter was consistent according to the increase of voltage, whereas, in a void specimen, it increased according to the increase of voltage. As the result, the shape parameter expressed a fixed value at no-void specimen. However, in void specimen, according to increasing voltage shape parameter rapidly increases.

The Gringorten estimator revisited

  • Cook, Nicholas John;Harris, Raymond Ian
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.355-372
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    • 2013
  • The Gringorten estimator has been extensively used in extreme value analysis of wind speed records to obtain unbiased estimates of design wind speeds. This paper reviews the derivation of the Gringorten estimator for the mean plotting position of extremes drawn from parents of the exponential type and demonstrates how it eliminates most of the bias caused by the classical Weibull estimator. It is shown that the coefficients in the Gringorten estimator are the asymptotic values for infinite sample sizes, whereas the estimator is most often used for small sample sizes. The principles used by Gringorten are used to derive a new Consistent Linear Unbiased Estimator (CLUE) for the mean plotting positions for the Fisher Tippett Type 1, Exponential and Weibull distributions and for the associated standard deviations. Analytical and Bootstrap methods are used to calibrate the bias error in each of the estimators and to show that the CLUE are accurate to better than 1%.

Parameter Estimation and Analysis of Deepwater Design Wave in Marginal Seas around Korea (한국 연안 심해 설계파의 매개변수 추정 및 분석)

  • Kim, Jeong-Dae;Jeong, Shin-Taek;Cho, Hong-Yeon;Oh, Nam-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.313-319
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    • 2007
  • Long term wave climate of both extreme and operational wave height is essential for planning and designing coastal structures. Since the availability of the field wave data for the waters around Korean peninsula is limited to provide a reliable wave statistics, the wave climate information has been generated by means of long-term wave hindcasting using available meteorological data. In this paper, a set of deep water wave data obtained from KORDI(2003) were analyzed for extreme wave heights. These wave data at 67 stations off the Korean coast from 1979 to 1998 were arranged in the 16 directions. The probability distributions considered in this research were the FT-I and Weibull distribution. For each of these distributions, the method proposed by Goda(2004) was applied to estimate the parameters. For judgment of best fitting, MIR criterion proposed by Goda and Gobune(1990) was used. FT-I distribution which best fits to the 886 data, while Weibull(k=0.75) 81 data, Weibull(k=1.00) 105 data.

A Discrete Time Approximation Method using Bayesian Inference of Parameters of Weibull Distribution and Acceleration Parameters with Time-Varying Stresses (시변환 스트레스 조건에서의 와이블 분포의 모수 및 가속 모수에 대한 베이시안 추정을 사용하는 이산 시간 접근 방법)

  • Chung, In-Seung
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.1331-1336
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    • 2008
  • This paper suggests a method using Bayesian inference to estimate the parameters of Weibull distribution and acceleration parameters under the condition that the stresses are time-dependent functions. A Bayesian model based on the discrete time approximation is formulated to infer the parameters of interest from the failure data of the virtual tests and a statistical analysis is considered to decide the most probable mean values of the parameters for reasoning of the failure data.

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Study on Localized Corrosion Cracking of Alloy 600 using EN-DCPD Technique (EN-DCPD 방법을 이용한 Alloy 600 재료의 국부부식균열 연구)

  • Lee, Yeon-Ju;Kim, Sung-Woo;Kim, Hong-Pyo;Hwang, Seong-Sik
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2013
  • The object of this work is to establish an electrochemical noise(EN) measurement technique combined with a direct current potential drop(DCPD) method for monitoring of localized corrosion cracking of nickel-based alloy, and to analyze its mechanism. The electrochemical current and potential noises were measured under various conditions of applied stress to a compact tension specimen in a simulated primary water chemistry of a pressurized water reactor. The amplitude and frequency of the EN signals were evaluated in both time and frequency domains based on a shot noise theory, and then quantitatively analyzed using statistical Weibull distribution function. From the spectral analysis, the effect of the current application in DCPD was found to be effectively excluded from the EN signals generated from the localized corrosion cracking. With the aid of a microstructural analysis, the relationship between EN signals and the localized corrosion cracking mechanism was investigated by comparing the shape parameter of Weibull distribution of a mean time-to-failure.

Reliability Analysis for Power Plants Based on Insufficient Failure Data (불충분한 고장 데이터에 기초한 발전소의 신뢰도 산정기법에 관한 연구)

  • 이승철;최동수
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.52 no.7
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    • pp.401-406
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    • 2003
  • Electric power industries in several countries are currently undergoing major changes, mainly represented by the privatizations of the power plants and distribution systems. Reliable operations of the power plants directly contribute to the revenue increases of the generation companies in such competitive environments. Strategic optimizations should be performed between the levels of the reliabilities to be maintained and the various preventive maintenance costs, which require the accurate estimations of the power plant reliabilities. However, accurate estimations of the power plant reliabilities are often limited by the lack of accurate power plant failure data. A power plant is not supposed to be failed that often. And if it fails, its impact upon the power system stability is quite substantial in most cases, setting aside the significant revenue losses and lowered company images. Reliability assessment is also important for Independent System Operators(ISO) or Market Operators to properly assess the level of needed compensations for the installed capacity based on the availability of the generation plants. In this paper, we present a power plant reliability estimation technique that can be applied when the failure data is insufficient. Median rank and Weibull distribution are used to accommodate such insufficiency. The Median rank is utilized to derive the cumulative failure probability for each ordered failure. The Weibull distribution is used because of its flexibility of accommodating several different distribution types based on the shape parameter values. The proposed method is applied to small size failure data and its application potential is demonstrated.

Probabilistic Approach for Fatigue Life of Composite Materials with Impact-Induced Damage (충격손상 복합재료의 피로수명에 대한 통계적 해석 연구)

  • Kang, Ki-Weon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.9
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    • pp.3148-3154
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents the probabilistic analysis for fatigue life of Glass/Epoxy laminates with impact-induced damage. For this, a series of impact tests were perfomed on the Glass/Epoxy laminates using instrumented impact testing machine. Then, tensile and fatigue tests carried out so as to generate post-impact residual strength and fatigue life. Two Parameter Weibull distribution was used to fit the residual strength and fatigue life data of Glass/Epoxy composite laminates. The residual strength was affected by impact energy and their variance decreased with increasing of impact energy. The fatigue life of impacted laminates was greatly reduced by impact energy and this trend depended on applied stress amplitude. Additionally, the variation of fatigue life was gradually decreased with the applied stress amplitude.

A Statistical Analysis of Fatigue Crack Growth under Constant-Amplitude Loads (일정진폭하중하의 피로균열전파의 통계적 특성)

  • Jeong, Hyeon-Cheol;Lim, Young-Kyu;Kim, Seon-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.104-109
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, a statistical analysis of fatigue crack growth behavior under constant amplitude loads has been carried out. Fatigue crack growth tests were conducted on sixteen pre-cracked compact tension (CT) specimens of the pressure vessel (SPV50) steel in controlled identical load and environmental conditions. The assessment of the statistical distribution of fatigue crack growth experimental data obtained from SPV50 steel was studied and also the correlation of the parameter C and m in the Paris-Erdogan law was discussed. The probability distribution function of fatigue crack growth life seems to follow the 3-parameter Weibull. The fatigue crack growth rate seems to follow the 3-parameter Weibull and the log-normal distribution. The coefficient of variation (COV) of fatigue crack growth life was observed to decrease as the crack grows. A strong negative linear correlation exists between the coefficient C and the exponent m in Paris model. Fatigue crack growth rate data shows a normal distribution for both m and logC.

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