• Title/Summary/Keyword: weather variables

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Optimal Weather Variables for Estimation of Leaf Wetness Duration Using an Empirical Method (결로시간 예측을 위한 경험모형의 최적 기상변수)

  • K. S. Kim;S. E. Taylor;M. L. Gleason;K. J. Koehler
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.23-28
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    • 2002
  • Sets of weather variables for estimation of LWD were evaluated using CART(Classification And Regression Tree) models. Input variables were sets of hourly observations of air temperature at 0.3-m and 1.5-m height, relative humidity(RH), and wind speed that were obtained from May to September in 1997, 1998, and 1999 at 15 weather stations in iowa, Illinois, and Nebraska, USA. A model that included air temperature at 0.3-m height, RH, and wind speed showed the lowest misidentification rate for wetness. The model estimated presence or absence of wetness more accurately (85.5%) than the CART/SLD model (84.7%) proposed by Gleason et al. (1994). This slight improvement, however, was insufficient to justify the use of our model, which requires additional measurements, in preference to the CART/SLD model. This study demonstrated that the use of measurements of temperature, humidity, and wind from automated stations was sufficient to make LWD estimations of reasonable accuracy when the CART/SLD model was used. Therefore, implementation of crop disease-warning systems may be facilitated by application of the CART/SLD model that inputs readily obtainable weather observations.

Case study: Selection of the weather variables influencing the number of pneumonia patients in Daegu Fatima Hospital (사례연구: 대구 파티마 병원 폐렴 입원 환자 수에 영향을 미치는 날씨 변수 선택)

  • Choi, Sohyun;Lee, Hag Lae;Park, Chungun;Lee, Kyeong Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.131-142
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    • 2017
  • The number of hospital admissions for pneumonia tends to increase annually and even more, pneumonia, the fifth leading causes of death among elder adults, is one of top diseases in terms of hospitalization rate. Although mainly bacteria and viruses cause pneumonia, the weather is also related to the occurrence of pneumonia. The candidate weather variables are humidity, amount of sunshine, diurnal temperature range, daily mean temperatures and density of particles. Due to the delayed occurrence of pneumonia, lagged weather variables are also considered. Additionally, year effects, holiday effects and seasonal effects are considered. We select the related variables that influence the occurrence of pneumonia using penalized generalized linear models.

Impact of Smut (Sporisorium scitamineum) on Sugarcane's Above-Ground Growth and the Determinants of the Disease Intensity in the Ethiopian Sugarcane Plantations

  • Samuel Tegene;Habtamu Terefe;Esayas Tena
    • Research in Plant Disease
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.34-49
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    • 2024
  • The development of sustainable smut management techniques requires an understanding of the impacts of smut on sugarcane growth and the relationships between smut intensity and meteorological variables, varieties, and crop types. Thus, assessments were made with the objectives to 1) determine the effect of smut on the above-ground growth of sugarcane, and 2) quantify the association of smut with weather variables, varieties and crop types. The effect of smut on above-ground growth was assessed in six fields planted with NCo 334 (wider coverage) having 6 months of age in Fincha and Metehara fields in 2021. Data on above-ground growth were taken from 20 randomly selected smut-affected and healthy stools from each field. Besides, 6 years' data (2015 to 2021) on the numbers of smut-affected stools and smut whips of 79 fields were collected. Furthermore, 10 years' (2011 to 2021) weather data were acquired from the sugar plantations. The results demonstrated reduction in the above-ground growth of sugarcane in the range of 18.39% and 73.42% due to smut. In addition, weather variables explained about 68.48% and 66.58% of the variability in the number of smut-affected stools and whips respectively. Smut intensity increased with crop types for susceptible varieties. The tight association between the smut epidemic and crop types, varieties, and weather, implied that these parameters must be carefully considered in management decisions. Continuous monitoring of smut disease, meteorological variables, varieties, and crop types in all the sugarcane plantations could be done as a part of integrated smut management in the future.

The Effects of Road Geometry on the Injury Severity of Expressway Traffic Accident Depending on Weather Conditions (도로기하구조가 기상상태에 따라 고속도로 교통사고 심각도에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Park, Su Jin;Kho, Seung-Young;Park, Ho-Chul
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.12-28
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    • 2019
  • Road geometry is one of the many factors that cause crashes, but the effect on traffic accident depends on weather conditions even under the same road geometry. This study identifies the variables affecting the crash severity by matching the highway accident data and weather data for 14 years from 2001 to 2014. A hierarchical ordered Logit model is used to reflect the effects of road geometry and weather condition interactions on crash severity, as well as the correlation between individual crashes in a region. Among the hierarchical models, we apply a random intercept model including interaction variables between road geometry and weather condition and a random coefficient model including regional weather characteristics as upper-level variables. As a result, it is confirmed that the effects of toll, ramp, downhill slope of 3% or more, and concrete barrier on the crash severity vary depending on weather conditions. It also shows that the combined effects of road geometry and weather conditions may not be linear depending on rainfall or snowfall levels. Finally, we suggest safety improvement measures based on the results of this study, which are expected to reduce the severity of traffic accidents in the future.

Construction and Quality Control Example of Cold Weather Concreting in Field (현장에서의 한중콘크리트의 시공 및 품질관리 사례)

  • Park, Jong-Gun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.171-175
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    • 2001
  • The quality control application of concrete are one of the most important problems to be considered in cold weather concreting. And, the construction is going on now Therefor, the major test variables are compressive strength of concrete, curing method and volume of air content. This shown to be possible to construction and quality control of cold weather concreting in field.

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Study on the Relationship between Weather Conditions, Sewage and Operational Variables of WWTPs using Multivariate Statistical Methods (기상조건이 하수발생량 및 하수처리장 운전인자에 미치는 영향에 관한 통계적 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.285-291
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    • 2012
  • Generally, the rainfall and the influent of wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) have strong relationship at the case of combined sewers. With the fact that the influent variations in terms of quantity and sewage quality is the most common and significant disturbance, the impact factor to the characteristics of sewage should be searched for. In this paper, the relationship between weather conditions such as humidity, temperature and rainfall and influent flowrate and contaminant concentration was analysed using factor analysis. Additionally, 3 influent types were deduced using cluster analysis and the distributions of operational variables were compared to the each groups by one-way ANOVA. The applied dataset were clustered to three groups that have the similar weather and influent conditions. These different conditions can cause the different operating conditions at WWTPs. That is, the Group 1 is for the condition with high humidity and rainfall, so DO concentration in the reactor was very high but MLSS concentration was very low because of too large flowrate. However, the Group 3 is classified to the case having low humidity, temperature, and rainfall, therefore, the SRT was the longest and the SVI was the highest due to the worst settleability in the winter for a year.

Developing of Forest Fire Occurrence Probability Model by Using the Meteorological Characteristics in Korea (기상특성을 이용한 전국 산불발생확률모형 개발)

  • Lee Si Young;Han Sang Yoel;Won Myoung Soo;An Sang Hyun;Lee Myung Bo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.242-249
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    • 2004
  • This study was conducted to develop a forest fire occurrence model using meteorological characteristics for the practical purpose of forecasting forest fire danger. Forest fire in South Korea is highly influenced by humidity, wind speed, and temperature. To effectively forecast forest fire occurrence, we need to develop a forest fire danger rating model using weather factors associated with forest fire. Forest fore occurrence patterns were investigated statistically to develop a forest fire danger rating index using time series weather data sets collected from 8 meteorological observation centers. The data sets were for 5 years from 1997 through 2001. Development of the forest fire occurrence probability model used a logistic regression function with forest fire occurrence data and meteorological variables. An eight-province probability model by was developed. The meteorological variables that emerged as affective to forest fire occurrence are effective humidity, wind speed, and temperature. A forest fire occurrence danger rating index of through 10 was developed as a function of daily weather index (DWI).

Effect on the PM10 Concentration by Wind Velocity and Wind Direction (풍속과 풍향이 미세먼지농도에 미치는 영향)

  • Chae, Hee-Jeong
    • Journal of environmental and Sanitary engineering
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.37-54
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    • 2009
  • The study has analyzed impacts and intensity of weather that affect $PM_{10}$ concentration based on PM10 forecast conducted by the city of Seoul in order to identify ways to improve the accuracy of PM10 forecast. Variables that influence $PM_{10}$ concentration include not only velocity and direction of the wind and rainfalls, but also those including secondary particulate matter, which were identified to greatly influence the concentration in complicated manner as well. In addition, same variables were found to have different impacts depending on seasons and conditions of other variables. The study found out that improving accuracy of $PM_{10}$ concentration forecast face some limits as it is greatly influenced by the weather. As an estimation, this study assumed that basic research units and artificially estimated pollutant emissions, study on mechanisms of secondary particulate matter productions, observatory compliment, and enhanced forecaster's expertise are needed for better forecast.

Concrete Quality Management for Unexpected Weather Condition (겨울철 기상이변시 콘크리트의 대응)

  • Han, Sang-Yoon;Park, Kyung-Taek;Son, Ho-Jeong;Baek, Dae-Hyun;Han, Min-Cheol;Han, Cheon-Goo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.95-97
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    • 2010
  • This study revealed unusual weather phenomena by comparing and analyzing monthly average temperature and amount of snowfall for the past 10 years, and, based on the weather phenomena, analyzed damage cases of concrete structures in winter. As a result, the temperature for the recent one year became greatly low compared with the monthly average for the past 10 years, and the snowfall increased by 4-5 times compared with the past, so that the frost damage of concrete structures also greatly occurred. Accordingly, in case of concrete construction, because there may occur various variables owing to abnormal weather conditions, it is required that thorough quality control should be performed even from the stage of construction plan, execution and maintenance.

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Measuring the Weather Risk in Manufacturing and Service Sectors in Korea (제조업과 서비스 부문 기후 리스크 측정)

  • Oh, Hyungna
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.551-572
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    • 2015
  • Given the presence of global warming, the economic impact of climate changes on output sales has been discussed in the literature, but rarely with empirical evidences. In this present study, a simple log-model was employed to identify the economic impacts of weather changes in manufacturing and service sectors in Korea. For this empirical exercise, weather variables including the CDD (cooling degree days) and HDD (heating degree days) were computed using the Korea's meteorological records covering the period 1970-2012. According to estimation results, 26.7% (144 over 539) and 27.9% (64 over 229) of the manufacturing and service sectors, respectively, are found to be weather-sensitive.