• 제목/요약/키워드: wave climate

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Modeling the Effect of a Climate Extreme on Maize Production in the USA and Its Related Effects on Food Security in the Developing World (미국 Corn Belt 폭염이 개발도상국의 식량안보에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Chung, Uran
    • Proceedings of The Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Conference
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    • 2014.10a
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2014
  • This study uses geo-spatial crop modeling to quantify the biophysical impact of weather extremes. More specifically, the study analyzes the weather extreme which affected maize production in the USA in 2012; it also estimates the effect of a similar weather extreme in 2050, using future climate scenarios. The secondary impact of the weather extreme on food security in the developing world is also assessed using trend analysis. Many studies have reported on the significant reduction in maize production in the USA due to the extreme weather event (combined heat wave and drought) that occurred in 2012. However, most of these studies focused on yield and did not assess the potential effect of weather extremes on food prices and security. The overall goal of this study was to use geo-spatial crop modeling and trend analysis to quantify the impact of weather extremes on both yield and, followed food security in the developing world. We used historical weather data for severe extreme events that have occurred in the USA. The data were obtained from the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). In addition we used five climate scenarios: the baseline climate which is typical of the late 20th century (2000s) and four future climate scenarios which involve a combination of two emission scenarios (A1B and B1) and two global circulation models (CSIRO-Mk3.0 and MIROC 3.2). DSSAT 4.5 was combined with GRASS GIS for geo-spatial crop modeling. Simulated maize grain yield across all affected regions in the USA indicates that average grain yield across the USA Corn Belt would decrease by 29% when the weather extremes occur using the baseline climate. If the weather extreme were to occur under the A1B emission scenario in the 2050s, average grain yields would decrease by 38% and 57%, under the CSIRO-Mk3.0 and MIROC 3.2 global climate models, respectively. The weather extremes that occurred in the USA in 2012 resulted in a sharp increase in the world maize price. In addition, it likely played a role in the reduction in world maize consumption and trade in 2012/13, compared to 2011/12. The most vulnerable countries to the weather extremes are poor countries with high maize import dependency ratios including those countries in the Caribbean, northern Africa and western Asia. Other vulnerable countries include low-income countries with low import dependency ratios but which cannot afford highly-priced maize. The study also highlighted the pathways through which a weather extreme would affect food security, were it to occur in 2050 under climate change. Some of the policies which could help vulnerable countries counter the negative effects of weather extremes consist of social protection and safety net programs. Medium- to long-term adaptation strategies include increasing world food reserves to a level where they can be used to cover the production losses brought by weather extremes.

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Estimation of Modification Factor for Scale Effect of the Front of Flood Wave Propagation (홍수파 선단의 축척효과에 대한 보정계수 산정)

  • Jeong, Seok-il;Kim, Soo young;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.39-44
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    • 2016
  • Recently, there has been increasing concern regarding the collapse of hydraulic structures due to abnormal climate conditions. Therefore, numerous studies of the collapse of hydraulic structures have been carried out. In particular, the velocity of the propagation of a flood wave-front is important for predicting the inundation safety and establishing an EAP (Emergency Action Plan). Although many hydraulic tests have been conducted for precise predictions of a flood wave-front, the scale effect from downsizing has not considered. In this study, the relationships between surface tension and the concentration of surfactant, between surface tension and the velocity of flood wave propagation, and between surface tension and the Weber Number were derived through hydraulic tests using a surfactant and image analysis equipment. Based on these relations, the modification factor for the scale effect of the front of flood wave propagation was suggested. The results highlight the necessity of a modification factor when the Weber Number is lower than 12.2, but the scale effect can be ignored when the Weber Number over 12.2.

Characteristics of Seasonal Variation to Sedimentary Environment at the Estuary area of the Nakdong (낙동강 하구역의 계절적인 퇴적환경 변화특성)

  • Yoon, Eun-Chan;Lee, Jong-Sup
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.372-389
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    • 2008
  • In this study, we formed a detailed grid at the estuary area of the Nakdong and collected the surface sediments. Particle size analysis and comparison with existing data were conducted to investigate the characteristics of seasonal and long-term changes in the sediments. As a result of investigation, the distribution of the sediments showed a great change per season and was greatly influenced by the quantity of outfall discharge at the Nakdong estuary barrier and the incident wave climate. The sandy sediments showed dominant movement toward the front of Jinwoodo west of the estuary area of the Nakdong due to the influence of the ENE wave, the annually-dominant wave. And the muddy sediments showed deposition by being moved toward the deep open sea along with a current. The present conditions of the sediments at the estuary area of the Nakdong showed great differences from the results of previous studies.

A Study on Conductivity Evaluation of AIS Electromagnetic Wave (AIS의 전도성능 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Park Gyei-Kark;Jung Jae-Yong;Lee Ju-Whan;Seo Ki-Yeol
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.129-134
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    • 2005
  • Currently AIS needs high efficiency and safety in terms of operational management and, in the aspect of service range, it is time to minimize shadow regions through conductivity evaluation of AIS transmitter. Thus this study analyzes shadow regions and the reach of waves from stations through AIS conductivity evaluation. First, this study examines the characteristics of AIS wave and draws up methods to analyze the reach of waves according to the characteristics. Second, this study finds out service regions and shadow regions of the 22 stations across the nation by analyzing the actual data based on climate and topography. Lastly, this study summarizes the results of wave conductivity evaluation and conductivity problems and proposes improvement measures.

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Analysis of Operational State and Radio Environment of AIS (AIS의 운용현황과 전파환경에 대한 분석 연구)

  • Seo, Ki-Yeol;Hong, Tae-Ho;Park, Gyei-Kark;Choi, Jo-Chun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.177-180
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    • 2005
  • AIS needs high efficiency and safety in terms of operational management and, in the aspect of service range, it is time to minimize shadow regions through propagation evaluation of AIS transmitter. Thus this study analyzes shadow regions and the scope of propagation of waves from stations through the electric wave environment of AIS. First, this study examines the characteristics of AIS wave and draws up methods to analyze the scope of propagation of waves according to the characteristics. Second, this study finds out service regions and shadow regions of the 22 stations across the nation by analyzing the actual data based on climate and topography, Lastly, this study summarizes the results of wave conductivity evaluation and conductivity problems and proposes improvement measures.

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Effects of Capillary Force on Salt Cementation Phenomenon (소금의 고결화 현상에서 모세관 효과)

  • Truong, Q. Hung;Byun, Yong-Hoon;Eom, Yong-Hun;Lee, Jong-Sub
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2010
  • Salt cementation, a typical naturally-cemented phenomenon, may occur due to water evaporation under the change of climate. Capillary force may influence the distribution of cement in granular soils. This study addresses the effect of capillary force on salt cementation using five different techniques: cone penetration test, electrical conductivity measurement, photographic imaging technique, nondestructive imaging technique, and process monitoring by elastic wave. Glass beads modeling a particulate media was mixed with salt water and then dried in an oven to create the cementation condition. Experimental results show that salt cementation highly concentrates at the top of the small particle size specimens and at the middle or the bottom of the large particle specimens. The predicted capillary heights are similar to the locations of high salt concentration in the cemented specimens. Five suggested methods show that the behavior of salt-cemented granular media heavily depends on the capillary force.

A Study of the Cooling Effect by the Long-wave Sky Radiation (장파장 천공 복사에 의한 냉각 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, J.H.;Yu, J.Y.;Suh, S.J.
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2001
  • The authors carried out a study on the cooling effect of radiant cooling system using the metallic lightweight radiator for cooling energy saying in building. The radiant cooling performance was examined, analyzed, and presented through the case study. In this study, the cooling effect of various factors was analyzed, especially in a thin plate above the roof. These numerical results can be used as the basic design data for application of radiant cooling system. As a result of these researches, the system was verified to be an available cooling energy sources for improvement of indoor environment in summer. Finally, to complete the system can be suitable for Korean climate conditions, experimental study should be performed on the basis of these results.

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A Simple Simulation of Parabola-Shaped Clouds in the Lee of a Low Bell-Shaped Mountain Using the ARPS

  • Lee, Seung-Jae;Lee, Hwa-Woon;Kang, Sung-Dae
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.541-548
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    • 2007
  • A three-dimensional linear model and the Advanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS) were used to simulate parabola-shaped disturbances and clouds in the lee of a bell-shaped mountain. The ARPS model was compared in the x-y plane against the linear model's analytic solution. Under similar conditions with the linear theory, the ARPS produced well-developed parabola-shaped mountain disturbances and confirmed the features are accounted for in the linear regime. A parabola-shaped cloud in the lee of an isolated bell-shaped mountain was successfully simulated in the ARPS after 6 hours of integration time with the prescribed initial and boundary conditions, as well as a microphysical scheme.

A Study on Effect of the Solar Elevation on the Ship IR Signature (태양고각 변화에 따른 함정 적외선신호에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yoon-Sik
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.38-45
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    • 2010
  • A study on the infrared signature of a naval ship by the solar elevation was performed using the well known IR signature analysis software, ShipIR/NTCS. The contrast radiant intensity of a ship against the Eastern Sea background from sunrise to noon was investigated. Monthly averaged climate data for both January and July were applied to investigate the seasonal change in the signature. A study on the signature for different ship speeds was also carried out. Simulation results showed that the maximum signature in both wave-bands for a sea-level observer occurred at around 25~35 degrees of solar elevation and was highly dependent on the ship geometry rather than the solar irradiance.

Impact Assessment of Sea_Level Rise based on Coastal Vulnerability Index (연안 취약성 지수를 활용한 해수면 상승 영향평가 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Haemi;Kang, Tae soon;Cho, Kwangwoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.304-314
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    • 2015
  • We have reviewed the current status of coastal vulnerability index(CVI) to be guided into an appropriate CVI development for Korean coast and applied a methodology into the east coast of Korea to quantify coastal vulnerability by future sea_level rise. The CVIs reviewed includes USGS CVI, sea_level rise CVI, compound CVI, and multi scale CVI. The USGS CVI, expressed into the external forcing of sea_level rise, wave and tide, and adaptive capacity of morphology, erosion and slope, is adopted here for CVI quantification. The range of CVI is 1.826~22.361 with a mean of 7.085 for present condition and increases into 2.887~30.619 with a mean of 12.361 for the year of 2100(1 m sea_level rise). The index "VERY HIGH" is currently 8.57% of the coast and occupies 35.56% in 2100. The pattern of CVI change by sea_level rise is different to different local areas, and Gangneung, Yangyang and Goseong show the highest increase. The land use pattern in the "VERY HIGH" index is dominated by both human system of housing complex, road, cropland, etc, and natural system of sand, wetland, forestry, etc., which suggests existing land utilization should be reframed in the era of climate change. Though CVI approach is highly efficient to deal with a large set of climate scenarios entailed in climate impact assessment due to uncertainties, we also propose three_level assessment for the application of CVI methodology in the site specific adaptation such as first screening assessment by CVI, second scoping assessment by impact model, and final risk quantification with the result of impact model.