• Title/Summary/Keyword: water quality modeling

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A Comparison of the Relianility Analysis Mitheds in Stream Water Quality Modeling (강물의 수질오염 Modeling에 사용되는 신뢰도 분석방법에 대한 비교연구)

  • 윤춘경
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.62-72
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    • 1995
  • 공학분야에 널리 사용되고 있는 신뢰도 분석 방법 중에서 Monte Carlo simulation (MC), Mean-value First-Order Second-Moment Method(MFOSM), and Advanced First-Order Second-Moment(AFOSM) method들을 강물의 오염물질 농도와 수질기준치사이의 신뢰도 분석에 적용하였다. 미 환경 보건국에서 개발 보급한 QUAL2E를 이용하여 Mew Jersey에 위치한 Passaic강의 수질예측에서 4가지 주요인자(용존산소, 생물학적 산소요구량, 암모니아 그리고 조류)들이 정해진 수질기준치를 유지 할 수 있는 확률을 세가지 방법에 의해 추정한 후에 상호 비교하였다. MC방법에 의해 2,000회 simulation시켜서 그 결과가 시스템의 추계학적 성질을 잘 반영한 것으로 판단하여 비교기준으로 삼고 MFOSM과 AFOSM에 의해 추정한 결과와 비교하였다. MFOSM의 결과보다는 AFOSM의 결과가 전체적으로 MC의 결과에 더 근접하였으며, 이유는 AFOSM의 계산방법이 MFOSM의 선형근사로 인한 오차를 줄일 수 있었기 때문인 것으로 판단된다. MC방법의 결과와 다른 방법들의 결과사이의 차이가 입력 변수들이 평균값에서 멀어질 때가 많았는데 이는 MC의 경우 입력 변수들이 일정범위를 벗어나서 비현실적인 상황이면 model이 정지하는데, 다른 방법들은 simulation에 의한 것이 아니고 수학적인 계산에 의해서 신뢰도가 추정되기 때문에 이러한 상황이 반영될 수 없기 때문이다. 강물의 수질을 취급하는 공학적인 측면에서 보면, 이중에 가장 간편한 MFOSM이 많은 simulation이 필요한 MC나 계산방법이 상대적으로 복잡한 AFOSM에 비해 오차가 크지 않아서 이들을 대시하여 사용될 수 있다고 판단된다. 유래의 PAF가 분비된다는 것을 알 수 있었으며, 이러한 인자는 동결처리에서도 그 기능은 전혀 변하지 않는다고 본다. 이후에 있어서 mouse LIF의 첨가는 돼지의 수정란을 배반포 이후의 단계에까지 발달시킬 수 있었다. 있어서 더 적합한 것으로 판단되었다. 5. 개발된 모형은 논 관개의 물리적 측면과 관리목표 모두를 고려한 것으로 계산된 효율은 벼, 생육 각 단계에서의 효율 비교에 양호한 방법임을 알 수 있다.은 Sharpsburg 점질양토에 대한 S.C.S 한계허용치 10ton/ha/year 이내로 나타났다. 비처리구에서의 토양유실량은 평균 2.56ton/ha/year로 높게 나타난 반면 3개의 서로 다른 추리구인 비수구, 초생수로구 및 Bromegrass구에서는 각각 0.152, 0.192 및 0.290ton/ha/year로 낮은 결과를 가져왔다. 6. 평균 침전량에 대한 L.S.D. 검정 걸과 전시험구중 비처리구가 고도의 유의차를 나타낸 반면 비수구, 초생수로구 및 Bromegrass 목초구 간에는 아무런 유의차가 인정되지 않았다. 7. 농지보전 처리구인 배수구와 초생수로구는 비처리구에 비해 낮은 침두 유출량과 낮은 토양유실량을 나타내었다.구보다 14% 절감되는 것으로 나타났다.작용하는 것으로 사료된다.된다.정량 분석한 결과이다. 시편의 조성은 33.6 at% U, 66.4 at% O의 결과를 얻었다. 산화물 핵연료의 표면 관찰 및 정량 분석 시험시 시편 표면을 전도성 물질로 증착시키지 않고, Silver Paint 에 시편을 접착하는 방법으로도 만족한 시험 결과를 얻을 수 있었다.째, 회복기 중에 일어나는 입자들의 유입은 자기폭풍의 지속시간을 연장시키는 경향을 보이며 큰 자기폭풍일수록 현저했다. 주상에서 관측된 이러한 특성은 서브스톰 확장기 활동이 자기폭풍의 발달과 밀접한 관계가

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Adaptive Air-Particle Method for Vortex Effects of Water in Free Surface (자유표면내 물의 와류효과를 위한 적응적 공기 입자 기법)

  • Kim, Jong-Hyun;Lee, Jung
    • Journal of the Korea Computer Graphics Society
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2017
  • We propose an efficient method to express water spray effects by adaptively modeling air particles in particle-based water simulation. In real world, water and air continuously interacts with each other around free surfaces and this phenomenon is commonly observed in waterfall or sea with rough waves. Due to thin spray water, the interfaces between water and air become vague and the interactions between them lead to heavy vortex phenomenon. To express this phenomenon, we propose methods of 1) generating adaptive air cell in particle-based water simulation, 2) expressing water spray effects by creating and evolving air particles in the adaptive air cells, and 3) guaranteeing robustness of simulation by solving drifting problem occurred when adjacent air particles are insufficient. Experiments convincingly demonstrate that the proposed approach is efficient and easy to use while delivering high-quality results.

A Study on Data-driven Modeling Employing Stratification-related Physical Variables for Reservoir Water Quality Prediction (취수원 수질예측을 위한 성층 물리변수 활용 데이터 기반 모델링 연구)

  • Hyeon June Jang;Ji Young Jung;Kyung Won Joo;Choong Sung Yi;Sung Hoon Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.143-143
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    • 2023
  • 최근 대청댐('17), 평림댐('19) 등 광역 취수원에서 망간의 먹는 물 수질기준(0.05mg/L 이하) 초과 사례가 발생되어, 다수의 민원이 제기되는 등 취수원의 망간 관리 중요성이 부각되고 있다. 특히, 동절기 전도(Turn-over)시기에 고농도 망간이 발생되는 경우가 많은데, 현재 정수장에서는 망간을 처리하기 위해 유입구간에 필터를 설치하고 주기적으로 교체하는 방식으로 처리하고 있다. 그러나 단기간에 고농도 망간 다량 유입 시 처리용량의 한계 등 정수장에서의 공정관리가 어려워지므로 사전 예측에 의한 대응 체계 고도화가 필요한 실정이다. 본 연구는 광역취수원인 주암댐을 대상으로 망간 예측의 정확도 향상 및 예측기간 확대를 위해 다양한 머신러닝 기법들을 적용하여 비교 분석하였으며, 독립변수 및 초매개변수 최적화를 진행하여 모형의 정확도를 개선하였다. 머신러닝 모형은 수심별 탁도, 저수위, pH, 수온, 전기전도도, DO, 클로로필-a, 기상, 수문 자료 등의 독립변수와 화순정수장에 유입된 망간 농도를 종속변수로 각 변수에 해당하는 실측치를 학습데이터로 사용하였다. 그리고 데이터기반 모형의 정확도를 개선하기 위해서 성층의 수준을 판별하는 지표로서 PEA(Potential Energy Anomaly)를 도입하여 데이터 분석에 활용하고자 하였다. 분석 결과, 망간 유입률은 계절 주기에 따라 농도가 달라지는 것을 확인하였고 동절기 전도시점과 하절기 장마기간 난류생성 시기에 저층의 고농도 망간이 유입이 되는 것을 분석하였다. 또한, 두 시기의 망간 농도의 변화 패턴이 상이하므로 예측 모델은 각 계절별로 구축해 학습을 진행함으로써 예측의 정확도를 향상할 수 있었다. 다양한 머신러닝 모델을 구축하여 성능 비교를 진행한 결과, 동절기에는 Gradient Boosting Machine, 하절기에는 eXtreme Gradient Boosting의 기법이 우수하여 추론 모델로 활용하고자 하였다. 선정 모델을 통한 단기 수질예측 결과, 전도현상 발생 시기에 대한 추종 및 예측력이 기존의 데이터 모형만 적용했을 경우대비 약 15% 이상 예측 효율이 향상된 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 머신러닝 모델을 활용한 망간 농도 예측으로 정수장의 신속한 대응 체계 마련을 지원하고, 수처리 공정의 효율성을 높이는 데 기여할 것으로 기대되며, 후속 연구로 과거 시계열 자료 활용 및 물리모형과의 연결 등을 통해 모델의 신뢰성을 제고 할 계획이다.

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Modeling, Control, and Optimization of Activated Sludge Processes

  • Bae, Hye-on;Kim, Bong-chul;Kim, Sung-shin;Kim, Chang-won;Kim, Sang-hyun
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.56-61
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    • 2001
  • Activated sludge processes are broadly used in the biological wastewater treatment processes. The activated sludge processes are complex systems because of the many factors such as the variation of influent flowrate and ingredients, the complexity of biological reactions, and the various operation conditions. The main motivation o this research is to develop an intelligent control strategy for activated sludge process (ASP). ASP is a complex and nonlinear dynamic system owing to the characteristic of wastewater, the change in influent flowrate, weather conditions, and so on. The mathematical model of ASP also includes the uncertainty which is a ignored or unconsidered factor from process designers. The ASP model based on Matlabⓡ/Simulinkⓡ is developed in this paper. And the model performance is examined by IWA (International Water Association) and COST (European Cooperation in the filed of Scientific and Technical Research) data. The model tests derive steady-state results of 14 days. In this paper, fuzzy logic control approach is applied to handle DO concentrations. The fuzzy logic controller includes two inputs and one output to adjust air flowrate. The objective function for the optimization, in the implemented evolutionary strategy, is formed with focusing on improving the effluent quality and reducing the operating cost.

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Simulations of Temporal and Spatial Distributions of Rainfall-Induced Turbidity Flow in a Reservoir Using CE-QUAL-W2 (CE-QUAL-W2 모형을 이용한 저수지 탁수의 시공간분포 모의)

  • Chung, Se-Woong;Oh, Jung-Kuk;Ko, Ick-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.8 s.157
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    • pp.655-664
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    • 2005
  • A real-time monitoring and modeling system (RTMMS) for rainfall-induced turbidity flow, which is one of the major obstacles for sustainable use of reservoir water resources, is under development. As a prediction model for the RTMMS, a laterally integrated two-dimensional hydrodynamic and water quality model, CE-QUAL-W2 was tested by simulating the temperature stratification, density flow regimes, and temporal and spatial distributions of turbidity in a reservoir. The inflow water temperature and turbidity measured every hour during the flood season of 2004 were used as the boundary conditions. The monitoring data showed that inflow water temperature drop by 5 to $10^{\circ}C$ during rainfall events in summer, and consequently resulted in the development of density flow regimes such as plunge flow and interflow in the reservoir. The model showed relatively satisfactory performance in replicating the water temperature profiles and turbidity distributions, although considerable discrepancies were partially detected between observed and simulated results. The model was either very efficient in computation as the CPU run time to simulate the whole flood season took only 4 minutes with a Pentium 4(CPU 2.0GHz) desktop computer, which is essentially requited for real-time modeling of turbidity plume.

Development of 2D inundation model based on adaptive cut cell mesh (K-Flood) (적응적 분할격자 기반 2차원 침수해석모형 K-Flood의 개발)

  • An, Hyunuk;Jeong, Anchul;Kim, Yeonsu;Noh, Joonwoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.10
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    • pp.853-862
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    • 2018
  • An adaptive cut-cell grid based 2D inundation analysis model, K-Flood, is developed in this study. Cut cell grid method divides a grid into a flow area and a non-flow area depending the characteristics of the flows. With adaptive mesh refinement technique cut cell method can represent complex flow area using relatively small number of cells. In recent years, the urban inundation modeling using high resolution and fine quality data is increasing to achieve more accurate flood analysis or flood forecasting. K-Flood has potential to simulate such complex urban inundation using efficient grid generation technique. A finite volume numerical scheme of second order accuracy for space and time was applied. For verification of K-Flood, 1) shockwave reflex simulation by circular cylinder, 2) urban flood experiment simulation, 3) Malpasset dam collapse simulation are performed and the results are compared with observed data and previous simulation results.

Evaluation of Groundwater Level Decline and Water Quality Due to Tunnel Excavation (터널굴착으로 인한 지하수위 저하 및 수질영향 평가)

  • Kim, Min Gyu;Kim, Minsoo;Jeong, Gyocheol;Lee, Jeongwoo;Chung, Il-Moon
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the flow analysis to evaluate the extent of groundwater decline and the effect of the small valleys caused by the decrease of groundwater level in the construction of road tunnel, and the pollutant movement analysis to evaluate pollution of nearby water source by pollutant discharge during tunnel construction, respectively. The decrease of the groundwater during the 30 month tunnel excavation period was maximum 27 m and it was found to be the largest within 50 m from the tunnel center. The flow of groundwater is shown in the form of flowing into the tunnels and the effects of groundwater level decline were observed up to a tunnel radius of 200 m. As a result of the numerical modeling of the contaminant transport to examine the influence of the polluted water discharge from the tunnel, the range of the turbid water generated at the end of the tunnel is up to 120 m and it is estimated that the risk of contamination of the small river is not large.

Development and validation of BROOK90-K for estimating irrigation return flows (관개 회귀수 추정을 위한 BROOK90-K의 개발과 검증)

  • Park, Jongchul;Kim, Man-Kyu
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.87-101
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to develop a hydrological model of catchment water balance which is able to estimate irrigation return flows, so BROOK90-K (Kongju National University) was developed as a result of the study. BROOK90-K consists of three main modules. The first module was designed to simulate water balance for reservoir and its catchment. The second and third module was designed to simulate hydrological processes in rice paddy fields located on lower watershed and lower watershed excluding rice paddy fields. The models consider behavior of floodgate manager for estimating the storage of reservoir, and modules for water balance in lower watershed reflects agricultural factors, such as irrigation period and, complex sources of water supply, as well as irrigation methods. In this study, the models were applied on Guryangcheon stream watershed. R2, Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NS), NS-log1p, and root mean square error between simulated and observed discharge were 0.79, 0.79, 0.69, and 4.27 mm/d respectively in the model calibration period (2001~2003). Furthermore, the model efficiencies were 0.91, 0.91, 0.73, and 2.38 mm/d respectively over the model validation period (2004~2006). In the future, the developed BROOK90-K is expected to be utilized for various modeling studies, such as the prediction of water demand, water quality environment analysis, and the development of algorithms for effective management of reservoir.

Calibration and Validation of HSPF Mode1 to Estimate the Pollutant Loads from Rural Small Watershed (농촌소유역의 오염부하 추정을 위한 HSPF 모형의 보정과 검정)

  • Kim, Sang-Min;Park, Seung-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.8
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    • pp.643-651
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, the Hydrologic Simulation Program-Fortran (HSPF) was validated to estimate the pollutant loads from rural small watershed. The study watershed was the HP#6 subwatershed in Balhan reservoir watershed, located southwest from Suwon. The drainage area of HP#6 study watershed was 3.85$\textrm{km}^2$. Parameters of the HSPF model related to hydrology and water quality were calibrated from 1996 to 1997, and validated from 1999 to 2000 using observed hydrologic and water quality data. The average simulated runoff ratio for the calibration period was 0.579 and the measured runoff ratio was 0.583. The root mean square error (RMSE) for runoff during the calibration period was 2.1mm and correlation coefficient ($R^2$) was 0.92. Regarding the total nitrogen simulation, the RMSE was 0.086kg/ha/day and $R^2$ was 0.81 for the calibration period. In the case of total phosphorus, the RMSE was 0.012kg/ha/day and $R^2$ was 0.70 for the calibration period.

Estimation of the Exploitable Carrying Capacity in the Korean Water of the East China Sea (한국 남해의 어획대상 환경수용량 추정 연구)

  • ZHANG, Chang-Ik;SEO, Young-Il;KANG, Hee-Joong
    • Journal of Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.513-525
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    • 2017
  • In the estimation of the exploitable carrying capacity (ECC) in the Korean water of the East China Sea, two approaches, which are the ecosystem modeling method (EMM) and the holistic production method (HPM), were applied. The EMM is accomplished by Ecopath with Ecosim model using a number of ecological data and fishery catch for each species group, which was categorized by a self-organizing mapping (SOM) based on eight biological characteristics of species. In this method, the converged value during the Ecosim simulation by setting the instantaneous rate of fishing mortality (F) as zero was estimated as the ECC of each group. The HPM is to use surplus production models for estimateing ECC. The ECC estimates were 4.6 and 5.1 million mt (mmt) from EMM and HPM, respectiverly. The estimate from the EMM has a considerable uncertainty due to the lack of confidence in input ecological parameters, especially production/biomass ratio (P/B) and consumption/biomass ratio (Q/B). However, ECC from the HPM was estimated on the basis of relatively fewer assumptions and long time-series fishery data as input, so the estimate from the HPM is regarded as more reasonable estimate of ECC, although the ECC estimate could be considerd as a preliminary one. The quality of input data should be improved for the future study of the ECC to obtain more reliable estimate.