• Title/Summary/Keyword: value stock

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GARCH Model with Conditional Return Distribution of Unbounded Johnson (Unbounded Johnson 분포를 이용한 GARCH 수익률 모형의 적용)

  • Jung, Seung-Hyun;Oh, Jung-Jun;Kim, Sung-Gon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.29-43
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    • 2012
  • Financial data such as stock index returns and exchange rates have the properties of heavy tail and asymmetry compared to normal distribution. When we estimate VaR using the GARCH model (with the conditional return distribution of normal) it shows the tendency of the lower estimation and clustering in the losses over the estimated VaR. In this paper, we argue that this problem can be resolved through the adaptation of the unbounded Johnson distribution as that of the condition return. We also compare this model with the GARCH with the conditional return distribution of normal and student-t. Using the losses exceed the ex-ante VaR, estimates, we check the validity of the GARCH models through the failure proportion test and the clustering test. We nd that the GARCH model with conditional return distribution of unbounded Johnson provides an appropriate estimation of the VaR and does not occur the clustering of violations.

Projected Spatial-Temporal changes in carbon reductions of Soil and Vegetation in South Korea under Climate Change, 2000-2100 (기후변화에 따른 식생과 토양에 의한 탄소변화량 공간적 분석)

  • Lee, Dong-Kun;Park, Chan;Oh, Young-Chool
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 2010
  • Climate change is known to affect both natural and managed ecosystems, and will likely impact on the terrestrail carbon balance. This paper reports the effects of climate change on spatial-temporal changes in carbon reductions in South Korea's during 2000-2100. Future carbon (C) stock distributions are simulated for the same period using various spatial data sets including land cover, net primary production(NPP) and leaf area index (LAI) obtained from MODIS(Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer), and climate data from Data Assimilation Office(DAO) and Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA). This study attempts to predict future NPP using multiple linear regression and to model dependence of soil respiration on soil temperature. Plants store large amounts of carbon during the growing periods. During 2030-2100, Carbon accumulation in vegetation was increased to $566{\sim}610gC/m^2$/year owing to climate change. On the other hand, soil respiration is a key ecosystem process that releases carbon from the soil in the form of carbon dioxide. The estimated soil respiration spatially ranged from $49gC/m^2$/year to $231gC/m^2$/year in the year of 2010, and correlating well with the reference value. This results include Spatial-Temporal C reduction variation caused by climate change. Therefore this results is more comprehensive than previous results. The uncertainty in this study is still large, but it can be reduced if a detailed map becomes available.

Petrology, Geochemistry and Tectonic Implication of the A-type Daegang granite in the Namwon area, Southwestern part of the Korean Peninsula (한반도 남서부 남원 일대에 분포하는 A형 대강 화강암의 암석학, 지화학 및 지구조적 의미)

  • Kim, Yong-Jun;Cho, Deung-Lyong;Lee, Chang-Shin
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.399-413
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    • 1998
  • Daegang granite is located around the Namwon-gun, Cheolabuk-do, and is an elongate stock $(80 km^{2})$ in the NNE-SSW direction. Daegang granite has the very same mineralogical and geochemical characteristics as those of the typical A-type granites; (1) it is a one feldspar hypersolvus granite, and is classified as an alkali feldspar granite in the lUGS scheme, (2) has small amounts of Fe-rich biotite (annite) and alkali amphibole (ribeckite) that are late in the crystallization sequence of the granitic magma, (3) always contains opaque oxides, fluorite and zircon, (4) shows high and quite homogeneous $SiO_2$, content (mostly 72~77 wt.%) and $(Na_{2}O+K_{2}O)/Al_{2}O_{3}$ ratio (0.90~0.98), (5) contains high Ga, lOOOO*Ga/Ai, $K_{2}O+Na_{2}O$, $(K_{2}O+Na_{2}O)/CaO$, $K_{2}O/MgO$, FeO/MgO, agpaitic index, Zr, Nb, Ce, Y, Zn value or ratio that resemble to those of the Australian A-type granites (Whalen et al., 1987), and (6) has enriched LREE and HREE that show flat variation pattern with slightly depleted in HREE and profound Eu anomalies (Eu/Eu*=0.04~0.l4). In the tectonic discrimination diagrams of Pearce et al. (1984) and Eby (1992), Daegang granite is classified as a within plate granite and $A_{2}-type$.

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Water Quality Modeling of Stratification Lake Using WASP6 Model (WASP6모형을 이용한 성층화 호소의 수질모의)

  • Lee, Wonho;Han, Yangsu;Kim, Jingeuk
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 2006
  • In this study, WASP6 was used to predict the water quality of the reservoir and the lake. This can help the managers make the right choice of water quality policy. The results through studying are below. Raw pollutant load caused by the tourists in pollutant load of the study area takes 91.66% and 92.75% in total amount T-N, T-P. It showed high value when compared to raw pollutant load by land and stock farm and it seems that the main contamination is the population of tourists. From the result of the prediction model, BOD will increase about 1.5 times, T-N and T-P will be 1.5 times in 2012. It means that some counter plan is needed to reduce pollutant load. Enviroment grade of Suokjeong reserver is in I~II grade which is in good condition comparatively. However, the water contamination will be in poor as the year passes. when considering T-N T-P, which are the nutrients to control eutrophication, the concentrated administration about contamination sources is in urgent.

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Optimal portfolio and VaR of KOSPI200 using One-factor model (원-팩터 모형을 이용한 KOSPI200지수 구성종목의 최적 포트폴리오 구성 및 VaR 측정)

  • Ko, Kwang Yee;Son, Young Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.323-334
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    • 2015
  • he current VaR model based on the J.P. Morgan's RiskMetrics structurally can not reflect the future economic situation. In this study, we propose a One-factor model resulting from the Wiener stochastic process decomposed into a systematic risk factor and an idiosyncratic risk factor. Therefore, we are able to perform a preemptive risk management by means of reflecting the predicted common risk factors in the model. Stocks in the portfolio are satisfied with the independence to each other because the common factors are fixed by the predicted value. Therefore, we can easily determine the investment in each stock to minimize the variance of the portfolio. In addition, the portfolio VaR is decomposed into the sum of the individual VaR. So we can effectively implement the constitution of the portfolio to meet the target maximum losses.

A study princess line patterns for wedding dresses - Draping technique for standard body type women from age 25 to 34 - (웨딩드레스용 프린세스라인 원형개발 연구 - 25~34세 표준체형 여성을 위한 드레이핑 기법으로 -)

  • Kim, Hae-Yeon;Park, Sun-Kyung;Jeong, Jae-Chul
    • The Research Journal of the Costume Culture
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.913-927
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    • 2017
  • This study is based on the results of the $7^{th}$ Korea Human Size Survey (Size Korea). The standard body shapes of Korean women between 25 and 34 years old were analyzed and used to develop a prototype princess line for wedding dresses. or this purpose I conducted a literature review and a survey of the actual situation of domestic ligaments. In order to select suitable ligaments for the standard body type of 25~34 year-old Korean women, I collected the most representative ligaments from around the world: Stock man from France, Superior from the USA, KIIYA from Japan, and Pig and Nonno from Korea. They were then compared and analyzed. In the form of a formal wedding dress, a prototype princess line was developed by a draping technique in order to finely implement the human body fitting. To develop the prototype of the princess line, I made test garments with muslin. 25 to 34 years old Korean female standard body type Three human subjects close to the average measurement value were selected as subjects. An exterior appearance evaluation questionnaire was created with 28 questions focusing on the main parts of the prototype princess line. The clothes were evaluated three times. In this study, aesthetic and functional elements were considered for the development of princess line prototypes for wedding dresses. In addition, the amount of spare area was given differently. This study is significant in the achievement of a dress line closest that closely matches the human body line of the standard Korean female body type.

Corporate Cash Flow Exposures to Foreign Exchange Rate and the Determinants : Korean Listed Non-financial Firms (현금흐름의 단기 환노출과 결정 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Won
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.31-64
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    • 2009
  • This article investigates the short-term cash flow exposures to Korea's major trading partners' currencies based on the kospi and kosdaq firm data from 2000 to 2008. The cash flow approach allows us to analyze the influence on operational performances of individual firm's hedging strategies. Taken all three foreign exchange rates together, more than 30% of the sample firms exhibit significant exposure. Given that the short-term cash flow is rather easy to hedge, the result proves a poor exchange rate risk management practices of Korean firms. Kosdaq firms are more exposed than Kospi firms. On the contrary to the previous researches using stock prices, the operational cash flows show a positive relationship with the value of foreign currencies. The exchange rate-firm sample further shows that the size and leverage affect the level of exposure.

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A Study on the Rational Application of Valuation for Unlisted Stock (비상장주식 가치평가의 합리적 적용방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Heung-Su
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.179-189
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    • 2014
  • Unlisted stocks, each country applies a systematic evaluation of the proposed regulations and how the objectivity and reliability of the valuation is trying to improve. In the case of Korea, the law relating to the assessment of unlisted stocks of a representative and 'Inheritance and Gift Tax Law' and the majority of the information in accordance with this law is. IFRS to the valuation of securities at fair value, such as unlisted stocks, but with the exception that non-marketable securities, the acquisition cost can be replaced by a well-known professional organizations calculation of the amount of stocks that the rules are followed. Therefore, in this study, together with the other examples given statutory valuation theory or technique has been referred to various valuation models in practice. It is significant to provide data that can be used to present a variety of methods for the valuation of unlisted shares and enable rationalization study. But the limitations of this study, the implication is obtained through a single enterprise, the research will continue to be applied to the case study and plan the future by the various sectors of the corporate scale.

A Study of Economic Indicator Prediction Model using Dimensions Decrease Techniques and HMM (차원감소기법과 은닉마아코프모델을 이용한 경기지표 예측 모델 연구)

  • Jeon, Jin-Ho;Kim, Min-Soo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.305-311
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    • 2013
  • The size of the market as the economy continues to evolve, in order to make the right decisions to accurately predict the economic problems the market has emerged as an important issues. To express the modern economic system, the largest of the various economic indicators, pillars stock indicators analysis and decision-making with a proper understanding of the problem for the application of the model is suitable for time-series data concealment HMM. Based on this time series model and the calculation of the time and cost savings dimension decrease techniques for the estimation and prediction of the model was applied to the problem was to verify the validity. As a result, the model predictions in both the short term rather than long-term predictions of the model estimates the optimal predictive value similar pattern very similar to both the actual data and was able to confirm that.

A Study on the Improvement of the Criteria for the Management Evaluation Related to the Means-Efficiency of Public Library (공공도서관 수단효율성관련 경영평가기준의 개선방향에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Won Joo;Hong, Hyun Jin
    • Journal of the Korean BIBLIA Society for library and Information Science
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.203-221
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    • 2017
  • This study is to suggest some improvement directions of the criteria for the management evaluation in order to contribute to the achievement of lasting value of the continuous development and publicity in regard to the public library means-efficiency. To this end, This study analyzed the means-efficiency evaluation criteria via theoretical review on business analysis of private enterprise and the analysis framework based on it. The improvement of evaluation criteria in regard to efficiency for the continuous development of public library are as follows. 1) Regardless of domestic and foreign, an efficiency index in the performance evaluation index of public library is absolutely insufficient. The sufficient indexes measuring efficiency which is appropriate for the concept of performance should be developed. 2) A flow data representing input and performance in certain time period is insufficient. Therefore, evaluation index consisted of flow data should be more developed. 3) Long term stock data is excluded in the term cost as it is the cost used for the long term such as fixed assets. However, it is useful as input data, which is realized through the perfect accounting.